Runaway Black Hole Confirmed, Mercury Still Active & 2032 Moon Impact Risk
Space News TodayJanuary 29, 202600:20:1518.55 MB

Runaway Black Hole Confirmed, Mercury Still Active & 2032 Moon Impact Risk

Join hosts Anna and Avery for an exciting journey through today's most compelling space stories. We explore Mercury's surprising geological activity, NASA's TESS satellite recovery, a frigid Earth-like exoplanet discovery, an accelerated ISS crew launch, runaway black holes tearing through space, and the scientific opportunities of a potential lunar asteroid impact in 2032.

### Episode Highlights

**Mercury's Hidden Activity**

New research reveals that Mercury, long considered geologically dead, is still actively losing volatile materials from its interior. Using AI analysis of 100,000 MESSENGER images, scientists have mapped 400 bright slope streaks that indicate ongoing geological processes. The BepiColombo mission will provide unprecedented new data when it arrives at Mercury.

**TESS Satellite Recovery**

NASA's planet-hunting TESS satellite recently entered safe mode after a command error caused solar panel misalignment. The spacecraft successfully recovered, demonstrating the importance of built-in safeguards. NASA is reviewing procedures to prevent future incidents.

**Ice-Cold Earth Twin**

Astronomers have discovered HD 137010 b, an Earth-like exoplanet 146 light-years away that could be as cold as minus 90°F. Despite frigid temperatures, it orbits within its star's habitable zone, offering insights into the diversity of potentially habitable worlds.

**Crew-12 Launch Advanced**

SpaceX and NASA have moved up the Crew-12 launch to February 11, four days earlier than planned, to provide relief for the three-person skeleton crew managing the ISS after the first-ever medical evacuation from the station.

**Runaway Black Holes Confirmed**

The James Webb Space Telescope has confirmed the first runaway supermassive black hole, ejected from its galaxy and leaving a 200,000 light-year trail of newborn stars. Traveling at 1,600 km/s, this discovery validates 50-year-old theoretical predictions.

**Moon Impact Opportunity**

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4% chance of striking the Moon on December 22, 2032. While posing risks to satellites and Earth, such an impact would provide unprecedented scientific data on lunar geology, create spectacular meteor displays, and deliver free lunar samples to Earth.

### Featured Stories

1. **Mercury Still Geologically Active** - University of Bern researchers discover 400 bright streaks indicating ongoing volatile loss (Source: Space Daily)

2. **TESS Satellite Command Error** - NASA's exoplanet hunter recovers from safe mode after solar panel misalignment (Source: Daily Galaxy)

3. **Frigid Earth-Like Planet Discovery** - HD 137010 b joins the search for Earth's twin despite extreme cold (Source: Daily Galaxy)

4. **ISS Crew-12 Launch Moved Up** - February 11 launch provides relief after historic medical evacuation (Source: Space.com)

5. **First Confirmed Runaway Black Hole** - JWST observations validate theoretical predictions with stunning stellar trail (Source: Phys.org/Science Sources)

6. **Asteroid 2024 YR4 Lunar Impact** - 4% chance creates scientific opportunity and satellite risk in 2032 (Source: Universe Today)

### Hosts

Anna and Avery

### Links & Resources

- Website: astronomydaily.io

- Social Media: @AstroDailyPod (X, Facebook, Instagram, YouTube)

- Subscribe for daily space news and updates


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Kind: captions Language: en
00:00:00 --> 00:00:03 Welcome to Astronomy [music] Daily, your

00:00:03 --> 00:00:05 source for the latest space and

00:00:05 --> 00:00:07 astronomy news. I'm Anna.

00:00:07 --> 00:00:09 >> And I'm Avery. Thanks for joining us on

00:00:09 --> 00:00:11 this Thursday, February 29th, [music]

00:00:11 --> 00:00:14 2026. We've got a fascinating lineup

00:00:14 --> 00:00:16 today, covering everything from

00:00:16 --> 00:00:18 Mercury's surprising geological activity

00:00:18 --> 00:00:20 to a possible [music] asteroid impact on

00:00:20 --> 00:00:21 the moon.

00:00:21 --> 00:00:24 >> That's right. We're going to explore

00:00:24 --> 00:00:26 bright streaks on Mercury that suggest

00:00:26 --> 00:00:29 [music] our smallest planet is still

00:00:29 --> 00:00:32 geologically active. Check in on NASA's

00:00:32 --> 00:00:34 [music] test satellite after a command

00:00:34 --> 00:00:36 error temporarily sidelined it. And

00:00:36 --> 00:00:39 discuss the discovery of an intriguing

00:00:39 --> 00:00:41 Earthlike exoplanet that's much [music]

00:00:41 --> 00:00:43 colder than you might expect. Plus,

00:00:43 --> 00:00:45 we'll bring you updates on NASA and

00:00:45 --> 00:00:48 SpaceX moving up the Crew 12 launch to

00:00:48 --> 00:00:49 help out the skeleton crew [music]

00:00:49 --> 00:00:50 currently on the International Space

00:00:50 --> 00:00:52 Station. Then we'll dive into the wild

00:00:52 --> 00:00:55 world of runaway black holes tearing

00:00:55 --> 00:00:57 through space and wrap up with what

00:00:57 --> 00:00:59 could be a once-in-a-lifetime [music]

00:00:59 --> 00:01:01 scientific opportunity if an asteroid

00:01:01 --> 00:01:03 hits the moon in 2032.

00:01:03 --> 00:01:05 >> It's quite a ride today. [music] Let's

00:01:06 --> 00:01:08 get started with some surprising news

00:01:08 --> 00:01:10 from the innermost planet in our solar

00:01:10 --> 00:01:11 system.

00:01:11 --> 00:01:14 >> Mercury has long been viewed as a small

00:01:14 --> 00:01:16 geologically dead world, but new

00:01:16 --> 00:01:18 research is challenging that assumption

00:01:18 --> 00:01:21 in a big way. A team led by researchers

00:01:21 --> 00:01:23 at the University of Burn has uncovered

00:01:23 --> 00:01:25 hundreds of bright linear streaks on

00:01:26 --> 00:01:28 crater slopes that point to ongoing

00:01:28 --> 00:01:30 volcanic activity and volatile loss from

00:01:30 --> 00:01:32 Mercury's interior.

00:01:32 --> 00:01:35 >> This is really fascinating work, Avery.

00:01:35 --> 00:01:37 The team applied deep learning

00:01:37 --> 00:01:40 techniques to analyze about 100

00:01:40 --> 00:01:43 highresolution images taken by NASA's

00:01:43 --> 00:01:45 Messenger spacecraft during its orbital

00:01:45 --> 00:01:49 mission from 2011 to 2015. Using this

00:01:49 --> 00:01:51 automated approach, they mapped the

00:01:51 --> 00:01:54 global distribution of roughly 400

00:01:54 --> 00:01:56 bright streaks that had previously

00:01:56 --> 00:01:59 escaped comprehensive cataloging.

00:01:59 --> 00:02:01 >> And what they found was pretty telling.

00:02:01 --> 00:02:03 These features, known as slope lineier,

00:02:03 --> 00:02:05 occur preferentially on sun-facing

00:02:06 --> 00:02:08 slopes inside relatively young impact

00:02:08 --> 00:02:10 craters that cut through thick volcanic

00:02:10 --> 00:02:12 deposits. The concentration of streaks

00:02:12 --> 00:02:15 in these thermally stressed environments

00:02:15 --> 00:02:17 indicates that solar heating is an

00:02:17 --> 00:02:19 important trigger for volatile escape

00:02:19 --> 00:02:21 from near surface layers. Much of these

00:02:22 --> 00:02:24 streaks originate in small bright

00:02:24 --> 00:02:27 depressions called hollows that dot

00:02:27 --> 00:02:29 crater floors and walls. These hollows

00:02:29 --> 00:02:31 have long been interpreted as products

00:02:31 --> 00:02:33 of volatile loss and their close

00:02:34 --> 00:02:36 association with the lineier supports

00:02:36 --> 00:02:39 the view that both structures form when

00:02:39 --> 00:02:41 volatile components like sulfur or other

00:02:41 --> 00:02:43 light elements escape from the

00:02:43 --> 00:02:45 subsurface.

00:02:45 --> 00:02:47 >> According to the research team, fracture

00:02:47 --> 00:02:49 networks created by the original impact

00:02:49 --> 00:02:51 events likely provide pathways that

00:02:51 --> 00:02:53 allow volatile rich material from deeper

00:02:53 --> 00:02:56 levels to reach the surface. As solar

00:02:56 --> 00:02:58 radiation warms these exposed zones,

00:02:58 --> 00:03:01 volatiles can escape into space, driving

00:03:01 --> 00:03:03 the development or modification of the

00:03:03 --> 00:03:06 bright streaks down slope. What's

00:03:06 --> 00:03:08 particularly exciting is the timing.

00:03:08 --> 00:03:11 This research arrives just as the joint

00:03:11 --> 00:03:14 ESA and JAXA Becky Columbbo mission is

00:03:14 --> 00:03:16 on route to Mercury. The mission carries

00:03:16 --> 00:03:19 an advanced payload that includes

00:03:19 --> 00:03:21 several key contributions from the

00:03:21 --> 00:03:22 University of Burn.

00:03:22 --> 00:03:25 >> Absolutely. The Becky Columbbo laser

00:03:25 --> 00:03:27 altimeter or Bella was designed and

00:03:27 --> 00:03:30 built in part at the University of Burn.

00:03:30 --> 00:03:32 It will use laser pulses from an orbit

00:03:32 --> 00:03:35 roughly a thousand km above the surface

00:03:35 --> 00:03:38 to measure elevations with about 10 cm

00:03:38 --> 00:03:40 precision, enabling a detailed

00:03:40 --> 00:03:42 reconstruction of Mercury's topography.

00:03:42 --> 00:03:45 The burn team also contributed the ion

00:03:45 --> 00:03:48 optical system for Stroio, a NASA mass

00:03:48 --> 00:03:51 spectrometer on Bey Columbo that will

00:03:51 --> 00:03:53 measure the composition of Mercury's

00:03:53 --> 00:03:56 extremely thin atmosphere, connecting

00:03:56 --> 00:03:58 present-day volatile escape at the

00:03:58 --> 00:04:01 surface to the surrounding exosphere.

00:04:01 --> 00:04:02 The research team plans to use the

00:04:02 --> 00:04:05 current inventory of slope streaks as a

00:04:05 --> 00:04:07 baseline for future comparisons once

00:04:07 --> 00:04:10 Beepy Columbbo begins returning data. By

00:04:10 --> 00:04:12 imaging key regions again, they aim to

00:04:12 --> 00:04:14 determine whether new streaks have

00:04:14 --> 00:04:16 formed or existing ones have changed

00:04:16 --> 00:04:19 since the messenger era. Any such

00:04:19 --> 00:04:21 changes would provide strong evidence

00:04:21 --> 00:04:23 that volatiled driven processes are

00:04:23 --> 00:04:25 still reshaping Mercury's surface on

00:04:25 --> 00:04:27 human [snorts] time scales.

00:04:27 --> 00:04:29 >> It's a great reminder that even our

00:04:29 --> 00:04:31 smallest, closest planetary neighbor

00:04:32 --> 00:04:34 still has secrets to reveal. Mercury is

00:04:34 --> 00:04:36 far more dynamic than we thought.

00:04:36 --> 00:04:38 Shifting from Mercury to our planet

00:04:38 --> 00:04:40 hunting efforts, NASA's Transiting

00:04:40 --> 00:04:43 Exoplanet Survey Satellite, or TESS,

00:04:43 --> 00:04:45 recently had a bit of a scare when a

00:04:45 --> 00:04:47 command error temporarily knocked it

00:04:47 --> 00:04:49 offline. Right, the spacecraft was

00:04:50 --> 00:04:51 forced into safe mode after an

00:04:52 --> 00:04:53 unexpected command error caused its

00:04:53 --> 00:04:56 solar panels to misalign with the sun.

00:04:56 --> 00:04:58 This misalignment had serious

00:04:58 --> 00:04:59 consequences because the panels were

00:05:00 --> 00:05:02 unable to charge Tessa's batteries,

00:05:02 --> 00:05:03 leading to a low power condition that

00:05:04 --> 00:05:05 triggered the automatic transition to

00:05:05 --> 00:05:07 safe mode. In safe mode, all

00:05:08 --> 00:05:10 non-essential systems are turned off to

00:05:10 --> 00:05:11 conserve power, and the spacecraft

00:05:12 --> 00:05:13 awaits further instructions from ground

00:05:14 --> 00:05:16 controllers. NASA engineers quickly work

00:05:16 --> 00:05:18 to resolve the issue. And fortunately,

00:05:18 --> 00:05:21 TESS safe mode performed as intended,

00:05:21 --> 00:05:23 protecting the spacecraft from permanent

00:05:23 --> 00:05:25 damage. This incident is actually

00:05:25 --> 00:05:28 reminiscent of past missing failures.

00:05:28 --> 00:05:31 Remember Viking 1 back in 1982? A faulty

00:05:31 --> 00:05:34 command caused the loss of communication

00:05:34 --> 00:05:36 and there was that catastrophic series

00:05:36 --> 00:05:38 of events that nearly destroyed the SOHO

00:05:38 --> 00:05:41 probe in 1998. But unlike those cases,

00:05:42 --> 00:05:44 TESS was fortunate to have safeguards in

00:05:44 --> 00:05:45 place.

00:05:45 --> 00:05:47 >> Exactly. The spacecraft's automatic safe

00:05:47 --> 00:05:49 mode kicked in when the power situation

00:05:49 --> 00:05:51 became critical. The safe mode is

00:05:52 --> 00:05:53 designed to preserve the spacecraft's

00:05:53 --> 00:05:56 core functions such as attitude control

00:05:56 --> 00:05:58 and ensure it can be reactivated once

00:05:58 --> 00:06:00 engineers identify and address the

00:06:00 --> 00:06:02 issue. According to NASA, the mission

00:06:02 --> 00:06:04 team is now reviewing and updating

00:06:04 --> 00:06:06 procedures to prevent this command error

00:06:06 --> 00:06:08 from happening in the future. It's a

00:06:08 --> 00:06:10 good reminder that even with advanced

00:06:10 --> 00:06:12 technology, human error remains a

00:06:12 --> 00:06:14 significant challenge in space

00:06:14 --> 00:06:15 operations.

00:06:15 --> 00:06:18 >> Absolutely. While Tessa's recovery was

00:06:18 --> 00:06:20 successful and demonstrates how far

00:06:20 --> 00:06:22 space mission technology has come, this

00:06:22 --> 00:06:24 incident emphasizes the need for

00:06:24 --> 00:06:26 continued vigilance in mission planning.

00:06:26 --> 00:06:29 The risk of human error is always there

00:06:29 --> 00:06:31 and the consequences can be costly in

00:06:31 --> 00:06:33 terms of both time and resources.

00:06:33 --> 00:06:35 >> The good news is that TESS is back

00:06:35 --> 00:06:37 online and continuing its important work

00:06:38 --> 00:06:40 of hunting for exoplanets, which brings

00:06:40 --> 00:06:42 us nicely to our next story about a

00:06:42 --> 00:06:45 newly discovered Earthlike world.

00:06:45 --> 00:06:47 Speaking of exoplanets, astronomers have

00:06:47 --> 00:06:49 just discovered what might be one of the

00:06:49 --> 00:06:51 closest things we have to Earth's twin,

00:06:52 --> 00:06:54 though it's considerably colder than our

00:06:54 --> 00:06:56 home planet. The exoplanet is called

00:06:56 --> 00:07:00 HD137010b,

00:07:00 --> 00:07:03 and it's located 146 lighty years away.

00:07:03 --> 00:07:05 It's slightly larger than Earth and

00:07:05 --> 00:07:07 orbits a star that resembles our sun.

00:07:07 --> 00:07:09 However, despite its similarities to

00:07:09 --> 00:07:11 Earth in terms of size and orbital

00:07:11 --> 00:07:14 period, its surface could be far colder

00:07:14 --> 00:07:16 than even Mars, potentially reaching a

00:07:16 --> 00:07:22 frigid -90° F or -68° C.

00:07:22 --> 00:07:24 >> This discovery was published in the

00:07:24 --> 00:07:26 astrophysical journal Letters and was

00:07:26 --> 00:07:29 made by an international team led by

00:07:29 --> 00:07:31 Alexander Venner. The search for

00:07:31 --> 00:07:34 Earthlike exoplanets has been a central

00:07:34 --> 00:07:37 focus of astronomical research for over

00:07:37 --> 00:07:40 three decades now. Dr. Hang, a key

00:07:40 --> 00:07:41 member of the research team, explained

00:07:41 --> 00:07:43 it well when he said, "Since the

00:07:43 --> 00:07:45 discovery of the first exoplanet 30

00:07:45 --> 00:07:47 years ago, we've always tried to find

00:07:48 --> 00:07:51 Earth's Trin. HD137010b

00:07:51 --> 00:07:53 could bring us closer to that goal,

00:07:53 --> 00:07:56 although it's not an exact match. The

00:07:56 --> 00:07:58 planet is positioned in what astronomers

00:07:58 --> 00:08:00 call the habitable zone of its star,

00:08:00 --> 00:08:02 which is the area where water could

00:08:02 --> 00:08:04 potentially exist in liquid form, which

00:08:04 --> 00:08:06 is crucial for life as we know it.

00:08:06 --> 00:08:09 However, there's a major obstacle.

00:08:09 --> 00:08:14 >> Right? The star HD137010b

00:08:14 --> 00:08:16 orbits is cooler and dimmer than our

00:08:16 --> 00:08:19 sun, meaning the planet receives only a

00:08:19 --> 00:08:22 fraction of the energy Earth does. This

00:08:22 --> 00:08:24 could result in surface temperatures as

00:08:24 --> 00:08:28 low as -90° F, making it one of the

00:08:28 --> 00:08:30 coldest exoplanets discovered in recent

00:08:30 --> 00:08:33 years. But scientists remain hopeful.

00:08:34 --> 00:08:35 Dr. Venner pointed out that while the

00:08:35 --> 00:08:38 planet's surface might be frozen, it

00:08:38 --> 00:08:39 could still fall within the broader

00:08:39 --> 00:08:42 optimistic habitable zone of its star.

00:08:42 --> 00:08:44 With the right atmospheric conditions,

00:08:44 --> 00:08:47 HD137010b

00:08:47 --> 00:08:49 might not be as inhospitable as its

00:08:49 --> 00:08:51 temperature suggests. One of the

00:08:52 --> 00:08:53 challenges of studying this planet is

00:08:54 --> 00:08:56 its orbital distance from its star,

00:08:56 --> 00:08:58 which is similar to Earth's, but much

00:08:58 --> 00:09:00 farther than the typical exoplanets that

00:09:00 --> 00:09:03 are easier to observe. Transits, when

00:09:03 --> 00:09:05 the planet crosses in front of its star,

00:09:05 --> 00:09:08 happen less frequently, making it harder

00:09:08 --> 00:09:10 to confirm the planet's existence.

00:09:10 --> 00:09:12 >> The discovery was made from a single

00:09:12 --> 00:09:15 transit captured by NASA's Kepler Space

00:09:15 --> 00:09:17 Telescope. Further confirmation of the

00:09:17 --> 00:09:19 planet's existence and detailed analysis

00:09:19 --> 00:09:22 of its mass and atmosphere will require

00:09:22 --> 00:09:24 more data, which might not be possible

00:09:24 --> 00:09:26 until the next generation of telescopes

00:09:26 --> 00:09:28 become operational.

00:09:28 --> 00:09:30 >> It's an exciting discovery that adds to

00:09:30 --> 00:09:32 our understanding of the types of

00:09:32 --> 00:09:33 environments where life could

00:09:33 --> 00:09:36 potentially exist beyond our solar

00:09:36 --> 00:09:41 system. Even if HD137010B

00:09:41 --> 00:09:43 is too cold for life as we know it, it

00:09:43 --> 00:09:45 teaches us valuable lessons about

00:09:45 --> 00:09:47 planetary habitability.

00:09:47 --> 00:09:49 >> Now, let's turn our attention back to

00:09:49 --> 00:09:52 Earth orbit and the International Space

00:09:52 --> 00:09:54 Station. NASA has announced an earlier

00:09:54 --> 00:09:56 than expected target date to launch the

00:09:56 --> 00:09:59 next astronauts to the ISS.

00:09:59 --> 00:10:01 >> That's right. The agency is now

00:10:01 --> 00:10:04 targeting February 11th for liftoff of

00:10:04 --> 00:10:07 Space X Crew 12 mission, which will fly

00:10:07 --> 00:10:09 four astronauts to join the skeleton

00:10:09 --> 00:10:11 crew presently operating the orbital

00:10:11 --> 00:10:14 laboratory. That's 4 days earlier than

00:10:14 --> 00:10:16 originally planned.

00:10:16 --> 00:10:18 >> Just to give everyone context, currently

00:10:18 --> 00:10:20 only three crew members are covering the

00:10:20 --> 00:10:22 maintenance and science investigations

00:10:22 --> 00:10:25 aboard the ISS. They were left behind on

00:10:25 --> 00:10:27 January 14th by the early departure of

00:10:27 --> 00:10:30 crew 11 on the station's first ever

00:10:30 --> 00:10:33 medical evacuation. The crew 12

00:10:33 --> 00:10:35 astronauts were already in line to take

00:10:35 --> 00:10:38 the crew 11's quartet's place, but they

00:10:38 --> 00:10:40 had originally been scheduled to overlap

00:10:40 --> 00:10:43 with them before their return to Earth.

00:10:43 --> 00:10:45 SpaceX and NASA had originally targeted

00:10:45 --> 00:10:48 February 15th for Crew 12's launch, but

00:10:48 --> 00:10:50 managed to get the mission's Crew Dragon

00:10:50 --> 00:10:53 spacecraft and Falcon 9 rocket ready

00:10:53 --> 00:10:54 ahead of schedule.

00:10:54 --> 00:10:57 >> The Crew 12 team includes NASA

00:10:57 --> 00:10:59 astronauts Jessica Mir, who's the

00:10:59 --> 00:11:01 mission commander, and Jack Hathaway as

00:11:02 --> 00:11:04 pilot. The mission specialists are

00:11:04 --> 00:11:07 Sophie Adinot of the European Space

00:11:07 --> 00:11:10 Agency, and Ross Cosmos cosminaut Andre

00:11:10 --> 00:11:13 Fedyv. Interestingly, Fedyav was a

00:11:13 --> 00:11:15 relatively late replacement for

00:11:15 --> 00:11:17 cosminaut Alleg Ardmiv, who was pulled

00:11:18 --> 00:11:20 off crew 12 in early December, possibly

00:11:20 --> 00:11:23 for violating US national security

00:11:23 --> 00:11:26 regulations. This quartet will fly the

00:11:26 --> 00:11:28 Crew Dragon capsule named Grace to the

00:11:28 --> 00:11:31 ISS for a longer than normal assignment

00:11:31 --> 00:11:33 lasting 9 months instead of the typical

00:11:33 --> 00:11:35 6 months. It'll be the second space

00:11:35 --> 00:11:38 flight for both Mayor and Fedyav, while

00:11:38 --> 00:11:41 Hathaway and Adeno are both spaceflight

00:11:41 --> 00:11:42 rookies headed to orbit for the first

00:11:42 --> 00:11:45 time. The launch window opens on

00:11:45 --> 00:11:48 February 11th at 6:00 a.m. Eastern time

00:11:48 --> 00:11:50 from launch complex 40 at Cape Canaveral

00:11:50 --> 00:11:53 Space Force Station in Florida. If they

00:11:53 --> 00:11:55 don't manage to launch that day, there

00:11:55 --> 00:11:57 are backup opportunities on February

00:11:57 --> 00:12:00 12th and 13th. The crew 12 astronauts

00:12:00 --> 00:12:02 will join NASA Chris Williams and

00:12:02 --> 00:12:05 cosminauts Sergey Kuds Verskovv and

00:12:05 --> 00:12:08 Serge Mikayv as part of ISS expedition

00:12:08 --> 00:12:11 74 which will eventually transition to

00:12:11 --> 00:12:14 expedition 75 before the end of crew

00:12:14 --> 00:12:16 12's rotation. It's great to see the

00:12:16 --> 00:12:18 relief crew heading up sooner to help

00:12:18 --> 00:12:20 out the skeleton crew currently managing

00:12:20 --> 00:12:21 the station.

00:12:22 --> 00:12:24 >> Now for something truly mindbending.

00:12:24 --> 00:12:27 Astronomers have confirmed the first

00:12:27 --> 00:12:29 runaway super massive black hole, and

00:12:29 --> 00:12:32 it's leaving quite a trail behind it.

00:12:32 --> 00:12:35 >> This is wild stuff, Anna. The black hole

00:12:35 --> 00:12:37 was identified by a 200 light-year

00:12:37 --> 00:12:40 tail and a supersonic bow shock in the

00:12:40 --> 00:12:43 cosmic owl galaxy, which is actually a

00:12:43 --> 00:12:46 pair of ring galaxies about 8.8 billion

00:12:46 --> 00:12:48 lightyears away. The rings appear as owl

00:12:48 --> 00:12:50 eyes as they get closer and closer to

00:12:50 --> 00:12:53 merging. The research led by Peter von

00:12:53 --> 00:12:56 Dakam from Yale's astronomy department

00:12:56 --> 00:12:58 was confirmed using observations from

00:12:58 --> 00:13:01 the James Webb Space Telescope. The

00:13:01 --> 00:13:03 central proposal is that this linear

00:13:03 --> 00:13:06 feature is the wake behind a runaway

00:13:06 --> 00:13:08 super massive black hole and this is

00:13:08 --> 00:13:11 strongly supported by their analysis.

00:13:11 --> 00:13:12 >> But how does something weighing

00:13:12 --> 00:13:14 potentially millions or even billions of

00:13:14 --> 00:13:16 times the mass of our sun get kicked out

00:13:16 --> 00:13:19 of a galaxy? The answer lies in galaxy

00:13:19 --> 00:13:22 mergers. When big galaxies collide and

00:13:22 --> 00:13:24 merge, they force the black holes at

00:13:24 --> 00:13:26 their respective centers into close

00:13:26 --> 00:13:27 proximity.

00:13:27 --> 00:13:29 >> Right? If two black holes become locked

00:13:29 --> 00:13:31 in a gravitational dance and then a

00:13:31 --> 00:13:33 third crashes in from another emerging

00:13:33 --> 00:13:36 galaxy, the resulting instability can

00:13:36 --> 00:13:38 hurl one of the trio away at sufficient

00:13:38 --> 00:13:42 speed to exit the host galaxy entirely.

00:13:42 --> 00:13:43 This can happen through two main

00:13:43 --> 00:13:44 mechanisms.

00:13:44 --> 00:13:47 >> The first is gravitational wave recoil.

00:13:47 --> 00:13:49 When black holes merge, they emitate

00:13:49 --> 00:13:51 gravitational waves that can give the

00:13:51 --> 00:13:54 resulting black hole a velocity boost of

00:13:54 --> 00:13:56 up to several thousand km/s,

00:13:56 --> 00:13:58 propelling it away from the galactic

00:13:58 --> 00:13:59 center.

00:13:59 --> 00:14:01 >> The second mechanism is the classical

00:14:01 --> 00:14:04 slingshot scenario. In this case, a

00:14:04 --> 00:14:06 longived binary black hole forms through

00:14:06 --> 00:14:09 a merger of two galaxies. When a third

00:14:09 --> 00:14:11 super massive black hole is introduced

00:14:11 --> 00:14:13 in a second merger, the threebody

00:14:13 --> 00:14:15 interaction can eject one of the black

00:14:15 --> 00:14:17 holes, usually the lightest one.

00:14:18 --> 00:14:20 >> What's particularly striking about this

00:14:20 --> 00:14:22 confirmed runaway black hole is the

00:14:22 --> 00:14:24 trail it leaves behind. As the black

00:14:24 --> 00:14:26 hole plows through intergalactic space,

00:14:26 --> 00:14:28 it compresses tenuous gas in front of

00:14:28 --> 00:14:31 it, which precipitates the birth of hot

00:14:31 --> 00:14:34 blue stars. This creates a 200

00:14:34 --> 00:14:37 lightyear long contrail of young stars.

00:14:37 --> 00:14:39 The black hole also generates a bow

00:14:39 --> 00:14:41 shock at the head of this week.

00:14:41 --> 00:14:42 Something the researchers predicted

00:14:42 --> 00:14:45 based on shock models. From the ages of

00:14:45 --> 00:14:47 the stars in the trail, they deduced

00:14:47 --> 00:14:49 that the black hole escaped about 40

00:14:49 --> 00:14:51 million years ago and is barreling

00:14:51 --> 00:14:54 through space at roughly 1 km per

00:14:54 --> 00:14:55 second.

00:14:55 --> 00:14:57 >> To put that in perspective, that's fast

00:14:57 --> 00:14:59 enough to travel from Earth to the moon

00:14:59 --> 00:15:02 in about 14 minutes. It's an incredible

00:15:02 --> 00:15:05 speed for something so massive. Recent

00:15:05 --> 00:15:07 papers have shown images of surprisingly

00:15:07 --> 00:15:09 straight streaks of stars within

00:15:09 --> 00:15:11 galaxies that seem to be convincing

00:15:11 --> 00:15:14 evidence for runaway black holes. One

00:15:14 --> 00:15:16 paper describes a very distant galaxy

00:15:16 --> 00:15:18 imaged by James Webb with a bright

00:15:18 --> 00:15:21 contrail suggesting a black hole with a

00:15:21 --> 00:15:23 mass 10 million times the mass of the

00:15:23 --> 00:15:24 sun.

00:15:24 --> 00:15:26 >> It's a reminder that the universe is

00:15:26 --> 00:15:28 even more dynamic and violent than we

00:15:28 --> 00:15:30 often imagine. These behemoths aren't

00:15:30 --> 00:15:32 just sitting quietly at the centers of

00:15:32 --> 00:15:34 galaxies. Some of them are literally

00:15:34 --> 00:15:36 tearing through space, creating new

00:15:36 --> 00:15:37 stars in their wake.

00:15:37 --> 00:15:39 >> And finally, let's talk about an

00:15:39 --> 00:15:42 upcoming event that has both exciting

00:15:42 --> 00:15:45 scientific potential and some concerning

00:15:45 --> 00:15:49 risks. On December 22nd, 2032, asteroid

00:15:49 --> 00:15:54 2024 YR4 has a 4% chance of actually

00:15:54 --> 00:15:55 striking the moon.

00:15:55 --> 00:15:58 >> A 4% chance might not sound like much,

00:15:58 --> 00:16:01 but it's definitely non-negligible. If

00:16:01 --> 00:16:03 this collision does happen, it will

00:16:03 --> 00:16:05 release enough energy to be the

00:16:05 --> 00:16:07 equivalent of smacking our nearest

00:16:07 --> 00:16:09 neighbor with a medium-sized thermal

00:16:09 --> 00:16:11 nuclear weapon. It would be six orders

00:16:11 --> 00:16:13 of magnitude more powerful than the last

00:16:13 --> 00:16:15 major impact on the moon, which happened

00:16:16 --> 00:16:17 back in 2013.

00:16:17 --> 00:16:20 >> A new paper from Yeon Hei of Chin Wua

00:16:20 --> 00:16:21 University looks at the potential

00:16:22 --> 00:16:23 scientific opportunities if this

00:16:23 --> 00:16:25 collision occurs. And while they can

00:16:25 --> 00:16:27 simulate models of how the impact will

00:16:28 --> 00:16:30 go, monitoring it as it happens will

00:16:30 --> 00:16:32 provide never before collected actual

00:16:32 --> 00:16:35 data that's infeasible to get any other

00:16:35 --> 00:16:35 way.

00:16:35 --> 00:16:37 >> The impact would vaporize rock and

00:16:37 --> 00:16:39 plasma and would be clearly visible from

00:16:39 --> 00:16:41 the Pacific region where it will be

00:16:42 --> 00:16:44 nighttime during the impact. Even days

00:16:44 --> 00:16:46 after the impact, the melt pool of the

00:16:46 --> 00:16:49 impacted material will still be cooling,

00:16:49 --> 00:16:51 allowing infrared observers like the

00:16:51 --> 00:16:53 James Web Space Telescope to capture

00:16:53 --> 00:16:55 plenty of data. The impact should form a

00:16:55 --> 00:16:59 crater roughly 1 kilometer wide and 150

00:16:59 --> 00:17:03 to 260 m deep with a 100 meter pool of

00:17:03 --> 00:17:06 molten rock at the center. Comparing it

00:17:06 --> 00:17:08 in size to other craters scattered

00:17:08 --> 00:17:10 around the moon will help us understand

00:17:10 --> 00:17:12 its bombardment history.

00:17:12 --> 00:17:14 >> The impact will also set off a global

00:17:14 --> 00:17:17 moon quake of magnitude 5.0. That would

00:17:17 --> 00:17:19 be the strongest moonquake yet detected

00:17:19 --> 00:17:22 by any seismometer on the moon. Watching

00:17:22 --> 00:17:24 the propagation of the moonquake will

00:17:24 --> 00:17:26 shine a light on the moon's interior and

00:17:26 --> 00:17:28 help researchers understand its

00:17:28 --> 00:17:28 composition.

00:17:28 --> 00:17:30 >> And here's where it gets really

00:17:30 --> 00:17:32 spectacular. A final piece of the

00:17:32 --> 00:17:34 scientific puzzle will be the debris

00:17:34 --> 00:17:38 field created by the blast. Up to 400 kg

00:17:38 --> 00:17:41 of lunar material is expected to survive

00:17:41 --> 00:17:43 re-entry to Earth, creating essentially

00:17:43 --> 00:17:46 a free largecale lunar sample return

00:17:46 --> 00:17:48 mission. At its peak, right around

00:17:48 --> 00:17:51 Christmas of 2032, simulations expect up

00:17:51 --> 00:17:53 to 20 million meteors per hour to hit

00:17:54 --> 00:17:55 our atmosphere, at least on the leading

00:17:56 --> 00:17:57 edge of the planet. Most of them would

00:17:58 --> 00:17:59 have naked eye visibility, including

00:17:59 --> 00:18:03 some 100 to 400 fireballs per hour. But

00:18:03 --> 00:18:06 there is a downside to all of this. That

00:18:06 --> 00:18:09 400 kg of meteors has to land somewhere.

00:18:09 --> 00:18:11 And it looks like the crosshairs fall

00:18:11 --> 00:18:13 squarely on South America, North Africa,

00:18:13 --> 00:18:16 and the Arabian Peninsula. A few

00:18:16 --> 00:18:18 kilograms of space rock falling on Dubai

00:18:18 --> 00:18:20 could certainly cause some damage.

00:18:20 --> 00:18:22 >> Perhaps more dangerous is the risk of

00:18:22 --> 00:18:24 satellite mega constellations that play

00:18:24 --> 00:18:26 such an important role in our modern-day

00:18:26 --> 00:18:29 navigation and internet systems. Such an

00:18:29 --> 00:18:31 event could trigger Kesler syndrome and

00:18:31 --> 00:18:33 bring the entire network down over the

00:18:34 --> 00:18:36 span of a few short years while also

00:18:36 --> 00:18:38 locking us out from being able to get

00:18:38 --> 00:18:40 anything else safely into orbit for much

00:18:40 --> 00:18:43 longer. Due to the risks, some space

00:18:43 --> 00:18:44 agencies are already considering a

00:18:44 --> 00:18:46 deflection mission that would bump

00:18:46 --> 00:18:50 asteroid 2024 YR4 out of the way of a

00:18:50 --> 00:18:52 potential lunar collision. But that

00:18:52 --> 00:18:54 hasn't been set in stone yet. Neither

00:18:54 --> 00:18:57 has the actual impact itself with only a

00:18:57 --> 00:18:59 4% chance of happening. If the odds

00:18:59 --> 00:19:02 increase over the coming years, we as a

00:19:02 --> 00:19:04 species will have to decide whether it's

00:19:04 --> 00:19:07 worth it to deflect it or not. If we do,

00:19:07 --> 00:19:08 we might miss out on a whole bunch of

00:19:08 --> 00:19:11 cool science, but we also might save our

00:19:11 --> 00:19:13 entire orbital infrastructure and the

00:19:13 --> 00:19:14 few lives directly to boot.

00:19:14 --> 00:19:16 >> And that wraps up today's episode of

00:19:16 --> 00:19:19 Astronomy Daily. From Mercury's

00:19:19 --> 00:19:21 surprising activity to a possible lunar

00:19:21 --> 00:19:24 impact in our future, space continues to

00:19:24 --> 00:19:26 surprise and amaze us.

00:19:26 --> 00:19:27 >> Thanks for joining us today. For more

00:19:28 --> 00:19:30 space news and to explore our archive of

00:19:30 --> 00:19:31 episodes, visit our website at

00:19:31 --> 00:19:34 astronomydaily.io.

00:19:34 --> 00:19:36 You can also find us on social media at

00:19:36 --> 00:19:39 Astro Daily Pod on X, Facebook,

00:19:39 --> 00:19:40 Instagram, and YouTube.

00:19:40 --> 00:19:42 >> If you enjoyed today's show, please

00:19:42 --> 00:19:43 subscribe on your favorite podcast

00:19:43 --> 00:19:45 platform and leave us a review. It

00:19:45 --> 00:19:47 really helps other space enthusiasts

00:19:47 --> 00:19:48 find us.

00:19:48 --> 00:19:50 >> Until next time, keep looking up.

00:19:50 --> 00:19:53 >> Clear skies, everyone. Astronomy [music]

00:19:53 --> 00:19:55 day. [singing]

00:19:55 --> 00:20:03 Stories been told.

00:20:03 --> 00:20:11 Stories to tell.

00:20:11 --> 00:20:13 [singing]