Cloudy with a Chance of Water: The Mysteries of WISE 0855 Unveiled
Astronomy Daily: Latest Space NewsOctober 13, 2026x
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Cloudy with a Chance of Water: The Mysteries of WISE 0855 Unveiled

The coldest brown dwarf we know has weather. JWST watched water clouds thicken and thin on WISE 0855, a sunless world seven and a half light-years away — plus a star slowly eating a brown dwarf, ten minutes of X-rays after a half-second burst, a Soviet satellite breaking up over Western Australia, NASA's lunar cave hunt, and Mercury's best evening show of the year for the south. Stories Weather on a World Without a Sun Miles et al. used JWST NIRSpec to take a spectrum of WISE 0855 every 15 minutes for 11 hours. Carbon monoxide and phosphine rise and fall together as convection dredges deep gas upward, while patchy water clouds thicken and thin higher up — the first variable water clouds seen outside the Solar System. Source: University of Arizona release, 9 Oct 2026; arXiv:2609.20664 The Star That Eats Slowly ZTF J0440+2325: a red dwarf drawing gas from a 25-Jupiter-mass brown dwarf on an 87-minute orbit — the first confirmed stable mass transfer from a substellar object onto a star. Householder, Burdge et al., Nature Astronomy, 5 Oct 2026. Source: Nature Astronomy (2026); arXiv:2603.17039 Ten Minutes After Half a Second Einstein Probe caught ~560 s of soft X-rays after the 0.37 s GRB 250704B, at redshift 0.661 with no supernova — pointing to a compact-object merger and possibly a newborn magnetar. Science Bulletin, 2026. Source: DOI 10.1016/j.scib.2026.08.021; arXiv:2601.14137 A Dead Satellite Comes Apart Soviet weather satellite Meteor 2-7 (launched 1981) fragmented on 5 Oct at ~850 km, detected by LeoLabs' Western Australian radar. Cause unknown. Source: EarthSky, 9 Oct 2026; Space.com Quick hit: NASA Goes Caving on the Moon NASA's PRISM picks for the Moon Base program include GIMLI, which will probe the Marius Hills Pit for a lava tube, plus LEMS-SP and DISCO. Source: NASA RELEASE26-080, 30 Sept 2026 Skywatch Mercury at greatest eastern elongation — 24° up at sunset from Sydney vs 10° LA, 7.5° NY, 3° London. Crescent Moon near Venus and Mercury, Venus heading to inferior conjunction on the 24th, pre-dawn Mars and Jupiter for the north (Mars through the Beehive), Orionids 21–22 Oct. Source: Computed with PyEphem Sources · https://astrobiology.com/2026/10/09/first-detection-of-variable-water-clouds-outside-of-our-solar-system/ · https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.20664 · https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/175765 · https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.17039 · https://www.arxiv.org/abs/2601.14137 · https://earthsky.org/?p=560313 · https://www.space.com/space-exploration/satellites/a-dead-soviet-satellite-just-broke-apart-in-orbit-again-experts-say-its-part-of-a-worrying-trend · https://nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-adds-new-science-investigations-for-moon-base

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00:00:00 --> 00:00:03 Anna: Seven and a half light years away, there's a

00:00:03 --> 00:00:05 world with no sun, um, colder than a

00:00:05 --> 00:00:08 Sydney winter's night. And this week,

00:00:08 --> 00:00:10 we watched its clouds change.

00:00:11 --> 00:00:14 Avery: Not a picture, a single point of light

00:00:14 --> 00:00:17 measured every 15 minutes for 11 hours by

00:00:17 --> 00:00:19 the James Webb Space Telescope. Getting a

00:00:19 --> 00:00:22 little brighter and a little dimmer as the

00:00:22 --> 00:00:22 weather moved.

00:00:23 --> 00:00:25 Anna: Also today, a small star

00:00:25 --> 00:00:28 slowly eating a brown dwarf in an orbit that

00:00:28 --> 00:00:29 would fit inside the sun.

00:00:30 --> 00:00:33 10 minutes of X rays from a collision that

00:00:33 --> 00:00:35 should have been over in half a second. And

00:00:35 --> 00:00:38 a dead Soviet satellite that came apart over

00:00:38 --> 00:00:39 Western Australia.

00:00:40 --> 00:00:42 Avery: Plus, NASA goes caving on the Moon. And

00:00:42 --> 00:00:45 Mercury puts on its best evening show of the

00:00:45 --> 00:00:46 year for the Southern Hemisphere.

00:00:46 --> 00:00:47 Anna: I'm Anna.

00:00:48 --> 00:00:50 Avery: And I'm Avery. This is

00:00:50 --> 00:00:51 Astronomy AstroDailyPod.

00:00:52 --> 00:00:55 Anna: Let's start with the object itself, because

00:00:55 --> 00:00:57 it's a strange one. WISE

00:00:57 --> 00:01:00 0855 was found in 2014 by

00:01:00 --> 00:01:02 Kevin Lumen at Penn State in data from NASA's

00:01:02 --> 00:01:05 WISE infrared survey. It sits about

00:01:05 --> 00:01:08 seven and a half light years away, which

00:01:08 --> 00:01:10 makes it the fourth closest system to the sun

00:01:10 --> 00:01:13 after Alpha Centauri, Barnard Star, and the

00:01:13 --> 00:01:16 brown dwarf pair Luhman 16. And it's

00:01:16 --> 00:01:19 the coldest brown dwarf we know of, roughly

00:01:19 --> 00:01:21 265 kelvin. That's about minus 8

00:01:21 --> 00:01:22 Celsius.

00:01:22 --> 00:01:25 Avery: A brown dwarf is an object that formed the

00:01:25 --> 00:01:28 way a star does, collapsing out of a gas

00:01:28 --> 00:01:30 cloud, but never gathered enough mass to fuse

00:01:30 --> 00:01:33 hydrogen. So it just slowly

00:01:33 --> 00:01:35 cools. Wise

00:01:35 --> 00:01:37 0855 has been cooling for billions of

00:01:37 --> 00:01:40 years, and it drifts through space on its

00:01:40 --> 00:01:42 own. No parent star, no

00:01:42 --> 00:01:45 sunlight. Every bit of light we get from it

00:01:45 --> 00:01:47 is its own leftover heat.

00:01:48 --> 00:01:49 Anna: How heavy is it?

00:01:49 --> 00:01:52 Avery: Somewhere between a few and about 10

00:01:52 --> 00:01:54 times Jupiter's mass, depending on whose

00:01:54 --> 00:01:57 models you use. The universities really says

00:01:57 --> 00:01:59 about twice Jupiter. It's about Jupiter's

00:01:59 --> 00:02:02 size either way, which is why astronomers

00:02:02 --> 00:02:05 have wanted it so badly. It's the closest

00:02:05 --> 00:02:06 thing we have to a Jupiter we can study

00:02:06 --> 00:02:09 without a star blinding the view. But

00:02:09 --> 00:02:11 here's the part I didn't know until I read

00:02:11 --> 00:02:14 this. On Jupiter, the water clouds are there,

00:02:14 --> 00:02:16 but you can't see them because there's a deck

00:02:16 --> 00:02:19 of ammonia clouds sitting on top of right.

00:02:19 --> 00:02:22 Anna: At wise 0855's temperature,

00:02:22 --> 00:02:25 ammonia doesn't condense into clouds, so the

00:02:25 --> 00:02:28 water clouds are the top layer. That means if

00:02:28 --> 00:02:30 you could watch this object closely enough,

00:02:30 --> 00:02:32 you'd be looking straight at water weather.

00:02:33 --> 00:02:35 Avery: And, um, this isn't the first time someone

00:02:35 --> 00:02:37 has said water clouds about wise

00:02:37 --> 00:02:39 0855.

00:02:39 --> 00:02:41 Anna: No. And we should be careful because a lot of

00:02:41 --> 00:02:44 Headlines this week said first water clouds

00:02:44 --> 00:02:47 outside the solar system. That claim was made

00:02:47 --> 00:02:50 for this exact object in 2014 from a

00:02:50 --> 00:02:53 ground based detection and again in 2016 when

00:02:53 --> 00:02:55 the first spectrum showed water vapour and

00:02:55 --> 00:02:56 the signature of clouds.

00:02:57 --> 00:03:00 What's new is the word variable. This is

00:03:00 --> 00:03:02 the first time anyone has watched water

00:03:02 --> 00:03:04 clouds outside our solar system change.

00:03:04 --> 00:03:07 Avery: And that 2014 detection has an Australian

00:03:07 --> 00:03:07 name on it.

00:03:08 --> 00:03:10 Anna: It does. The 2014 paper

00:03:10 --> 00:03:13 that first saw Y0855 from the

00:03:13 --> 00:03:16 ground, led by Jacqueline Verity and using

00:03:16 --> 00:03:18 the Magellan telescope at Las Campanas in

00:03:18 --> 00:03:21 Chile, had Chris Tinney from UNSW

00:03:21 --> 00:03:22 as a co author.

00:03:22 --> 00:03:25 Verity's on this new paper too. So it's

00:03:25 --> 00:03:28 a 12 year thread and it began in the south.

00:03:29 --> 00:03:31 Avery: So what did the new study actually do?

00:03:31 --> 00:03:34 Anna: The team was led by Brittany Miles at the

00:03:34 --> 00:03:36 University of Arizona's Steward Observatory.

00:03:36 --> 00:03:39 With more than 25 CO authors.

00:03:39 --> 00:03:41 They pointed Webb's Nurse Spec Instrument at

00:03:41 --> 00:03:44 WISE 0855 for 11 hours

00:03:44 --> 00:03:47 and took a Spectru 15 minutes.

00:03:47 --> 00:03:49 That's about 44 snapshots of its light.

00:03:50 --> 00:03:52 Each one split into hundreds of infrared

00:03:52 --> 00:03:54 wavelengths from about 3 to 5

00:03:54 --> 00:03:55 micrometres.

00:03:56 --> 00:03:58 Avery: And wise 0855 is just a

00:03:58 --> 00:04:01 point. You can't see a cloud on it.

00:04:01 --> 00:04:04 Anna: Exactly. You can't resolve it into a

00:04:04 --> 00:04:07 disc. You get one dot of light

00:04:07 --> 00:04:09 and you watch how that light changes over

00:04:09 --> 00:04:11 time, wavelength by wavelength.

00:04:11 --> 00:04:14 Different molecules absorb at different

00:04:14 --> 00:04:16 wavelengths. Clouds dim things in a different

00:04:16 --> 00:04:19 pattern. So if the brightness at a

00:04:19 --> 00:04:22 carbon monoxide wavelength wobbles while the

00:04:22 --> 00:04:24 water wavelengths hold steady, that tells you

00:04:24 --> 00:04:26 which part of the atmosphere is changing.

00:04:27 --> 00:04:30 Avery: Which sounds like the Simp 0136

00:04:30 --> 00:04:32 story we did back in episode 197.

00:04:33 --> 00:04:35 Anna: It's the same tool that team used

00:04:35 --> 00:04:38 Principal Component Analysis to reduce a

00:04:38 --> 00:04:41 brown dwarf's weather to two underlying

00:04:41 --> 00:04:44 patterns. Miles and colleagues used

00:04:44 --> 00:04:46 the same technique here, sorting the changes

00:04:46 --> 00:04:49 into a few patterns that move together so the

00:04:49 --> 00:04:51 signal isn't drowned by the sheer number of

00:04:51 --> 00:04:54 wavelengths. So what

00:04:54 --> 00:04:57 moved two things at two different

00:04:57 --> 00:04:58 heights.

00:04:58 --> 00:05:00 The biggest swing was carbon monoxide

00:05:00 --> 00:05:03 changing by up to about 10% at some

00:05:03 --> 00:05:06 wavelengths. And phosphine moved in step

00:05:06 --> 00:05:08 with it. The two rise and fall together.

00:05:09 --> 00:05:12 Avery: Phosphine. That's the molecule from the Venus

00:05:12 --> 00:05:13 argument a few years back.

00:05:13 --> 00:05:15 Anna: Same molecule, completely different story

00:05:16 --> 00:05:19 here. Phosphine is a tracer. Neither carbon

00:05:19 --> 00:05:21 monoxide nor phosphine should survive in this

00:05:21 --> 00:05:24 cold upper atmosphere for long. They're made

00:05:24 --> 00:05:27 deep down, where it's hot and dense and

00:05:27 --> 00:05:29 carried up by convection faster than

00:05:29 --> 00:05:31 chemistry can destroy them. Jupiter does the

00:05:31 --> 00:05:33 same thing that's where Jupiter's phosphine

00:05:33 --> 00:05:34 comes from.

00:05:35 --> 00:05:37 So when both gases brighten and dim together,

00:05:37 --> 00:05:40 you're seeing deep air welling up.

00:05:40 --> 00:05:43 Avery: Wasn't phosphine supposed to be missing on

00:05:43 --> 00:05:44 this object?

00:05:44 --> 00:05:47 Anna: It was a genuine puzzle. A 2018

00:05:47 --> 00:05:50 ground based study which Miles was also part

00:05:50 --> 00:05:52 of found no sign of phosphine at all in

00:05:52 --> 00:05:55 Ys 0855 spectrum. Even though

00:05:55 --> 00:05:57 Jupiter style chemistry says it should be

00:05:57 --> 00:06:00 there now with Webb, it isn't just

00:06:00 --> 00:06:03 present, it's, it's moving with the carbon

00:06:03 --> 00:06:03 monoxide.

00:06:04 --> 00:06:07 That's a reminder that a non detection is

00:06:07 --> 00:06:09 often a statement about the instrument, not

00:06:09 --> 00:06:12 the object. The observing time itself came

00:06:12 --> 00:06:15 from a web cycle one programme led by Andrew

00:06:15 --> 00:06:17 Schemer at UC Santa Cruz who also led that

00:06:17 --> 00:06:20 2016 spectrum. Same team

00:06:20 --> 00:06:23 10 years on, finally with the telescope to

00:06:23 --> 00:06:24 answer its own question

00:06:25 --> 00:06:27 Avery: and the water higher up.

00:06:29 --> 00:06:32 Anna: Comparing the data to models, the team

00:06:32 --> 00:06:34 found that the overall shape of the spectrum

00:06:34 --> 00:06:37 needs water clouds and that the clouds are

00:06:37 --> 00:06:39 patchy and getting thicker and thinner.

00:06:40 --> 00:06:43 Biles own line was that they can watch the

00:06:43 --> 00:06:46 water clouds thicken and thin and the deep

00:06:46 --> 00:06:48 gases rise and fall as it happens.

00:06:49 --> 00:06:51 Two layers of weather stacked on top of each

00:06:51 --> 00:06:53 other and both visible at once.

00:06:55 --> 00:06:57 Avery: There's a nice quote from Mark Marley, one of

00:06:57 --> 00:06:58 the co authors.

00:06:58 --> 00:07:01 Anna: He compared the atmosphere to a screen

00:07:01 --> 00:07:04 door. The light from deep inside has to

00:07:04 --> 00:07:04 pass through it.

00:07:05 --> 00:07:07 So you can't understand what's behind the

00:07:07 --> 00:07:09 screen until you understand the screen.

00:07:10 --> 00:07:13 That's really the point of this work. Clouds

00:07:13 --> 00:07:15 are the screen on almost every cold planet

00:07:15 --> 00:07:16 we'll ever study.

00:07:17 --> 00:07:18 Avery: So what are the caveats?

00:07:18 --> 00:07:19 Anna: 3.

00:07:20 --> 00:07:22 First, we don't actually know how long a day

00:07:22 --> 00:07:25 is on Y0855. Its

00:07:25 --> 00:07:28 rotation period hasn't been pinned down so we

00:07:28 --> 00:07:31 can't yet say whether 11 hours caught a full

00:07:31 --> 00:07:33 turn, half a turn or more.

00:07:34 --> 00:07:37 The teen's next step is more web time to

00:07:37 --> 00:07:39 measure the rotation and map the weather in

00:07:39 --> 00:07:42 three dimensions. Second, um,

00:07:42 --> 00:07:45 it's one object the physics probably

00:07:45 --> 00:07:48 carries over to cold gas giant exoplanets

00:07:48 --> 00:07:50 and that's the hope. But. But that's a

00:07:50 --> 00:07:52 suggestion from the authors, not a

00:07:52 --> 00:07:54 demonstrated result. And third,

00:07:55 --> 00:07:57 everything here depends on atmosphere models.

00:07:58 --> 00:08:00 Marley's screen door cuts both ways. The

00:08:00 --> 00:08:03 clouds are the finding and the clouds are

00:08:03 --> 00:08:05 also the hardest part to model.

00:08:05 --> 00:08:07 Avery: And where was this published?

00:08:07 --> 00:08:08 I've seen two answers.

00:08:09 --> 00:08:12 Anna: So have we. The preprint went up in mid

00:08:12 --> 00:08:14 September and says the paper is accepted to

00:08:14 --> 00:08:17 the Astronomical Journal, while the

00:08:17 --> 00:08:19 university's release says the Astrophysical

00:08:19 --> 00:08:22 Journal. Both are American Astronomical

00:08:22 --> 00:08:25 Society journals. So we'll just say it's out

00:08:25 --> 00:08:27 this month in an AAS journal.

00:08:27 --> 00:08:30 Avery: Bring it home for me. Why does a cloudy

00:08:30 --> 00:08:31 brown dwarf matter?

00:08:32 --> 00:08:35 Anna: Because it's the bridge. We know Jupiter

00:08:35 --> 00:08:38 in detail, but only one Jupiter.

00:08:38 --> 00:08:41 The cold exoplanets that future telescopes

00:08:41 --> 00:08:44 will image directly will mostly be faint

00:08:44 --> 00:08:46 dots orbiting bright stars.

00:08:47 --> 00:08:49 Wise 0855 is a faint dot

00:08:49 --> 00:08:52 with no star in the way. Cold enough to have

00:08:52 --> 00:08:55 water. Weather close enough that Webb can

00:08:55 --> 00:08:58 take a spectrum every 15 minutes. If we can

00:08:58 --> 00:09:00 learn to read weather from one point of light

00:09:00 --> 00:09:02 here, that's the method we'll use for every

00:09:02 --> 00:09:04 cold giant planet after it.

00:09:04 --> 00:09:07 Avery: A rehearsal for exoplanet weather

00:09:07 --> 00:09:08 forecasting.

00:09:08 --> 00:09:11 Anna: And the forecast for wise 0855

00:09:12 --> 00:09:15 as far as anyone can tell, is minus

00:09:15 --> 00:09:17 8 Cloudy with patchy water

00:09:17 --> 00:09:20 clouds and a chance of phosphine.

00:09:20 --> 00:09:23 Avery: From one brown dwarf to another and this one

00:09:23 --> 00:09:26 is being eaten. The system is called

00:09:26 --> 00:09:28 ZTFJ0440

00:09:28 --> 00:09:31 2325, about 300

00:09:31 --> 00:09:34 light years away in Taurus. It's a small red

00:09:34 --> 00:09:37 dwarf star about 85 times Jupiter's mass

00:09:37 --> 00:09:40 with a brown dwarf of about 25 Jupiter

00:09:40 --> 00:09:42 masses orbiting it every 87 minutes.

00:09:43 --> 00:09:46 Anna: 87 minutes, that's a full year and

00:09:46 --> 00:09:48 under an hour and a half and

00:09:48 --> 00:09:51 Avery: the whole orbit would fit inside the Sun.

00:09:52 --> 00:09:54 At that range the star's gravity pulls gas

00:09:54 --> 00:09:56 off the brown dwarf in a steady stream.

00:09:57 --> 00:10:00 The paper led by MIT graduate student Aaron

00:10:00 --> 00:10:03 Householder with Kevin Burge came out in

00:10:03 --> 00:10:05 nature astronomy on the 5th of October.

00:10:06 --> 00:10:08 Housekeeping first. The preprint went up in

00:10:08 --> 00:10:10 March, so this is a seven month old result

00:10:11 --> 00:10:12 that's now been through peer review.

00:10:14 --> 00:10:14 Anna: How did they find?

00:10:15 --> 00:10:18 Avery: Started as a puzzle. Burge was going through

00:10:18 --> 00:10:20 data from the Zwicky Transient Facility at

00:10:20 --> 00:10:23 Palomar, which photographs the northern sky

00:10:23 --> 00:10:25 over and over, looking for things that

00:10:25 --> 00:10:28 change. One source traced a uh, triangle

00:10:28 --> 00:10:31 shaped light curve rising and falling in

00:10:31 --> 00:10:34 straight lines. His reaction roughly

00:10:34 --> 00:10:36 was that stars don't do that.

00:10:37 --> 00:10:39 Anna: So what does make a triangle?

00:10:39 --> 00:10:42 Avery: A hotspot. Because the star is much

00:10:42 --> 00:10:44 bigger than the stream, the gas doesn't form

00:10:44 --> 00:10:47 a disc. It slams straight into the star's

00:10:47 --> 00:10:50 surface at high speed. Birch compared it to

00:10:50 --> 00:10:53 an asteroid hitting the moon that heats one

00:10:53 --> 00:10:55 patch of the star. And as the pair orbits,

00:10:55 --> 00:10:58 the hot patch swings into view and out again.

00:10:59 --> 00:11:01 Anna: And the obvious alternative was a black

00:11:01 --> 00:11:03 widow, right?

00:11:03 --> 00:11:06 Avery: A pulsar slowly eroding a uh, light

00:11:06 --> 00:11:08 companion. But a pulsar is

00:11:08 --> 00:11:11 heavy and it would make the visible star

00:11:11 --> 00:11:14 wobble a lot. Householder measured the wobble

00:11:14 --> 00:11:16 with follow of spectroscopy and it was far

00:11:16 --> 00:11:17 too small.

00:11:17 --> 00:11:20 A red dwarf and a brown dwarf was the only

00:11:20 --> 00:11:21 thing that fit.

00:11:22 --> 00:11:24 Anna: And why is a slow um, meal surprising?

00:11:25 --> 00:11:28 Avery: Because the usual expectation is that when

00:11:28 --> 00:11:30 a star and a substellar companion get too

00:11:30 --> 00:11:33 close, it ends quickly. The

00:11:33 --> 00:11:36 orbit decays or the star swells

00:11:36 --> 00:11:38 and the companion is swallowed.

00:11:39 --> 00:11:41 Here the lighter object is the one giving up

00:11:41 --> 00:11:44 mass. And when the lighter partner is the

00:11:44 --> 00:11:47 donor, the orbit tends to respond by

00:11:47 --> 00:11:49 widening slightly, which keeps the flow

00:11:49 --> 00:11:52 gentle rather than runaway. The team

00:11:52 --> 00:11:55 estimates the brown dwarf loses roughly a

00:11:55 --> 00:11:57 hundred thousandth of an Earth mass each

00:11:57 --> 00:12:00 year. Burge's line was that the star can

00:12:00 --> 00:12:01 gradually eat it for billions of years.

00:12:02 --> 00:12:03 Anna: Is it the only one?

00:12:04 --> 00:12:07 Avery: It's the first confirmed case of stable

00:12:07 --> 00:12:09 mass transfer from a substellar object

00:12:09 --> 00:12:11 onto a normal star.

00:12:12 --> 00:12:13 They also present a strong

00:12:14 --> 00:12:16 ZTF J1444

00:12:16 --> 00:12:19 4820, a 67

00:12:19 --> 00:12:22 minute pair sitting inside a triple system.

00:12:23 --> 00:12:25 No Australian team on this one. And Taurus

00:12:25 --> 00:12:28 sits low in the north from here. So this is

00:12:28 --> 00:12:31 an honestly northern discovery. But it

00:12:31 --> 00:12:33 suggests that some of the brown dwarfs we

00:12:33 --> 00:12:35 count as missing close to their stars, may

00:12:35 --> 00:12:37 not have been swallowed.

00:12:37 --> 00:12:39 They may just be getting slowly eaten.

00:12:39 --> 00:12:41 Anna: Next, on 4 July

00:12:42 --> 00:12:44 2025, two gamma ray instruments,

00:12:44 --> 00:12:47 the Chinese French SVOM mission and

00:12:47 --> 00:12:49 China's Insight HXMT

00:12:50 --> 00:12:52 recorded a short Gamma Ray Burst.

00:12:53 --> 00:12:55 GRB2507 04B

00:12:56 --> 00:12:58 lasted about 0.37 seconds.

00:12:59 --> 00:13:01 Avery: Short bursts are the ones we associate with

00:13:01 --> 00:13:03 neutron star collisions.

00:13:03 --> 00:13:04 Anna: Usually yes.

00:13:04 --> 00:13:07 A quick spike of gamma rays, then a fading

00:13:07 --> 00:13:10 afterglow. But China's Einstein probe,

00:13:10 --> 00:13:13 which has a wide field soft X ray camera,

00:13:13 --> 00:13:16 was watching the same patch of sky and the X

00:13:16 --> 00:13:19 rays didn't stop. They kept coming in

00:13:19 --> 00:13:22 bursts for about 560 seconds.

00:13:22 --> 00:13:25 Nearly 10 minutes after a half second flash.

00:13:25 --> 00:13:28 Avery: That's the longest prompt X ray flash ever

00:13:28 --> 00:13:29 seen from a merger like this.

00:13:30 --> 00:13:33 Anna: That's the team's claim. The paper is in

00:13:33 --> 00:13:35 Science Bulletin with the release at the

00:13:35 --> 00:13:37 start of this month for disclosure. The

00:13:37 --> 00:13:40 preprint dates back to January and the event

00:13:40 --> 00:13:42 itself is from July last year.

00:13:42 --> 00:13:44 Avery: How sure are they about what made it

00:13:45 --> 00:13:45 graduate?

00:13:45 --> 00:13:48 Anna: Uh, student Nikolo Pasaleva led

00:13:48 --> 00:13:50 follow up with the X shooter spectrograph on

00:13:50 --> 00:13:53 ESO's Very Large Telescope at

00:13:53 --> 00:13:55 Paranal in Chile. That pinned the

00:13:55 --> 00:13:58 redshift at 0. So the

00:13:58 --> 00:14:00 light has been travelling for more than 6

00:14:00 --> 00:14:03 billion years. Then they looked for a

00:14:03 --> 00:14:05 supernova because the collapse of a massive

00:14:05 --> 00:14:08 star could also produce long lasting X rays.

00:14:08 --> 00:14:09 There wasn't one.

00:14:10 --> 00:14:13 Avery: So a short burst A known distance

00:14:13 --> 00:14:14 and no supernova.

00:14:15 --> 00:14:18 Anna: All of which points to two compact objects

00:14:18 --> 00:14:21 merging. The paper's own wording is a

00:14:21 --> 00:14:24 compact object merger and we'll keep

00:14:24 --> 00:14:26 that. Two neutron stars is the favoured

00:14:26 --> 00:14:29 reading, but a neutron star meeting a black

00:14:29 --> 00:14:31 hole fits that description too.

00:14:31 --> 00:14:34 Avery: And what was powering 10

00:14:34 --> 00:14:35 minutes of X rays?

00:14:36 --> 00:14:38 Anna: The team favours a magnetar.

00:14:38 --> 00:14:41 If two neutron stars merge and the combined

00:14:41 --> 00:14:43 object doesn't immediately collapse into a

00:14:43 --> 00:14:46 black hole, you can get a very rapidly

00:14:46 --> 00:14:48 spinning neutron star with an enormous

00:14:48 --> 00:14:51 magnetic field. Its spin energy

00:14:51 --> 00:14:54 drives a magnetised wind that keeps radiating

00:14:55 --> 00:14:57 the rapid flickering. The change in the

00:14:57 --> 00:15:00 spectrum and a later kick of energy into the

00:15:00 --> 00:15:01 debris all fit.

00:15:02 --> 00:15:05 Avery: Which connects to episode 191. The paper

00:15:05 --> 00:15:07 suggesting magnetars could be about half of

00:15:07 --> 00:15:08 all neutron stars.

00:15:09 --> 00:15:11 Anna: It does, but this is indirect

00:15:11 --> 00:15:14 evidence. Nobody saw the magnetar

00:15:15 --> 00:15:17 at this distance. No gravitational wave

00:15:17 --> 00:15:20 detector could have heard the merger and any

00:15:20 --> 00:15:22 kilonova would have been too faint to catch.

00:15:23 --> 00:15:24 Avery: So why does it matter?

00:15:25 --> 00:15:28 Anna: Because it suggests long X ray tails may

00:15:28 --> 00:15:30 be common and we've been missing them

00:15:31 --> 00:15:31 since.

00:15:31 --> 00:15:34 Gamma ray instruments only see the first

00:15:34 --> 00:15:36 second. If that's right, then the next

00:15:36 --> 00:15:39 time Ligo, Virgo and Kagra hear a nearby

00:15:39 --> 00:15:42 merger, a soft X ray camera like

00:15:42 --> 00:15:44 Einstein probes may be the thing that finds

00:15:44 --> 00:15:47 it in the sky. And that matters more with

00:15:47 --> 00:15:49 Swift, the old workhorse of burst

00:15:49 --> 00:15:52 astronomy, expected to re enter the

00:15:52 --> 00:15:53 atmosphere early next month.

00:15:54 --> 00:15:57 Avery: Lets move to some news. A satellite that

00:15:57 --> 00:15:59 stopped working decades ago has broken into

00:15:59 --> 00:16:00 pieces.

00:16:00 --> 00:16:03 Meteor 27 was a Soviet weather

00:16:03 --> 00:16:06 satellite launched in May 1981 to

00:16:06 --> 00:16:09 photograph clouds. On 5

00:16:09 --> 00:16:11 October it fragmented in low

00:16:11 --> 00:16:14 Anna: Earth orbit and it was caught from

00:16:14 --> 00:16:14 Australia.

00:16:15 --> 00:16:17 Avery: It was. The tracking company

00:16:17 --> 00:16:20 LeoLabs picked up several new objects next

00:16:20 --> 00:16:22 to the satellite as it passed over its radar

00:16:22 --> 00:16:24 site in Western Australia.

00:16:25 --> 00:16:27 And other radars confirm the debris

00:16:27 --> 00:16:29 generating event. The orbital

00:16:29 --> 00:16:32 debris analyst Jim Shell has narrowed the

00:16:32 --> 00:16:34 timing to about 9:45

00:16:35 --> 00:16:37 UTC, give or take 10 minutes.

00:16:37 --> 00:16:39 That's quarter to nine on the evening of the

00:16:39 --> 00:16:41 fifth Sydney time?

00:16:41 --> 00:16:42 Anna: Hell higher.

00:16:43 --> 00:16:46 Avery: Roughly 850 kilometres in a

00:16:46 --> 00:16:48 steep polar orbit inclined about 81

00:16:48 --> 00:16:49 degrees.

00:16:49 --> 00:16:51 And it came apart near the top of that orbit,

00:16:52 --> 00:16:55 where it reaches its highest latitude. That's

00:16:55 --> 00:16:57 a crowded part of the sky for debris because

00:16:57 --> 00:17:00 so many polar orbits cross there. The

00:17:00 --> 00:17:02 reports so far say tens of new trackable

00:17:02 --> 00:17:03 fragments.

00:17:03 --> 00:17:05 Anna: Do we know what caused it?

00:17:05 --> 00:17:08 Avery: No. There are two broad options.

00:17:08 --> 00:17:11 Something inside let go, like an old

00:17:11 --> 00:17:14 battery or leftover propellant after 45

00:17:14 --> 00:17:17 years of heating and cooling. Or

00:17:17 --> 00:17:19 it was hit by a piece of debris too small to

00:17:19 --> 00:17:22 track. Chao leans towards a collision,

00:17:22 --> 00:17:24 but he's also said we'll likely never know

00:17:25 --> 00:17:27 because a, uh, dead satellite sends no data.

00:17:28 --> 00:17:31 Anna: And this isn't a one off, it isn't.

00:17:31 --> 00:17:34 Avery: LeoLabs calls it the latest in a series it

00:17:34 --> 00:17:36 has detected over the past six months. A

00:17:36 --> 00:17:39 Starlink satellite in March that SpaceX put

00:17:39 --> 00:17:42 down to an internal energy source. A Chinese

00:17:42 --> 00:17:44 Long March rocket body in August. And

00:17:44 --> 00:17:47 Space.com reports the Cold War era US

00:17:47 --> 00:17:50 satellite USA 32 broke up in

00:17:50 --> 00:17:52 September. The point about altitude is the

00:17:52 --> 00:17:53 important one.

00:17:53 --> 00:17:56 At around 850 kilometres, the air is so

00:17:56 --> 00:17:59 thin that debris can stay up for decades or

00:17:59 --> 00:18:00 even centuries.

00:18:01 --> 00:18:04 Anna: And for astronomers, every

00:18:04 --> 00:18:05 fragment is another

00:18:05 --> 00:18:08 Avery: thing for operational satellites to dodge. In

00:18:08 --> 00:18:11 an FCC filing earlier this year, SpaceX said

00:18:11 --> 00:18:13 each Starlink satellite averaged more than 40

00:18:13 --> 00:18:16 avoidance manoeuvres a year. And

00:18:16 --> 00:18:18 every bright fragment is another possible

00:18:18 --> 00:18:20 streak across a telescope image.

00:18:21 --> 00:18:23 One breakup doesn't close off space.

00:18:24 --> 00:18:27 The worry is the trend and the fact that

00:18:27 --> 00:18:29 nobody owns the job of cleaning up after a

00:18:29 --> 00:18:31 satellite launched in 1980. One.

00:18:31 --> 00:18:34 Anna: Quick one before the sky. NASA

00:18:34 --> 00:18:37 has chosen three new science payloads for its

00:18:37 --> 00:18:39 M Moon Base programme, announced on 30th

00:18:39 --> 00:18:40 September.

00:18:40 --> 00:18:42 They'll fly to the surface on commercial

00:18:42 --> 00:18:45 landers through the CLPS programme. And the

00:18:45 --> 00:18:47 one with the best story is called Gimli,

00:18:48 --> 00:18:49 like the dwarf from

00:18:49 --> 00:18:51 Avery: the Lord of the Rings who would definitely

00:18:51 --> 00:18:52 approve of going underground.

00:18:53 --> 00:18:55 Anna: Bewud it stands for Geophysical

00:18:55 --> 00:18:58 Instruments for Marius Lunar Pit

00:18:58 --> 00:19:00 Investigation led by Nathaniel Putzig at

00:19:00 --> 00:19:03 the Planetary Science Institute. The target

00:19:03 --> 00:19:06 is the Marius Hills pit, a hole about

00:19:06 --> 00:19:09 34 metres deep found by Japan's Kaguya

00:19:09 --> 00:19:10 orbiter in 2009.

00:19:11 --> 00:19:14 The idea is that it's a skylight, a spot

00:19:14 --> 00:19:16 where the roof of an old lava tube collapsed.

00:19:16 --> 00:19:19 Gimli will use ground penetrating radar,

00:19:19 --> 00:19:22 seismic sensors and gravity measurements to

00:19:22 --> 00:19:24 see whether a tunnel actually runs away from

00:19:24 --> 00:19:24 the

00:19:24 --> 00:19:27 Avery: pit, which would be a natural shelter from

00:19:27 --> 00:19:29 radiation and temperature swings.

00:19:29 --> 00:19:32 Anna: If it's there, nobody has yet

00:19:32 --> 00:19:34 confirmed a lava tube on the moon from the

00:19:34 --> 00:19:37 surface. The other two picks are a

00:19:37 --> 00:19:39 long term monitoring station for the South

00:19:39 --> 00:19:42 Pole from Medi Bena at UMBC

00:19:42 --> 00:19:45 and Disko from NASA Ames, which

00:19:45 --> 00:19:48 will look for ice in tiny cold traps and

00:19:48 --> 00:19:50 measure how rocket exhaust disturbs the

00:19:50 --> 00:19:51 ground.

00:19:52 --> 00:19:54 No launch dates yet and no dollar fifth

00:19:54 --> 00:19:57 year's in the announcement to the sky.

00:19:57 --> 00:20:00 Avery: And um, this week the Southern hemisphere

00:20:00 --> 00:20:02 gets the best of it in the evening with a,

00:20:02 --> 00:20:04 uh, fair trade for the north before dawn.

00:20:05 --> 00:20:08 Quick note for Australian listeners, daylight

00:20:08 --> 00:20:10 saving started on the 4th, so the Sydney

00:20:10 --> 00:20:11 Times are AEDT.

00:20:12 --> 00:20:15 Anna: Mercury reached greatest eastern elongation

00:20:15 --> 00:20:17 on Monday evening, about 25 degrees from

00:20:17 --> 00:20:20 the sun. That's as far from the sun as it

00:20:20 --> 00:20:21 gets on this path.

00:20:21 --> 00:20:22 So this is the week to find

00:20:22 --> 00:20:25 Avery: it and the geometry is wildly

00:20:25 --> 00:20:28 unequal. Our calculations for Tuesday

00:20:28 --> 00:20:31 evening. From Sydney, the sun sets

00:20:31 --> 00:20:34 at 7:06pm and mercury is still

00:20:34 --> 00:20:37 24 degrees up, setting a little over

00:20:37 --> 00:20:40 two hours after the sun. From Los

00:20:40 --> 00:20:42 Angeles, it's about 10 degrees up at sunset

00:20:42 --> 00:20:44 and gone within an hour.

00:20:44 --> 00:20:47 From New York, seven and a half degrees, gone

00:20:47 --> 00:20:50 in under 50 minutes. And, uh, from London,

00:20:50 --> 00:20:51 just three degrees.

00:20:52 --> 00:20:55 Anna: This is the same steep spring ecliptic

00:20:55 --> 00:20:57 we talked about at the equinox. From the

00:20:57 --> 00:21:00 south, the planets stack almost straight up

00:21:00 --> 00:21:02 from the western horizon after sunset.

00:21:02 --> 00:21:05 Avery: So for Southern Hemisphere listeners, it's

00:21:05 --> 00:21:07 the easiest Mercury of the year.

00:21:07 --> 00:21:10 Look west about 40 minutes after sunset for

00:21:10 --> 00:21:13 a steady pinkish point of light well clear of

00:21:13 --> 00:21:16 the horizon. Northern listeners, you need a

00:21:16 --> 00:21:19 flat western horizon and good timing about

00:21:19 --> 00:21:22 20 to 30 minutes after sunset and

00:21:22 --> 00:21:23 binoculars help.

00:21:23 --> 00:21:26 Anna: Venus is the brilliant object lower down

00:21:26 --> 00:21:28 and to the left of Mercury from the south,

00:21:29 --> 00:21:31 but it's sinking fast. It heads into

00:21:31 --> 00:21:34 inferior conjunction on the 24th, passing

00:21:34 --> 00:21:37 between us and the Sun. From Sydney, it's

00:21:37 --> 00:21:39 still about 17 degrees up at sunset this week

00:21:39 --> 00:21:42 and sets around an hour and a half after the

00:21:42 --> 00:21:42 Sun.

00:21:43 --> 00:21:45 From North America, it's already lost in

00:21:45 --> 00:21:48 Avery: the glare and the Moon joins them.

00:21:48 --> 00:21:51 The thin Crescent was about 3 degrees from

00:21:51 --> 00:21:53 Venus on Monday evening. On, um, Tuesday,

00:21:54 --> 00:21:57 it's climbed to about 6 degrees from mercury,

00:21:57 --> 00:22:00 8% lit with earthshine on the dark

00:22:00 --> 00:22:02 part. If your sky is clear, that's a lovely

00:22:02 --> 00:22:04 pairing from Australia, New Zealand and South

00:22:04 --> 00:22:05 America.

00:22:06 --> 00:22:09 Anna: Now the trade before dawn, the Northern

00:22:09 --> 00:22:12 hemisphere has Mars and Jupiter at

00:22:12 --> 00:22:15 nautical dawn on Wednesday. Mars is about 58

00:22:15 --> 00:22:18 degrees up from Los Angeles and 56 from New

00:22:18 --> 00:22:20 York, with Jupiter in the mid-40s.

00:22:21 --> 00:22:23 From Sydney, they're only about 23 and

00:22:23 --> 00:22:24 18 degrees.

00:22:25 --> 00:22:27 Avery: And Mars has been doing something lovely. It

00:22:27 --> 00:22:30 passed right through the Beehive cluster M44

00:22:30 --> 00:22:32 in cancer over the weekend, coming within

00:22:32 --> 00:22:35 about a tenth of a degree of the cluster

00:22:35 --> 00:22:36 centre on Saturday UTC.

00:22:37 --> 00:22:39 It's still close enough this week for a

00:22:39 --> 00:22:39 binocular view.

00:22:41 --> 00:22:43 Anna: And Mars and Jupiter are closing in about

00:22:43 --> 00:22:46 13 degrees apart now two and a half by the

00:22:46 --> 00:22:49 10th of November and about one and a quarter

00:22:49 --> 00:22:52 degrees by the 15th. That conjunction

00:22:52 --> 00:22:54 is worth a full sky watch closer to the date.

00:22:55 --> 00:22:57 Avery: And coming up, the Orionids.

00:22:58 --> 00:23:00 The meteor shower made of dust from Holly's

00:23:00 --> 00:23:03 comet peak on the night of the 21st into the

00:23:03 --> 00:23:06 22nd, the moon will be about

00:23:06 --> 00:23:09 78% lit, but it sets around

00:23:09 --> 00:23:10 three in the morning in all four of our

00:23:10 --> 00:23:13 cities Sydney, Los Angeles, New York and

00:23:13 --> 00:23:14 London.

00:23:14 --> 00:23:17 So the dark hour or two before dawn is your

00:23:17 --> 00:23:20 window from either hemisphere. And

00:23:20 --> 00:23:23 Saturn, just past opposition, is up

00:23:23 --> 00:23:24 all evening. For anyone with a small

00:23:24 --> 00:23:26 telescope, one

00:23:26 --> 00:23:29 Anna: safety point, and it matters, especially this

00:23:29 --> 00:23:31 week. Mercury and Venus are close to the

00:23:31 --> 00:23:34 sun, so wait until the sun has fully

00:23:34 --> 00:23:37 set before you sweep binoculars or a

00:23:37 --> 00:23:39 telescope anywhere near the western horizon.

00:23:40 --> 00:23:43 Never look at the sun through any optics. If

00:23:43 --> 00:23:45 you ever do want to look at the sun, use only

00:23:45 --> 00:23:48 a certified solar filter or eclipse glasses

00:23:48 --> 00:23:49 that meet the ISO

00:23:49 --> 00:23:52 1123122 international

00:23:52 --> 00:23:54 standard. Fitted properly over the front of

00:23:54 --> 00:23:57 the instrument, sunglasses are not safe.

00:23:58 --> 00:24:00 Avery: That's the show today. Water

00:24:00 --> 00:24:03 clouds changing on the coldest brown dwarf we

00:24:03 --> 00:24:04 know.

00:24:04 --> 00:24:07 A star patiently eating a Brown Dwarf

00:24:07 --> 00:24:10 every 87 minutes. 10 minutes of

00:24:10 --> 00:24:12 X rays after a half second burst,

00:24:13 --> 00:24:15 a dead Soviet satellite falling to pieces

00:24:15 --> 00:24:18 over Western Australia and NASA going

00:24:18 --> 00:24:20 looking for caves on the moon.

00:24:20 --> 00:24:23 Anna: If you've got a question about anything we

00:24:23 --> 00:24:25 covered or something you'd like us to follow,

00:24:25 --> 00:24:28 the contact form at astronomydailyio

00:24:28 --> 00:24:31 comes straight to the team and a lot of what

00:24:31 --> 00:24:34 we chase starts there. You'll also find show

00:24:34 --> 00:24:36 notes, the newsletter and the full back

00:24:36 --> 00:24:38 catalogue on the site. And we're

00:24:38 --> 00:24:40 astrodaily pod on social.

00:24:40 --> 00:24:43 Avery: And if you're in the south, go and find

00:24:43 --> 00:24:46 Mercury this week. It won't be this easy

00:24:46 --> 00:24:46 again for a while.

00:24:47 --> 00:24:48 Anna: I'm Anna.

00:24:48 --> 00:24:49 Avery: And I'm Avery.

00:24:50 --> 00:24:51 Anna: Clear skies, everyone.