Roman Opens Its Eye
Astronomy Daily: Latest Space NewsSeptember 17, 2026x
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Roman Opens Its Eye

First starlight from Roman, a shorter fuse on the Solar System, weapons in orbit, and a globular cluster hiding behind the dust Roman opens its eye — and finds it has twice as long to look NASA has activated the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope's Wide Field Instrument, a 300-megapixel infrared camera built around eighteen detectors, with a field of view at least a hundred times larger than Hubble's infrared field — a patch of sky bigger than the full Moon in a single exposure, at Hubble-comparable sharpness. The instrument reached its operating temperature of −143 °C on 11 September; detectors and the calibration system came up across the 11th and 12th; the element wheel turned in microgravity for the first time on the 12th; the focus mechanism was verified on the 13th. Roman then took its first starlight image — deliberately out of focus, and exactly as intended: a baseline diagnostic that proves the optical path is clear and every detector is live. Sharp science images are expected by early 2027. The Coronagraph Instrument has completed initial communications checkout from Caltech/IPAC and is running 30-day decontamination cycles at room temperature. Separately, NASA published the numbers from Roman's first mid-course correction: better than 99% accurate, using about 18 kg of a 200 kg propellant budget, on a spacecraft that launched lighter than its allowance. Jamie Dunn (Goddard): Roman has fuel for at least 22 years of potential science operations, against a design life of ten. Caveat kept on air: that is a fuel figure, not a funding or hardware figure. Why it matters: Roman's High-Latitude Time-Domain Survey measures cosmic expansion with Type Ia supernovae, and its High-Latitude Wide-Area Survey probes cosmic acceleration across more than 5,000 square degrees through weak lensing and galaxy clustering — two independent handles on the dark energy question that Monday's Australian-led supernova compilation sharpened but could not settle. A doubled mission means a longer lever arm in time, which in this measurement is everything. Caltech: the Solar System's dynamical fuse is far shorter than we thought Konstantin Batygin, Jim Fuller and Fred Adams (Caltech), 'Terminal instability of the Solar System triggered by stochastic solar mass loss', arXiv:2609.12494, posted 11 September and accepted to the Astrophysical Journal Letters. The standard estimate for how long the giant planets hold their architecture — about 10¹⁸ years — assumes the dying Sun sheds mass smoothly. Observations of white-dwarf recoil indicate mass is instead lost in discrete, independently directed ejections, so planetary orbits take a random walk. In simulations, roughly 40% of systems are disrupted or violently scattered before white dwarf formation and about 90% within ~3 billion years after, cutting the outer Solar System's dynamical lifetime to around a gigayear past white dwarf formation. Framed on air as a prediction to test — planetary systems around old white dwarfs should be rarer and more chaotic — with the granularity of the mass loss named as the number to go and measure. The United States says, for the first time, that it has weapons in orbit Secretary of the Air Force Troy Meink, speaking on the opening day of the Air & Space Forces Association's Air, Space & Cyber Conference at National Harbor, Maryland on Monday 14 September: the United States now has 'on-orbit space control weapons capable of defending the joint force against hostile adversary actions'. It is the first public US acknowledgement of offensive capability in orbit. No systems, numbers, locations or timelines were disclosed. A Space Force spokesperson defined space control as employing 'kinetic and non-kinetic means to affect adversary capabilities through disruption, degradation and even destruction, if necessary'. Gen. Douglas Schiess, Chief of Space Operations, said the following day that 'it was time' to talk about it, citing Chinese and Russian anti-satellite advances. Covered factually, with both the deterrence and the arms-control readings presented, and with orbital debris as the physical consequence that outlasts any dispute. Australian context: Operation Olympic Defender and Defence Space Command. Rubin finds a globular cluster hiding behind the dust Aashay Pai, William Cerny, Andrew Pace, Alex Drlica-Wagner and colleagues, 'Rubin Observatory Reveals a Dust-Shrouded Halo Globular Cluster in Ophiuchus', arXiv:2609.15872, posted 14 September. Rubin-GC1 was found in Rubin's Early Data Preview 2 — not the survey proper — in the direction of the galactic bulge, behind heavy dust and a crowded foreground. It sits about 31 kiloparsecs away, roughly 100,000 light-years, out in the Milky Way's halo. Half-light radius ~5 pc, absolute magnitude ≈ −2.4, placing it in the faint tail of the globular cluster luminosity function; age ≈ 9.2 billion years; moderately metal-poor. Gaia DR3 proper motions and phase-space modelling point to an origin in the Sagittarius dwarf spheroidal — an accreted cluster, not one of our own. Spectroscopy is the confirming next step. Reusable framing, now used four times in a month: catalogues are detection limits, not censuses. Quick hit — Starship Flight 14 has a firm date SpaceX has published and the FAA has cleared Flight 14 for Tuesday 22 September, a 75-minute window opening 08:15 EDT / 12:15 UTC (22:15 AEST on the 22nd). This is the first orbital attempt: six orbits at about 275 km, then a Pacific splashdown west of Chile roughly ten hours after launch. The payload is 26 Starlink V3 satellites — the first flight of the next-generation satellites designed for Starship — three of them carrying cameras to photograph the ship's heat shield during re-entry. Super Heavy splashes down in the Gulf about seven minutes after liftoff. No tower catches on this flight, for either stage, confirming the correction we carried on 12 September. Skywatch — both hemispheres Tonight: a five-day-old waxing crescent Moon beside Antares — 2.5° apart and 60° up from Sydney, 5.5° apart and 18° up from Los Angeles, nearly 7° apart and 12° up from New York. The September ecliptic tilt again. Friday 18 September: Venus at greatest brilliancy, about magnitude −4.8 — brightest not when fullest but when the product of a thinning crescent (~26% lit) and a swelling disc (~39 arcsec) peaks. Steadied binoculars will show the crescent. Venus sets ~3h15m after the Sun from Sydney, ~1h20m from Los Angeles, ~1h05m from New York; northern listeners should look low in the west 20–45 minutes after sunset with a clear horizon. Mercury is a southern-only bonus at magnitude −0.4 but only 16° from the Sun: 15° up at sunset from Sydney, 3° from London. Saturn rises within about an hour of sunset everywhere and is up all night, heading for opposition on 4 October with the rings ~7° open. First quarter falls on 18 September at 20:43 UTC, setting up International Observe the Moon Night on Saturday 19 September — timed near first quarter because that is when the terminator throws long shadows. Pre-dawn belongs to the north: Mars 45–47° up at nautical dawn from Los Angeles and New York against 20° from Sydney, with Jupiter below it, and the pair closing to about 2° by mid-November. Zodiacal light returns after the 26th — false dusk in the west from the south, false dawn in the east from the north. The September equinox is a single instant, 00:05 UTC on 23 September: the evening of the 22nd in the Americas, mid-morning on the 23rd in Australia. Eye safety: never sweep the daytime sky with binoculars or a telescope while hunting Venus. Block the Sun behind a building or wall first. Eclipse glasses must carry the ISO 12312-2 certification and be undamaged, and are for looking at the Sun only. Never use optics on the Sun without proper solar filtration fitted at the front. Sources and further reading · NASA Roman blog — 'NASA Activates Roman's Primary Instrument, Checks Out Coronagraph' (15 Sept 2026) · NASA Roman blog — 'Fuel Savings Double Potential Lifetime for NASA's Roman Mission' (14 Sept 2026) · NASA — Roman Core Community Surveys · arXiv:2609.12494 — Batygin, Fuller & Adams, 'Terminal instability of the Solar System triggered by stochastic solar mass loss' (accepted, ApJL) · arXiv:2609.15872 — Pai et al., 'Rubin Observatory Reveals a Dust-Shrouded Halo Globular Cluster in Ophiuchus' · AFA Air, Space & Cyber Conference 2026 — remarks by Secretary of the Air Force Troy Meink, 14 September 2026 · SpaceX — Starship Flight 14 mission page · Astronomy Daily S05E193 — 'The Universe Changes Its Mind' (the dark energy lead this episode calls back to) · Astronomy Daily S05E187 — stellar streams (Nora Shipp co-author callback)

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00:00:00 --> 00:00:02 Anna: On Friday, a camera the size of a small car

00:00:02 --> 00:00:04 finished cooling to minus

00:00:04 --> 00:00:06 143 degrees Celsius,

00:00:07 --> 00:00:09 a million and a half kilometres from here.

00:00:10 --> 00:00:13 Over the weekend, NASA turned it on and

00:00:13 --> 00:00:14 then it looked at a star.

00:00:14 --> 00:00:17 Avery: The picture is blurry, deliberately,

00:00:17 --> 00:00:20 gloriously blurry. And it is the most

00:00:20 --> 00:00:23 important image the Nancy Grace Roman Space

00:00:23 --> 00:00:24 Telescope will ever take.

00:00:25 --> 00:00:28 Anna: Welcome to Astronomy AstroDailyPod. I'm Anna.

00:00:28 --> 00:00:31 Avery: And I'm avery. It's Wednesday 16th

00:00:31 --> 00:00:34 September 2026. Coming to you from

00:00:34 --> 00:00:34 Sydney.

00:00:35 --> 00:00:38 Anna: Coming up, Roman opens its eye and

00:00:38 --> 00:00:41 finds it has twice as long to look as anyone

00:00:41 --> 00:00:41 planned.

00:00:41 --> 00:00:44 Avery: Caltech says the solar system has an

00:00:44 --> 00:00:47 expiry date and it is very much earlier

00:00:47 --> 00:00:48 than the textbooks say.

00:00:48 --> 00:00:51 Anna: The United States says out loud. And for the

00:00:51 --> 00:00:54 first time that it has weapons in orbit,

00:00:54 --> 00:00:55 Rubin finds a

00:00:55 --> 00:00:58 Avery: globular cluster that was hiding behind a

00:00:58 --> 00:01:00 hundred thousand light years of dust and bad

00:01:00 --> 00:01:01 luck.

00:01:01 --> 00:01:04 Anna: Starship finally has a date and a Venus

00:01:04 --> 00:01:07 that is about to be as bright as it gets.

00:01:07 --> 00:01:08 Avery: Let's get into it.

00:01:09 --> 00:01:10 Anna: Let's start with a telescope we have been

00:01:10 --> 00:01:13 following all the way from the launch pad. On

00:01:13 --> 00:01:16 30 August, we watched the Nancy Grace

00:01:16 --> 00:01:18 Roman Space Telescope leave Kennedy on a

00:01:18 --> 00:01:21 Falcon Heavy. On 1st September, its

00:01:21 --> 00:01:23 Coronagraph Instrument got its first taste of

00:01:23 --> 00:01:26 electrical power. And this week, the main

00:01:26 --> 00:01:29 event, Roman's primary instrument, is awake

00:01:29 --> 00:01:30 and it has seen starlight.

00:01:31 --> 00:01:33 Avery: This is the wide field instrument.

00:01:34 --> 00:01:36 Anna: It is, and it's worth being precise about

00:01:36 --> 00:01:39 what it actually is because the specification

00:01:39 --> 00:01:42 is doing something unusual. It's a 300

00:01:42 --> 00:01:44 megapixel infrared camera built around 18

00:01:44 --> 00:01:47 separate detectors. Its field of view is at

00:01:47 --> 00:01:49 least a hundred times larger than Hubble's

00:01:49 --> 00:01:52 infrared field. The practical way to say that

00:01:52 --> 00:01:54 is in a single exposure.

00:01:54 --> 00:01:57 Roman captures a patch of sky bigger than the

00:01:57 --> 00:01:59 full moon at a sharpness comparable to

00:01:59 --> 00:02:02 Hubble's. Hubble takes exquisite postage

00:02:02 --> 00:02:05 stamps. Roman takes exquisite murals.

00:02:06 --> 00:02:08 Avery: And the activation happened over about four

00:02:08 --> 00:02:08 days.

00:02:09 --> 00:02:12 Anna: It did, and NASA has walked through it step

00:02:12 --> 00:02:14 by step, which I appreciate. On Friday the

00:02:14 --> 00:02:17 11th, the instrument finished cooling to its

00:02:17 --> 00:02:19 operating temperature. Minus

00:02:19 --> 00:02:21 225 Fahrenheit, minus

00:02:21 --> 00:02:24 143 Celsius. Infrared

00:02:24 --> 00:02:27 detectors have to be cold because if they

00:02:27 --> 00:02:29 aren't, the camera sees its own heat instead

00:02:29 --> 00:02:32 of the sky. Then across the 11th and

00:02:32 --> 00:02:35 12th, the team brought up all 18 infrared

00:02:35 --> 00:02:38 detectors and the calibration system. On

00:02:38 --> 00:02:40 the 12th, the element wheel, the carousel

00:02:40 --> 00:02:43 that swings filters and optical elements into

00:02:43 --> 00:02:45 the light path, turned in microgravity for

00:02:45 --> 00:02:46 the first time.

00:02:46 --> 00:02:49 On the 13th, they confirmed the Focus

00:02:49 --> 00:02:51 mechanism moves the way it's supposed to.

00:02:51 --> 00:02:53 Avery: Any one of which could have gone

00:02:53 --> 00:02:55 Anna: wrong, any one of which could have ended the

00:02:55 --> 00:02:58 mission. Frankly, a stuck filter wheel

00:02:58 --> 00:03:00 on an instrument a million and a half

00:03:00 --> 00:03:03 kilometres away is not a thing. You send

00:03:03 --> 00:03:06 somebody up to jiggle and then they pointed

00:03:06 --> 00:03:08 it at stars and took the picture I mentioned

00:03:08 --> 00:03:11 at the top, which is out of focus and

00:03:11 --> 00:03:12 which is exactly right.

00:03:13 --> 00:03:16 Avery: Explain that. Because our new

00:03:16 --> 00:03:19 billion dollar telescope took a blurry photo

00:03:19 --> 00:03:22 is a headline waiting to be misread?

00:03:22 --> 00:03:25 Anna: It is. So let's head it off. You do

00:03:25 --> 00:03:27 not focus an instrument before you know the

00:03:27 --> 00:03:30 detectors work. The order of operations is

00:03:31 --> 00:03:34 prove the detectors respond, prove they

00:03:34 --> 00:03:36 respond uniformly, establish a baseline

00:03:36 --> 00:03:39 and only then start the long fussy business

00:03:39 --> 00:03:42 of focusing a telescope that has been shaken

00:03:42 --> 00:03:44 by a rocket and then allowed to settle in

00:03:44 --> 00:03:47 vacuum. Those defocused stars

00:03:47 --> 00:03:50 smeared across thousands of pixels are a

00:03:50 --> 00:03:53 diagnostic. They tell you the optical path

00:03:53 --> 00:03:56 is clear, every detector is live, and

00:03:56 --> 00:03:58 the light is arriving where the model said it

00:03:58 --> 00:04:01 would. Josh Schlieder, the wide field

00:04:01 --> 00:04:03 instrument scientist at Goddard, put it

00:04:03 --> 00:04:06 plainly. After years of effort building and

00:04:06 --> 00:04:08 testing the instrument on the ground, they

00:04:08 --> 00:04:10 now have confirmation that it is operational

00:04:10 --> 00:04:11 in space.

00:04:11 --> 00:04:14 Sharp science images are expected by early

00:04:14 --> 00:04:17 2027 and the coronagraph

00:04:17 --> 00:04:20 progressing. The team at Caltech and IPAC

00:04:20 --> 00:04:22 have completed initial communications,

00:04:22 --> 00:04:24 testing software, thermal systems,

00:04:24 --> 00:04:27 mechanisms, cameras, avionics, all, all

00:04:27 --> 00:04:30 responding. It's now sitting through 30 day

00:04:30 --> 00:04:32 decontamination cycles at room temperature

00:04:32 --> 00:04:35 about 22 degrees to bake off any

00:04:35 --> 00:04:37 contaminants before it gets cold and precise.

00:04:38 --> 00:04:40 That's the instrument we talked about on the

00:04:40 --> 00:04:42 6th, the technology demonstrator. That's

00:04:42 --> 00:04:44 meant to prove we can block a star's light

00:04:44 --> 00:04:47 well enough to photograph a planet beside it.

00:04:47 --> 00:04:50 Avery: Okay, but the thing that actually made me sit

00:04:50 --> 00:04:53 up this week wasn't the first light. It was

00:04:53 --> 00:04:53 the fuel.

00:04:54 --> 00:04:56 Anna: It's the better storey. And it landed the day

00:04:56 --> 00:04:59 before. On Monday the 14th, NASA

00:04:59 --> 00:05:01 published the numbers from Roman's first mid

00:05:01 --> 00:05:04 course correction. The burn that fine tunes

00:05:04 --> 00:05:06 the trajectory out to the second Lagrange

00:05:06 --> 00:05:09 point. That burn was better than 99%

00:05:09 --> 00:05:12 accurate. It used under 10% of what had

00:05:12 --> 00:05:15 been allocated to it. About 18 kilogrammes

00:05:15 --> 00:05:17 of propellant out of a, uh, 200 kilogramme

00:05:17 --> 00:05:18 budget.

00:05:19 --> 00:05:21 Avery: And accuracy converts directly into fuel.

00:05:22 --> 00:05:24 Anna: Directly. Every kilogramme you don't spend

00:05:24 --> 00:05:27 correcting an error is a kilogramme you can

00:05:27 --> 00:05:30 spend later holding station and pointing. On

00:05:30 --> 00:05:32 top of that, the spacecraft came in lighter

00:05:32 --> 00:05:35 than the maximum it was allowed to be. So it

00:05:35 --> 00:05:36 launched with margin. It was never supposed

00:05:36 --> 00:05:39 to have. Add the accurate first burn,

00:05:39 --> 00:05:42 add the launch margin, add what they expect

00:05:42 --> 00:05:44 from the second burn and the insertion into

00:05:44 --> 00:05:47 orbit around L2. And Jamie Dunn at

00:05:47 --> 00:05:49 Goddard says the quiet part out loud.

00:05:50 --> 00:05:53 Roman has fuel for at least 22 years of

00:05:53 --> 00:05:56 potential science operations against a

00:05:56 --> 00:05:58 design life of 10 five years primary,

00:05:58 --> 00:06:01 five years extended. So this is roughly

00:06:01 --> 00:06:03 double. And here is where I want to be

00:06:03 --> 00:06:06 careful because NASA telescope's life

00:06:06 --> 00:06:08 doubled is going to be everywhere this week

00:06:08 --> 00:06:10 and it needs a caveat attached.

00:06:10 --> 00:06:13 22 years is a fuel figure, it is not a

00:06:13 --> 00:06:16 funding figure and it is not a hardware

00:06:16 --> 00:06:18 figure. Detectors degrade, budgets get

00:06:18 --> 00:06:21 written annually. Fuel is one of several

00:06:21 --> 00:06:23 things that can end a space telescope and

00:06:23 --> 00:06:25 Roman has just removed it from the top of the

00:06:25 --> 00:06:28 list. That's genuinely excellent news.

00:06:28 --> 00:06:31 It is not a promise of 22 years of science.

00:06:32 --> 00:06:34 Avery: Understood. So why does the fuel matter

00:06:35 --> 00:06:37 so much for this particular telescope?

00:06:37 --> 00:06:39 Anna: Because of what Roman was built to measure

00:06:40 --> 00:06:42 and because of what we led with on Monday.

00:06:42 --> 00:06:45 Remember Monday's lead the Australian

00:06:45 --> 00:06:47 led supernova compilation out of the

00:06:47 --> 00:06:50 University of Queensland with ANU and

00:06:50 --> 00:06:53 Swinburne2884

00:06:53 --> 00:06:56 type Ia supernovae Pantheon

00:06:56 --> 00:06:58 and the full dark energy survey five year

00:06:58 --> 00:07:01 sample rebuilt in one framework and a

00:07:01 --> 00:07:04 2.5 to 3.1-sigma preference for

00:07:04 --> 00:07:06 dark energy that changes over time rather

00:07:06 --> 00:07:07 than staying constant.

00:07:08 --> 00:07:11 Avery: Which was tantalising and not conclusive.

00:07:11 --> 00:07:14 Anna: Exactly that. And the reason it wasn't

00:07:14 --> 00:07:17 conclusive is the reason Roman exists. You

00:07:17 --> 00:07:19 are trying to detect a slow drift in a number

00:07:19 --> 00:07:22 and your enemies are sample size and

00:07:22 --> 00:07:24 systematics. Dust host

00:07:24 --> 00:07:27 galaxy properties, the slow accumulation

00:07:27 --> 00:07:29 of small calibration differences between

00:07:29 --> 00:07:32 surveys. Roman attacks all three

00:07:32 --> 00:07:35 Its high latitude Time domain survey about

00:07:35 --> 00:07:37 six months of observing Hunt's Type Ia

00:07:37 --> 00:07:39 supernovae specifically to measure how the

00:07:39 --> 00:07:42 expansion rate has changed. Its high

00:07:42 --> 00:07:45 latitude Wide area survey about 17 months

00:07:45 --> 00:07:48 covers more than 5 square degrees to

00:07:48 --> 00:07:50 probe the origin of cosmic acceleration

00:07:50 --> 00:07:53 through weak gravitational lensing and galaxy

00:07:53 --> 00:07:56 clustering. A completely independent handle

00:07:56 --> 00:07:57 on the same question.

00:07:57 --> 00:08:00 Avery: Two different methods, one telescope, one

00:08:00 --> 00:08:01 calibration.

00:08:01 --> 00:08:04 Anna: Which is the whole point. Monday's paper was

00:08:04 --> 00:08:07 heroic precisely because it had to stitch

00:08:07 --> 00:08:08 together three decades of different

00:08:08 --> 00:08:09 instruments.

00:08:09 --> 00:08:12 Roman gets to skip that problem and now it

00:08:12 --> 00:08:14 gets to do it for 22 years instead of 10.

00:08:15 --> 00:08:17 Which is not just more supernovae. It's a

00:08:17 --> 00:08:20 longer lever arm in time. And in this

00:08:20 --> 00:08:22 measurement the lever arm is everything.

00:08:22 --> 00:08:24 Avery: There's the exoplanet half too.

00:08:25 --> 00:08:27 Anna: There is, and it's extraordinary. The

00:08:27 --> 00:08:30 Galactic bulge time domain survey 15 months

00:08:30 --> 00:08:33 or so, 6 observing seasons imaging the

00:08:33 --> 00:08:36 crowded heart of the Galaxy every 12 minutes,

00:08:36 --> 00:08:39 12.1 minutes, to be exact. That

00:08:39 --> 00:08:41 Cadence is designed to catch gravitational

00:08:41 --> 00:08:44 microlensing events, and it's expected to

00:08:44 --> 00:08:46 find more than a thousand planets on wide

00:08:46 --> 00:08:49 orbits, the cold, distant worlds that transit

00:08:49 --> 00:08:52 surveys are almost blind to, plus something

00:08:52 --> 00:08:54 like a hundred thousand transiting planets as

00:08:54 --> 00:08:55 a bonus.

00:08:55 --> 00:08:58 Avery: And for southern listeners, there's a thread

00:08:58 --> 00:08:59 running through all of this.

00:08:59 --> 00:09:02 Anna: There is, and it's the one I keep coming back

00:09:02 --> 00:09:02 to.

00:09:02 --> 00:09:05 The Dark Energy survey data in Monday's paper

00:09:05 --> 00:09:08 came off the Blanco 4 metre telescope at

00:09:08 --> 00:09:11 Cerro Tololo in Chile. The

00:09:11 --> 00:09:13 compilation was led out of Brisbane. The

00:09:13 --> 00:09:15 accelerating universe result that started

00:09:15 --> 00:09:18 this whole argument was work Brian Schmidt

00:09:18 --> 00:09:20 did at Matt Stromlo outside Canberra.

00:09:21 --> 00:09:23 The question about dark energy got sharpened

00:09:23 --> 00:09:26 in the Southern sky over 30 years by

00:09:26 --> 00:09:29 people working in our half of the world. And

00:09:29 --> 00:09:31 this week the instrument built to settle it

00:09:31 --> 00:09:34 opened its eye, took a deliberately blurry

00:09:34 --> 00:09:36 picture of a star and found out it has twice

00:09:36 --> 00:09:38 as long to look as anyone had planned.

00:09:39 --> 00:09:40 Avery: Not a bad week.

00:09:41 --> 00:09:42 Anna: Not a bad week at all.

00:09:42 --> 00:09:45 Avery: Right, let's talk about how the solar system

00:09:45 --> 00:09:48 ends, because three people at Caltech have

00:09:48 --> 00:09:50 just moved the date forward by about a

00:09:50 --> 00:09:51 billion fold.

00:09:52 --> 00:09:53 Anna: That is an aggressive revision.

00:09:54 --> 00:09:56 Avery: It really is. The paper is by

00:09:56 --> 00:09:59 Constantine Batygin, Jim Fuller and

00:09:59 --> 00:10:01 Fred Watson Adams. It went up on the archive

00:10:01 --> 00:10:04 on Friday the 11th, and it's been accepted by

00:10:04 --> 00:10:07 the Astrophysical Journal Letters. So it's

00:10:07 --> 00:10:10 five days old and peer reviewed, but not yet

00:10:10 --> 00:10:12 in the Journal. I'll flag that as we go.

00:10:13 --> 00:10:15 The title is Terminal Instability of the

00:10:15 --> 00:10:18 Solar System Triggered by Stochastic Solar

00:10:18 --> 00:10:18 Mass Loss.

00:10:19 --> 00:10:20 Anna: Give me the old number first.

00:10:21 --> 00:10:23 Avery: 10 to the 18 years. A billion

00:10:24 --> 00:10:27 billion years. That's the standard estimate

00:10:27 --> 00:10:29 for how long the giant planets Jupiter,

00:10:29 --> 00:10:32 Saturn, Uranus, Neptune hold

00:10:32 --> 00:10:34 their current orbital architecture together.

00:10:35 --> 00:10:37 And it already accounts for the sun losing

00:10:37 --> 00:10:40 mass as it dies, and for the occasional

00:10:40 --> 00:10:43 passing star. It is an absurdly long

00:10:43 --> 00:10:46 time. The universe is 14 billion

00:10:46 --> 00:10:46 years old.

00:10:47 --> 00:10:48 Anna: So what breaks it?

00:10:48 --> 00:10:51 Avery: An assumption nobody was really examining.

00:10:51 --> 00:10:54 That the sun sheds its mass smoothly.

00:10:54 --> 00:10:57 That as it becomes a red giant and then a

00:10:57 --> 00:11:00 white dwarf, it releases material steadily

00:11:00 --> 00:11:03 and symmetrically, like a tyre with a slow

00:11:03 --> 00:11:05 puncture, and the planet's orbits widen

00:11:05 --> 00:11:06 gently in response.

00:11:07 --> 00:11:09 Anna: And that isn't what happens.

00:11:09 --> 00:11:12 Avery: Apparently not. And the evidence comes from

00:11:12 --> 00:11:15 white dwarfs themselves. Measure how

00:11:15 --> 00:11:17 fast white dwarfs are moving and they show

00:11:17 --> 00:11:20 recoil. A kick. A kick means

00:11:20 --> 00:11:23 the mass didn't leave evenly. It left

00:11:23 --> 00:11:25 in discrete, independently directed

00:11:25 --> 00:11:28 ejections. Parcels, not a stream,

00:11:28 --> 00:11:31 each one shoving the star a different way,

00:11:31 --> 00:11:31 and the

00:11:31 --> 00:11:34 Anna: planets are attached to the star's gravity,

00:11:34 --> 00:11:35 so they feel every shove.

00:11:36 --> 00:11:39 Avery: That's the mechanism. The star jitters and

00:11:39 --> 00:11:41 the planet's orbits take a random walk in

00:11:41 --> 00:11:44 response, each ejection nudging them a little

00:11:44 --> 00:11:47 in no particular direction, with the size of

00:11:47 --> 00:11:50 the nudges set by how lumpy the mass loss

00:11:50 --> 00:11:53 is. Do that for long enough and

00:11:53 --> 00:11:55 orbits that were carefully spaced drift into

00:11:55 --> 00:11:58 each other's business. And once giant

00:11:58 --> 00:12:00 planets start perturbing each other in

00:12:00 --> 00:12:03 earnest, the outcome is scattering planets

00:12:03 --> 00:12:06 thrown onto wild orbits or thrown out

00:12:06 --> 00:12:06 altogether.

00:12:07 --> 00:12:08 Anna: What do the simulations give?

00:12:08 --> 00:12:11 Avery: About 40% of the modelled systems are

00:12:11 --> 00:12:13 disrupted or violently scattered because

00:12:14 --> 00:12:16 before the sun even finishes becoming a white

00:12:16 --> 00:12:19 dwarf, and roughly 90%

00:12:19 --> 00:12:22 come apart within about 3 billion years.

00:12:22 --> 00:12:25 After that, the headline number the

00:12:25 --> 00:12:27 dynamical lifetime of the outer solar system

00:12:27 --> 00:12:30 drops from 10 to the 18 years to

00:12:30 --> 00:12:33 somewhere around 1 billion years past white

00:12:33 --> 00:12:34 dwarf formation.

00:12:35 --> 00:12:38 Anna: I want to be clear, for anyone reaching for

00:12:38 --> 00:12:41 the panic button, please, none

00:12:41 --> 00:12:43 Avery: of this is near term anything. The

00:12:43 --> 00:12:46 sun has about 5 billion years of normal

00:12:46 --> 00:12:49 life left and Earth's surface becomes

00:12:49 --> 00:12:51 uninhabitable long before the interesting

00:12:51 --> 00:12:54 part of this paper begins. What it

00:12:54 --> 00:12:57 changes isn't a forecast, it's a

00:12:57 --> 00:12:58 prediction. We can go and cheque.

00:12:59 --> 00:13:01 Meaning, if this is right,

00:13:02 --> 00:13:05 planetary systems around old white dwarfs

00:13:05 --> 00:13:08 should be rarer, more scattered and more

00:13:08 --> 00:13:10 chaotic than the smooth mass loss picture

00:13:10 --> 00:13:13 predicts. We already find white

00:13:13 --> 00:13:16 dwarfs polluted with the debris of shredded

00:13:16 --> 00:13:18 rocky bodies, which tells us something

00:13:18 --> 00:13:21 violent happens out there. This gives

00:13:21 --> 00:13:23 that violence a mechanism and a rate.

00:13:24 --> 00:13:27 And the caveat, the honest one, is

00:13:27 --> 00:13:30 it's a simulation result. And the answer

00:13:30 --> 00:13:33 depends entirely on how granular the mass

00:13:33 --> 00:13:35 loss really is. Big

00:13:36 --> 00:13:38 infrequent parcels give you a very different

00:13:38 --> 00:13:41 system for from small frequent ones.

00:13:41 --> 00:13:44 That granularity is now the number to go and

00:13:44 --> 00:13:47 measure. Which is a nice place for a paper

00:13:47 --> 00:13:50 to end, not with a claim, but with an

00:13:50 --> 00:13:50 assignment.

00:13:51 --> 00:13:54 Anna: Now, a storey that isn't astronomy, but which

00:13:54 --> 00:13:56 sits directly over the sky, we all use.

00:13:57 --> 00:13:59 On Monday, at the opening of the Air and

00:13:59 --> 00:14:02 Space Forces Association's Air, Space and

00:14:02 --> 00:14:04 Cyber Conference at National Harbour in

00:14:04 --> 00:14:06 Maryland, the Secretary of the Air Force,

00:14:06 --> 00:14:09 Troy Meink, said that the United

00:14:09 --> 00:14:12 States now has, in his words, on

00:14:12 --> 00:14:15 orbit space control weapons capable of

00:14:15 --> 00:14:17 defending the joint force against hostile

00:14:17 --> 00:14:19 adversary actions.

00:14:19 --> 00:14:21 Avery: That's the first time that's been said out

00:14:21 --> 00:14:22 loud.

00:14:22 --> 00:14:24 Anna: It is the first public acknowledgment by the

00:14:24 --> 00:14:27 United States military that it has offensive

00:14:27 --> 00:14:30 capability in orbit. And I want to be

00:14:30 --> 00:14:32 precise about what was and wasn't said,

00:14:33 --> 00:14:35 because the gap matters. What was said?

00:14:36 --> 00:14:39 The capability exists, it is on orbit

00:14:39 --> 00:14:41 and it is framed as defensive of the Joint

00:14:41 --> 00:14:44 Force. What was not said, what the

00:14:44 --> 00:14:47 systems are, how many there are, where they

00:14:47 --> 00:14:49 are, when they got there, or what they can

00:14:49 --> 00:14:50 actually do.

00:14:51 --> 00:14:53 Avery: Did anyone define the term?

00:14:53 --> 00:14:55 Anna: A Space Force spokesperson did, and the

00:14:55 --> 00:14:58 definition is broad. Space control, they

00:14:58 --> 00:15:01 said, encapsulates the mission areas required

00:15:01 --> 00:15:03 to contest and control the space domain,

00:15:03 --> 00:15:06 employing kinetic and non kinetic means to

00:15:06 --> 00:15:08 affect adversary capabilities through

00:15:08 --> 00:15:11 disruption, degradation and if

00:15:11 --> 00:15:13 necessary, destruction. So that covers

00:15:13 --> 00:15:16 everything from M jamming a signal to

00:15:16 --> 00:15:18 physically destroying a satellite. And the

00:15:18 --> 00:15:20 statement doesn't tell us where on that

00:15:20 --> 00:15:22 spectrum these systems sit.

00:15:22 --> 00:15:23 Avery: Why say it now?

00:15:23 --> 00:15:26 Anna: That question got answered the following day.

00:15:26 --> 00:15:29 General Douglas Schies, the Chief of Space

00:15:29 --> 00:15:32 Operations, said on Tuesday, I think it

00:15:32 --> 00:15:34 was time that within the Department of War we

00:15:34 --> 00:15:37 talked about it and it's time to talk about

00:15:37 --> 00:15:39 that. We have the capabilities to make sure

00:15:39 --> 00:15:42 that we can do what the Joint Force needs. He

00:15:42 --> 00:15:44 attributed the decision to advances by China

00:15:44 --> 00:15:47 and Russia in anti satellite capability

00:15:47 --> 00:15:49 and said the United States needed to be able

00:15:49 --> 00:15:52 to respond from a position of strength.

00:15:52 --> 00:15:54 Avery: How is that being read?

00:15:54 --> 00:15:57 Anna: Two ways, and I think both are worth hearing.

00:15:57 --> 00:15:59 The deterrence reading is that capability.

00:16:00 --> 00:16:03 Nobody knows about deters. Nobody. That if

00:16:03 --> 00:16:05 the point of a weapon is to make an adversary

00:16:05 --> 00:16:08 decide not to act, the adversary has to

00:16:08 --> 00:16:11 know it exists on that reading. Saying it

00:16:11 --> 00:16:13 out loud is the whole function. The arms

00:16:13 --> 00:16:15 control reading is that public acknowledgment

00:16:15 --> 00:16:18 by the largest space power lowers the

00:16:18 --> 00:16:20 threshold for everyone else, invites

00:16:20 --> 00:16:23 reciprocal declarations and makes the orbital

00:16:23 --> 00:16:26 environment more contested rather than less,

00:16:26 --> 00:16:28 with debris as the physical consequence that

00:16:28 --> 00:16:30 outlives any particular dispute.

00:16:31 --> 00:16:33 Avery: And debris is where this touches us.

00:16:33 --> 00:16:36 Anna: That's the part I'd hold onto. We covered US

00:16:36 --> 00:16:39 Space Command's Apollo manoeuvres exercise

00:16:39 --> 00:16:41 last week. The first live fly orbital

00:16:41 --> 00:16:43 manoeuvre drill with allies including

00:16:43 --> 00:16:46 Australia, under Operation Olympic Defender.

00:16:46 --> 00:16:48 Australia has its own Defence Space Command

00:16:48 --> 00:16:51 and we're part of that framework. But

00:16:51 --> 00:16:53 whatever anybody's strategic view, kinetic

00:16:53 --> 00:16:56 action in low Earth orbit produces debris,

00:16:56 --> 00:16:59 and debris doesn't respect flags. Every

00:16:59 --> 00:17:02 fragment is a hazard to every satellite and

00:17:02 --> 00:17:05 in the long run, to the sky above every

00:17:05 --> 00:17:07 observatory on the ground. We'll keep

00:17:07 --> 00:17:09 reporting this one factually as it develops.

00:17:10 --> 00:17:12 The conference is still running as we record.

00:17:13 --> 00:17:15 Avery: Lets finish the news with something that made

00:17:15 --> 00:17:18 me grin. The Vera Rubin Observatory

00:17:18 --> 00:17:20 has found a globular cluster in our own

00:17:20 --> 00:17:23 galaxy that nobody had ever catalogued.

00:17:23 --> 00:17:26 Anna: In our own galaxy in 2026,

00:17:27 --> 00:17:27 in

00:17:27 --> 00:17:30 Avery: our own galaxy in 2026.

00:17:30 --> 00:17:33 The paper went up on Monday. Lead author

00:17:33 --> 00:17:35 Ashay Pai with William Cerny,

00:17:35 --> 00:17:38 Andrew Pace, Alex Drlica, Wagner and

00:17:38 --> 00:17:40 colleagues across Chicago, Yale,

00:17:41 --> 00:17:43 Dartmouth, Washington and Colorado.

00:17:43 --> 00:17:46 They've named it Rubin GC1. And they

00:17:46 --> 00:17:49 found it in Rubin's early data preview too.

00:17:49 --> 00:17:52 Not even the survey proper. The preview.

00:17:52 --> 00:17:53 Anna: Where was it hiding?

00:17:54 --> 00:17:57 Avery: In the worst possible direction, towards the

00:17:57 --> 00:17:59 galactic bulge. You're looking through the

00:17:59 --> 00:18:02 thickest dust in the galaxy at a field so

00:18:02 --> 00:18:04 crowded with foreground stars that a faint

00:18:04 --> 00:18:07 clump is statistically invisible. Trying to

00:18:07 --> 00:18:09 pick out something that isn't bright to begin

00:18:09 --> 00:18:09 with.

00:18:10 --> 00:18:12 Anna: So it's in the bulge?

00:18:12 --> 00:18:15 Avery: No. And this is the lovely bit. It's

00:18:15 --> 00:18:18 behind it. Rubin GC1 is

00:18:18 --> 00:18:21 about 31 kiloparsecs away. Call it

00:18:21 --> 00:18:24 a hundred thousand light years. That puts it

00:18:24 --> 00:18:26 out in the Milky Way's halo, seen through the

00:18:26 --> 00:18:29 bulge. A, uh, halo object sitting in the most

00:18:29 --> 00:18:31 confusing line of sight we have.

00:18:31 --> 00:18:32 Anna: What is it physically?

00:18:33 --> 00:18:36 Avery: Small and old, half light radius around

00:18:36 --> 00:18:38 5 parsecs. A compact little ball,

00:18:39 --> 00:18:42 absolute magnitude about minus 2.4,

00:18:42 --> 00:18:45 which is faint for a globular. The authors

00:18:45 --> 00:18:47 place it in the faint tail of the globular

00:18:47 --> 00:18:50 cluster. Luminosity function age

00:18:50 --> 00:18:52 about 9.2 billion years.

00:18:52 --> 00:18:54 Moderately metal poor.

00:18:54 --> 00:18:57 Anna: And where did it come from?

00:18:57 --> 00:19:00 Avery: This is my favourite part. They took Gaia's

00:19:00 --> 00:19:03 third day to release proper motions, measured

00:19:03 --> 00:19:05 how the cluster is actually moving through

00:19:05 --> 00:19:08 space and ran the phase space modelling

00:19:08 --> 00:19:10 backwards. The answer that comes out is that

00:19:10 --> 00:19:13 Rubin GC1 was very probably

00:19:13 --> 00:19:15 stripped from the Sagittarius dwarf

00:19:15 --> 00:19:17 spheroidal galaxy, one of the small

00:19:17 --> 00:19:20 galaxies the Milky Way is currently eating.

00:19:21 --> 00:19:23 So it isn't ours originally.

00:19:23 --> 00:19:25 Anna: It's spoils that needs

00:19:25 --> 00:19:26 spectroscopy to confirm.

00:19:26 --> 00:19:29 Avery: Presumably it does, and the

00:19:29 --> 00:19:32 authors say so. That's the next beat,

00:19:32 --> 00:19:34 along with the fact that this is early

00:19:34 --> 00:19:36 preview data, not the full survey.

00:19:36 --> 00:19:39 But step back, because there's a pattern

00:19:39 --> 00:19:41 here. We have now hit four times in a month.

00:19:42 --> 00:19:44 M M74 turned out to be more than twice

00:19:44 --> 00:19:47 its catalogue size. Magnetars

00:19:47 --> 00:19:50 turned out to be half of all neutron stars,

00:19:50 --> 00:19:53 rather than 1%. Mercury turned

00:19:53 --> 00:19:55 out to have shrunk up to 30% more than we

00:19:55 --> 00:19:58 thought. And now a globular cluster a

00:19:58 --> 00:20:00 hundred thousand light years away turns out

00:20:00 --> 00:20:02 to have been sitting in our catalogue's blind

00:20:02 --> 00:20:04 spot the whole time.

00:20:04 --> 00:20:07 Anna: Catalogues are detection limits, not

00:20:07 --> 00:20:08 censuses.

00:20:08 --> 00:20:11 Avery: That's the line and it keeps being true.

00:20:12 --> 00:20:14 This cluster wasn't missing because it's far

00:20:14 --> 00:20:17 away. Plenty of catalogued globulars are.

00:20:17 --> 00:20:20 Further, it was missing because it's faint

00:20:20 --> 00:20:22 and behind dust and, and in a crowded

00:20:22 --> 00:20:25 direction. Three handicaps stacked on

00:20:25 --> 00:20:28 each other. Ruben removed enough of the first

00:20:28 --> 00:20:29 to overcome the other two.

00:20:30 --> 00:20:32 Anna: And Ruben is on Cerro Pachon in

00:20:32 --> 00:20:35 Avery: Chile in our half of the sky.

00:20:35 --> 00:20:37 And two names on that author list are, uh,

00:20:38 --> 00:20:40 old friends of this programme. Nora Shipp

00:20:40 --> 00:20:43 was on the Stellar Streams paper we led with

00:20:43 --> 00:20:46 on the 7th. Alex Drelika Wagner

00:20:46 --> 00:20:48 is a dark energy survey scientist. Which

00:20:48 --> 00:20:50 ties straight back to Monday.

00:20:51 --> 00:20:53 Same small community, same southern

00:20:53 --> 00:20:55 telescopes. Three different questions.

00:20:56 --> 00:20:59 Anna: We've ended three recent leads with wait for

00:20:59 --> 00:20:59 Rubin.

00:21:00 --> 00:21:03 Avery: Stellar Streams, the Trans Neptunian Objects

00:21:03 --> 00:21:05 and Monday's dark energy result.

00:21:06 --> 00:21:08 This is the first instalment on that promise

00:21:08 --> 00:21:10 and it came out of a data preview.

00:21:11 --> 00:21:13 Rubin hasn't really started yet.

00:21:14 --> 00:21:16 Anna: Next up, a quick hit. And it's an update to

00:21:16 --> 00:21:18 something we left unresolved Yesterday.

00:21:19 --> 00:21:21 Starship Flight 14 has a firm date.

00:21:22 --> 00:21:24 Finally, finally.

00:21:24 --> 00:21:26 Yesterday we had to carry two dates and a

00:21:26 --> 00:21:28 caveat. An FAA advisory showing the

00:21:28 --> 00:21:31 18th reporting pointing to the 22nd

00:21:31 --> 00:21:33 and no formal word from SpaceX.

00:21:34 --> 00:21:36 SpaceX has now published and the FAA has

00:21:36 --> 00:21:39 cleared it. Tuesday the 22nd of September.

00:21:40 --> 00:21:43 Uh, a 75 minute window opening at 8:15 in the

00:21:43 --> 00:21:46 morning Eastern. That's 12:15 UTC

00:21:46 --> 00:21:48 and 10 past 10 in the evening Sydney time on

00:21:48 --> 00:21:49 the 22nd.

00:21:49 --> 00:21:51 Avery: And um, this is the orbital one.

00:21:52 --> 00:21:55 Anna: This is the orbital one six orbits at about

00:21:55 --> 00:21:58 275 kilometres then

00:21:58 --> 00:22:00 splash down in the Pacific west of Chile

00:22:01 --> 00:22:03 roughly 10 hours after launch. So this flight

00:22:03 --> 00:22:06 ends in our half of the world. The payload is

00:22:06 --> 00:22:09 26 Starlink V3 satellites, the

00:22:09 --> 00:22:11 first flight of the next generation

00:22:11 --> 00:22:13 satellites designed specifically for

00:22:13 --> 00:22:13 starship.

00:22:14 --> 00:22:16 And three of them carry cameras to photograph

00:22:16 --> 00:22:18 the ship's heat shield during re entry.

00:22:18 --> 00:22:21 Booster Gulf splashdown about seven

00:22:21 --> 00:22:24 minutes after liftoff. And confirming what we

00:22:24 --> 00:22:27 corrected on air back on the 12th. No tower

00:22:27 --> 00:22:29 catches on this flight for either stage.

00:22:30 --> 00:22:32 SpaceX's framing is that going to orbit is

00:22:32 --> 00:22:34 what unlocks the next phase.

00:22:35 --> 00:22:37 Their line is that by going to orbit, the

00:22:37 --> 00:22:39 work of making starship fully and rapidly

00:22:39 --> 00:22:40 reusable can begin.

00:22:41 --> 00:22:44 Avery: And that brings us to the sky. And this is

00:22:44 --> 00:22:45 a good week in it.

00:22:45 --> 00:22:47 Anna: Start with tonight, because tonight is lovely

00:22:47 --> 00:22:50 and it's free. Go out at dusk and find the

00:22:50 --> 00:22:53 moon, a waxing crescent about a quarter lit,

00:22:53 --> 00:22:56 five days old. Sitting right beside it is

00:22:56 --> 00:22:58 Antares, the red heart of Scorpius.

00:22:59 --> 00:23:02 How close from Sydney? Two and a half

00:23:02 --> 00:23:04 degrees apart at nautical dusk and both of

00:23:04 --> 00:23:07 them about 60 degrees up. A pairing you can

00:23:07 --> 00:23:09 cover with two fingers at arm's length.

00:23:09 --> 00:23:12 Sitting high overhead From Los Angeles,

00:23:12 --> 00:23:14 five and a half degrees apart and 18 degrees

00:23:14 --> 00:23:17 up. From New York, nearly seven degrees

00:23:17 --> 00:23:19 apart and 12 degrees up.

00:23:19 --> 00:23:22 Avery: Same sky, wildly different view.

00:23:23 --> 00:23:25 Anna: Same sky, same night. And it's the

00:23:25 --> 00:23:27 ecliptic tilt we talked about yesterday.

00:23:28 --> 00:23:30 Around the September equinox, the ecliptic

00:23:30 --> 00:23:32 stands up almost vertically from the western

00:23:32 --> 00:23:34 horizon at dusk in the southern hemisphere

00:23:34 --> 00:23:37 and lies down almost flat in the northern.

00:23:38 --> 00:23:40 Everything on that line, the Moon,

00:23:40 --> 00:23:43 Venus. Mercury rides high and

00:23:43 --> 00:23:46 lingers in the south and hugs the horizon in

00:23:46 --> 00:23:49 the north. In March, it reverses and

00:23:49 --> 00:23:50 the north gets the good version.

00:23:51 --> 00:23:52 Avery: Which brings us to Venus.

00:23:52 --> 00:23:55 Anna: And, um, Friday, Friday the 18th,

00:23:55 --> 00:23:58 Venus reaches greatest brilliancy, about

00:23:58 --> 00:24:01 magnitude -4.8, the brightest it

00:24:01 --> 00:24:04 gets in this evening apparition. And the

00:24:04 --> 00:24:05 reason is worth understanding because it's

00:24:05 --> 00:24:08 counterintuitive. Venus is not brightest when

00:24:08 --> 00:24:09 it's fullest.

00:24:10 --> 00:24:10 Avery: Go on.

00:24:11 --> 00:24:13 Anna: Right now, Venus is a Crescent, only about

00:24:13 --> 00:24:16 26% lit, but it's swinging in towards

00:24:16 --> 00:24:19 us. So its disc has swollen to about 39

00:24:19 --> 00:24:22 arcseconds across. Enormous as

00:24:22 --> 00:24:25 planets go. Brightness depends on the total

00:24:25 --> 00:24:27 illuminated area, which is the lit fraction

00:24:27 --> 00:24:30 multiplied by the size of the disc. As Venus

00:24:30 --> 00:24:33 approaches, the crescent thins, but the disc

00:24:33 --> 00:24:36 grows. And the product of those two peaks,

00:24:36 --> 00:24:39 right about now, a thin crescent that's very

00:24:39 --> 00:24:41 big beats a full disc that's very small.

00:24:42 --> 00:24:45 Avery: And at, uh, 39 arcseconds, you can actually

00:24:45 --> 00:24:46 see the crescent.

00:24:46 --> 00:24:49 Anna: You, you can steady a pair of binoculars

00:24:49 --> 00:24:51 against a fence post or a wall, and Venus

00:24:51 --> 00:24:54 resolves into a crescent rather than a dot.

00:24:54 --> 00:24:56 That's a genuinely startling thing to show

00:24:56 --> 00:24:59 somebody who has never looked where and when

00:25:00 --> 00:25:02 west after sunset. And the two hemispheres

00:25:02 --> 00:25:05 get very different deals. From Sydney, Venus

00:25:05 --> 00:25:08 stands nearly 40 degree high at sunset and

00:25:08 --> 00:25:10 sets about three and a quarter hours after

00:25:10 --> 00:25:13 the sun. You cannot miss it. From Los

00:25:13 --> 00:25:15 Angeles, it sets about an hour and 20 minutes

00:25:15 --> 00:25:17 after the sun. From New York, about an hour

00:25:17 --> 00:25:19 and five. So for, uh, our North American

00:25:19 --> 00:25:22 listeners, and you are our largest audience,

00:25:22 --> 00:25:25 the honest advice is look low in the west

00:25:25 --> 00:25:28 20 to 45 minutes after sunset with a clear

00:25:28 --> 00:25:31 horizon, it's bright enough to punch through

00:25:31 --> 00:25:33 twilight. You just need to be looking at the

00:25:33 --> 00:25:35 right time without a building in the way.

00:25:36 --> 00:25:38 Avery: There's a southern only bonus this week, too.

00:25:39 --> 00:25:41 Anna: Mercury magnitude

00:25:41 --> 00:25:44 -0.4, which is bright, but only

00:25:44 --> 00:25:46 16 degrees from the sun, which is awful.

00:25:47 --> 00:25:49 From Sydney, the steep ecliptic rescues it

00:25:49 --> 00:25:52 15 degrees up at sunset, setting more than an

00:25:52 --> 00:25:55 hour after the Sun. From London, it's three

00:25:55 --> 00:25:58 degrees up and effectively unobservable same

00:25:58 --> 00:26:01 planet, same brightness. A real target in

00:26:01 --> 00:26:02 the south and a non event in the north.

00:26:03 --> 00:26:04 Avery: Saturn.

00:26:04 --> 00:26:07 Anna: Saturn is everybody's. It rises about an hour

00:26:07 --> 00:26:10 and a quarter after sunset from Sydney and

00:26:10 --> 00:26:12 under an hour after sunset from New York, Los

00:26:12 --> 00:26:15 Angeles and London. So from anywhere it's

00:26:15 --> 00:26:17 well placed by full dark and stays up all

00:26:17 --> 00:26:20 night. Magnitude around 0.3

00:26:20 --> 00:26:23 disc just under 20 arc seconds. Rings about

00:26:23 --> 00:26:26 7 degrees open heading for opposition on the

00:26:26 --> 00:26:27 4th of October.

00:26:27 --> 00:26:29 If you have a telescope, this is

00:26:29 --> 00:26:32 Avery: the month moon phase for the weekend.

00:26:32 --> 00:26:34 Anna: First quarter on Friday the 18th at

00:26:34 --> 00:26:37 2043 UTC, which is

00:26:37 --> 00:26:40 Saturday morning 27 in Sydney.

00:26:40 --> 00:26:43 And that timing is not an accident because

00:26:43 --> 00:26:45 Saturday the 19th is international observe

00:26:45 --> 00:26:47 the Moon, uh, night. NASA is running public

00:26:47 --> 00:26:50 events and observatories and astronomy clubs

00:26:50 --> 00:26:51 around the world will be too.

00:26:52 --> 00:26:54 Avery: Why first quarter specifically?

00:26:54 --> 00:26:57 Anna: Because a full moon is the worst moon.

00:26:57 --> 00:26:59 At full the sunlight comes straight down and

00:26:59 --> 00:27:02 everything looks flat and washed out. At

00:27:02 --> 00:27:05 first quarter, the terminator, the line

00:27:05 --> 00:27:08 between lit and unlit runs down the middle of

00:27:08 --> 00:27:10 the disc and along that line the sun is low

00:27:10 --> 00:27:13 and every crater rim and mountain throws a

00:27:13 --> 00:27:15 long black shadow. The Moon looks three

00:27:15 --> 00:27:16 dimensional.

00:27:17 --> 00:27:19 That's what you want to show somebody. And

00:27:19 --> 00:27:21 that's why the date moves each year to land

00:27:21 --> 00:27:22 near first quarter.

00:27:23 --> 00:27:25 Avery: And the pre dawn sky belongs to the north.

00:27:25 --> 00:27:28 Anna: This week it does. And that's a fair trade

00:27:28 --> 00:27:30 for Venus. Mars and Jupiter are both in the

00:27:30 --> 00:27:33 east before sunrise. From Los Angeles

00:27:33 --> 00:27:36 and New York, Mars is 45 to 47

00:27:36 --> 00:27:39 degrees up at nautical dawn with

00:27:39 --> 00:27:41 Jupiter about 24 degrees below it.

00:27:42 --> 00:27:44 A comfortable civilised pairing.

00:27:45 --> 00:27:47 From Sydney, Mars is 20 degrees up and

00:27:47 --> 00:27:50 Jupiter is a struggle at 8. Jupiter

00:27:50 --> 00:27:52 is the bright one at minus 1.7.

00:27:53 --> 00:27:56 Mars the modest orange dot at plus

00:27:56 --> 00:27:58 1.2. And they're closing

00:27:59 --> 00:28:02 24 degrees apart this morning, about 12

00:28:02 --> 00:28:05 by mid October and just 2 degrees apart by

00:28:05 --> 00:28:07 the middle of November. Put that in your

00:28:07 --> 00:28:09 calendar now, zodiacal light

00:28:10 --> 00:28:12 standing item. And the Moon is out of the way

00:28:12 --> 00:28:15 again after the 26th. For from the southern

00:28:15 --> 00:28:17 hemisphere it's a faint cone in the west

00:28:17 --> 00:28:19 after full dark.

00:28:19 --> 00:28:22 The false dusk from the northern hemisphere

00:28:22 --> 00:28:24 it's the same cone in the east before dawn,

00:28:24 --> 00:28:27 the false dawn, same dust, same

00:28:27 --> 00:28:30 tilt. Opposite ends of the night running

00:28:30 --> 00:28:33 through to early November. You need a dark

00:28:33 --> 00:28:34 sight and patience.

00:28:34 --> 00:28:37 Avery: And um, the equinox next Wednesday.

00:28:37 --> 00:28:39 Anna: And this is the clarification we made

00:28:39 --> 00:28:41 yesterday, and I wanna keep making the

00:28:41 --> 00:28:44 September equinox is a single instant five

00:28:44 --> 00:28:47 minutes past midnight UTC on the 23rd,

00:28:47 --> 00:28:49 which means it falls on the evening of the

00:28:49 --> 00:28:52 22nd across the Americas and mid morning

00:28:52 --> 00:28:54 on the 23rd in Australia.

00:28:54 --> 00:28:57 An equinox is a moment, not a day,

00:28:57 --> 00:29:00 and which calendar date it lands on depends

00:29:00 --> 00:29:01 entirely on where you're standing

00:29:02 --> 00:29:05 Avery: and the safety line, which we never cut.

00:29:05 --> 00:29:08 Anna: Never. But with Venus this bright, some of

00:29:08 --> 00:29:09 you will want to try to find it in broad

00:29:09 --> 00:29:12 daylight. And you can. It's genuinely doable,

00:29:13 --> 00:29:16 but you must do it safely. Do not sweep the

00:29:16 --> 00:29:18 daytime sky with binoculars or a telescope.

00:29:18 --> 00:29:21 Hunting for Venus One accidental pass

00:29:21 --> 00:29:24 across the sun at that magnification and the

00:29:24 --> 00:29:26 damage to your eye is instant and permanent.

00:29:26 --> 00:29:29 Use a building or a wall to physically block

00:29:29 --> 00:29:31 the sun from your field of view before you

00:29:31 --> 00:29:33 start and know where Venus is before you

00:29:33 --> 00:29:36 look. And if you have any eclipse glasses

00:29:36 --> 00:29:38 left over from August, those are for looking

00:29:38 --> 00:29:39 at the sun only.

00:29:39 --> 00:29:41 They must carry the

00:29:41 --> 00:29:43 ISO12312

00:29:44 --> 00:29:47 certification and they must be undamaged.

00:29:47 --> 00:29:49 Never look at the sun through any optics

00:29:49 --> 00:29:52 without proper solar filtration fitted at the

00:29:52 --> 00:29:54 front. Your eyes do not grow back.

00:29:55 --> 00:29:57 Avery: That's Astronomy daily for Wednesday

00:29:57 --> 00:29:58 16th September.

00:29:59 --> 00:30:02 Anna: Roman's wide field instrument is alive. It it

00:30:02 --> 00:30:04 has seen its first starlight and it has fuel

00:30:04 --> 00:30:07 for 22 years instead of 10, which

00:30:07 --> 00:30:09 matters most for the dark energy question an

00:30:09 --> 00:30:11 Australian LED team sharpened on Monday.

00:30:12 --> 00:30:15 Avery: Caltech has cut the solar system's dynamical

00:30:15 --> 00:30:17 lifetime from a billion billion years to

00:30:17 --> 00:30:20 about a billion by pointing out that dying

00:30:20 --> 00:30:22 stars don't lose mass.

00:30:22 --> 00:30:24 Anna: Politely, the United States has said out

00:30:24 --> 00:30:27 loud for the first time that it has weapons

00:30:27 --> 00:30:28 in orbit.

00:30:28 --> 00:30:31 Avery: Rubin has found a globular cluster a hundred

00:30:31 --> 00:30:33 thousand light years away that was hiding

00:30:33 --> 00:30:36 behind dust crowding and its own

00:30:36 --> 00:30:38 faintness. From a data preview

00:30:39 --> 00:30:40 Starship flies on

00:30:40 --> 00:30:42 Anna: the 22nd and Venus is at its brightest

00:30:42 --> 00:30:43 on Friday.

00:30:44 --> 00:30:47 Avery: Show notes, sources and links for every

00:30:47 --> 00:30:50 storey are at astronomydaily IO

00:30:50 --> 00:30:53 and there's a contact form there. We read

00:30:53 --> 00:30:55 everything that comes through it, and

00:30:55 --> 00:30:57 listener questions have driven segments on

00:30:57 --> 00:30:59 this programme more than once.

00:30:59 --> 00:31:02 Anna: You'll find us as astrodaily pod on Social

00:31:02 --> 00:31:04 and Astronomy AstroDailyPod wherever you get

00:31:04 --> 00:31:07 your podcasts. If the show is useful to you,

00:31:07 --> 00:31:09 the single most helpful thing you can do is

00:31:09 --> 00:31:11 tell one other person about it.

00:31:11 --> 00:31:12 Avery: I'm Avery.

00:31:13 --> 00:31:15 Anna: And I'm Anna. Astronomy AstroDailyPod is a

00:31:15 --> 00:31:18 production of the bytes.com podcast network

00:31:18 --> 00:31:21 clear Skies and if you're anywhere near the

00:31:21 --> 00:31:23 west after sunset this week or go and look at

00:31:23 --> 00:31:24 Venus

00:31:27 --> 00:31:27 Avery: mhm.