Megastructures, Exoplanet Myths & Satellite Showers: #495 - The Quipu Conundrum and More | Space...
Space News TodayFebruary 14, 202500:44:0140.31 MB

Megastructures, Exoplanet Myths & Satellite Showers: #495 - The Quipu Conundrum and More | Space...

Space Nuts Episode 495: The Megastructure Quipu, Exoplanet Myths, and SpaceX Satellites

Join Andrew Dunkley and Professor Jonti Horner in this enlightening episode of Space Nuts, where they explore the cosmos' latest discoveries and debunk popular misconceptions. From the astonishing natural megastructure known as Quipu to the reality behind potentially habitable exoplanets, and the implications of SpaceX satellites re-entering Earth's atmosphere, this episode is packed with fascinating insights that will expand your understanding of our universe.

Episode Highlights:

- The Discovery of Quipu: Andrew and Jonti discuss the recently discovered megastructure, Quipu, which is a colossal natural formation in the universe. They delve into its size, significance, and the implications it has for our understanding of cosmic structures.

- Exoplanet Misconceptions: Jonti shares his frustrations regarding the overselling of exoplanet discoveries and the potential for life. They dissect the media's portrayal of newly found planets and emphasize the complexities involved in determining habitability.

- Asteroid 2024 YR4 Update: The duo provides an update on the asteroid's trajectory and the fluctuating odds of it impacting Earth. They explain how ongoing observations refine our understanding of its orbit and potential risks.

- SpaceX Satellites and Atmospheric Concerns : Andrew and Jonti examine the increasing number of SpaceX satellites re-entering the atmosphere and the environmental implications of this phenomenon. They discuss the balance between technological advancements and potential ecological impacts.

For more Space Nuts, including our continually updating newsfeed and to listen to all our episodes, visit our website. (https://www.spacenutspodcast.com/about)

Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.

00:00 - Introduction to the episode and topics

02:15 - Discussion on the discovery of Quipu and its implications

10:30 - Debunking myths around exoplanets and habitability

18:00 - Update on asteroid 2024 YR4 and its potential impact

26:45 - The environmental impact of SpaceX satellites re-entering

30:00 - Closing thoughts and listener engagement

✍️ Episode References

Quipu Discovery Article

https://www.astronomy.com/news

Exoplanet Research

https://www.nasa.gov/exoplanets

SpaceX Satellite Updates

https://www.spacex.com/launches/


Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/space-nuts--2631155/support (https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/space-nuts--2631155/support?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss) .

Episode link: https://play.headliner.app/episode/25588222?utm_source=youtube

Kind: captions Language: en
00:00:00 --> 00:00:01 hi there thanks for joining us this is

00:00:01 --> 00:00:03 Space Nuts Andrew Dunley here good to

00:00:03 --> 00:00:06 have your company and on this episode we

00:00:06 --> 00:00:10 have a lot to talk about uh the first

00:00:10 --> 00:00:13 thing will be a mega structure of Epic

00:00:13 --> 00:00:15 Proportions discovered in the universe

00:00:15 --> 00:00:18 now this is not a a something that was

00:00:18 --> 00:00:21 manufactured by some incredible race uh

00:00:21 --> 00:00:23 because we have talked about me mega

00:00:23 --> 00:00:24 structures in the past now this is

00:00:24 --> 00:00:27 natural and it's called

00:00:27 --> 00:00:29 kipo what's that mean we'll tell you

00:00:29 --> 00:00:32 soon um this is uh one of um the biggest

00:00:32 --> 00:00:34 bug bears that jonty has to deal with

00:00:35 --> 00:00:37 the overselling of the potential for

00:00:37 --> 00:00:39 life on exoplanets yes there is one in

00:00:39 --> 00:00:41 the news at the moment we'll do an

00:00:41 --> 00:00:43 update on 2024

00:00:43 --> 00:00:47 yr4 the odds of it hitting us have hared

00:00:47 --> 00:00:49 and SpaceX satellites raining down on

00:00:50 --> 00:00:52 our atmosphere uh what does that mean

00:00:52 --> 00:00:55 we'll tell you on this episode of Space

00:00:55 --> 00:01:00 Nuts 15 seconds guidance is internal 10

00:01:00 --> 00:01:04 nine ignition sequence start Space Nuts

00:01:04 --> 00:01:10 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 5 3 Space Nuts as the

00:01:10 --> 00:01:13 report it feels good and he's back again

00:01:13 --> 00:01:15 surprisingly it's Johny Horner professor

00:01:15 --> 00:01:16 of a physics at the University of

00:01:16 --> 00:01:19 Southern Queensland jonty hello good day

00:01:19 --> 00:01:22 how are you going I am well how are you

00:01:22 --> 00:01:23 I'm getting there I've never got the

00:01:23 --> 00:01:25 hang of mornings I think I'm a bit like

00:01:25 --> 00:01:27 um the characters from The Hitchhikers

00:01:27 --> 00:01:29 Guide except for me it's mornings it's

00:01:29 --> 00:01:31 not Mondays it's mornings yes I I used

00:01:31 --> 00:01:34 to be like that and then I started in

00:01:34 --> 00:01:36 breakfast radio and did it for 30 years

00:01:36 --> 00:01:40 so I eventually got used to being up at

00:01:40 --> 00:01:43 sparrows the breakfast shift does not

00:01:43 --> 00:01:46 sound fun uh I enjoyed it but that was

00:01:46 --> 00:01:48 just me I don't know if anyone else did

00:01:48 --> 00:01:51 especially the audience boom

00:01:51 --> 00:01:54 boom all right uh let us get into it and

00:01:54 --> 00:01:57 we're going to start off with this um

00:01:57 --> 00:01:58 discovery of a of a mega structure which

00:01:58 --> 00:02:03 is uh been uh in the news over the last

00:02:03 --> 00:02:07 week or so and it's it's called kipo

00:02:07 --> 00:02:09 we'll explain why it's called that soon

00:02:09 --> 00:02:11 but this is a a mega structure uh of

00:02:11 --> 00:02:14 natural formation in the universe the

00:02:14 --> 00:02:18 enormity of this is mind splitting

00:02:18 --> 00:02:21 amazing yes yes it is it's one of those

00:02:21 --> 00:02:22 things that just makes your head hurt

00:02:22 --> 00:02:24 like a lot of things in cosmology now

00:02:24 --> 00:02:27 I'll happily hold my hands up right at

00:02:27 --> 00:02:28 the start and say my expertise is on the

00:02:28 --> 00:02:30 parts of the University what closer than

00:02:30 --> 00:02:33 this so I'm not a cosmologist and if

00:02:33 --> 00:02:34 there are cosmologists listening you

00:02:34 --> 00:02:36 know people who are cosmology

00:02:36 --> 00:02:38 enthusiasts I might get something wrong

00:02:38 --> 00:02:41 please don't be too critical um because

00:02:41 --> 00:02:43 you know the the size of the things that

00:02:43 --> 00:02:45 I don't know in cosmology is enormous um

00:02:45 --> 00:02:48 just like the subject itself but this is

00:02:48 --> 00:02:50 a really interesting one when we think

00:02:50 --> 00:02:53 about the universe you see all these

00:02:53 --> 00:02:55 wonderful simulations that come out of

00:02:55 --> 00:02:57 our models of how the universe works

00:02:57 --> 00:03:00 that people produce all the time and you

00:03:00 --> 00:03:02 know you can almost see videos on

00:03:02 --> 00:03:04 fabulous documentary Series where they

00:03:04 --> 00:03:05 start at the scale of an atom and keep

00:03:05 --> 00:03:07 zooming out and you eventually get to

00:03:07 --> 00:03:09 the person and keep zooming out and the

00:03:10 --> 00:03:13 scale of cosmology is roughly the same

00:03:13 --> 00:03:15 scale compared to a human being that a

00:03:15 --> 00:03:17 human being is compared to an atom so

00:03:17 --> 00:03:18 that's the kind of size scale we're

00:03:18 --> 00:03:21 talking about here which is the study of

00:03:21 --> 00:03:23 the ridiculously big but as you zoom out

00:03:23 --> 00:03:25 from that human being on the earth you

00:03:25 --> 00:03:27 get the solar system then you get the

00:03:27 --> 00:03:29 local stars then you get our galaxy and

00:03:29 --> 00:03:32 then as move out you get structures of

00:03:32 --> 00:03:34 galaxies together so you get small

00:03:34 --> 00:03:36 clusters of galaxies and those small

00:03:36 --> 00:03:37 clusters hang together in bigger

00:03:37 --> 00:03:40 clusters that gather together in super

00:03:40 --> 00:03:42 clusters and they for a long time were

00:03:42 --> 00:03:44 kind of the biggest structures we saw in

00:03:44 --> 00:03:46 the universe but then as you zoom out

00:03:46 --> 00:03:48 further you start seeing these

00:03:48 --> 00:03:51 structures like walls and filaments

00:03:51 --> 00:03:53 where those clusters and super clusters

00:03:53 --> 00:03:55 of galaxies are themselves forming

00:03:55 --> 00:03:58 structures with huge voids in between so

00:03:58 --> 00:04:00 on this kind of scale when you see those

00:04:00 --> 00:04:02 simulations it looks almost like a view

00:04:02 --> 00:04:05 of a sponge so you if you've had a a

00:04:05 --> 00:04:08 sponge in your bath the sponge is a lot

00:04:09 --> 00:04:12 of open air spaces surrounded by lots of

00:04:12 --> 00:04:13 solid material and all the solid

00:04:13 --> 00:04:15 material is in contact with all the

00:04:15 --> 00:04:17 solid material but all the air is in

00:04:17 --> 00:04:18 contact with all the air so you could

00:04:18 --> 00:04:20 put a bit of string and go all the way

00:04:20 --> 00:04:21 through the sponge through the air holes

00:04:21 --> 00:04:24 and come out the other side and that's

00:04:24 --> 00:04:26 kind of what this view of the universe

00:04:26 --> 00:04:28 looks like it these long filaments and

00:04:28 --> 00:04:31 walls all connected to one another with

00:04:31 --> 00:04:33 these enormous voids of empty space

00:04:33 --> 00:04:35 between them that's the context we're

00:04:35 --> 00:04:37 talking about here so the team of

00:04:37 --> 00:04:39 researchers who studied this have been

00:04:39 --> 00:04:42 carrying out observations using an x-ray

00:04:42 --> 00:04:44 survey looking at very high energy

00:04:44 --> 00:04:46 electromagnetic radiation that's

00:04:46 --> 00:04:48 produced from incredibly hot gas in the

00:04:48 --> 00:04:50 most massive clusters of galaxies

00:04:51 --> 00:04:53 enormous structures themselves and

00:04:53 --> 00:04:56 they've looked at a region about 250

00:04:56 --> 00:04:59 million Parx across in all directions

00:04:59 --> 00:05:00 maybe a bit

00:05:00 --> 00:05:02 more looking for the biggest structures

00:05:03 --> 00:05:05 they can find in that region and they've

00:05:05 --> 00:05:07 identified four of these what they're

00:05:07 --> 00:05:09 calling super structures and they super

00:05:09 --> 00:05:11 structures are Mega structures because

00:05:11 --> 00:05:13 they are bigger than normal structures

00:05:13 --> 00:05:14 they structures made of structures made

00:05:14 --> 00:05:16 of superclusters made of clusters made

00:05:16 --> 00:05:19 of local clusters made of galaxies on we

00:05:19 --> 00:05:23 go all the way down again now these four

00:05:23 --> 00:05:26 structures that they found between them

00:05:26 --> 00:05:29 contain 45% of all the Galaxy clusters

00:05:29 --> 00:05:31 they could see 30% of all the galaxies

00:05:31 --> 00:05:34 and 25% of all the matter but they only

00:05:34 --> 00:05:36 occupy about 133% of the volume so that

00:05:37 --> 00:05:39 gives you the idea of lots of empty

00:05:39 --> 00:05:42 space with these filaments around it the

00:05:42 --> 00:05:44 biggest of these this is someone Keo

00:05:44 --> 00:05:47 that's getting all the attention it's

00:05:47 --> 00:05:50 ridiculous they talk about it being 200

00:05:50 --> 00:05:53 quadrillion times the mass of the Sun so

00:05:53 --> 00:05:56 if you remember fistas in countries that

00:05:56 --> 00:05:58 do things differently we using the kind

00:05:58 --> 00:06:00 of British scale Mill million billion

00:06:00 --> 00:06:03 system here so a million is 10 to the 6

00:06:03 --> 00:06:05 one with 6 zeros after it a billion is a

00:06:05 --> 00:06:08 th million so that's 10 to the N9 a

00:06:08 --> 00:06:11 trillion is a, billion or a million

00:06:11 --> 00:06:15 million that's 10 the 12 a quadrillion

00:06:15 --> 00:06:17 is a, trillion or a million billion or a

00:06:18 --> 00:06:21 billion million so it's 10 to the 15 200

00:06:21 --> 00:06:24 of those means this is 2 * 10 to the 17

00:06:24 --> 00:06:28 or two with 17 zeros after it times the

00:06:28 --> 00:06:30 mass of the Sun now that's a number that

00:06:30 --> 00:06:32 is bound to make your head hurt so I

00:06:32 --> 00:06:34 converted that down by looking at how

00:06:34 --> 00:06:37 many milky wees that would be and that

00:06:37 --> 00:06:38 be something like

00:06:38 --> 00:06:41 130 times the mass of our

00:06:41 --> 00:06:45 galaxy so stupidly big numbers it is

00:06:45 --> 00:06:47 spread over a distance it's a big long

00:06:47 --> 00:06:51 feature about 400 MEAP parex long so one

00:06:51 --> 00:06:56 Parc is perversely the distance that an

00:06:56 --> 00:06:59 object would be away from the Earth if

00:06:59 --> 00:07:02 it's Parallax as the earth goes around

00:07:02 --> 00:07:04 the Sun was 1 out second it's a really

00:07:04 --> 00:07:07 obscure unit of measurement it makes

00:07:07 --> 00:07:09 sense when you're doing the maths of

00:07:09 --> 00:07:10 measuring distance but it's not

00:07:10 --> 00:07:12 particularly user friendly it's a bit

00:07:12 --> 00:07:15 like talking in feet light years is a

00:07:15 --> 00:07:16 bit like talking in meters same kind of

00:07:17 --> 00:07:18 thing most people find light years more

00:07:18 --> 00:07:21 straightforward to visualize where one

00:07:21 --> 00:07:22 lightyear is the time it takes light to

00:07:22 --> 00:07:26 travel in one year and there are 3.26

00:07:26 --> 00:07:29 light years in one Parc so 400 megga

00:07:30 --> 00:07:34 passet is 1.3 billion light years long

00:07:34 --> 00:07:36 so in other words light leaving one end

00:07:36 --> 00:07:39 of this structure would take 1.3 billion

00:07:39 --> 00:07:42 years or 1 million years to go from

00:07:42 --> 00:07:45 one end to the other so it's an enormous

00:07:45 --> 00:07:46 enormous

00:07:46 --> 00:07:48 structure now that's all well and good

00:07:48 --> 00:07:50 and it's fabulous cataloging the biggest

00:07:50 --> 00:07:51 and the most massive and the brightest

00:07:51 --> 00:07:53 and I know a lot of people I do this

00:07:53 --> 00:07:55 occasionally look up Wikipedia articles

00:07:55 --> 00:07:57 like what's a as massive star what's a

00:07:57 --> 00:07:59 as luminous star things like that yeah

00:07:59 --> 00:08:01 but it's also really valuable to know

00:08:01 --> 00:08:03 this kind of stuff because if you study

00:08:03 --> 00:08:05 these big structures that gives us

00:08:05 --> 00:08:07 information that we can compare to the

00:08:07 --> 00:08:09 models that are based on our current

00:08:09 --> 00:08:11 understanding of the universe to see if

00:08:11 --> 00:08:14 those models make sense and the good

00:08:14 --> 00:08:16 thing is that the current models of how

00:08:16 --> 00:08:18 the universe work predict structures

00:08:18 --> 00:08:20 like this so this is very much in line

00:08:20 --> 00:08:23 with what people expected to see and

00:08:23 --> 00:08:24 that's a really good part of how science

00:08:24 --> 00:08:27 works you know it's very much Cas of our

00:08:27 --> 00:08:28 models predicted this and now you've

00:08:29 --> 00:08:30 seen it that makes us happy because it

00:08:30 --> 00:08:33 means the models are working correctly

00:08:33 --> 00:08:35 it also is the kind of information

00:08:35 --> 00:08:37 that's really useful for people studying

00:08:37 --> 00:08:39 the big bang and more ancient Universe

00:08:39 --> 00:08:41 because structures like this are

00:08:41 --> 00:08:43 sufficiently massive that they will

00:08:43 --> 00:08:45 influence our view of what is beyond you

00:08:45 --> 00:08:47 get gravitational lensing from the big

00:08:47 --> 00:08:50 objects you also even get and I don't

00:08:50 --> 00:08:52 fully understand how this works but you

00:08:52 --> 00:08:54 also get the pollution of the cosmic

00:08:55 --> 00:08:57 microwave background which is the last

00:08:57 --> 00:09:00 hit of the Big Bang it's the it's our

00:09:00 --> 00:09:03 image of the last surface 300 years

00:09:03 --> 00:09:04 after the big bang where the universe

00:09:04 --> 00:09:05 became

00:09:05 --> 00:09:08 transparent and we found little bits of

00:09:08 --> 00:09:10 structure in that which are important

00:09:10 --> 00:09:12 for us understanding how the modern

00:09:12 --> 00:09:14 structure of the universe formed but

00:09:14 --> 00:09:17 that structure is polluted by the

00:09:17 --> 00:09:18 influence of these

00:09:18 --> 00:09:20 foreground objects by something called

00:09:20 --> 00:09:23 the integrated sax wolf effect I've no

00:09:23 --> 00:09:25 idea how that works to be brutally

00:09:25 --> 00:09:28 honest but if you've got something like

00:09:28 --> 00:09:31 that that pollutes view of what's beyond

00:09:31 --> 00:09:33 and we want to understand what's beyond

00:09:33 --> 00:09:35 the better we can see the foreground the

00:09:35 --> 00:09:36 better we can account for it when we're

00:09:36 --> 00:09:38 subing the background so getting studies

00:09:38 --> 00:09:41 of this a it's fascinating it's a really

00:09:41 --> 00:09:43 good test for our models but it also

00:09:43 --> 00:09:46 allows us in the future to get a better

00:09:46 --> 00:09:48 handle on how things like the cosmic

00:09:48 --> 00:09:50 microwave background really look when

00:09:50 --> 00:09:53 you filter out the foreground mess and I

00:09:53 --> 00:09:54 guess the equivalent here would be like

00:09:54 --> 00:09:56 having a light pollution filter for

00:09:56 --> 00:09:58 people who are astronomy photography

00:09:58 --> 00:10:01 enesi gas you've got a murky light

00:10:01 --> 00:10:02 polluted sky but if you put a light

00:10:02 --> 00:10:03 pollution filter on the front of your

00:10:04 --> 00:10:06 lens you can cancel out that foreground

00:10:06 --> 00:10:07 mess and get a much better view of

00:10:07 --> 00:10:10 what's beyond this will enable us to do

00:10:10 --> 00:10:12 that same kind of filtering when we're

00:10:12 --> 00:10:14 looking at the microwave background so I

00:10:14 --> 00:10:16 think it's a fabulous Story full of

00:10:16 --> 00:10:20 numbers what make your head hurt quite

00:10:20 --> 00:10:22 they're massive numbers they just uh

00:10:22 --> 00:10:24 just incredible

00:10:24 --> 00:10:26 now why is it called

00:10:26 --> 00:10:29 Keo this is partially because of the

00:10:29 --> 00:10:31 structure so it looks like a long thick

00:10:31 --> 00:10:32 filament with thinner filaments

00:10:32 --> 00:10:35 branching off the sides of it and the

00:10:35 --> 00:10:37 authors of this paper notice that this

00:10:37 --> 00:10:40 looks very similar to the traditional

00:10:40 --> 00:10:41 counting instrument of the Incan people

00:10:42 --> 00:10:44 in Peru um which was essentially they

00:10:44 --> 00:10:47 did their counting using knotted ropes

00:10:47 --> 00:10:48 and that knotted rope counting device

00:10:48 --> 00:10:51 was a Keo so it's quite a nice nod to

00:10:51 --> 00:10:53 the traditional culture of the that area

00:10:53 --> 00:10:56 in Peru again I'm not an anthropologist

00:10:56 --> 00:10:58 or an archaeologist I don't really know

00:10:58 --> 00:11:00 much more about it than that but I think

00:11:00 --> 00:11:02 it is a really nice nod to a different

00:11:02 --> 00:11:04 culture and as we've talked about in

00:11:04 --> 00:11:06 previous weeks this idea of embracing

00:11:06 --> 00:11:08 all the cultures of the Earth in our

00:11:08 --> 00:11:09 studies going forward it's really

00:11:10 --> 00:11:11 gaining traction is a really nice way of

00:11:11 --> 00:11:14 doing things I think absolutely yes I'd

00:11:14 --> 00:11:17 agree and the the Incans have a um

00:11:17 --> 00:11:21 strong history with astronomy so uh that

00:11:21 --> 00:11:24 ties in well too so yeah fascinating uh

00:11:24 --> 00:11:26 if you would like to chase up that story

00:11:26 --> 00:11:28 it was published in astronomy and

00:11:28 --> 00:11:30 astrophysics the journal you can also

00:11:30 --> 00:11:34 read about it at the archive.org website

00:11:34 --> 00:11:38 that's arxiv I learned that last week

00:11:38 --> 00:11:39 archive.org

00:11:39 --> 00:11:43 uh yes there was some um a lot of

00:11:43 --> 00:11:45 involvement from the max plank Institute

00:11:45 --> 00:11:49 in um in running this the author was H

00:11:49 --> 00:11:51 boringer so uh you might want to look

00:11:51 --> 00:11:55 that

00:11:55 --> 00:11:59 up Space Nuts uh now uh let's move on on

00:11:59 --> 00:12:02 to our next story this is a pet peeve

00:12:02 --> 00:12:05 story um which Johny wanted to talk

00:12:05 --> 00:12:07 about and look I'm not surprised that it

00:12:07 --> 00:12:11 uh it bothers some people uh because I I

00:12:11 --> 00:12:14 have often referred to the popular press

00:12:14 --> 00:12:16 when doing this podcast and how they

00:12:16 --> 00:12:19 latch onto something that isn't quite

00:12:19 --> 00:12:21 the story but it makes a great headline

00:12:21 --> 00:12:24 and that's what this is overselling the

00:12:24 --> 00:12:26 potential for life on

00:12:26 --> 00:12:28 exoplanets yeah it's and one in

00:12:28 --> 00:12:30 particular in the news at the moment

00:12:30 --> 00:12:31 well it's something that's niggled at me

00:12:31 --> 00:12:33 for a while it should be said that the

00:12:33 --> 00:12:35 criticism here is not of the research

00:12:35 --> 00:12:36 done by these authors have done a

00:12:36 --> 00:12:37 fabulous bit of research and if you look

00:12:37 --> 00:12:40 at the paper they've got the balance

00:12:40 --> 00:12:43 right that's fine but there is a very

00:12:43 --> 00:12:44 common Trend particularly among press

00:12:45 --> 00:12:48 officers at universities and also around

00:12:48 --> 00:12:50 a lot of media sites that rely on clicks

00:12:50 --> 00:12:54 for their income to talk about the most

00:12:54 --> 00:12:56 habitable planet ever discovered we

00:12:56 --> 00:12:58 found the most earthlike planet ever and

00:12:58 --> 00:13:00 the report on this planet are not quite

00:13:00 --> 00:13:01 that bad but they have been talking

00:13:01 --> 00:13:03 about potentially habitable planet

00:13:04 --> 00:13:06 discovered around nearby star because

00:13:06 --> 00:13:08 that gets a clicks and before we dig

00:13:08 --> 00:13:10 into this story the reason that this

00:13:10 --> 00:13:12 niggles at me is that people are getting

00:13:12 --> 00:13:15 ex exoe fatigue and also lifei SAR

00:13:15 --> 00:13:19 fatigue so by reporting things when we

00:13:19 --> 00:13:20 haven't actually found what the reports

00:13:20 --> 00:13:22 are saying it creates this opinion that

00:13:22 --> 00:13:24 the science is already done we've

00:13:24 --> 00:13:26 already discovered the a stuff so when

00:13:26 --> 00:13:28 we finally find a planet that really

00:13:28 --> 00:13:30 does have life on it or when we finally

00:13:30 --> 00:13:32 find a planet that genuinely is Earth

00:13:33 --> 00:13:35 2.0 that'll be exciting I'll be thrilled

00:13:35 --> 00:13:36 we've finally got something to talk

00:13:36 --> 00:13:38 about and everybody will be kind of the

00:13:38 --> 00:13:39 boy who cried wolf well you've told us

00:13:39 --> 00:13:41 you've done this a million times already

00:13:41 --> 00:13:43 yeah and it's easy why are you

00:13:43 --> 00:13:46 interested you know it's

00:13:46 --> 00:13:49 also the fact that we basically don't

00:13:49 --> 00:13:50 know enough to make these statements yet

00:13:51 --> 00:13:53 so when you see a headline like we found

00:13:53 --> 00:13:55 the most earthlike planet ever what it's

00:13:55 --> 00:13:57 actually telling you is we found a

00:13:57 --> 00:13:59 planet that's about the same diameter as

00:13:59 --> 00:14:02 the Earth and that's it so it's like me

00:14:02 --> 00:14:04 being an alien and visiting the Earth

00:14:04 --> 00:14:06 and scanning the oceans and saying I

00:14:06 --> 00:14:07 found the most humanlike creature ever

00:14:07 --> 00:14:09 it's about the same length and it's

00:14:09 --> 00:14:10 about the same weight and it's about the

00:14:10 --> 00:14:13 same size it's called a dolphin it's

00:14:13 --> 00:14:15 nothing like a human whatsoever but it's

00:14:15 --> 00:14:17 about the same size and about the same

00:14:17 --> 00:14:20 mass so it's the most humanlike animal

00:14:20 --> 00:14:22 ever so I get a bit grumpy and there's a

00:14:22 --> 00:14:24 lot that goes inh habitability that I

00:14:24 --> 00:14:26 can talk about a little bit later on

00:14:26 --> 00:14:28 which is why I think this is a much more

00:14:28 --> 00:14:30 complex problem and that for me that

00:14:30 --> 00:14:31 makes it much more interesting a lot

00:14:31 --> 00:14:33 more research to do but it does mean

00:14:33 --> 00:14:35 that when you get a claim saying

00:14:35 --> 00:14:37 potentially habitable planet or the most

00:14:37 --> 00:14:39 habitable planet we've ever found yet

00:14:39 --> 00:14:41 people even publishing articles about

00:14:41 --> 00:14:42 super habitable planets that are more

00:14:42 --> 00:14:44 suitable for life than Earth I don't

00:14:44 --> 00:14:47 think you can say any of that aha in

00:14:47 --> 00:14:49 this particular case it is an

00:14:49 --> 00:14:51 interesting story there is a star called

00:14:51 --> 00:14:54 82 udani which also goes by the name

00:14:54 --> 00:14:58 hd20 794 you know astronomers love our

00:14:58 --> 00:15:00 acronyms in our bar curs this is a star

00:15:00 --> 00:15:02 that you can see with an AK in the

00:15:02 --> 00:15:03 constellation of aridus but it's not

00:15:03 --> 00:15:05 particularly bright it's about magnitude

00:15:05 --> 00:15:08 4 4 and a half and for a while we've

00:15:08 --> 00:15:10 known it had two planets around it but

00:15:10 --> 00:15:12 it's been monitored by the high accuracy

00:15:12 --> 00:15:14 radial velocity Planet Searcher

00:15:14 --> 00:15:17 spectrograph Harps in chil and harps is

00:15:17 --> 00:15:19 an incredible

00:15:19 --> 00:15:21 instrument it allows you to measure the

00:15:21 --> 00:15:24 velocity of a star so you take the light

00:15:24 --> 00:15:26 from a star you break it up into its

00:15:26 --> 00:15:28 component colors and La across that

00:15:28 --> 00:15:31 Spectrum is a series of dark lines and

00:15:31 --> 00:15:32 those dark lines which we call the

00:15:32 --> 00:15:35 fronhofer absorption lines are the

00:15:35 --> 00:15:37 fingerprint of all the different atoms

00:15:37 --> 00:15:38 and molecules in the Stars outer

00:15:38 --> 00:15:41 atmosphere every Atomic species every

00:15:41 --> 00:15:43 molecular species absorbs like a very

00:15:43 --> 00:15:45 specific unique set of wave lengths and

00:15:45 --> 00:15:47 it imprints this dark set of lines

00:15:47 --> 00:15:50 across the star Spectrum now if the

00:15:50 --> 00:15:52 stars moving towards us its light will

00:15:52 --> 00:15:54 be blue shifted so all of those lines

00:15:54 --> 00:15:55 will move a little bit to the blue

00:15:55 --> 00:15:57 because of the dopper effect if it's

00:15:57 --> 00:15:59 moving away from us the light will be

00:15:59 --> 00:16:00 red shifted so it'll move a bit to the

00:16:00 --> 00:16:03 red again with a Doppler effect and I've

00:16:03 --> 00:16:04 talked about this before this is the

00:16:04 --> 00:16:06 equivalent of having the tyum coming

00:16:06 --> 00:16:08 towards you and hearing it high pitched

00:16:08 --> 00:16:11 and fast with n no and then it moving

00:16:11 --> 00:16:13 away and you're hearing it low pitched

00:16:13 --> 00:16:16 and slow with n noo to do with the waves

00:16:16 --> 00:16:19 getting stretched or compressed

00:16:19 --> 00:16:21 essentially now what that means is if we

00:16:21 --> 00:16:22 measure the positiony of these lines

00:16:22 --> 00:16:24 accurately enough we can measure the

00:16:24 --> 00:16:26 change in the speed of the Star as it

00:16:26 --> 00:16:29 moves around by seeing those lines move

00:16:29 --> 00:16:30 so we can look at stars and see them

00:16:30 --> 00:16:32 wobbling and INF further presence of

00:16:32 --> 00:16:34 planets that we can't see by how those

00:16:34 --> 00:16:37 planets pull those Stars around but

00:16:37 --> 00:16:38 there are limits to this there's a lot

00:16:38 --> 00:16:41 of challenges involved so facility like

00:16:41 --> 00:16:42 the one we've got at the University of

00:16:42 --> 00:16:44 Southern Queensland which is actually

00:16:44 --> 00:16:46 the southern hemisphere's only dedicated

00:16:46 --> 00:16:49 EXO Planet search facility we can get an

00:16:49 --> 00:16:51 accuracy where we can measure the wobble

00:16:51 --> 00:16:54 of stars down to about 2 or 3 m a second

00:16:54 --> 00:16:57 so we could see a star changing in speed

00:16:57 --> 00:16:59 by about as much as someone going a very

00:16:59 --> 00:17:00 gentle

00:17:00 --> 00:17:03 job what that means is we could not find

00:17:03 --> 00:17:04 these particular planets they're just

00:17:04 --> 00:17:07 much too hard but the harp spectrograph

00:17:07 --> 00:17:10 is on a much bigger telescope in a much

00:17:10 --> 00:17:12 better location and it's an incredibly

00:17:12 --> 00:17:15 accurate piece of Kit so it lets you get

00:17:15 --> 00:17:18 down to submeter per second measurements

00:17:18 --> 00:17:20 which is breathtaking put that in

00:17:20 --> 00:17:22 perspective we're looking at stars here

00:17:22 --> 00:17:24 whose distances are quadrillions of

00:17:24 --> 00:17:26 kilometers away again using the units

00:17:26 --> 00:17:28 from before these are stars where the

00:17:29 --> 00:17:32 light has taken decades to reach us and

00:17:32 --> 00:17:34 we are able to measure their velocity so

00:17:34 --> 00:17:36 accurately that we can see changes in

00:17:36 --> 00:17:40 that velocity of 50 cm a second wow

00:17:40 --> 00:17:41 that's just astonishing

00:17:41 --> 00:17:43 precision and that's what the team have

00:17:43 --> 00:17:47 done so they've observed this uh HD

00:17:47 --> 00:17:50 20794 for a number of years with haps

00:17:50 --> 00:17:52 getting more and more Data Tracking how

00:17:52 --> 00:17:54 the speed changes and in the past they'd

00:17:54 --> 00:17:56 found two planets in hints of a third

00:17:56 --> 00:17:59 and they've now confirmed that third one

00:17:59 --> 00:18:03 that third planet HD 20794 D is making

00:18:03 --> 00:18:05 the sty wobble with its speed changing

00:18:05 --> 00:18:09 by just 50 cm a second plus or minus

00:18:09 --> 00:18:12 over a period of about 700 days so

00:18:12 --> 00:18:14 you're watching for 700 days you get rid

00:18:14 --> 00:18:16 of all the other noise the star wobbling

00:18:16 --> 00:18:19 around itself just ulating like a shook

00:18:19 --> 00:18:21 Bell you get rid of the orbits of the

00:18:21 --> 00:18:23 two inner planets which are causing it

00:18:23 --> 00:18:24 to wobble by a similar amount with a

00:18:24 --> 00:18:26 different period on your left with a

00:18:27 --> 00:18:29 tiny wobble of plus orus 50 CM a second

00:18:29 --> 00:18:32 that takes 700 be to complete once and

00:18:32 --> 00:18:34 that's what they found so this is our

00:18:34 --> 00:18:37 planet it's a planet about 6 times the

00:18:37 --> 00:18:39 mass of the Earth at least might be more

00:18:40 --> 00:18:41 than that so we don't know how Edge on

00:18:41 --> 00:18:43 or Tilted the orbit is because we're not

00:18:43 --> 00:18:47 seeing it Transit if it's tilted by 30°

00:18:47 --> 00:18:48 the mass of this planet will be higher

00:18:48 --> 00:18:50 if it's tilted by 60° instead of being

00:18:51 --> 00:18:52 six Earth masses it'll be 12 Earth

00:18:52 --> 00:18:55 masses so this is the minimum

00:18:55 --> 00:18:58 Mass so it's what we call a super Earth

00:18:58 --> 00:19:01 or a inun it's much more massive than

00:19:01 --> 00:19:03 our planet and certainly larger than our

00:19:03 --> 00:19:07 planet it's moving on an orbit that if

00:19:07 --> 00:19:10 you calculated its semi- major axis the

00:19:10 --> 00:19:12 length of the ellipse half the length of

00:19:12 --> 00:19:14 the ellipse which sets a period that

00:19:14 --> 00:19:17 will put it in the habitable zone that's

00:19:17 --> 00:19:19 what the paper says now the habitable

00:19:19 --> 00:19:21 zone I'll get into in a second but this

00:19:21 --> 00:19:24 planet moves on a very elongated orbit

00:19:24 --> 00:19:26 so its distance from its Stars changing

00:19:26 --> 00:19:28 by a factor of two from its closest to

00:19:28 --> 00:19:30 the star to the furthest away now if you

00:19:30 --> 00:19:32 scale that up to the solar system and

00:19:32 --> 00:19:33 put it in the same place

00:19:33 --> 00:19:35 temperature-wise as it is in its system

00:19:35 --> 00:19:37 now if you put it in the solar system so

00:19:37 --> 00:19:39 that its orbit had that same temperature

00:19:39 --> 00:19:41 range that would mean when it's closest

00:19:41 --> 00:19:44 to its star it's as close as Venus when

00:19:44 --> 00:19:45 it's furthest from its star it's further

00:19:45 --> 00:19:49 out than mes you're going to have

00:19:49 --> 00:19:51 extreme extreme temperature variability

00:19:51 --> 00:19:55 on this planet now the habitable zone is

00:19:55 --> 00:19:56 always thrown out for these planets it's

00:19:57 --> 00:19:58 that goldilox IDE here if you have a

00:19:58 --> 00:20:00 Planet that's at the right distance from

00:20:00 --> 00:20:02 the Star the temperature will be not too

00:20:02 --> 00:20:04 hot and not too cold and it'll be just

00:20:04 --> 00:20:06 right for liquid water on the

00:20:06 --> 00:20:09 surface the Supple implication buried in

00:20:09 --> 00:20:12 this is not actually what I just said

00:20:12 --> 00:20:14 but it's rather if you took the Earth as

00:20:14 --> 00:20:17 the Earth is today and dropped it where

00:20:17 --> 00:20:19 this planet is would the Earth still

00:20:19 --> 00:20:22 have liquid water on its surface now

00:20:22 --> 00:20:24 that's a subtle difference but to

00:20:24 --> 00:20:25 illustrate it if you think about the

00:20:25 --> 00:20:28 solar system the boundaries of the

00:20:28 --> 00:20:30 habitable are usually set by looking at

00:20:30 --> 00:20:32 Venus and Mars that's what's motivated

00:20:32 --> 00:20:34 this the calculations are more robust

00:20:34 --> 00:20:36 now but that's about where it washes out

00:20:36 --> 00:20:38 Venus closer to the Sun than o is super

00:20:38 --> 00:20:41 hot 450° Centigrade on the surface and

00:20:41 --> 00:20:44 clearly not habitable Mars is super cold

00:20:44 --> 00:20:46 it's too cold for life it's outside the

00:20:46 --> 00:20:47 habitable zone the Earth's in the middle

00:20:47 --> 00:20:50 and it's just right but to illustrate

00:20:50 --> 00:20:52 why it's not so simple imagine a thought

00:20:52 --> 00:20:54 experiment where you swap Venus and Mars

00:20:54 --> 00:20:56 around if you put Mars where Venus is

00:20:56 --> 00:20:59 it's got a thinner atmosphere than we do

00:20:59 --> 00:21:01 so it's got less of a greenhouse effect

00:21:01 --> 00:21:03 so it would probably remain Clement

00:21:03 --> 00:21:06 where Venus would overheat similarly if

00:21:06 --> 00:21:07 you put Venus where Mars is Venus has

00:21:08 --> 00:21:10 this incredibly thick atmosphere with an

00:21:10 --> 00:21:12 incredibly strong Greenhouse it will

00:21:12 --> 00:21:14 probably still be habitable it would

00:21:14 --> 00:21:16 still be warm enough where Mars wouldn't

00:21:16 --> 00:21:18 so this habitable zone is a much wooler

00:21:19 --> 00:21:22 concept than I think most people realize

00:21:22 --> 00:21:25 and it's just not really a guideline

00:21:25 --> 00:21:27 it's just an indication that this could

00:21:27 --> 00:21:28 be somewhere worth looking at it's not

00:21:28 --> 00:21:30 more than that but it tends to get

00:21:30 --> 00:21:32 played up as being the Holy Grail a

00:21:33 --> 00:21:35 planet is in the habitable zone it must

00:21:35 --> 00:21:36 therefore have the potential to be

00:21:36 --> 00:21:38 habitable whereas in fact what you're

00:21:38 --> 00:21:40 saying is if you put the Earth on the

00:21:40 --> 00:21:42 orbit that this planet is on it might

00:21:42 --> 00:21:44 still look like the earth except with

00:21:44 --> 00:21:45 the planet we're talking about at the

00:21:45 --> 00:21:47 minute if you put the Earth on that

00:21:47 --> 00:21:50 orbit at per helium when it was closest

00:21:50 --> 00:21:53 to the Sun it would receive a flots from

00:21:53 --> 00:21:54 the Sun as high as Venus does so the

00:21:54 --> 00:21:57 oceans would start to boil fortunately

00:21:57 --> 00:21:59 it doesn't spend long at peral

00:21:59 --> 00:22:00 we move quickest when we're closest to

00:22:00 --> 00:22:02 the object we swing out through the

00:22:02 --> 00:22:05 habitable zone probably everything's

00:22:05 --> 00:22:06 fine but you've got Bonkers weather

00:22:06 --> 00:22:07 because you're dealing with all that

00:22:07 --> 00:22:09 heat you've just been given then you get

00:22:09 --> 00:22:11 to your furthest point from the Star and

00:22:11 --> 00:22:13 that's when you move the slowest so this

00:22:13 --> 00:22:15 planet spends probably more than 50% of

00:22:16 --> 00:22:18 its time further from its star than the

00:22:18 --> 00:22:20 outer edge of that habitable zone by

00:22:20 --> 00:22:22 calculation so those oceans will freeze

00:22:22 --> 00:22:24 and you get this deep game of thron

00:22:24 --> 00:22:26 style winter you'd have everybody going

00:22:26 --> 00:22:28 oh look winter is coming everybody

00:22:28 --> 00:22:30 doomed and then it would swing back into

00:22:30 --> 00:22:32 the star and have a brief furnace like

00:22:32 --> 00:22:35 summer and then a long cold winter again

00:22:35 --> 00:22:37 it doesn't sound particularly Clement

00:22:37 --> 00:22:38 you add to that though the fact that

00:22:38 --> 00:22:40 this planet is six times the mass of the

00:22:40 --> 00:22:42 Earth means it's going to have a very

00:22:43 --> 00:22:44 substantial atmosphere and I should say

00:22:44 --> 00:22:46 at least six times the MTH of the earth

00:22:46 --> 00:22:48 a much thicker atmosphere means a much

00:22:48 --> 00:22:51 stronger greenhouse effect which means

00:22:51 --> 00:22:53 the results of that extreme insulation

00:22:53 --> 00:22:56 the extreme radiation at pericenter when

00:22:56 --> 00:22:58 it's closest to the star is even more

00:22:58 --> 00:23:00 pronounced so I don't think it's at all

00:23:00 --> 00:23:02 fair to say that this planet could be

00:23:02 --> 00:23:04 potentially habitable and in fact the

00:23:04 --> 00:23:06 authors of the paper themselves don't

00:23:06 --> 00:23:08 really say that what they do say is that

00:23:08 --> 00:23:10 this planet crosses the habitable zone

00:23:10 --> 00:23:12 and because it's a bit bigger and

00:23:12 --> 00:23:14 because it has this big variation it

00:23:14 --> 00:23:16 assistance from the Star and because

00:23:16 --> 00:23:18 it's around a nearby star could be a

00:23:18 --> 00:23:20 really good test case for us to practice

00:23:20 --> 00:23:22 our observation techniques to learn more

00:23:22 --> 00:23:25 about atmospheres of planets this size

00:23:25 --> 00:23:27 before we really look at ones that could

00:23:27 --> 00:23:29 be habitable and Earth like

00:23:29 --> 00:23:31 but this planet certainly isn't it and

00:23:31 --> 00:23:33 even then there's a whole heap of other

00:23:33 --> 00:23:34 things that will impact habitability

00:23:34 --> 00:23:36 which we may or may not have time to go

00:23:36 --> 00:23:39 into today but the habitable zone really

00:23:39 --> 00:23:42 is just the first of an incredibly long

00:23:42 --> 00:23:44 list of variables that you can slide

00:23:44 --> 00:23:45 around that could influence their

00:23:46 --> 00:23:48 habitability so all it's saying is how

00:23:48 --> 00:23:49 hot would the Earth be if you put it

00:23:49 --> 00:23:52 there essentially yeah yeah and at six

00:23:52 --> 00:23:54 times the size of the Earth at least

00:23:54 --> 00:23:56 gravity has to be a factor as well

00:23:56 --> 00:23:59 doesn't it it does I mean if you

00:23:59 --> 00:24:01 estimated that this thing is twice the

00:24:01 --> 00:24:02 Earth diameter and we don't know that

00:24:02 --> 00:24:05 because this thing doesn't Transit its

00:24:05 --> 00:24:07 star or we've never seen it transited

00:24:07 --> 00:24:09 that so it orbit is almost certainly not

00:24:09 --> 00:24:11 Edge on which means its mass is probably

00:24:11 --> 00:24:13 a bit higher than we say that minimum is

00:24:13 --> 00:24:15 but it means we have no way of measuring

00:24:15 --> 00:24:18 the size now at six Earth masses are a

00:24:18 --> 00:24:19 bit heavier it's near this boundary

00:24:19 --> 00:24:22 between what we call superar or and inet

00:24:22 --> 00:24:24 super Earth is a rocky object with a big

00:24:24 --> 00:24:27 thick atmosphere A Min Neptune is a big

00:24:27 --> 00:24:29 thick atmosphere with a rocky car so you

00:24:29 --> 00:24:30 can see how that transitions between

00:24:30 --> 00:24:32 them but if you estimate for a minute

00:24:32 --> 00:24:34 that it is a super Earth with a bit of a

00:24:34 --> 00:24:36 thick atmosphere you could say well

00:24:36 --> 00:24:38 maybe it's twice the diameter of the

00:24:38 --> 00:24:41 earth and that would kind of make sense

00:24:41 --> 00:24:42 density wise that would place it a

00:24:42 --> 00:24:44 little bit less dense of the Earth but

00:24:44 --> 00:24:46 that might make sense it's a little bit

00:24:46 --> 00:24:49 cooler for a lot of its orbit even in

00:24:49 --> 00:24:52 that scenario the acceleration due to

00:24:52 --> 00:24:54 gravity on its surface will be 50%

00:24:54 --> 00:24:55 higher than that we have on the Earth

00:24:55 --> 00:24:58 right now you know so gravity will be

00:24:58 --> 00:24:59 strong we'd probably all if we were

00:24:59 --> 00:25:02 there be Squat and dumpy and grumbling

00:25:02 --> 00:25:04 about how heavy we feel and all the rest

00:25:04 --> 00:25:05 of it you know I'm heavy enough already

00:25:05 --> 00:25:07 without giving me

00:25:07 --> 00:25:11 50 yes no that's a fair point but uh

00:25:11 --> 00:25:13 yeah these these stories are not

00:25:13 --> 00:25:15 uncommon now and you make a a very valid

00:25:15 --> 00:25:17 point that people will just you know

00:25:17 --> 00:25:19 when the day comes that we've genuinely

00:25:19 --> 00:25:21 got an earth like planet Earth

00:25:21 --> 00:25:24 2.0 uh that could Harbor life people to

00:25:24 --> 00:25:28 go yeah Roo yeah heard it all before and

00:25:28 --> 00:25:31 it it's dangerous and quite often the

00:25:31 --> 00:25:33 researchers involved don't have control

00:25:33 --> 00:25:35 of that story that's one of the reasons

00:25:35 --> 00:25:37 I love working with websites like the

00:25:37 --> 00:25:38 conversation where I control the

00:25:38 --> 00:25:40 narrative when I write articles but it's

00:25:40 --> 00:25:42 also why I really appreciate our media

00:25:42 --> 00:25:45 team here at unq because they actually

00:25:45 --> 00:25:47 talked with them when they're writing

00:25:47 --> 00:25:49 media releases and a lot of the bigger

00:25:49 --> 00:25:51 universities the media team get a hold

00:25:51 --> 00:25:52 of the paper and they write their own

00:25:52 --> 00:25:54 interpretation of it with a couple of

00:25:54 --> 00:25:55 quotes from the authors but they don't

00:25:55 --> 00:25:58 let the authors read the release then

00:25:58 --> 00:25:59 you get journalists who read the media

00:25:59 --> 00:26:01 releasee and spin it further yeah and

00:26:01 --> 00:26:03 you end up from an article that says we

00:26:03 --> 00:26:05 found a planet that is interesting to

00:26:05 --> 00:26:07 being new Earth planet has been found

00:26:07 --> 00:26:10 life 2. not is there and that's not what

00:26:10 --> 00:26:13 anybody actually said no but it's a good

00:26:13 --> 00:26:14 way to get hits and links to your

00:26:14 --> 00:26:18 University's website exactly yeah okay

00:26:18 --> 00:26:20 uh if you'd like to read up on that uh

00:26:20 --> 00:26:22 the genuine article I'm talking about uh

00:26:22 --> 00:26:24 you can find it in the journal astronomy

00:26:24 --> 00:26:25 and

00:26:25 --> 00:26:27 astrophysics if you feel better now that

00:26:27 --> 00:26:30 you've got that off your chest joh oh

00:26:30 --> 00:26:32 this is a Perpetual rant of man I

00:26:32 --> 00:26:34 actually did with my former Mentor Barry

00:26:34 --> 00:26:36 Jones who passed away about a decade ago

00:26:36 --> 00:26:39 now um we wrote my first ever review

00:26:39 --> 00:26:41 paper back in 2010 where I dag it dug

00:26:41 --> 00:26:44 into this so it always used to bug me

00:26:44 --> 00:26:45 that it was just is in the habitable

00:26:46 --> 00:26:48 zone right that's job done and so we

00:26:48 --> 00:26:49 wrote this paper where we looked at all

00:26:50 --> 00:26:51 of the other things people have proposed

00:26:51 --> 00:26:53 that could make a planet more habitable

00:26:53 --> 00:26:55 or less habitable more suitable and for

00:26:55 --> 00:26:58 me the thing here is when we get get to

00:26:58 --> 00:27:00 do observations to look for life on

00:27:00 --> 00:27:02 these planets which is still a bit

00:27:02 --> 00:27:04 beyond us but we're getting towards that

00:27:04 --> 00:27:06 point those observations are going to be

00:27:06 --> 00:27:08 the hardest observations Humanity's ever

00:27:08 --> 00:27:10 had to carry out you're talking hundreds

00:27:10 --> 00:27:12 or thousands of hours on the biggest

00:27:12 --> 00:27:15 space telescopes really competitive time

00:27:15 --> 00:27:16 you're not going to be able to look at

00:27:16 --> 00:27:18 them all so you're going to have to find

00:27:18 --> 00:27:20 a way to pick the best Target you're

00:27:20 --> 00:27:21 going to have to find a way to whittle

00:27:21 --> 00:27:22 down a list of hundreds or thousands

00:27:22 --> 00:27:25 into the best two or three and you can't

00:27:25 --> 00:27:26 just use the habitables on that so I

00:27:26 --> 00:27:28 thought let's look at all the things

00:27:28 --> 00:27:30 that can impact habitability to see if

00:27:30 --> 00:27:32 you can turn them almost into the volume

00:27:32 --> 00:27:35 sliders on the mixing desk of the DJ

00:27:35 --> 00:27:36 right you can turn them up turn them

00:27:36 --> 00:27:39 down and see which planet gets the best

00:27:39 --> 00:27:41 score overall when you factor all of

00:27:41 --> 00:27:43 them in and some of them are things we

00:27:43 --> 00:27:44 can't yet observe some of them are

00:27:44 --> 00:27:46 things you might have to model with

00:27:46 --> 00:27:48 computer modeling like I do but it can

00:27:48 --> 00:27:50 be everything from the nature of the

00:27:50 --> 00:27:53 star itself how variable it is all the

00:27:53 --> 00:27:54 way through to the other planets in the

00:27:54 --> 00:27:56 system what their gravity does how much

00:27:56 --> 00:27:58 debris there is and even down to the

00:27:58 --> 00:28:00 planet itself whether it has PL

00:28:00 --> 00:28:02 tectonics whether it has magnetic field

00:28:02 --> 00:28:04 all of these things will factor in it's

00:28:04 --> 00:28:06 not just as simple as where do you play

00:28:06 --> 00:28:09 it is it in the right spot no valid

00:28:09 --> 00:28:12 point all right uh yeah as I said you

00:28:12 --> 00:28:14 can uh chase that story up about

00:28:14 --> 00:28:16 astronomy and astrophysics uh you could

00:28:16 --> 00:28:18 probably find it just about anywhere

00:28:18 --> 00:28:20 online uh there's an article on

00:28:20 --> 00:28:23 space.com as well this is Space Nuts

00:28:23 --> 00:28:29 with Andrew Dunley and joty Horner

00:28:29 --> 00:28:31 and I feel fine Space Nuts right our

00:28:31 --> 00:28:36 next story uh which we've uh done before

00:28:36 --> 00:28:39 we did it a week ago uh about uh the

00:28:39 --> 00:28:42 comet 2024 yr4 I happen to be playing

00:28:42 --> 00:28:46 our podcast in the car I always like to

00:28:46 --> 00:28:48 listen to it just to see how it sounds

00:28:48 --> 00:28:50 and you know decide whether or not I'm

00:28:50 --> 00:28:53 doing a good job or not did it in radio

00:28:53 --> 00:28:55 do it with the podcast but I I was

00:28:55 --> 00:28:57 picking up our grandchildren from school

00:28:57 --> 00:29:03 and and uh Nathaniel who um is 10 years

00:29:03 --> 00:29:05 old um he was listening and he said to

00:29:06 --> 00:29:09 me is it comat going to hit Earth and I

00:29:09 --> 00:29:12 had to kind of explain to him what was

00:29:12 --> 00:29:14 going on without alarming

00:29:14 --> 00:29:17 him uh and now an update on the story

00:29:17 --> 00:29:20 last week we were saying um there was a

00:29:20 --> 00:29:24 70 to 77% chance of this thing um

00:29:24 --> 00:29:26 hitting the atmosphere in

00:29:26 --> 00:29:29 20327 so

00:29:29 --> 00:29:32 sorry yeah see that's that was a popular

00:29:32 --> 00:29:35 press comment one in S7 but now that

00:29:35 --> 00:29:38 number's dropped as at now but that

00:29:38 --> 00:29:41 could change again absolutely so as of

00:29:41 --> 00:29:43 today so when I sent you notes through

00:29:43 --> 00:29:46 yesterday it was at 1 in 43 he now

00:29:46 --> 00:29:48 falling back to 1 in 48 this number is

00:29:48 --> 00:29:51 changing every day and what we will see

00:29:51 --> 00:29:52 and what we'll continue to see is most

00:29:52 --> 00:29:56 likely those odds of an impact gradually

00:29:56 --> 00:29:59 increasing and until eventually they

00:29:59 --> 00:30:02 most likely drop to zero and the reason

00:30:02 --> 00:30:03 for that is we're getting more

00:30:03 --> 00:30:05 observations with every day that passes

00:30:05 --> 00:30:06 and so with every day that passes we get

00:30:07 --> 00:30:10 a refined estimate of the orbit of this

00:30:10 --> 00:30:13 thing that then means that the exact

00:30:13 --> 00:30:15 location of the object on 22nd of

00:30:15 --> 00:30:18 December 2032 has a smaller uncertainty

00:30:18 --> 00:30:21 so that big area of space that we think

00:30:21 --> 00:30:22 it will be in with each day's

00:30:22 --> 00:30:25 observations get smaller and smaller now

00:30:25 --> 00:30:27 if the Earth is still in that area of

00:30:27 --> 00:30:28 space

00:30:28 --> 00:30:30 the Earth is a bigger fraction of that

00:30:30 --> 00:30:32 total volume of space and so the

00:30:32 --> 00:30:34 probability of impact is going up

00:30:34 --> 00:30:36 because we're a bigger fraction of the

00:30:36 --> 00:30:38 total area that thing could be in but at

00:30:38 --> 00:30:40 some point as that volume of space

00:30:40 --> 00:30:42 shrinks down the Earth could fall out of

00:30:42 --> 00:30:44 it and at that point the probability

00:30:44 --> 00:30:46 immediately drops to zero so it isn't a

00:30:46 --> 00:30:48 reason to panic at all this is exactly

00:30:48 --> 00:30:51 the behavior you would expect to see but

00:30:51 --> 00:30:53 that probability will continue to change

00:30:53 --> 00:30:55 day by day wouldn't surprise me if it

00:30:55 --> 00:30:58 keeps getting higher now this asid we're

00:30:58 --> 00:31:00 probably going to lose Tru of in about

00:31:00 --> 00:31:02 April a little bit too far away to

00:31:02 --> 00:31:04 observe then we won't see it again till

00:31:04 --> 00:31:07 2028 people are digging back through

00:31:07 --> 00:31:11 archival observations from 2016 2012

00:31:11 --> 00:31:13 2008 because this thing comes roughly

00:31:13 --> 00:31:16 near the Earth every four years or so if

00:31:16 --> 00:31:18 we find it by chance on one photograph

00:31:18 --> 00:31:21 from one of those previous years this

00:31:21 --> 00:31:22 probability will change dramatically and

00:31:22 --> 00:31:24 will'll probably drop to zero straight

00:31:24 --> 00:31:27 away if not we'll have to wait till 2028

00:31:27 --> 00:31:28 and until then then we'll see this

00:31:28 --> 00:31:31 continual slight wobbling around as each

00:31:31 --> 00:31:33 day's observations coming and it gets

00:31:33 --> 00:31:36 recalculated so fundamentally nothing

00:31:36 --> 00:31:38 has changed this things still pose as a

00:31:38 --> 00:31:40 threat do not panic even if it were to

00:31:40 --> 00:31:41 hit us it's not really going to cause a

00:31:41 --> 00:31:43 problem anyway to be brutally honest but

00:31:43 --> 00:31:46 it is fascinating to watch this happen

00:31:46 --> 00:31:48 and to see that evolution in real

00:31:49 --> 00:31:51 time absolutely yeah I think I said

00:31:51 --> 00:31:54 Comet I meant asteroid but um yeah 2024

00:31:54 --> 00:31:58 y4 if you do a search on Google whatever

00:31:58 --> 00:31:59 your favorite search engine is you'll

00:31:59 --> 00:32:01 find plenty of

00:32:01 --> 00:32:04 information and you I I would advise

00:32:04 --> 00:32:06 filtering the popular press comments

00:32:06 --> 00:32:09 because that they uh they've been going

00:32:09 --> 00:32:11 hammer and tongs on this one absolutely

00:32:11 --> 00:32:14 um but yeah it like like Johny said on

00:32:14 --> 00:32:16 the previous story uh it's clickbait

00:32:16 --> 00:32:18 isn't it um that's something that's

00:32:18 --> 00:32:21 really it but I I did reassure my

00:32:21 --> 00:32:23 grandson because as soon as I finished

00:32:23 --> 00:32:25 explaining it he wanted to talk about

00:32:25 --> 00:32:28 Pokemon so I think I was sucess in

00:32:28 --> 00:32:31 deflecting him there uh to our final

00:32:31 --> 00:32:34 story jonty and this one is about stuff

00:32:34 --> 00:32:36 that's hitting the atmosphere we're

00:32:36 --> 00:32:39 talking specifically about the um

00:32:39 --> 00:32:43 turnover of SpaceX satellites uh they've

00:32:43 --> 00:32:47 been starting to rain down on Earth uh

00:32:47 --> 00:32:49 fairly regularly in fact uh the Space

00:32:49 --> 00:32:52 Nuts podcast group on Facebook uh has

00:32:52 --> 00:32:55 been um discussing this they they put an

00:32:55 --> 00:32:57 article on there that the the listeners

00:32:58 --> 00:33:01 were discussing and some some were quite

00:33:01 --> 00:33:03 surprised by the kinds of numbers we're

00:33:03 --> 00:33:05 talking about but this is just going to

00:33:05 --> 00:33:07 get more and more significant as time

00:33:07 --> 00:33:09 goes on because they haven't finished

00:33:09 --> 00:33:10 deploying their

00:33:10 --> 00:33:13 entire uh Fleet or whatever you want to

00:33:13 --> 00:33:16 call them of SpaceX satellites yeah this

00:33:16 --> 00:33:19 is yet another multifaceted story so I

00:33:19 --> 00:33:21 know a lot of people who get very

00:33:21 --> 00:33:23 passionate in their defense of SpaceX

00:33:23 --> 00:33:25 and the AL musk and many others who have

00:33:25 --> 00:33:26 very negative views of them and I was

00:33:26 --> 00:33:28 try and be somewhere in the middle big

00:33:28 --> 00:33:30 sack it's like in literature if you ever

00:33:31 --> 00:33:34 read a book very few people are purely

00:33:34 --> 00:33:35 evil or purely good everybody's

00:33:35 --> 00:33:37 somewhere in the middle unless it's a

00:33:37 --> 00:33:40 bad book and it's the same with things

00:33:40 --> 00:33:41 like this there's a lot of good about

00:33:41 --> 00:33:43 this and a lot of bad about it now Spex

00:33:43 --> 00:33:46 are putting up their St satellites to

00:33:46 --> 00:33:49 deliver internet access which is a great

00:33:49 --> 00:33:51 benefit to people in the regions you

00:33:51 --> 00:33:53 know and I've heard plenty of stories of

00:33:53 --> 00:33:55 people who are living remotely in

00:33:55 --> 00:33:56 Australia who can't get a good internet

00:33:56 --> 00:33:58 connection and styling has been

00:33:58 --> 00:34:00 revolutionary to them yeah and and

00:34:00 --> 00:34:03 cruise ships use styling AB because

00:34:03 --> 00:34:05 they're always they're in remote areas a

00:34:05 --> 00:34:08 lot yeah it is a really incredible

00:34:08 --> 00:34:10 technological development on the other

00:34:10 --> 00:34:11 hand you've got all the concerns about

00:34:11 --> 00:34:13 the light pollution from these

00:34:13 --> 00:34:16 things and the fact that they launch

00:34:16 --> 00:34:17 them without anybody really being able

00:34:17 --> 00:34:21 to regulate it or say boot about it it

00:34:21 --> 00:34:23 it's a multifaceted problem and there's

00:34:23 --> 00:34:26 good things and bad things about it in

00:34:26 --> 00:34:28 much the same way this story is both a

00:34:28 --> 00:34:30 good and bad story you've got all these

00:34:30 --> 00:34:33 satellites up there and they have finite

00:34:33 --> 00:34:36 lifetimes they are low down because you

00:34:36 --> 00:34:38 need them to be in low earth orbit in

00:34:38 --> 00:34:39 order to get good latency if you put

00:34:40 --> 00:34:42 these at G stationary orbit you've got

00:34:42 --> 00:34:43 the light travel time there and Back

00:34:43 --> 00:34:46 Again you've got a long way to go and

00:34:46 --> 00:34:48 that puts a significant ping which means

00:34:48 --> 00:34:50 for the people playing twitch games and

00:34:50 --> 00:34:52 firstperson shooter games they complain

00:34:52 --> 00:34:55 and Suk um but everybody wants a faster

00:34:55 --> 00:34:57 internet connection with the lowest

00:34:57 --> 00:34:58 latency possible so these things are in

00:34:58 --> 00:35:00 low earth orbit which means that they

00:35:00 --> 00:35:03 are moving through a significant chunk

00:35:03 --> 00:35:04 of the Earth's atmosphere the Earth's

00:35:04 --> 00:35:05 atmosphere doesn't just stop it just

00:35:06 --> 00:35:07 gets thinner and thinner and thinner the

00:35:07 --> 00:35:09 further you go away technically the

00:35:09 --> 00:35:10 Moon's still encountering bits of the

00:35:10 --> 00:35:12 Earth's atmosphere it should by that

00:35:12 --> 00:35:13 point it's still thinnest to be

00:35:13 --> 00:35:15 irrelevant but at the altitude of these

00:35:15 --> 00:35:17 siling satellites they are actually

00:35:17 --> 00:35:20 traveling into a headwind so without

00:35:20 --> 00:35:22 something to bump them up they would

00:35:22 --> 00:35:24 eventually come down naturally anyway

00:35:24 --> 00:35:27 but also they are a fixed term thing

00:35:27 --> 00:35:30 they typically I think thinking about an

00:35:30 --> 00:35:31 individual satellite having about a

00:35:31 --> 00:35:34 fiveyear lifetime yeah now it's about

00:35:34 --> 00:35:35 five years since the Starlet Sates

00:35:35 --> 00:35:37 started getting launched which means the

00:35:37 --> 00:35:40 very first generation of them are now in

00:35:40 --> 00:35:41 their retirement

00:35:41 --> 00:35:45 phase what is really good about this is

00:35:45 --> 00:35:48 that SpaceX and starlink are being very

00:35:48 --> 00:35:50 aggressive in the retirement in that

00:35:51 --> 00:35:52 they are controlling these things and

00:35:52 --> 00:35:54 deliberately putting them back in the

00:35:54 --> 00:35:55 atmosphere to burn up in a controlled

00:35:55 --> 00:35:57 fashion so they're controlling where

00:35:57 --> 00:35:59 they drop them into the atmosphere to

00:35:59 --> 00:36:01 minimize the risk to air travel and the

00:36:02 --> 00:36:03 risk of them dropping on a city and

00:36:03 --> 00:36:06 things like this and that is really good

00:36:06 --> 00:36:07 governance it's really important to say

00:36:07 --> 00:36:09 that there's a lot of stuff up there

00:36:09 --> 00:36:11 that will come down of its own accord at

00:36:11 --> 00:36:14 its own time with no control over it and

00:36:14 --> 00:36:16 that's a risk and people are talking

00:36:16 --> 00:36:17 about the fact that there's probably as

00:36:18 --> 00:36:20 high as a 26% chance that in a given

00:36:20 --> 00:36:23 year from now on Space Dey will fall

00:36:23 --> 00:36:25 through a populated

00:36:25 --> 00:36:27 airspace which is problematic there's

00:36:27 --> 00:36:29 even studies saying there's a one in 10

00:36:29 --> 00:36:31 chance that within the next decade

00:36:31 --> 00:36:33 somebody will die as a result of Spar

00:36:33 --> 00:36:36 Dey hitting them so that's a concern and

00:36:36 --> 00:36:38 by deliberately deorbiting these things

00:36:38 --> 00:36:40 in a controlled fashion they're

00:36:40 --> 00:36:42 mitigating those risks they're putting

00:36:42 --> 00:36:44 things down in a safe fashion but

00:36:44 --> 00:36:45 because of how many satellites they're

00:36:45 --> 00:36:47 putting up there that means we've got an

00:36:47 --> 00:36:49 increasing number of them coming back

00:36:49 --> 00:36:52 down there are currently 7 stying

00:36:52 --> 00:36:54 satellites up there the goal is to get

00:36:54 --> 00:36:58 up to 42 that is their sta there so

00:36:58 --> 00:37:01 that's of more yeah that's just Starling

00:37:01 --> 00:37:04 because there are many others there are

00:37:04 --> 00:37:06 if you look at all of the proposed Mega

00:37:06 --> 00:37:08 constellations I think the current

00:37:08 --> 00:37:10 number is that there could be as many as

00:37:10 --> 00:37:12 550 satellites in orbit within a

00:37:12 --> 00:37:14 decade which makes me as an amateur

00:37:14 --> 00:37:16 astronomer the kind of P me that does

00:37:16 --> 00:37:18 out and observes mete shs and stuff just

00:37:18 --> 00:37:20 makes me weak because we'll lose the

00:37:20 --> 00:37:22 night sky to such a degree but that

00:37:22 --> 00:37:25 that's a slightly separate thing with

00:37:25 --> 00:37:26 7 up there at the minute the

00:37:26 --> 00:37:28 retirements of those first gen ones are

00:37:28 --> 00:37:30 now coming at a rate of four or five

00:37:30 --> 00:37:33 satellites per day so that means four or

00:37:33 --> 00:37:34 five satellites are burning up somewhere

00:37:34 --> 00:37:37 over the Earth every single day of the

00:37:38 --> 00:37:39 calendar

00:37:39 --> 00:37:41 year that's only going to go up because

00:37:41 --> 00:37:42 if you increase the number of satellites

00:37:42 --> 00:37:45 up there by a factor of six times then

00:37:45 --> 00:37:46 you'll increase that number of

00:37:46 --> 00:37:48 re-entries per day by factor of six

00:37:48 --> 00:37:50 times so within five years we could well

00:37:50 --> 00:37:53 be looking at something nearer to 25 or

00:37:53 --> 00:37:55 even 30 satellites per day coming back

00:37:55 --> 00:37:57 into the atmosphere now the are coming

00:37:57 --> 00:38:00 in in a controlled fashion so they're

00:38:00 --> 00:38:01 trying to drop them in the atmosphere

00:38:02 --> 00:38:03 away from things that would be

00:38:03 --> 00:38:05 threatened by lumps of metal hitting the

00:38:05 --> 00:38:08 ice atmosphere essentially yeah but

00:38:08 --> 00:38:09 there is now a growing concern about the

00:38:09 --> 00:38:12 pollution side of this that's the I was

00:38:13 --> 00:38:15 getting yeah that's the that's the big

00:38:15 --> 00:38:17 if isn't it and it's a difficult one

00:38:17 --> 00:38:18 because it's not an experiment that's

00:38:18 --> 00:38:20 ever been done before things have

00:38:20 --> 00:38:22 re-entered um but in the past we've not

00:38:22 --> 00:38:24 been putting much up in space so it's

00:38:24 --> 00:38:26 been a very rare thing a little bit of

00:38:26 --> 00:38:28 extra material dumped into the

00:38:28 --> 00:38:30 atmosphere a tiny amount compared to the

00:38:30 --> 00:38:32 amount that comes in natural through

00:38:32 --> 00:38:33 metas and

00:38:33 --> 00:38:35 meteorites um stuff hitting the S

00:38:35 --> 00:38:36 atmosphere naturally but we're now

00:38:36 --> 00:38:38 getting to a stage where this is a

00:38:38 --> 00:38:40 significant amount of material entering

00:38:41 --> 00:38:42 the S atmosphere each of these

00:38:42 --> 00:38:44 generation one satellites is several

00:38:44 --> 00:38:47 hundred kilos of material so when you've

00:38:47 --> 00:38:48 got five of them coming in a day that's

00:38:48 --> 00:38:51 a couple of tons of material being a

00:38:51 --> 00:38:53 bled and added to the atmosphere mainly

00:38:53 --> 00:38:55 in the form of heavy

00:38:55 --> 00:38:58 metals there is a fact that I've pulled

00:38:58 --> 00:38:59 out of an interesting article India

00:38:59 --> 00:39:01 Today of all places have got a fairly

00:39:01 --> 00:39:03 good article about this and one thing

00:39:03 --> 00:39:05 they point out is that each individual

00:39:06 --> 00:39:07 one of these generation one St

00:39:07 --> 00:39:09 satellites when it burns up in the

00:39:09 --> 00:39:11 atmosphere when it a blades deposits

00:39:11 --> 00:39:15 about 30 kilos of aluminium oxide into

00:39:15 --> 00:39:16 the upper atmosphere about where the

00:39:17 --> 00:39:19 ozone layer is now that's a problem

00:39:19 --> 00:39:21 because aluminium oxide is a compound

00:39:21 --> 00:39:24 that is known to be very devastating to

00:39:24 --> 00:39:26 the ozone layer it's a real problem now

00:39:26 --> 00:39:29 if each s is dumping 30 kg into the

00:39:29 --> 00:39:31 atmosphere that has the potential to

00:39:31 --> 00:39:34 destroy a large amount of ozone if

00:39:34 --> 00:39:35 you're suddenly dumping five of them in

00:39:36 --> 00:39:40 per day that's 150 kilos per day if you

00:39:40 --> 00:39:43 go up to the 25 obviously that goes up

00:39:43 --> 00:39:46 again from 150 kilos to what 5 time 150

00:39:46 --> 00:39:47 is

00:39:47 --> 00:39:51 750 nil your ton of aluminium oxide per

00:39:51 --> 00:39:53 day something that can damage the oone L

00:39:53 --> 00:39:55 and we've only just got out of the time

00:39:55 --> 00:39:56 where we did an incredible job of

00:39:56 --> 00:39:58 preventing is killing the ozone layer

00:39:59 --> 00:40:01 yeah we're about to start it again

00:40:01 --> 00:40:03 people have tried to do some

00:40:03 --> 00:40:05 computational studies of the effects of

00:40:05 --> 00:40:06 adding all this metal to the upper

00:40:06 --> 00:40:08 atmosphere and nobody really knows

00:40:08 --> 00:40:10 what's going to happen some Studies have

00:40:10 --> 00:40:13 said that it could accidentally help to

00:40:13 --> 00:40:14 slightly mitigate climate change but it

00:40:15 --> 00:40:16 might increase the albo of the a

00:40:16 --> 00:40:18 atmosphere it might cause more clouds to

00:40:18 --> 00:40:20 form so it could reflect a bit more

00:40:20 --> 00:40:22 sunlight or could be good but other

00:40:22 --> 00:40:24 Studies have suggested the opposite that

00:40:24 --> 00:40:25 it could actually lower the amount of

00:40:25 --> 00:40:27 clouds we've got and also a bit more

00:40:27 --> 00:40:30 Greenhouse nastiness to the mix so it

00:40:30 --> 00:40:31 could have an impact on our climate we

00:40:31 --> 00:40:33 don't know which way it'll go it could

00:40:33 --> 00:40:35 have an impact on the ozone layer we

00:40:35 --> 00:40:37 just don't know yet and so what's

00:40:37 --> 00:40:39 happening with this is we're effectively

00:40:39 --> 00:40:41 running a science experiment like the

00:40:41 --> 00:40:42 ones you do in the lab the ones you do

00:40:42 --> 00:40:45 at school without ever done it without

00:40:45 --> 00:40:47 ever having done it before and we're

00:40:47 --> 00:40:49 running it on the planet that is our own

00:40:49 --> 00:40:52 home so I guess it's a bit like you know

00:40:52 --> 00:40:54 you've got two unruly toddlers running

00:40:54 --> 00:40:57 around with um insects cray like the

00:40:57 --> 00:40:58 stuff you've got to get rid of the

00:40:58 --> 00:41:01 mosquitoes yeah running around emptying

00:41:01 --> 00:41:02 can after can of that in your house and

00:41:02 --> 00:41:03 you're just saying yeah well let's do it

00:41:03 --> 00:41:05 what's the worst that can happen and you

00:41:05 --> 00:41:09 just don't know yeah uh 42

00:41:09 --> 00:41:10 satellites when they're ultimately all

00:41:10 --> 00:41:12 up there coming back down into the

00:41:12 --> 00:41:16 atmosphere we'll deposit 1.26 million

00:41:16 --> 00:41:19 kilograms of aluminium oxide so and

00:41:19 --> 00:41:21 that's going to be continuous because

00:41:21 --> 00:41:23 they it's not just

00:41:23 --> 00:41:26 42 as they come down they'll replace

00:41:26 --> 00:41:29 them and add more to get to their full

00:41:29 --> 00:41:32 structure so it'll be an ongoing thing

00:41:32 --> 00:41:34 multiplied by however many

00:41:34 --> 00:41:36 constellations are created to do the

00:41:36 --> 00:41:38 same thing so but it isn't also like

00:41:38 --> 00:41:40 that is easily recoverable that's a lot

00:41:40 --> 00:41:43 of resources that we're just losing yeah

00:41:43 --> 00:41:46 exactly um now I could imagine a much

00:41:46 --> 00:41:47 further future where instead of things

00:41:47 --> 00:41:50 being retired by deorbiting them you

00:41:50 --> 00:41:52 retire them by boosting them to kind of

00:41:52 --> 00:41:54 graveyard orbits and have something

00:41:54 --> 00:41:55 there collecting them and melting them

00:41:55 --> 00:41:58 down for the materials H but that's why

00:41:58 --> 00:41:59 in the future because that will be a lot

00:41:59 --> 00:42:01 more expensive it's cheaper at the

00:42:01 --> 00:42:03 minute to just throw them away I mean we

00:42:03 --> 00:42:05 see with recycling efforts that there's

00:42:05 --> 00:42:07 not much motivation to recycle when

00:42:07 --> 00:42:10 making things from new products is still

00:42:10 --> 00:42:13 cheaper yeah well if I could solve the

00:42:13 --> 00:42:16 latency problem that would maybe help

00:42:16 --> 00:42:18 cure it as well but how do you do that

00:42:18 --> 00:42:20 relay stations on Earth I don't know I

00:42:20 --> 00:42:23 don't know but uh yeah that that's a

00:42:23 --> 00:42:25 really fascinating story I know Fred and

00:42:25 --> 00:42:26 I have talked about it before but it's

00:42:26 --> 00:42:28 worth revisiting and uh yeah the

00:42:28 --> 00:42:31 information just keeps evolving over

00:42:31 --> 00:42:34 time and we're not nearly at capacity

00:42:35 --> 00:42:36 yet with these constellations if you'd

00:42:36 --> 00:42:39 like to read it uh as jonty said it's uh

00:42:39 --> 00:42:42 on the website

00:42:42 --> 00:42:44 indiatoday.in that brings us to the end

00:42:44 --> 00:42:45 of the show don't forget to visit our

00:42:45 --> 00:42:48 website or our social media sites plenty

00:42:48 --> 00:42:50 of things to see and do there uh if you

00:42:50 --> 00:42:52 have any thoughts on any of the things

00:42:52 --> 00:42:54 we've discussed by all means uh send us

00:42:54 --> 00:42:56 a message via our website just there's a

00:42:56 --> 00:42:59 little button up top of our homepage um

00:42:59 --> 00:43:02 AMA where you can send us messages and

00:43:02 --> 00:43:04 audio questions or whatever you like

00:43:04 --> 00:43:05 Space Nuts

00:43:05 --> 00:43:09 podcast.com or SPAC nuts. is the place

00:43:09 --> 00:43:12 to go John D thank you so much we're at

00:43:12 --> 00:43:14 the end we'll catch up with you real

00:43:14 --> 00:43:16 soon it's absolute pleasure thank you

00:43:16 --> 00:43:18 for having me uh Johny Horner professor

00:43:18 --> 00:43:20 of astrophysics at the University of

00:43:20 --> 00:43:22 Southern Queensland thanks to Hugh in

00:43:22 --> 00:43:25 the studio who um well he he couldn't be

00:43:25 --> 00:43:27 with us today cuz he got hit by a piece

00:43:27 --> 00:43:29 of SpaceX

00:43:29 --> 00:43:33 satellite uh no no he didn't maybe he

00:43:33 --> 00:43:34 did I don't know I've been seen it for

00:43:34 --> 00:43:36 ages and from me Andrew Dunley thanks

00:43:36 --> 00:43:37 very much for your company we'll catch

00:43:37 --> 00:43:40 you on the next episode of Space Nuts

00:43:40 --> 00:43:42 bye for now Space Nuts you'll be

00:43:42 --> 00:43:45 listening to the Space Nuts

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00:43:59 --> 00:44:02 from ds.com