The Crater Makers: Falcon 9 Hits the Moon Tomorrow | Today’s Space News
Astronomy Daily: Latest Space NewsAugust 04, 2026x
158
00:20:0918.5 MB

The Crater Makers: Falcon 9 Hits the Moon Tomorrow | Today’s Space News

S05E158 — “The Crater Makers” · Tuesday 4 August 2026. Four stories on cosmic impacts — and a new map of the X-ray sky — plus a both-hemispheres skywatch. ① A dead Falcon 9 is about to crater the Moon ● A spent SpaceX Falcon 9 upper stage (catalogued 2025-010D) is predicted to strike the Moon near Einstein Crater on 5 Aug 2026 at ~06:35 UTC — the second documented uncontrolled rocket impact on the Moon. ● The stage launched Firefly’s Blue Ghost and ispace’s Resilience landers in Jan 2025, then was stranded in a chaotic Earth orbit for ~18 months. Impact speed ~2.4 km/s (~5,400 mph); expected crater ~17–27 m across. ● Prediction by Bill Gray (Project Pluto). NASA’s LRO can image the site before and after; a ~two-dozen-author campaign is coordinating observers to chase the ejecta plume. ● Governance angle: no international framework governs cislunar debris — a growing hazard as lunar traffic increases (callback to E154’s distant-retrograde-orbit debris study). Sources: Space.com / Forbes / Reuters (Cris Tolomia) — impact preview, 31 Jul–3 Aug 2026 · Project Pluto (Bill Gray) — 2025-010D impact page · ZME Science — impact timing, 3 Aug 2026 ② Neptune’s inner moons: shrapnel of a shattered world ● JWST NIRSpec spectroscopy of Neptune’s inner moons Larissa, Galatea and Proteus (Caltech; lead author Ryleigh Davis, Mike Brown’s group) detected magnesium-rich phyllosilicates — clay minerals that require liquid water and had never been seen beyond Jupiter. ● The clays imply the material came from much larger, water-bearing worlds — evidence that Neptune’s original regular moon system was destroyed when Triton (a captured Kuiper Belt object) arrived. ● Proteus, the largest of the three, lacks the clays — possibly re-heated and reprocessed after re-forming, hiding its history. Sources: Davis et al., Science Advances, 29 July 2026 · Caltech / phys.org press coverage, 29 Jul–3 Aug 2026 · Space.com (Charles Q. Choi), 3 Aug 2026 ③ “Charbroiled within hours”: impact dust and the dinosaurs ● New modelling (Brandon Johnson et al., Purdue) argues ultrafine impact dust from Chicxulub acted as an insulating blanket, raising surface heating ~3.5× above the spherule-only estimate — enough to ignite global wildfires and kill exposed animals within hours. ● The same dust then blocked sunlight for years — so the model adds a ferocious opening act to the established “impact winter,” rather than replacing it. Sheltering underground or underwater aided survival. ● Caveat: the strongest physical wildfire evidence is so far confined to North America (per UCL’s Alfio Chiarenza, not involved in the study); a truly global fire record remains unconfirmed. Sources: Johnson, Johnson, Wakita & Robertson, JGR: Biogeosciences, 2026 · Popular Science / Space.com / ZME Science, 28 Jul–2 Aug 2026 ④ eROSITA DR2 — the X-ray sky doubles ● The eROSITA telescope (SRG mission) released its second data set (DR2) on 31 July 2026: ~1.9 million pointlike and ~64,000 extended X-ray sources from the first three all-sky scans — nearly doubling the previously released eROSITA catalogue. ● For scale: ROSAT catalogued ~130,000 sources in the 1990s and was the benchmark for 30 years. Lead author: Miriam Ramos-Ceja (MPE). ● DR2 delivers the first direct census of cataclysmic-variable binaries sufficient to explain the decades-old Galactic Ridge X-ray Emission. It coincides with SDSS DR20 (Black Hole Mapper), enabling 3D mapping of active black holes. Sources: Ramos-Ceja et al. (eROSITA-DE), arXiv:2607.27772; DR2 release · Max Planck Society press release, 29 July 2026 · phys.org, 31 Jul 2026 Skywatch — both hemispheres ● Falcon 9 impact (5 Aug, ~06:35 UTC): not naked-eye; ejecta plume a long shot for advanced amateurs in the Americas near the western limb (~2:35 a.m. EDT). Sydney: Moon below horizon — watch for LRO after-images. ● Comet 10P/Tempel 2: perihelion 2 Aug, closest to Earth 3 Aug (~0.41 AU); ~mag 8–9 near M30 in Capricornus. Best return of the century; Southern-Hemisphere-favoured; Northern viewers low on the southern horizon. Darkest window ~7–8 Aug. ● This evening: Venus threads between Regulus (Leo) and Spica (Virgo) in the west — both hemispheres, no equipment. Mercury at its best morning showing (greatest western elongation 2 Aug), low in the pre-dawn east. ● Diary — 12 Aug: total solar eclipse (Greenland/Iceland/Spain), moonless Perseid peak, six-planet alignment. Always use certified ISO 12312-2 eclipse glasses / solar filters except during totality.

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/astronomy-daily-latest-space-news--5648921/support.

Sponsor Details:
Ensure your online privacy by using NordVPN. To get our special listener deal and save a lot of money, visit www.astronomydaily.io/nordvpn. You'll be glad you did!

Get the best secure and private email on the planet. Stop your Government, google and who knows who else spying on every email you write. Do what we did and use ProtonMail. They beleive in privacy and there are no ads in their business model...yet they still provide a free forever service. Check them out and get out special deal at www.astronomydaily.io/protonmail

Become a supporter of Astronomy Daily by joining our Supporters Club. Commercial free episodes daily are only a click way... Click Here

This episode includes AI-generated content.


00:00:01 --> 00:00:03 Anna: Sometime tomorrow morning, a piece of a

00:00:03 --> 00:00:06 rocket that has been lost in space for a year

00:00:06 --> 00:00:09 and a half is going to hit the moon and dig

00:00:09 --> 00:00:11 a brand new crater into a world that has kept

00:00:11 --> 00:00:13 its scars for 4 billion years.

00:00:14 --> 00:00:17 Avery: No one planned it, no one can stop it. And a

00:00:17 --> 00:00:19 small army of astronomers have set their

00:00:19 --> 00:00:21 alarms to watch and good

00:00:21 --> 00:00:23 Anna: day and welcome to Astronomy Daily. I'm

00:00:23 --> 00:00:24 Anna.

00:00:24 --> 00:00:27 Avery: And I'm Avery. Today is all about impacts.

00:00:27 --> 00:00:29 The ones we make and the ones the universe

00:00:29 --> 00:00:30 made long before us.

00:00:30 --> 00:00:33 Anna: A dead Falcon nine about to punch the moon.

00:00:33 --> 00:00:36 The asteroid that may have charbroiled the

00:00:36 --> 00:00:39 dinosaurs. Within hours, the ancient smash

00:00:39 --> 00:00:41 up that shattered Neptune's moons. And then

00:00:41 --> 00:00:44 to zoom right out, a new map that just

00:00:44 --> 00:00:45 doubled the X ray sky.

00:00:46 --> 00:00:48 Avery: Plus a uh, both hemisphere skywatch with a

00:00:48 --> 00:00:51 genuinely special comet in it. Let's get into

00:00:51 --> 00:00:51 it.

00:00:52 --> 00:00:54 Anna: So let's start with the story everyone will

00:00:54 --> 00:00:57 be talking about tomorrow. Early on Wednesday

00:00:57 --> 00:01:00 5 August, at about 06:35

00:01:00 --> 00:01:03 Universal Time, a spent upper stage of a

00:01:03 --> 00:01:05 SpaceX Falcon 9 is going to slam into

00:01:05 --> 00:01:08 the far western edge of the Moon's near side,

00:01:09 --> 00:01:11 close to a feature called Einstein Crater.

00:01:11 --> 00:01:14 Avery: And um, this isn't a controlled landing gone

00:01:14 --> 00:01:17 wrong. This is a genuinely derelict object.

00:01:17 --> 00:01:19 Space junk finally running out of road.

00:01:20 --> 00:01:23 Anna: Exactly. Let's rewind back.

00:01:23 --> 00:01:25 In January 2025 a Falcon

00:01:25 --> 00:01:28 9 launched from Kennedy Space center carrying

00:01:28 --> 00:01:31 two moon bound Firefly's

00:01:31 --> 00:01:34 Blee Ghost which went on to land beautifully,

00:01:34 --> 00:01:36 and Ispace's resilience which

00:01:36 --> 00:01:39 sadly didn't survive its own touchdown.

00:01:39 --> 00:01:42 The landers separated and went on their way.

00:01:42 --> 00:01:45 But the rocket's upper stage, the big

00:01:45 --> 00:01:47 second stage tube that does the final push,

00:01:48 --> 00:01:50 was left stranded, too high to

00:01:50 --> 00:01:52 Avery: fall straight back to Earth, too slow to

00:01:52 --> 00:01:55 escape cleanly. So it just wandered

00:01:55 --> 00:01:56 for about 18

00:01:56 --> 00:01:59 Anna: months in a long chaotic loop shaped

00:01:59 --> 00:02:02 by the tug of the Earth, the Moon, the sun

00:02:02 --> 00:02:05 and even the faint pressure of sunlight

00:02:05 --> 00:02:08 itself. It's cataloged unglamorously

00:02:08 --> 00:02:10 as 2025010

00:02:11 --> 00:02:13 D. And an independent astronomer named

00:02:13 --> 00:02:16 Bill Gray, who runs the tracking project

00:02:16 --> 00:02:18 Project Pluto, has been following it the

00:02:18 --> 00:02:19 whole way.

00:02:19 --> 00:02:21 Avery: This is the same Bill Gray who called the

00:02:21 --> 00:02:22 last one, isn't it?

00:02:22 --> 00:02:25 Anna: It is. A few years back he identified

00:02:25 --> 00:02:28 another derelict stage on a lunar collision

00:02:28 --> 00:02:30 course. This is his second and around

00:02:30 --> 00:02:33 March, watching the numbers tighten, he

00:02:33 --> 00:02:35 realized this one wasn't going to be a near

00:02:35 --> 00:02:37 miss. It was going to connect.

00:02:38 --> 00:02:40 Avery: So give us the ballistics. How hard does a

00:02:40 --> 00:02:41 thing like this hit?

00:02:41 --> 00:02:44 Anna: It's roughly a four ton object, about

00:02:44 --> 00:02:47 a 12 meter metal tube arriving at

00:02:47 --> 00:02:49 something like two and a half kilometers a

00:02:49 --> 00:02:52 second. That's about 5

00:02:52 --> 00:02:55 miles an hour, comfortably faster than a

00:02:55 --> 00:02:57 rifle bullet. The energy release is on the

00:02:57 --> 00:03:00 order of three tons of tnt.

00:03:00 --> 00:03:01 Avery: And um, what does that carve out?

00:03:02 --> 00:03:04 Anna: Best estimates put the new crater somewhere

00:03:04 --> 00:03:07 between about 17 and 27

00:03:07 --> 00:03:10 meters across and a few meters deep,

00:03:10 --> 00:03:13 small on a lunar scale. But here's the thing

00:03:13 --> 00:03:15 that has scientists genuinely excited.

00:03:16 --> 00:03:18 We will know almost to the second and to

00:03:18 --> 00:03:21 within a few kilometers exactly when

00:03:21 --> 00:03:24 and where a known object of known mass

00:03:24 --> 00:03:27 and known speed hit. That's an

00:03:27 --> 00:03:30 extraordinarily rare natural experiment

00:03:30 --> 00:03:30 because

00:03:30 --> 00:03:33 Avery: normally a fresh moon crater just appears.

00:03:33 --> 00:03:34 And you're working backwards.

00:03:35 --> 00:03:37 Anna: Right here we get to work forwards.

00:03:37 --> 00:03:40 NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter can

00:03:40 --> 00:03:43 photograph the site before and after. And

00:03:43 --> 00:03:45 because Bill Gray can hand the orbiter team a

00:03:45 --> 00:03:48 pinpoint, they'll know precisely where to

00:03:48 --> 00:03:51 look for the new scar. That before and after

00:03:51 --> 00:03:53 pair is gold for understanding how

00:03:53 --> 00:03:56 craters actually form and how the lunar

00:03:56 --> 00:03:58 surface throws material around.

00:03:58 --> 00:04:00 Avery: And um, there's a whole observing campaign

00:04:00 --> 00:04:01 around it too.

00:04:01 --> 00:04:03 Anna: I gather there is a paper with

00:04:03 --> 00:04:06 something like two dozen authors is

00:04:06 --> 00:04:08 coordinating professional and amateur

00:04:08 --> 00:04:10 observers to try and catch the ejecta

00:04:10 --> 00:04:13 plume, the spray of debris thrown up at the

00:04:13 --> 00:04:16 moment of impact. Now I want to be careful

00:04:16 --> 00:04:18 here because this feeds straight into our

00:04:18 --> 00:04:21 sky. Watch later. You are not going to see a

00:04:21 --> 00:04:24 flash with your eyes. The impact is on sunlit

00:04:24 --> 00:04:26 ground near the day night line on the Moon's

00:04:26 --> 00:04:29 western limb. The plume is a long shot even

00:04:29 --> 00:04:31 for advanced amateurs with serious

00:04:31 --> 00:04:32 instruments.

00:04:32 --> 00:04:35 Avery: But timing wise, who's best placed?

00:04:35 --> 00:04:38 Anna: Americas north and south? For North

00:04:38 --> 00:04:41 American listeners, it's about 2:35 in the

00:04:41 --> 00:04:44 morning. Eastern pre dawn moon well up in the

00:04:44 --> 00:04:46 west will give Southern hemisphere viewers

00:04:46 --> 00:04:49 the honest picture in the skywatch, because

00:04:49 --> 00:04:51 from here in Sydney, the Moon is actually

00:04:51 --> 00:04:53 below the horizon at impact.

00:04:53 --> 00:04:55 Avery: Ana, uh, can we talk about the uncomfortable

00:04:55 --> 00:04:58 part of this? Because a rocket hitting the

00:04:58 --> 00:05:01 Moon by accident is a great story, but it's

00:05:01 --> 00:05:02 also a warning, isn't it?

00:05:02 --> 00:05:05 Anna: It really is, and I'm glad you raised it.

00:05:05 --> 00:05:07 This is only the second time we've ever

00:05:07 --> 00:05:10 documented an uncontrolled rocket body

00:05:10 --> 00:05:12 hitting the Moon. The first left a pair of

00:05:12 --> 00:05:15 craters on the far side back in 2022.

00:05:15 --> 00:05:18 Two in a few years. And as commercial

00:05:18 --> 00:05:21 lunar traffic ramps up toward permanent Moon

00:05:21 --> 00:05:23 based plans later this decade, the amount of

00:05:23 --> 00:05:26 hardware drifting around in cislunar space,

00:05:26 --> 00:05:29 the region between Earth and the Moon is only

00:05:29 --> 00:05:30 going up.

00:05:30 --> 00:05:33 Avery: And unlike low Earth orbit, there's really no

00:05:33 --> 00:05:35 rulebook out there that's the crux.

00:05:35 --> 00:05:38 Anna: In low Earth orbit, we at least have debris

00:05:38 --> 00:05:41 coordination guidelines for CIS lunar space.

00:05:41 --> 00:05:44 There is no equ international framework,

00:05:44 --> 00:05:47 no agreed way to track, catalog or safely

00:05:47 --> 00:05:50 dispose of these stages. Longtime

00:05:50 --> 00:05:52 listeners will remember we covered a study

00:05:52 --> 00:05:54 just last week on debris in distant

00:05:54 --> 00:05:57 retrograde orbits around the moon and how it

00:05:57 --> 00:06:00 becomes a hazard as traffic grows. This

00:06:00 --> 00:06:03 impact is that abstract worry made

00:06:03 --> 00:06:05 suddenly, literally concrete.

00:06:05 --> 00:06:07 Avery: Interestingly, the industry does seem to be

00:06:07 --> 00:06:10 learning. I read that a more recent SpaceX

00:06:10 --> 00:06:12 upper stage was deliberately parked in a long

00:06:12 --> 00:06:15 term solar orbit rather than left wander.

00:06:15 --> 00:06:18 Anna: That's right. A commercial choice, though not

00:06:18 --> 00:06:21 a regulation. Which is rather the point.

00:06:21 --> 00:06:24 So tomorrow morning, when a lost rocket

00:06:24 --> 00:06:26 finally comes home to the moon, it's worth

00:06:26 --> 00:06:29 holding two thoughts at once. It's a rare

00:06:29 --> 00:06:32 and valuable science opportunity. And it's

00:06:32 --> 00:06:35 a small, bright flag planted on a problem we

00:06:35 --> 00:06:36 haven't solved yet.

00:06:36 --> 00:06:39 Avery: One crater, two lessons. Beautifully put.

00:06:40 --> 00:06:42 Speaking of ancient scars, shall we go and

00:06:42 --> 00:06:44 look at some far older wreckage?

00:06:44 --> 00:06:47 Anna: Let's over to you go out to

00:06:47 --> 00:06:48 Avery: the cold edge of the solar system, to

00:06:48 --> 00:06:51 Neptune, and you find a little family of

00:06:51 --> 00:06:53 small inner moons huddled just outside the

00:06:53 --> 00:06:56 planet's rings. Voyager 2 spotted most of

00:06:56 --> 00:06:58 them on its one and only Flyby back in

00:06:58 --> 00:07:01 1989. And ever since they've been too small

00:07:01 --> 00:07:04 and too far to really study. Until the James

00:07:04 --> 00:07:06 Webb Space Telescope turned its spectrograph

00:07:06 --> 00:07:07 on them.

00:07:07 --> 00:07:10 Anna: And this is a Caltech team, Mike Brown's

00:07:10 --> 00:07:12 group, the Pluto Killer, himself. Led by

00:07:12 --> 00:07:13 Riley Davis?

00:07:14 --> 00:07:17 Avery: The very same. And what they found genuinely

00:07:17 --> 00:07:19 startled them in the light from three of

00:07:19 --> 00:07:22 those moons, Larissa, Galatea and Proteus.

00:07:22 --> 00:07:24 And in the rings, they detected clay

00:07:24 --> 00:07:27 minerals, specifically magnesium rich

00:07:27 --> 00:07:28 phyllosilicates.

00:07:28 --> 00:07:31 Anna: Clay in the outer solar system? Why is

00:07:31 --> 00:07:32 that such a shock?

00:07:33 --> 00:07:35 Avery: Because phyllosilicates had never been seen

00:07:35 --> 00:07:37 anywhere out there beyond Jupiter. And

00:07:37 --> 00:07:40 crucially, clays only form in the presence of

00:07:40 --> 00:07:43 liquid water, as Davis put it. It was

00:07:43 --> 00:07:45 simply not on their list of things to look

00:07:45 --> 00:07:48 for. It hit them in the face. You don't make

00:07:48 --> 00:07:51 these minerals on a tiny cold moonlet. You

00:07:51 --> 00:07:53 make them deep inside a much larger world

00:07:53 --> 00:07:55 with liquid water in its guts.

00:07:55 --> 00:07:57 Anna: Though, uh, the material is telling you it

00:07:57 --> 00:08:00 came from somewhere bigger, somewhere that no

00:08:00 --> 00:08:01 longer exists.

00:08:01 --> 00:08:04 Avery: That's the whole story in one sentence. The

00:08:04 --> 00:08:07 leading explanation is dramatic. Neptune

00:08:07 --> 00:08:09 once had its own orderly system of moons,

00:08:09 --> 00:08:12 much like Uranus does today. And then

00:08:12 --> 00:08:14 Triton arrived.

00:08:14 --> 00:08:17 Anna: Triton being Neptune's giant backwards

00:08:17 --> 00:08:17 orbiting moon.

00:08:18 --> 00:08:20 Avery: Right. And the smoking gun is that

00:08:20 --> 00:08:23 backwards orbit Triton almost certainly

00:08:23 --> 00:08:25 didn't form At Neptune. It's a captured

00:08:25 --> 00:08:28 Kuiper Belt object, a big icy world

00:08:28 --> 00:08:31 that wandered in from further out and got

00:08:31 --> 00:08:34 gravitationally snared. And the process

00:08:34 --> 00:08:36 of capturing something that large would have

00:08:36 --> 00:08:38 been catastrophic for whatever moons were

00:08:38 --> 00:08:40 already there. It would have scattered and

00:08:40 --> 00:08:42 shattered the original family.

00:08:42 --> 00:08:45 Anna: And these little inner moons are the

00:08:45 --> 00:08:48 Avery: reassembled shrapnel rubble from the

00:08:48 --> 00:08:50 interiors of those destroyed worlds

00:08:50 --> 00:08:53 exposed by the smashup. Some of it drifting

00:08:53 --> 00:08:55 back together into the moonlets we see now.

00:08:56 --> 00:08:59 Davis called it, seeing the fingerprints left

00:08:59 --> 00:09:01 behind by that process. There's even a neat

00:09:01 --> 00:09:04 consistency check. The largest of the three,

00:09:04 --> 00:09:07 Proteus, doesn't show the clays. And the

00:09:07 --> 00:09:08 team think it's because it's big enough to

00:09:08 --> 00:09:11 have reheated and reprocess itself after

00:09:11 --> 00:09:14 reforming, hiding its past better than its

00:09:14 --> 00:09:15 smaller siblings.

00:09:15 --> 00:09:18 Anna: That's a lovely detail. The biggest one is

00:09:18 --> 00:09:20 the best at, uh, covering its tracks. And it

00:09:20 --> 00:09:22 ties us right back to the top of the show,

00:09:22 --> 00:09:25 doesn't it? A crater tomorrow, a demolished

00:09:25 --> 00:09:27 moon system billions of years ago. Same

00:09:27 --> 00:09:29 violence, wildly different scale.

00:09:29 --> 00:09:32 Avery: The solar system builds by breaking things.

00:09:33 --> 00:09:35 And it means the next spacecraft we sent out

00:09:35 --> 00:09:37 there and an ice giant mission is a top

00:09:37 --> 00:09:40 priority whenever it happens would be flying

00:09:40 --> 00:09:42 to a, uh, genuine crime scene.

00:09:42 --> 00:09:44 Anna: Now to the most famous impact of them all.

00:09:44 --> 00:09:47 And a new twist on how it actually did its

00:09:47 --> 00:09:50 killing. 66 million years ago, a

00:09:50 --> 00:09:52 roughly 10 kilometer asteroid struck what's

00:09:52 --> 00:09:55 now the Yucatan Peninsula. And the age of the

00:09:55 --> 00:09:57 dinosaurs ended. The long standing picture is

00:09:57 --> 00:10:00 a slow death. Dust and soot blot out the sun.

00:10:00 --> 00:10:03 An impact. Winter sets in, food webs

00:10:03 --> 00:10:05 collapse over months and years.

00:10:05 --> 00:10:08 Avery: The years of darkness story, which is grim

00:10:08 --> 00:10:09 but slow.

00:10:09 --> 00:10:11 Anna: Right? But this new study out of Purdue,

00:10:12 --> 00:10:14 Brandon Johnson and colleagues in the Journal

00:10:14 --> 00:10:16 of Geophysical Research argues the very

00:10:16 --> 00:10:19 first few hours may have been far more brutal

00:10:19 --> 00:10:21 than we thought. Their headline essentially

00:10:21 --> 00:10:24 is that exposed animals could have been

00:10:24 --> 00:10:25 charbroiled within hours.

00:10:26 --> 00:10:28 Avery: Charbroiled being the technical term.

00:10:28 --> 00:10:31 Anna: Fair enough. Here's the mechanism. The

00:10:31 --> 00:10:34 impact vaporized an enormous amount of rock

00:10:34 --> 00:10:36 and flung it skyward. Some of that cooled

00:10:36 --> 00:10:39 into tiny glassy beads, spherules,

00:10:39 --> 00:10:41 which rained back down. And the friction of

00:10:41 --> 00:10:43 all that debris re entering the atmosphere

00:10:43 --> 00:10:46 creates, uh, a global heat pulse. That part

00:10:46 --> 00:10:48 we knew. But earlier models suggested the

00:10:48 --> 00:10:51 heat pulse, while nasty, might not be enough

00:10:51 --> 00:10:53 to set the whole planet alight.

00:10:53 --> 00:10:55 Avery: So what did this team add?

00:10:55 --> 00:10:58 Anna: Dust. Not the beads, the ultra fine

00:10:58 --> 00:11:01 stuff. A huge quantity of rock vapor never

00:11:01 --> 00:11:03 condensed into spherules. It stayed as

00:11:03 --> 00:11:06 microscopic dust high in the atmosphere. And

00:11:06 --> 00:11:08 when they put that dust layer into their

00:11:08 --> 00:11:11 simulations. It acted like an insulating

00:11:11 --> 00:11:13 blanket, trapping the heat from all those

00:11:13 --> 00:11:15 falling particles and radiating it down.

00:11:16 --> 00:11:18 Their number is striking surface heating

00:11:18 --> 00:11:20 about three and a half times more intense

00:11:20 --> 00:11:21 than the beads alone.

00:11:22 --> 00:11:22 Avery: Enough to.

00:11:23 --> 00:11:26 Anna: Enough, they argue, to ignite spontaneous

00:11:26 --> 00:11:28 wildfires around the world and kill

00:11:28 --> 00:11:31 exposed thin skinned animals within the first

00:11:31 --> 00:11:34 hour or two. Johnson's line was that you're

00:11:34 --> 00:11:36 essentially in the realm of killing off

00:11:36 --> 00:11:38 almost everything in that first window.

00:11:38 --> 00:11:40 Avery: So who survived that?

00:11:40 --> 00:11:43 Anna: Uh, exactly the ones you'd guess. Anything

00:11:43 --> 00:11:45 sheltering underground or underwater had a

00:11:45 --> 00:11:48 fighting chance. Which starts to explain the

00:11:48 --> 00:11:50 winners and losers pattern of that

00:11:50 --> 00:11:53 extinction. And then this is the elegant

00:11:53 --> 00:11:56 part. The same dust that cooked the surface

00:11:56 --> 00:11:58 in hour one goes on to block sunlight

00:11:58 --> 00:12:01 for years afterward. So it doesn't replace

00:12:01 --> 00:12:04 the impact winter idea. It bolts a

00:12:04 --> 00:12:06 ferocious opening act onto the front of it.

00:12:07 --> 00:12:09 Avery: I do want to flag the honest caveat though,

00:12:09 --> 00:12:10 please.

00:12:10 --> 00:12:12 Anna: And it's an important one. The clearest

00:12:12 --> 00:12:15 physical evidence for these global wildfires

00:12:15 --> 00:12:18 so far is really only found in North American

00:12:18 --> 00:12:21 rocks. A researcher not involved in the

00:12:21 --> 00:12:23 study, Alfio Chiarenza at University College

00:12:23 --> 00:12:26 London, made the fair point that we may

00:12:26 --> 00:12:29 eventually find a truly global fire record,

00:12:29 --> 00:12:31 but we just don't have it yet. So a

00:12:31 --> 00:12:34 compelling model, strong regional evidence,

00:12:34 --> 00:12:37 and a, uh, genuinely open question about how

00:12:37 --> 00:12:40 planet wide those first hour fires really

00:12:40 --> 00:12:40 were.

00:12:40 --> 00:12:43 Avery: And the Throughline Today show writes itself

00:12:43 --> 00:12:45 the same basic physics that'll carve a modest

00:12:45 --> 00:12:48 hole in the moon tomorrow. Scaled up is what

00:12:48 --> 00:12:49 reset life on Earth.

00:12:50 --> 00:12:53 Okay, moving on. Let's pull all the way back

00:12:53 --> 00:12:55 now from one new crater to nearly 2 million

00:12:56 --> 00:12:58 cosmic objects. The Erocita X ray

00:12:58 --> 00:13:00 telescope on the Spectrum Ringen Gamma

00:13:00 --> 00:13:03 mission has just put out its second big

00:13:03 --> 00:13:05 public data release, Dr. 2 and it is

00:13:05 --> 00:13:08 a genuine landmark for the high energy sky X

00:13:08 --> 00:13:11 Anna: rays, meaning the violent universe.

00:13:11 --> 00:13:13 Avery: The hot stuff, the hot, the violent,

00:13:13 --> 00:13:16 the extreme. Growing black holes,

00:13:16 --> 00:13:19 exploded stars, million degree gas between

00:13:19 --> 00:13:21 galaxies. Erocita scans the entire

00:13:21 --> 00:13:24 sky every six months and this release stacks

00:13:24 --> 00:13:26 the first three of those all sky scans

00:13:26 --> 00:13:29 together. The result, around 1.9

00:13:29 --> 00:13:32 million point like sources, things like stars

00:13:32 --> 00:13:34 and supermassive black holes, plus about

00:13:34 --> 00:13:37 64 extended sources, which are things

00:13:37 --> 00:13:39 like galaxy clusters and supernova remnants.

00:13:40 --> 00:13:42 Anna: Put that number in perspective for me.

00:13:42 --> 00:13:45 Avery: Happily. The previous great all sky X ray

00:13:45 --> 00:13:48 survey was ROSAT. Back in the early 1990s,

00:13:48 --> 00:13:51 it cataloged around 130 sources

00:13:51 --> 00:13:53 and that was the field's benchmark for 30

00:13:53 --> 00:13:56 years. Hirosita's first release already

00:13:56 --> 00:13:59 blew past it. Dr. 2 roughly doubles that

00:13:59 --> 00:14:02 again as the lead author, Miriam Ramos

00:14:02 --> 00:14:04 Ceja at the Max Planck Institute put it Every

00:14:04 --> 00:14:07 extra scan drags fainter sources up out of

00:14:07 --> 00:14:08 the noise.

00:14:08 --> 00:14:11 Anna: And there's a specific old mystery. This

00:14:11 --> 00:14:12 cracks, isn't there?

00:14:12 --> 00:14:15 Avery: There is and I love this one. For about 30

00:14:15 --> 00:14:17 decades we've known the flat disk of our own

00:14:17 --> 00:14:20 galaxy glows faintly in X rays. The

00:14:20 --> 00:14:23 galactic ridge, X ray emission. Without being

00:14:23 --> 00:14:25 able to prove source by source what's

00:14:25 --> 00:14:28 producing it, Dr. 2 delivers the first

00:14:28 --> 00:14:31 direct census of a population of cataclysmic

00:14:31 --> 00:14:33 variables, close binary stars where a dense

00:14:33 --> 00:14:36 white dwarf is pulling material off a

00:14:36 --> 00:14:38 companion. And it turns out there are enough

00:14:38 --> 00:14:40 of them to account for that mysterious glow.

00:14:41 --> 00:14:43 A 30 year puzzle resolved by sheer

00:14:43 --> 00:14:44 completeness.

00:14:44 --> 00:14:47 Anna: Though it's not one headline discovery, it's

00:14:47 --> 00:14:49 ah, a map good enough to answer questions we

00:14:49 --> 00:14:51 couldn't even properly ask before.

00:14:52 --> 00:14:55 Avery: That's exactly it. And it lands alongside a

00:14:55 --> 00:14:57 huge Sloan Digital Sky Survey data release.

00:14:57 --> 00:14:59 So a couple of hundred thousand of these X

00:14:59 --> 00:15:02 ray sources now have optical fingerprints and

00:15:02 --> 00:15:05 distances, which lets astronomers map growing

00:15:05 --> 00:15:07 black holes in three dimensions across cosmic

00:15:07 --> 00:15:10 time. Its infrastructure for a decade of

00:15:10 --> 00:15:10 discovery.

00:15:11 --> 00:15:14 Anna: From a single rooftop sized crater to

00:15:14 --> 00:15:17 a three dimensional map of the hot universe.

00:15:17 --> 00:15:19 Not a bad range for one episode.

00:15:19 --> 00:15:22 Avery: Let's move on to today's skywatch. Both

00:15:22 --> 00:15:23 hemispheres.

00:15:23 --> 00:15:26 Anna: Right? Let's take all this upward and outward

00:15:26 --> 00:15:29 and bring it to your own sky. And we start

00:15:29 --> 00:15:31 of course with tomorrow's morning's impact.

00:15:32 --> 00:15:34 Avery: The honest expectations version.

00:15:34 --> 00:15:37 Anna: The honest version. To be clear, this is

00:15:37 --> 00:15:40 not a naked eye event. There's no flash to

00:15:40 --> 00:15:42 see if you're a serious amateur in the

00:15:42 --> 00:15:45 Americas with a large telescope and a lot of

00:15:45 --> 00:15:48 patience. The ejectiplume is a long

00:15:48 --> 00:15:51 shot target near the Moon's western limb

00:15:51 --> 00:15:54 around 6:35 universal time.

00:15:54 --> 00:15:57 That's about 2:35 eastern for north

00:15:57 --> 00:15:59 America, Moon high in the west for

00:15:59 --> 00:16:02 everyone else. The real payoff comes later

00:16:02 --> 00:16:05 when the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter returns

00:16:05 --> 00:16:08 before an after images of the fresh crater.

00:16:09 --> 00:16:11 And from here in the southern hemisphere in

00:16:11 --> 00:16:13 Sydney, the Moon is below the horizon at

00:16:13 --> 00:16:16 impact time. So this one's an after the fact

00:16:16 --> 00:16:19 story for us. Watch for those orbiter

00:16:19 --> 00:16:20 images now.

00:16:20 --> 00:16:23 Avery: The one I'm genuinely excited about, the

00:16:23 --> 00:16:25 Anna: comet, Comet 10P Tempel 2.

00:16:26 --> 00:16:29 It rounded the sun on the 2nd of August and

00:16:29 --> 00:16:31 made its closest pass by Earth on the 3rd.

00:16:32 --> 00:16:34 About 0.41 astronomical

00:16:34 --> 00:16:37 units, roughly 62 million

00:16:37 --> 00:16:40 kilometers. So right now it's near its best,

00:16:40 --> 00:16:43 around 8th to 9th magnitude. That's

00:16:43 --> 00:16:46 not naked eye. Think large binoculars

00:16:46 --> 00:16:49 or a small telescope from A dark site, a

00:16:49 --> 00:16:51 small fuzzy patch near the globular cluster

00:16:52 --> 00:16:54 M M30 in Capricornus. But here's why

00:16:54 --> 00:16:57 it matters. This is expected to be Tempel

00:16:57 --> 00:17:00 2's finest return for the rest of the

00:17:00 --> 00:17:00 century.

00:17:01 --> 00:17:03 Avery: And this one actually favors us in the south.

00:17:03 --> 00:17:06 Anna: It does a nice one for our Southern

00:17:06 --> 00:17:08 Hemisphere listeners, where the comet climbs

00:17:08 --> 00:17:10 higher and sits up for much of the night.

00:17:11 --> 00:17:13 Northern Hemisphere friends you can catch it

00:17:13 --> 00:17:16 too. But it stays low over your southern

00:17:16 --> 00:17:19 horizon, so you'll want a clear flat sky

00:17:19 --> 00:17:22 in that direction. Your darkest window opens

00:17:22 --> 00:17:24 on the nights around the seventh and eighth,

00:17:24 --> 00:17:26 once the waning moon is out of the way.

00:17:27 --> 00:17:29 Avery: Anything for the early evening crowd who

00:17:29 --> 00:17:31 don't fancy a midnight comet hunt?

00:17:31 --> 00:17:34 Anna: Yes, look west after sunset tonight

00:17:34 --> 00:17:36 and you'll find brilliant Venus threaded

00:17:36 --> 00:17:39 neatly between two bright stars,

00:17:39 --> 00:17:41 Regulus, the heart of Leo and Spica,

00:17:41 --> 00:17:44 uh, in Virgo, a lovely easy

00:17:44 --> 00:17:46 lineup for both hemispheres. No equipment

00:17:46 --> 00:17:49 needed and if you're an early riser.

00:17:49 --> 00:17:52 Mercury reached its best morning showing on

00:17:52 --> 00:17:55 the second and is still hanging low in the

00:17:55 --> 00:17:58 pre dawn east. Catch it before the twilight

00:17:58 --> 00:17:58 drowns it out.

00:17:58 --> 00:18:01 Avery: And then the big one. Mark the calendar.

00:18:01 --> 00:18:03 Anna: The 12th of August, an enormous

00:18:03 --> 00:18:06 day. A total solar eclipse sweeps

00:18:06 --> 00:18:09 across Greenland, Iceland and Spain,

00:18:09 --> 00:18:12 Earth's first totality in more than two

00:18:12 --> 00:18:15 years. And on the very same day, the

00:18:15 --> 00:18:17 Perseid meteor shower peaks under a new

00:18:17 --> 00:18:20 moon sky, which is about as good as the

00:18:20 --> 00:18:23 perseids ever get. Plus a 6

00:18:23 --> 00:18:25 planet alignment. We'll build up to all of it

00:18:25 --> 00:18:28 over the coming episodes. And the essential

00:18:28 --> 00:18:30 safety note, which we will repeat every

00:18:30 --> 00:18:33 single time. A total solar eclipse is

00:18:33 --> 00:18:36 only safe to watch with your unaided eyes

00:18:36 --> 00:18:39 during the brief moments of totality itself.

00:18:39 --> 00:18:42 Any other time and everywhere outside the

00:18:42 --> 00:18:45 narrow path of totality, you must use

00:18:45 --> 00:18:47 certified ISO

00:18:47 --> 00:18:50


00:18:50 --> 00:18:53 eclipse. Uh, glasses or a, ah, proper solar

00:18:53 --> 00:18:55 filter. Ordinary sunglasses will not

00:18:55 --> 00:18:58 protect your eyes. Please look after them.

00:18:58 --> 00:19:01 Avery: Couldn't agree more. A spectacular sky ahead.

00:19:01 --> 00:19:04 Watched safely. And that's our lot for today.

00:19:04 --> 00:19:07 Impacts large, small, ancient and brand new.

00:19:07 --> 00:19:10 Anna: If today's show sparked something, come and

00:19:10 --> 00:19:13 find us at astronomydaily IO

00:19:13 --> 00:19:16 you can stream every back episode. Follow

00:19:16 --> 00:19:19 our continually updating Space News feed,

00:19:19 --> 00:19:22 Leave us a review, drop us a note and sign up

00:19:22 --> 00:19:24 for the daily newsletter. So the cosmos lands

00:19:24 --> 00:19:25 in your inbox

00:19:25 --> 00:19:27 Avery: each morning, Find us on social

00:19:27 --> 00:19:30 astrodaily pod and tell a

00:19:30 --> 00:19:32 stargazing friend. Word of mouth is how this

00:19:32 --> 00:19:33 little show grows.

00:19:33 --> 00:19:35 Anna: We are back tomorrow and if you're in the

00:19:35 --> 00:19:38 Americas with a big scope and an early alarm

00:19:38 --> 00:19:41 best of luck chasing that plume. Until then,

00:19:41 --> 00:19:44 From Anna and M. Avery, clear skies.