Jupiter's Cosmic Blueprint, White Dwarf Feasts & Chiron's Evolving Rings
Space Nuts: Astronomy Insights & Cosmic DiscoveriesOctober 31, 2025
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Jupiter's Cosmic Blueprint, White Dwarf Feasts & Chiron's Evolving Rings

Jupiter's Influence, Hungry White Dwarfs, and Chiron's Rings
In this captivating episode of Space Nuts, hosts Andrew Dunkley and Professor Jonti Horner explore the dynamic forces shaping our solar system and beyond. From the pivotal role of Jupiter in planetary formation to the intriguing behaviors of white dwarfs and the rapid evolution of Chiron's ring system, this episode is packed with cosmic revelations and scientific insights.
Episode Highlights:
Jupiter's Role in the Solar System: Andrew and Jonti discuss a recent study that sheds light on how Jupiter's formation influenced the architecture of our solar system, potentially determining the locations and characteristics of the terrestrial planets. They delve into the gravitational effects Jupiter has on the inner solar system and how it may have created conditions favorable for planet formation.
White Dwarf Devours Planetary Material: The hosts examine a fascinating case of a white dwarf star that has been observed consuming heavy elements from a planetesimal. They explain the implications of this discovery, including the potential for ongoing planetary activity around aging stars and what it suggests about the fate of planetary systems.
Chiron's Evolving Ring System: The episode features a discussion about Chiron, the icy centaur that has recently been found to have a developing ring system. Andrew and Jonti explore the significance of this discovery, the potential origins of the rings, and what this tells us about the dynamic processes at play in the outer solar system.
Exoplanet Life Candidates: The hosts wrap up with a critical look at claims surrounding a newly discovered exoplanet that is being touted as a potential candidate for life. They discuss the importance of scientific accuracy in media reporting and the implications of misrepresenting findings in the search for extraterrestrial life.
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Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.

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00:00:00 --> 00:00:02 Andrew Dunkley: Hello, thanks for joining us. This is Space

00:00:02 --> 00:00:04 Nuts. My name is Andrew Dunkley, and we're

00:00:04 --> 00:00:07 here to talk astronomy and space science. And

00:00:07 --> 00:00:09 on this episode, we are going to look at a

00:00:09 --> 00:00:12 study into Jupiter's role in shaping

00:00:12 --> 00:00:15 our solar system. What shape is that?

00:00:15 --> 00:00:18 It's rhomboid. No, we don't know. we're also

00:00:18 --> 00:00:21 going to look at a, white dwarf star that's

00:00:21 --> 00:00:23 chowing down on a planetesimal. Sounds

00:00:23 --> 00:00:26 appetizing. observing a rapidly

00:00:26 --> 00:00:28 developing ring system, and it's not far

00:00:28 --> 00:00:31 away. And if we've got time, an exoplanet

00:00:31 --> 00:00:33 that in inverted commas may

00:00:34 --> 00:00:37 be a life candidate. That's all coming up on

00:00:37 --> 00:00:40 space nuts. 15 seconds. Guidance is

00:00:40 --> 00:00:42 internal. 10, 9.

00:00:43 --> 00:00:46 Ignition sequence start. space nuts. 5, 4,

00:00:46 --> 00:00:48 3, 2. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 5,

00:00:49 --> 00:00:50 4, 3, 2, 1.

00:00:50 --> 00:00:51 Jonti Horner: Space nuts.

00:00:51 --> 00:00:54 Andrew Dunkley: Astronauts report it feels good. And it's

00:00:54 --> 00:00:56 good to have Jonti Horner back with us again.

00:00:56 --> 00:00:58 Professor of astrophysics at the University

00:00:58 --> 00:01:01 of Southern Queensland. Hi, Jonti.

00:01:01 --> 00:01:02 Jonti Horner: Good evening. How are you going?

00:01:02 --> 00:01:04 Andrew Dunkley: I am well. Good to see you.

00:01:04 --> 00:01:06 Jonti Horner: Oh, it's good to be back. Although I'm

00:01:06 --> 00:01:08 admittedly a bit of a zombie, so I warn

00:01:08 --> 00:01:10 everybody, I've had less sleep than I should

00:01:10 --> 00:01:11 have done in the last couple of days because

00:01:11 --> 00:01:14 of the weather. we had some weather happen on

00:01:14 --> 00:01:17 Sunday, which led to the power here being

00:01:17 --> 00:01:19 knocked out for 24 hours during a mini heat

00:01:19 --> 00:01:21 wave. So I didn't get much sleep then. And

00:01:21 --> 00:01:23 then this morning I've got a colleague from

00:01:23 --> 00:01:25 Japan visiting, so I had to pick him, his

00:01:25 --> 00:01:27 wife and their two lovely daughters up from

00:01:27 --> 00:01:29 Brisbane Airport. So I've had six hours of

00:01:29 --> 00:01:31 driving today off the back of two nights of

00:01:31 --> 00:01:34 not much sleep. So if I seem less coherent

00:01:34 --> 00:01:35 than normal, and I appreciate I'm normally

00:01:35 --> 00:01:38 not that coherent to begin with, you know

00:01:38 --> 00:01:39 why, of course.

00:01:39 --> 00:01:42 Andrew Dunkley: Yes, we've all been there. we've had dreadful

00:01:42 --> 00:01:44 weather here too. But it hasn't been the

00:01:44 --> 00:01:46 extreme heat, it's been the extreme wind.

00:01:47 --> 00:01:49 I got woken up, last night about

00:01:49 --> 00:01:52 1am by the Fly, screens rattling. It

00:01:52 --> 00:01:55 was so windy. Yes, they, they were just

00:01:55 --> 00:01:56 shuddering. And I thought, I can't live with

00:01:56 --> 00:01:57 this.

00:01:57 --> 00:01:57 Jonti Horner: So I went outside.

00:01:58 --> 00:02:00 Andrew Dunkley: It was freezing cold, supposed to be late

00:02:00 --> 00:02:03 spring here, and I

00:02:03 --> 00:02:05 just jammed some wood chips

00:02:06 --> 00:02:09 into the. I just went off to the

00:02:09 --> 00:02:11 garden and grabbed some mulch and shoved it

00:02:11 --> 00:02:14 in the wind in, in the fly screens to stop

00:02:14 --> 00:02:14 them rattling.

00:02:14 --> 00:02:15 Jonti Horner: It worked.

00:02:15 --> 00:02:17 Andrew Dunkley: I've done it better during the day, but,

00:02:17 --> 00:02:19 well, that's just Been ridiculous.

00:02:19 --> 00:02:21 Jonti Horner: I know your parents. I mean having said that

00:02:21 --> 00:02:23 we had heat wave conditions and couldn't

00:02:23 --> 00:02:25 sleep because of the heat, I'm happ confess

00:02:25 --> 00:02:26 that I've had the wood serve on today because

00:02:26 --> 00:02:29 having had 36, 38 degrees so

00:02:29 --> 00:02:32 that's around 100 for our American friends

00:02:33 --> 00:02:36 last few days. Today has been a toasty kind

00:02:36 --> 00:02:38 of 15 degrees. and we've got a rain event

00:02:38 --> 00:02:41 happening. so we've had everything in the

00:02:41 --> 00:02:44 last week we've had kind of almost tornadic

00:02:44 --> 00:02:46 storms, we've had hailstones the size of your

00:02:46 --> 00:02:48 fists, we've had under a kilometer an hour

00:02:48 --> 00:02:50 gusts and now we've got random cold that

00:02:50 --> 00:02:53 makes me feel like I'm back in the uk. So

00:02:53 --> 00:02:55 yeah, all happening. And this is why

00:02:55 --> 00:02:56 Australia is an interesting place to live

00:02:56 --> 00:02:58 even to the extent that with the

00:02:58 --> 00:03:00 thunderstorms. We had got an email through

00:03:00 --> 00:03:02 yesterday that our wonderful observatory,

00:03:02 --> 00:03:04 Queensland's only professional astronomical

00:03:04 --> 00:03:06 observatory in Mount Kent was closed

00:03:06 --> 00:03:07 yesterday. We weren't allowed to go there

00:03:08 --> 00:03:10 because there was a bushfire within 10km of

00:03:10 --> 00:03:12 it that had been sparked by the lightning

00:03:12 --> 00:03:15 from the storms and fanned by the heat wave

00:03:15 --> 00:03:18 in a place that got lightning but no rain. So

00:03:18 --> 00:03:19 ah, it's all happening here.

00:03:20 --> 00:03:23 Andrew Dunkley: Yes, dry storms are not uncommon where I am.

00:03:23 --> 00:03:25 We we do get quite a few storms every year

00:03:25 --> 00:03:28 with lightning and thunder and nothing else.

00:03:28 --> 00:03:31 and they, yeah, they're very well known for

00:03:31 --> 00:03:32 sparking bushfires.

00:03:32 --> 00:03:33 Jonti Horner: Yeah.

00:03:33 --> 00:03:34 So while we're on the diversion of the

00:03:34 --> 00:03:36 weather, actually I'll apologize for Maya the

00:03:36 --> 00:03:38 dog chirping in the background but my

00:03:38 --> 00:03:40 partner's just got home. But we're also

00:03:40 --> 00:03:42 sitting here with an incredibly heartbreaking

00:03:42 --> 00:03:45 record, record breaking storm in the

00:03:45 --> 00:03:48 Caribbean. Yes, I know she's just come

00:03:48 --> 00:03:50 home. Thank you for joining me with the

00:03:50 --> 00:03:53 podcast Happy Dog. but yeah, there's

00:03:53 --> 00:03:55 borderline record breaking storm in the

00:03:55 --> 00:03:57 Caribbean which is going to be a Category 5

00:03:57 --> 00:03:59 hurricane hitting Jamaica and doing a, ah,

00:04:00 --> 00:04:01 hell of a lot of damage. And it's one of

00:04:01 --> 00:04:03 these that from a scientist point of view,

00:04:03 --> 00:04:06 fascinating watching it looking at the radar

00:04:05 --> 00:04:08 footage and all the satellite footage and on

00:04:08 --> 00:04:10 one hand you've got this thing of incredible

00:04:10 --> 00:04:12 exceptional beauty and on the other hand the

00:04:12 --> 00:04:14 devastation it's going to cause. So the

00:04:14 --> 00:04:16 people in the, in the firing line for that.

00:04:16 --> 00:04:18 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I saw the satellite images this

00:04:18 --> 00:04:20 afternoon. It is enormous.

00:04:20 --> 00:04:23 Jonti Horner: Yeah, you look at the false color one

00:04:23 --> 00:04:24 with the color of the clouds which is an

00:04:24 --> 00:04:26 indication of the severity of the storm and

00:04:26 --> 00:04:28 the shape and it's the kind of thing that you

00:04:28 --> 00:04:30 only see with the strongest storms we've ever

00:04:30 --> 00:04:33 seen, typically in the Pacific. So for this

00:04:33 --> 00:04:36 thing to not only be happening in the

00:04:36 --> 00:04:38 Atlantic, which is less common, but

00:04:38 --> 00:04:41 to be, you know, crosshairs on Jamaica,

00:04:41 --> 00:04:43 which has had a bit of a charmed life with

00:04:43 --> 00:04:45 some sacks of the high mountains that tend to

00:04:45 --> 00:04:47 bounce and go around a bit. This one looks

00:04:47 --> 00:04:49 like it's not so much going to bounce a

00:04:49 --> 00:04:49 splat.

00:04:49 --> 00:04:52 Andrew Dunkley: So yeah, when we were in Panama earlier

00:04:52 --> 00:04:55 this year, we did the Panama Canal and

00:04:55 --> 00:04:57 they were saying that they never get

00:04:57 --> 00:04:58 hurricanes ever.

00:05:00 --> 00:05:02 Jonti Horner: Too equatorial is my understanding. You need

00:05:02 --> 00:05:04 to be far enough away from the equator to get

00:05:04 --> 00:05:06 enough spin so. So it's very rare that you

00:05:06 --> 00:05:09 get storms getting right up to the equator

00:05:09 --> 00:05:11 because coriolis force and things like that.

00:05:11 --> 00:05:13 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, yeah, it's interesting, isn't it?

00:05:13 --> 00:05:16 Very interesting. Okay, we better get

00:05:16 --> 00:05:19 on with what we came here to get on with. And

00:05:19 --> 00:05:22 we're going to start with a study that's

00:05:22 --> 00:05:24 been released into Jupiter's role in shaping

00:05:24 --> 00:05:26 the solar system. Now I do recall Fred

00:05:26 --> 00:05:29 mentioning that Jupiter, if Jupiter

00:05:29 --> 00:05:32 didn't exist we wouldn't. And this study

00:05:32 --> 00:05:35 basically adds a lot of fuel to that claim.

00:05:35 --> 00:05:38 Jonti Horner: It does. Now where Fred said,

00:05:38 --> 00:05:40 Fred and other people talk about if Jupiter

00:05:40 --> 00:05:43 didn't exist then we probably wouldn't. Ties

00:05:43 --> 00:05:45 into something that's a pretty big

00:05:46 --> 00:05:49 myth in science communication, Ansel in

00:05:49 --> 00:05:51 science papers and stuff, which is the idea

00:05:51 --> 00:05:54 of Jupiter shielding us from impacts. And my

00:05:54 --> 00:05:57 most favorite piece of research I ever did in

00:05:57 --> 00:05:58 my career is proving that to be a lot of

00:05:58 --> 00:06:00 cobblers and it's actually a lot more

00:06:00 --> 00:06:02 complicated. Jupiter throws things at us as

00:06:02 --> 00:06:05 well as protecting us. So I've always got a

00:06:05 --> 00:06:07 bit of an eye on any study that says, hey

00:06:07 --> 00:06:09 guys, if Jupiter wasn't there, neither would

00:06:09 --> 00:06:11 we. But this is a really interesting one that

00:06:11 --> 00:06:14 looks an entirely different aspect of

00:06:14 --> 00:06:16 Jupiter, which is the role that Jupiter

00:06:16 --> 00:06:18 played on the formation and evolution of the

00:06:18 --> 00:06:21 early solar system, the formation of the

00:06:21 --> 00:06:23 planets. And I've actually been teaching

00:06:23 --> 00:06:25 planet formation this week to my undergrad

00:06:25 --> 00:06:27 students. I've just, prior to recording this,

00:06:27 --> 00:06:29 had a two hour tutorial with them where I've

00:06:29 --> 00:06:31 been talking about planet formation and

00:06:31 --> 00:06:34 brought this story up because it

00:06:34 --> 00:06:37 really highlights the fact that when we

00:06:37 --> 00:06:40 often see in documentaries and the stuff we

00:06:40 --> 00:06:43 get taught at school, we get the impression

00:06:43 --> 00:06:45 that everything's solved, that we know the

00:06:45 --> 00:06:47 answers, that we know full well how the

00:06:47 --> 00:06:49 planets formed in microscopic detail and

00:06:49 --> 00:06:52 we've got everything figured out and the

00:06:52 --> 00:06:54 Reality is that we haven't. We have a really

00:06:54 --> 00:06:57 good broad picture and we're getting better

00:06:57 --> 00:06:59 and better at understanding the processes

00:06:59 --> 00:07:01 that went on. But there's still a lot to

00:07:01 --> 00:07:02 learn. And part of that is that while we've

00:07:02 --> 00:07:04 known the solar system since the year dot,

00:07:05 --> 00:07:07 we've only known other planetary systems for

00:07:07 --> 00:07:10 the last 30 years. And in reality we're still

00:07:10 --> 00:07:11 learning an awful lot about the planetary

00:07:11 --> 00:07:14 systems we find elsewhere. And learning about

00:07:14 --> 00:07:16 them is cool and all, but it also gives us

00:07:16 --> 00:07:18 insights that help us better understand our

00:07:18 --> 00:07:20 planetary system and how it formed. And that

00:07:20 --> 00:07:23 ties into this because the more we

00:07:23 --> 00:07:25 study those other planetary systems, the more

00:07:25 --> 00:07:27 we're getting observations of really

00:07:27 --> 00:07:30 beautiful things like planetary systems that

00:07:30 --> 00:07:31 are in formation, where you've got a

00:07:31 --> 00:07:34 protoplanetary disk. And we're getting these

00:07:34 --> 00:07:37 gorgeous images from things like the

00:07:37 --> 00:07:39 ALMA array, the Ataccama Large Millimeter

00:07:39 --> 00:07:42 Array that shows disks of planet

00:07:42 --> 00:07:44 forming material around stars with gaps in

00:07:44 --> 00:07:46 them and ripples in them and bands in them,

00:07:46 --> 00:07:49 and all these beautiful structures. And some

00:07:49 --> 00:07:50 of these have been previous astronomy.

00:07:50 --> 00:07:53 Picture of the days where this ties into the

00:07:53 --> 00:07:56 solar system is if you imagine that kind of

00:07:56 --> 00:07:58 stereotypical image of a

00:07:58 --> 00:08:00 protoplanetary disk, a disk of gas and dust

00:08:00 --> 00:08:03 around a young star like the sun, where

00:08:03 --> 00:08:05 material is feeding in through that disk to

00:08:05 --> 00:08:08 the star. So while the gas and dust is

00:08:08 --> 00:08:09 orbiting the star, there is this kind of

00:08:09 --> 00:08:12 sense of inward motion where the stars kind

00:08:12 --> 00:08:14 of nominating at the inner edge of the disk,

00:08:14 --> 00:08:16 materials falling in, and more material from

00:08:16 --> 00:08:18 outside flowing in to replace it. Yeah, and

00:08:18 --> 00:08:21 some of the models of the formation of the

00:08:21 --> 00:08:23 solar system struggle to make the terrestrial

00:08:23 --> 00:08:26 planets as a result of that. Because the

00:08:26 --> 00:08:27 material in the inner solar system is

00:08:27 --> 00:08:30 destined to fall onto M the star. And how do

00:08:30 --> 00:08:32 you stop that happening to let that material

00:08:32 --> 00:08:35 hang around to actually form into planets?

00:08:35 --> 00:08:37 Now it's been pretty well established for a

00:08:37 --> 00:08:39 long time that the first planet that formed

00:08:39 --> 00:08:41 in the solar system and got to a good size

00:08:41 --> 00:08:43 was Jupiter. And there's good reasons for

00:08:43 --> 00:08:46 that. It formed far enough away from the sun

00:08:46 --> 00:08:48 that the temperature was cold enough that the

00:08:48 --> 00:08:51 disk was rich in ice, which at, the

00:08:51 --> 00:08:53 distance the Earth is from the sun, all that

00:08:53 --> 00:08:55 ice would be gas. when you're forming solid

00:08:55 --> 00:08:57 objects, you need solid objects to feed from.

00:08:58 --> 00:08:59 And so when you've got a lot of ice, you've

00:08:59 --> 00:09:01 got a lot more solids. So things grow

00:09:01 --> 00:09:04 quicker, there's a lot more to eat. And it's

00:09:04 --> 00:09:06 only when you get to about 10 or 12 times the

00:09:06 --> 00:09:08 Mass of the Earth that You're massive enough

00:09:08 --> 00:09:10 to effectively start gobbling up the gas as

00:09:10 --> 00:09:13 well. So Jupiter formed beyond this point

00:09:13 --> 00:09:14 called the snow line, where there's a lot

00:09:14 --> 00:09:17 more solid material. It got to grow really

00:09:17 --> 00:09:20 quickly. It grew quicker than things further

00:09:20 --> 00:09:21 out because the further out you go, the

00:09:21 --> 00:09:23 slower things happen. So Jupiter was very

00:09:23 --> 00:09:25 much in the sweet spot, grew really quickly

00:09:25 --> 00:09:27 and eventually got big enough that it started

00:09:27 --> 00:09:29 clearing the gas and the dust it could gather

00:09:29 --> 00:09:32 the gas as well. And it opened up a gap in

00:09:32 --> 00:09:34 the disk. And that's very analogous to what

00:09:34 --> 00:09:36 we're seeing with these beautiful images from

00:09:36 --> 00:09:38 ALMA places like this. So the team of

00:09:38 --> 00:09:41 researchers behind this work have run some

00:09:41 --> 00:09:44 really in depth computer modeling of the

00:09:44 --> 00:09:46 formation of the solar system formation of

00:09:46 --> 00:09:48 Jupiter, and showed that when Jupiter opens

00:09:48 --> 00:09:51 up the gap in the disk, its gravity will

00:09:51 --> 00:09:53 also have an impact on the inner solar

00:09:53 --> 00:09:55 system. It'll effectively create the

00:09:55 --> 00:09:58 gravitational equivalent of speed bumps,

00:09:58 --> 00:10:00 creating areas where the dust that's

00:10:00 --> 00:10:02 spiraling inwards can pile up and be

00:10:02 --> 00:10:05 stopped from traveling further in.

00:10:05 --> 00:10:08 Effectively. It also creates

00:10:08 --> 00:10:10 a gap between the in run out of solar system

00:10:10 --> 00:10:12 that nothing crosses because if anything gets

00:10:12 --> 00:10:15 in that gap, Jupiter noms on it. And that's

00:10:15 --> 00:10:17 really interesting because some studies that

00:10:17 --> 00:10:19 have looked at primordial material we've

00:10:19 --> 00:10:21 found from in the solar system suggests that

00:10:21 --> 00:10:23 there is a bit of a chemical difference

00:10:23 --> 00:10:25 between material that formed in the inner

00:10:25 --> 00:10:27 solar system and material that formed in the

00:10:27 --> 00:10:29 outer solar system. So this gap

00:10:29 --> 00:10:32 dividing the two gives a natural way for that

00:10:32 --> 00:10:35 to happen. But the really big exciting result

00:10:35 --> 00:10:38 from this is really that modeling of

00:10:38 --> 00:10:40 the structure that Jupiter would have imposed

00:10:40 --> 00:10:42 on the inner solar system. These kind of pile

00:10:42 --> 00:10:44 up regions where you get more m dust and

00:10:44 --> 00:10:47 debris than normal, the structures that, that

00:10:47 --> 00:10:49 would carve out ripples in the disk

00:10:49 --> 00:10:51 effectively and how that would then

00:10:51 --> 00:10:53 contribute to the formation of the

00:10:53 --> 00:10:55 terrestrial planets. and therefore suggesting

00:10:55 --> 00:10:57 that not only did Jupiter help the

00:10:57 --> 00:11:00 terrestrial planets form by creating sweet

00:11:00 --> 00:11:02 spots where material could pile up, but it

00:11:02 --> 00:11:04 may also have had a really strong influence

00:11:04 --> 00:11:06 on the architecture of the inner solar system

00:11:06 --> 00:11:08 by setting where the planets would form,

00:11:09 --> 00:11:11 which then would go through a bit of a

00:11:11 --> 00:11:13 randomization phase as everything collides

00:11:13 --> 00:11:15 with each other. But it kind of possibly set

00:11:15 --> 00:11:18 the blueprint for the inner solar system. And

00:11:18 --> 00:11:20 therefore, if Jupiter hadn't formed where it

00:11:20 --> 00:11:22 did and how it did, the Earth would look

00:11:22 --> 00:11:24 very, very different and we might not be

00:11:24 --> 00:11:24 here.

00:11:25 --> 00:11:27 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it's truly fascinating. And

00:11:27 --> 00:11:30 when you look at other systems that

00:11:30 --> 00:11:33 we've discovered, exoplanet solar systems,

00:11:33 --> 00:11:36 ours is starting to look a little bit more

00:11:36 --> 00:11:39 unusual than normal. and

00:11:39 --> 00:11:40 Jupiter may be the reason.

00:11:41 --> 00:11:43 Jonti Horner: It could well be. And it's one of those

00:11:43 --> 00:11:45 things, I'm reminded of the Monty Python

00:11:45 --> 00:11:47 thing. I think it's in Life of Brian, where

00:11:47 --> 00:11:48 you've got that thing of we're all

00:11:48 --> 00:11:50 individuals. Yes, we're. No, we're not. I'm

00:11:50 --> 00:11:53 not. Every

00:11:53 --> 00:11:55 planetary system is going to be unique

00:11:55 --> 00:11:58 because it is influenced by

00:11:58 --> 00:12:01 such a wide variety of things going on. Even

00:12:01 --> 00:12:03 the stars that form in the local

00:12:03 --> 00:12:04 neighborhood, whittling it away from the

00:12:04 --> 00:12:07 outside, it all starts going on. But what

00:12:07 --> 00:12:09 we're seeing is there's a commonality among a

00:12:09 --> 00:12:11 lot of the planetary systems that we find

00:12:11 --> 00:12:13 that look very different to ours.

00:12:14 --> 00:12:16 The thing that gives us a little bit of pause

00:12:16 --> 00:12:17 though, is that we have these observational

00:12:17 --> 00:12:19 biases that make us more likely to find

00:12:19 --> 00:12:22 systems that are different to ours than we

00:12:22 --> 00:12:24 are to find systems like ours. And so you've

00:12:24 --> 00:12:27 always got that question of do we look

00:12:27 --> 00:12:30 unusual because we are unusual,

00:12:30 --> 00:12:31 or do we look unusual because we're not yet

00:12:31 --> 00:12:33 very good at finding places that look like

00:12:33 --> 00:12:35 home? and that's where colleagues of mine,

00:12:35 --> 00:12:37 like professor, Rob Wittenmayer, my colleague

00:12:37 --> 00:12:40 at unisq, have done really interesting

00:12:40 --> 00:12:43 work where what they

00:12:43 --> 00:12:46 do is look at what we found, but work

00:12:46 --> 00:12:49 out what doesn't exist

00:12:49 --> 00:12:52 based on what we haven't found yet. So they

00:12:52 --> 00:12:54 can start getting an estimate of how common

00:12:54 --> 00:12:57 our, ah, planetary systems like ours based on

00:12:57 --> 00:12:59 the fact we haven't found them yet. And it's

00:12:59 --> 00:13:02 a really kind of weird type of science where

00:13:02 --> 00:13:05 the absence of finding thing places limits on

00:13:05 --> 00:13:08 how common that thing is. So if you said

00:13:08 --> 00:13:10 that every star had a planet exactly like the

00:13:10 --> 00:13:12 Earth, on an orbit that's one year long that

00:13:12 --> 00:13:14 is exactly the same size as us and all the

00:13:14 --> 00:13:16 rest of it, then we can work out

00:13:16 --> 00:13:18 statistically, based on how good our

00:13:18 --> 00:13:21 telescopes are and our techniques are, how

00:13:21 --> 00:13:23 many of those planets we would have found.

00:13:23 --> 00:13:24 And we wouldn't have found anywhere near all

00:13:24 --> 00:13:26 of them because it's really hard to do. But

00:13:26 --> 00:13:28 we'd have found X amount. And the fact that

00:13:28 --> 00:13:30 we've only found a very small number smaller

00:13:30 --> 00:13:33 than that places an upper limit on how common

00:13:33 --> 00:13:36 things can be. So you get this perverse

00:13:36 --> 00:13:39 science where you get the observations

00:13:39 --> 00:13:40 that tell us what we found and what we've

00:13:40 --> 00:13:43 seen, but you can also put inferences on

00:13:43 --> 00:13:45 what isn't there and what is there based on

00:13:45 --> 00:13:47 what we haven't found yet, which allows you

00:13:47 --> 00:13:49 to put limits on how common things are that

00:13:49 --> 00:13:52 you couldn't really find very easily. Which,

00:13:52 --> 00:13:54 if that makes your head hurt. it makes my

00:13:54 --> 00:13:56 head hurt a little bit as well. But it's a

00:13:56 --> 00:13:59 really kind of clever use of the data we get

00:13:59 --> 00:14:01 to extrapolate further and draw more

00:14:01 --> 00:14:04 conclusions. And the net result of that is

00:14:04 --> 00:14:07 that the solar system is not hugely rare, but

00:14:07 --> 00:14:10 it's not common either. It's usual.

00:14:10 --> 00:14:11 And, that's really cool. And that probably

00:14:11 --> 00:14:13 extends to everything. Like I say, we're all

00:14:13 --> 00:14:16 individuals. The Earth, even though it's

00:14:16 --> 00:14:18 peeing it down outside at the minute, the

00:14:18 --> 00:14:20 Earth's actually a very dry planet. If you

00:14:20 --> 00:14:22 took all the water off the Earth and made a

00:14:22 --> 00:14:23 little blob of it next to the Earth, that

00:14:23 --> 00:14:25 blob would be fairly tiny. And everybody

00:14:25 --> 00:14:27 views the Earth as being very wet, but I view

00:14:27 --> 00:14:30 it as being very dry because water is such a

00:14:30 --> 00:14:33 common compound in the universe. It's made of

00:14:33 --> 00:14:36 the first and third most common atom. You put

00:14:36 --> 00:14:37 them together. Yet water waters everywhere.

00:14:37 --> 00:14:40 So for the Earth to be as dry as it is is

00:14:40 --> 00:14:42 telling you a lot about the uniqueness of the

00:14:42 --> 00:14:44 solar system. And maybe that's partially

00:14:44 --> 00:14:46 because of Jupiter. Not, necessarily

00:14:46 --> 00:14:48 shielding us from impacts, but preventing

00:14:48 --> 00:14:51 that icy material spiraling in, preventing

00:14:51 --> 00:14:54 us from becoming an ocean world. It's also

00:14:54 --> 00:14:56 partly down to the moon forming impact. The

00:14:56 --> 00:14:57 moon forming impact would have stripped a lot

00:14:57 --> 00:14:59 of the primordial Earth's water away because

00:14:59 --> 00:15:02 it walked as light and sits near the surface.

00:15:02 --> 00:15:05 So a lot about our Earth and a lot about the

00:15:05 --> 00:15:08 solar system is down to the random nature of

00:15:08 --> 00:15:11 the events around us. When we formed the moon

00:15:11 --> 00:15:13 forming impact, a nearby star going

00:15:13 --> 00:15:15 supernova and lacing our solar system with

00:15:15 --> 00:15:17 radioactive aluminium. Things like this.

00:15:17 --> 00:15:19 There's all these oddities that made our

00:15:19 --> 00:15:22 solar system unique, but if those

00:15:22 --> 00:15:23 hadn't happened, other things would have

00:15:23 --> 00:15:25 happened and we'd have still ended up with

00:15:25 --> 00:15:26 something unique because of other random

00:15:26 --> 00:15:27 things happening.

00:15:28 --> 00:15:30 It's all fascinating and I just love this

00:15:30 --> 00:15:30 stuff.

00:15:31 --> 00:15:33 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. And it adds more and more weight to the

00:15:33 --> 00:15:35 theory that we are just a freak accident.

00:15:36 --> 00:15:36 Jonti Horner: Yes.

00:15:37 --> 00:15:39 Andrew Dunkley: And probably a one off in the universe.

00:15:39 --> 00:15:41 That's one argument. So, yeah,

00:15:42 --> 00:15:45 who knows if, if we find a

00:15:45 --> 00:15:47 solar system just like ours, with a planet

00:15:47 --> 00:15:50 just like ours, orbiting a

00:15:50 --> 00:15:53 star just like ours. That would be

00:15:53 --> 00:15:56 the, you know, one of the greatest

00:15:56 --> 00:15:58 discoveries in astronomical history, I

00:15:58 --> 00:16:01 imagine. But no, we do that.

00:16:01 --> 00:16:02 Jonti Horner: We would have to get in touch with the planet

00:16:02 --> 00:16:04 builders at Magrathea and demand that money

00:16:04 --> 00:16:06 back. Because we thought we had a limited

00:16:06 --> 00:16:06 edition.

00:16:06 --> 00:16:09 Andrew Dunkley: Yes, yes. weren't they the white mice? Was

00:16:09 --> 00:16:10 that the white mice?

00:16:10 --> 00:16:11 Jonti Horner: Yes, it was.

00:16:11 --> 00:16:13 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. All right, if you want to read all

00:16:13 --> 00:16:15 about it, you can find, the paper,

00:16:16 --> 00:16:19 which was published in the journal Science

00:16:19 --> 00:16:20 Advances.

00:16:23 --> 00:16:25 Jonti Horner: Roger, your labs are here. Also space nuts.

00:16:26 --> 00:16:28 Andrew Dunkley: now, Jonti, let's move on to our next story.

00:16:28 --> 00:16:31 And this one is about a planetismal,

00:16:32 --> 00:16:35 that appears doomed. According to the, paper

00:16:35 --> 00:16:37 I'm reading, it's a white dwarf that's

00:16:37 --> 00:16:39 chowing down very, very hungry, hungry

00:16:39 --> 00:16:40 individual is this one.

00:16:41 --> 00:16:44 Jonti Horner: It is. So just to remind the audience, a

00:16:44 --> 00:16:47 white dwarf is the kind of little husk

00:16:47 --> 00:16:48 that's left after a cell like our sun comes

00:16:48 --> 00:16:51 to the end of its life, burns all its

00:16:51 --> 00:16:53 hydrogen, becomes a red giant, and then

00:16:53 --> 00:16:55 eventually blows off its outer layers. And it

00:16:55 --> 00:16:58 leaves a big chunk of the star's mass

00:16:58 --> 00:17:00 compressed into an object about the size of

00:17:00 --> 00:17:03 the Earth. That whole process will

00:17:03 --> 00:17:05 have a fairly hefty impact on the

00:17:05 --> 00:17:07 planetary system that star's got around it.

00:17:08 --> 00:17:09 And of course, as we just discussed, we now

00:17:09 --> 00:17:11 know that pretty much every star has planets.

00:17:12 --> 00:17:14 The expectation is that when the sun reaches

00:17:14 --> 00:17:16 this stage, unfortunately it's in about 7

00:17:16 --> 00:17:18 billion years, so nothing to worry about.

00:17:18 --> 00:17:20 Immediately it will swell up and it will

00:17:20 --> 00:17:23 chow down on Mercury and chow down on Venus.

00:17:23 --> 00:17:25 They'll just be swallowed up and gone. Yeah,

00:17:25 --> 00:17:27 There is some debate over whether the Earth

00:17:27 --> 00:17:30 will be swallowed up or will survive. Just

00:17:31 --> 00:17:33 all the models of star, evolution suggest

00:17:33 --> 00:17:35 that the sun will swell up to be about the

00:17:35 --> 00:17:37 radius of the Earth's orbit. But whether the

00:17:37 --> 00:17:39 Earth is there to nominal or not is still

00:17:39 --> 00:17:41 open for debate. It may be that the loss of

00:17:41 --> 00:17:44 mass from the sun in the time before may just

00:17:44 --> 00:17:46 mean that the Earth nudges far enough away to

00:17:46 --> 00:17:48 survive as a burnt husk rather than be

00:17:48 --> 00:17:51 devoured. It still would be ideal

00:17:51 --> 00:17:53 to be around when that wouldn't be pleasant.

00:17:53 --> 00:17:54 I mean, that said, the Earth is going to

00:17:54 --> 00:17:56 become uninhabitable a lot sooner than that

00:17:56 --> 00:17:58 because the Sun's getting brighter and the

00:17:58 --> 00:18:01 Earth's oceans will boil and it'll all go

00:18:01 --> 00:18:04 downhill. But after all that process

00:18:04 --> 00:18:06 happens when the sun sheds its outer layers,

00:18:07 --> 00:18:09 that'll have a pretty cataclysmic event on

00:18:09 --> 00:18:12 the planets and the debris that are left. So

00:18:12 --> 00:18:14 suddenly the sun goes on the ultimate kind of

00:18:14 --> 00:18:16 weight loss kick loses mass. And that

00:18:16 --> 00:18:18 will mean that all of the objects going

00:18:18 --> 00:18:21 around the sun will be held less strongly.

00:18:21 --> 00:18:23 And so therefore their orbits will move

00:18:23 --> 00:18:25 outwards because the gravity pulling them in

00:18:25 --> 00:18:28 gets weaker. Now, if you suddenly Press the

00:18:28 --> 00:18:30 button and vanished half of the mass of the

00:18:30 --> 00:18:33 Sun. What had happened is that the speed that

00:18:33 --> 00:18:35 any of the objects are going in their orbit

00:18:35 --> 00:18:37 will be too quick for that orbit to be

00:18:37 --> 00:18:40 circular. So at that instant, at that

00:18:40 --> 00:18:43 point, they'd now be at their new perihelion,

00:18:43 --> 00:18:44 they'd be at their closest point to the sun,

00:18:44 --> 00:18:45 and they'd all move out onto much more

00:18:45 --> 00:18:48 elongated orbits with a longer orbital

00:18:48 --> 00:18:51 period, but orbits that would then cross one

00:18:51 --> 00:18:53 another. So if you imagine you lose half of

00:18:53 --> 00:18:56 the Sun's mass, Jupiter moves onto an orbit

00:18:56 --> 00:18:58 where its perihelion is 5 au from the sun,

00:18:58 --> 00:19:00 but its aphelion could be 15 au from the Sun.

00:19:01 --> 00:19:03 Saturn at the same time would have perihelion

00:19:03 --> 00:19:06 at 10 au and aphelion at say 20 au. And I'm

00:19:06 --> 00:19:08 making the numbers up a bit here. So suddenly

00:19:08 --> 00:19:11 Jupiter and Saturn are on orbits that

00:19:11 --> 00:19:14 cross one another. Their orbits

00:19:14 --> 00:19:16 will probably still have the same ratio of

00:19:16 --> 00:19:19 orbital periods, so 12 years to 29 years. But

00:19:19 --> 00:19:21 they'd scale up to be something like, I don't

00:19:21 --> 00:19:23 know, 30 to 70 or something like that,

00:19:23 --> 00:19:25 because they've both moved out by the same

00:19:25 --> 00:19:27 amount. But suddenly you've got these planets

00:19:27 --> 00:19:29 that are on orbits that cross each other and

00:19:29 --> 00:19:32 therefore can really strongly interact. They

00:19:32 --> 00:19:33 can stir everything else up because all of

00:19:33 --> 00:19:35 the objects in the asteroid belt, all of the

00:19:35 --> 00:19:37 objects beyond Neptune, this happens to

00:19:37 --> 00:19:39 everything. Now the mass loss is a bit more

00:19:39 --> 00:19:42 gradual than that in actuality. So what

00:19:42 --> 00:19:44 happens is you get the orbit spiraling out,

00:19:44 --> 00:19:46 but getting perturbed, being made more

00:19:46 --> 00:19:48 eccentric. You've also got these objects

00:19:48 --> 00:19:51 moving through the headwind of possibly half

00:19:51 --> 00:19:53 a solar mass of material being blown

00:19:53 --> 00:19:55 outwards. That provides friction and so

00:19:55 --> 00:19:57 causes them possibly to spiral inwards a bit.

00:19:58 --> 00:20:00 Causes Jupiter potentially to gather mass as

00:20:00 --> 00:20:03 it numbs on all that gas that's going out. At

00:20:03 --> 00:20:04 the same time, its atmosphere is probably

00:20:04 --> 00:20:07 being blasted away by all this wind blowing

00:20:07 --> 00:20:10 past. All of this complexity means

00:20:10 --> 00:20:12 that you couldn't predict with absolute

00:20:12 --> 00:20:14 certainty what the solar system would look

00:20:14 --> 00:20:16 like at the end of this, but certainly

00:20:16 --> 00:20:19 there'd be a period of chaos. A lot of stuff

00:20:19 --> 00:20:21 would survive, but it would survive on orbits

00:20:21 --> 00:20:24 that are now much more unstable. So you get a

00:20:24 --> 00:20:26 lot of material flung inwards and, some of

00:20:26 --> 00:20:29 that will be flung inwards far enough for it

00:20:29 --> 00:20:31 to impact on the Earth sized object in the

00:20:31 --> 00:20:33 middle and, for the white dwarf to get a

00:20:33 --> 00:20:36 snack. Now all that's expected to happen

00:20:36 --> 00:20:38 really early on. And over time everything

00:20:38 --> 00:20:41 stabilizes out, things get flung around and

00:20:41 --> 00:20:44 clean up happens a bit like the

00:20:44 --> 00:20:45 solar system. You know, we were talking early

00:20:45 --> 00:20:47 on about the early stages of planet

00:20:47 --> 00:20:49 formation. Everything gets flung around and

00:20:49 --> 00:20:51 by the time you get to now, four and a half

00:20:51 --> 00:20:52 billion years down the road, it's fairly

00:20:52 --> 00:20:55 quiet. There's a bit going on, but most of

00:20:55 --> 00:20:57 the drama's finished. So the

00:20:57 --> 00:20:59 expectation is you'd see white dwarfs that

00:20:59 --> 00:21:02 are very young occasionally eating things

00:21:02 --> 00:21:04 because things get flung in and they get a

00:21:04 --> 00:21:06 bit of a snack. And the material from that

00:21:06 --> 00:21:08 snack will be spattered over the surface of

00:21:08 --> 00:21:10 the white dwarf and be visible in its

00:21:10 --> 00:21:13 spectrum as anomalous added

00:21:14 --> 00:21:16 solid material, heavy elements.

00:21:17 --> 00:21:19 But that signal would only last a short time

00:21:19 --> 00:21:21 because the outer layer of the white dwarf is

00:21:21 --> 00:21:24 kind of a hydrogen soup and heavier elements

00:21:24 --> 00:21:27 would sink down. So any given time you'd eat

00:21:27 --> 00:21:29 something. The evidence for that meal would

00:21:29 --> 00:21:31 only remain for a few tens of thousands of

00:21:31 --> 00:21:34 years, SOPs before it goes away. Okay, so

00:21:34 --> 00:21:36 the fact is we've seen some white dwarfs

00:21:36 --> 00:21:38 which have these anomalous heavy element

00:21:38 --> 00:21:41 readings in their atmospheres. We can tell

00:21:41 --> 00:21:42 they're eating stuff, but typically they're

00:21:42 --> 00:21:45 young. So you'd expect that.

00:21:45 --> 00:21:48 The quirky thing here is that this white

00:21:48 --> 00:21:49 dwarf, which goes by the name of

00:21:49 --> 00:21:52 lspm, which I think is a survey name,

00:21:52 --> 00:21:54 m followed by

00:21:54 --> 00:21:57 J020733331.

00:21:58 --> 00:22:00 So that's a coordinate on the sky. So that's

00:22:00 --> 00:22:01 telling you where in the sky this is. It's

00:22:01 --> 00:22:04 catalog number. Yeah, this thing is an old

00:22:04 --> 00:22:06 white dwarf. It's thought to be about 3

00:22:06 --> 00:22:08 billion years old. So in other words, the

00:22:08 --> 00:22:11 star that formed it died 3

00:22:11 --> 00:22:13 billion years ago and it's been sitting there

00:22:13 --> 00:22:16 minding its own business. That's old enough

00:22:16 --> 00:22:18 that you'd expect everything to have calmed

00:22:18 --> 00:22:20 down around it. But what the new

00:22:20 --> 00:22:23 observations have shown is evidence of

00:22:23 --> 00:22:25 13 different heavy elements,

00:22:26 --> 00:22:28 including carbon, chromium,

00:22:29 --> 00:22:32 strontium, titanium, a lot of these different

00:22:32 --> 00:22:35 elements, roughly in the kind of abundance as

00:22:35 --> 00:22:37 you'd see on the Earth, added, to this white

00:22:37 --> 00:22:40 dwarf's atmosphere. So it's

00:22:40 --> 00:22:42 obviously just had a meal and we know it's a

00:22:42 --> 00:22:44 case of just had a meal rather than it's been

00:22:44 --> 00:22:47 a leftover from a long time ago, because this

00:22:47 --> 00:22:49 stuff will sink and disappear over the next

00:22:49 --> 00:22:52 few tens of thousands of years. So what

00:22:52 --> 00:22:54 that means is that this white dwarf

00:22:55 --> 00:22:57 has just had a snack. Now it might have had

00:22:57 --> 00:23:00 that snack 30 years ago, or it

00:23:00 --> 00:23:03 may still be in the process of eating as

00:23:03 --> 00:23:05 we speak. Now what the team have been able to

00:23:05 --> 00:23:08 do is look at the amount of material you'd

00:23:08 --> 00:23:10 need to give the strength of signal you've

00:23:10 --> 00:23:12 got in the spectrum of the star. And, what

00:23:12 --> 00:23:14 they've calculated is that to get this amount

00:23:14 --> 00:23:17 of material you'd need to eat an asteroid

00:23:17 --> 00:23:19 about 200 kilometers in diameter.

00:23:20 --> 00:23:22 So that's comparable to some of the larger

00:23:22 --> 00:23:24 asteroids in the asteroid belt, but not the

00:23:24 --> 00:23:26 largest by any means. It's within the bounds

00:23:26 --> 00:23:28 of possibility of what we see here at home.

00:23:29 --> 00:23:31 But the real question is why is it eating it

00:23:31 --> 00:23:33 now? Why is this happening now when you'd

00:23:33 --> 00:23:35 expect the system to have had plenty of time

00:23:35 --> 00:23:37 to calm down? What

00:23:37 --> 00:23:40 it suggests to me, and it suggests in the

00:23:40 --> 00:23:42 paper, it suggests in the articles about this

00:23:42 --> 00:23:45 as well, is that the only way you can get

00:23:45 --> 00:23:48 something eating this late, after 3 billion

00:23:48 --> 00:23:50 years have passed, is if you've still got a

00:23:50 --> 00:23:53 number of planet mass objects in the system

00:23:53 --> 00:23:56 serving things up, which is what we've got

00:23:56 --> 00:23:57 in the solar system. If we look at the inner

00:23:57 --> 00:24:00 solar system, fragments of comets and

00:24:00 --> 00:24:02 asteroids are falling onto the sun all the

00:24:02 --> 00:24:04 time. We've got near Earth asteroids, short

00:24:04 --> 00:24:06 period comets and long period comets whizzing

00:24:06 --> 00:24:08 around. And, they're being bounced around by

00:24:08 --> 00:24:10 the planets. Jupiter's throwing a lot of

00:24:10 --> 00:24:12 stuff away. Their orbits are constantly

00:24:12 --> 00:24:15 getting tweaked. And so therefore the sun

00:24:15 --> 00:24:18 is still getting this rain of solid material

00:24:18 --> 00:24:20 falling on it as a result of the planets

00:24:20 --> 00:24:23 stirring things up. Even though the solar

00:24:23 --> 00:24:25 system mostly quietened down, the planets are

00:24:25 --> 00:24:28 still injecting material to the inner solar

00:24:28 --> 00:24:30 system, which is why we're getting meteorites

00:24:30 --> 00:24:32 and it's why the sun occasionally gets to

00:24:32 --> 00:24:35 numb some stuff. The idea here is

00:24:35 --> 00:24:37 that this star reached the end of its life.

00:24:37 --> 00:24:40 Puff dots with its outer layers. You have

00:24:40 --> 00:24:42 this really chaotic period where everything

00:24:42 --> 00:24:44 had got stirred up, then it settled down. But

00:24:44 --> 00:24:46 because you still got planet mass objects

00:24:46 --> 00:24:49 there, they're still bouncing around what

00:24:49 --> 00:24:51 debris is left. And we're just catching this

00:24:51 --> 00:24:54 white dwarf just at the right time, when

00:24:54 --> 00:24:56 another asteroid has been flung inwards close

00:24:56 --> 00:24:59 enough to be torn apart by the star's gravity

00:24:59 --> 00:25:01 and to give it a snack. So in other words,

00:25:02 --> 00:25:04 seeing this snack happening this late in the

00:25:04 --> 00:25:07 life of this white dwarf is fairly strong

00:25:07 --> 00:25:09 evidence that planets survived the death of

00:25:09 --> 00:25:12 its star, have lived there for 3 billion

00:25:12 --> 00:25:14 years, which a is really cool in of itself.

00:25:14 --> 00:25:17 But it also means that here is a star that we

00:25:17 --> 00:25:19 should look at when the Gaia data release

00:25:19 --> 00:25:22 comes next year. Gaia Dr. AH4,

00:25:22 --> 00:25:24 which will have been measuring this star's

00:25:24 --> 00:25:26 position on the sky. And if there Are planets

00:25:26 --> 00:25:28 there, we'll be able to detect the wobble and

00:25:28 --> 00:25:31 confirm them. So it's also holding up a flag

00:25:31 --> 00:25:33 to exoplanet people saying,

00:25:33 --> 00:25:36 hey, folks, here's a target for you to look

00:25:36 --> 00:25:38 at when the data release comes out where you

00:25:38 --> 00:25:39 might be able to find some planets, because

00:25:39 --> 00:25:42 we think there's a smoking gun here that the

00:25:42 --> 00:25:44 planets are feeding the white dwarf, giving

00:25:44 --> 00:25:46 it little snacks every now and again.

00:25:47 --> 00:25:49 Andrew Dunkley: Okay, wow. All right.

00:25:49 --> 00:25:51 so are there many white dwarf

00:25:52 --> 00:25:54 stars out there? What, do they, sort of,

00:25:55 --> 00:25:58 percentage wise, inhabit the star field?

00:25:58 --> 00:26:01 Jonti Horner: There would be a fair few of them. So the

00:26:01 --> 00:26:03 more massive a star is, the shorter its life

00:26:03 --> 00:26:05 is. And, that's a really rapid function.

00:26:06 --> 00:26:08 Where that works is, if your star's more

00:26:08 --> 00:26:11 massive, its gravitational pull is stronger,

00:26:11 --> 00:26:14 so its ability to pull material into

00:26:14 --> 00:26:17 the middle of the star is higher, which means

00:26:17 --> 00:26:19 that that star's got to give off a lot more

00:26:19 --> 00:26:21 energy to balance that gravitational pull.

00:26:21 --> 00:26:24 And so stars in the main sequence part of

00:26:24 --> 00:26:26 their life are in equilibrium. The radiation

00:26:26 --> 00:26:28 coming out from the nuclear fusion in the

00:26:28 --> 00:26:31 middle balances gravity pulling in. The

00:26:31 --> 00:26:33 more massive you are, the hotter and denser

00:26:33 --> 00:26:35 you get in the middle, so the more energy you

00:26:35 --> 00:26:38 give off. And the result of that is that it

00:26:38 --> 00:26:40 roughly, it varies a little bit by star's

00:26:40 --> 00:26:42 mass, but roughly the brightness of a star,

00:26:42 --> 00:26:45 the luminosity of a star is proportional to

00:26:45 --> 00:26:47 the mass of the star to the power

00:26:47 --> 00:26:49 4.3.54. Which means if you

00:26:49 --> 00:26:52 double the mass of a star, it'll get between

00:26:52 --> 00:26:54 10 and 16 times brighter.

00:26:55 --> 00:26:58 So twice the mass, Call it a factor of 10

00:26:58 --> 00:26:59 just to keep it easy. If it's 10 times

00:26:59 --> 00:27:02 brighter, that means it's burning its fuel 10

00:27:02 --> 00:27:04 times quicker to produce 10 times as much

00:27:04 --> 00:27:07 energy. But it's only twice the mass, so it's

00:27:07 --> 00:27:09 only got twice as much fuel, so its

00:27:09 --> 00:27:11 life will be a factor of five times shorter.

00:27:12 --> 00:27:13 And the more massive you get, the shorter the

00:27:13 --> 00:27:16 life gets. Now, stars of different masses

00:27:16 --> 00:27:19 have different. A star like Proxima

00:27:19 --> 00:27:21 Centauri will never swell up to become a red

00:27:21 --> 00:27:23 giant. It'll just be a dull, glowing ember

00:27:23 --> 00:27:26 and eventually go out. But even the

00:27:26 --> 00:27:28 oldest stars like Proxima Centauri are still

00:27:28 --> 00:27:30 really in their youth because they're burning

00:27:30 --> 00:27:33 their fuel so slowly. Stars that are more

00:27:33 --> 00:27:35 massive eventually get stars like the sun,

00:27:35 --> 00:27:37 which are what form like dwarfs. And, they

00:27:37 --> 00:27:39 eventually swell up to become a red giant,

00:27:39 --> 00:27:41 puff off their outer layers. And for a star

00:27:42 --> 00:27:44 of the Sun's mass, that process from

00:27:44 --> 00:27:46 forming to the end of its life is thought to

00:27:46 --> 00:27:49 be about 12 billion years. It used to be 10

00:27:49 --> 00:27:51 billion models seem to have refined. So

00:27:51 --> 00:27:52 people nowadays seem to say it's about 12

00:27:52 --> 00:27:55 billion years. So a star of

00:27:55 --> 00:27:58 the mass of the sun that formed when our,

00:27:58 --> 00:28:00 Milky Way was very young will have lived and

00:28:00 --> 00:28:02 died and become a white dwarf more than a

00:28:02 --> 00:28:05 billion years ago. But stars more massive

00:28:05 --> 00:28:08 than the sun can form white dwarfs as well,

00:28:08 --> 00:28:10 up to maybe two or even three times the mass

00:28:10 --> 00:28:12 of the sun, depending how effective it is at

00:28:12 --> 00:28:14 shedding mass at the end. Yeah, the maximum

00:28:14 --> 00:28:17 mass for white dwarf, you can get about 1.4

00:28:17 --> 00:28:19 times the mass of the Sun. If stars lose half

00:28:19 --> 00:28:20 their mass, that gives you something about

00:28:20 --> 00:28:22 three times the mass of the sun before you

00:28:22 --> 00:28:25 start it. Three times the mass of the sun.

00:28:26 --> 00:28:28 Three to the power four is three times three

00:28:28 --> 00:28:30 times three times three. That's 81 if my

00:28:30 --> 00:28:33 mental arithmetic is correct. So three times

00:28:33 --> 00:28:35 the mass of the sun burns its fuel 81 times

00:28:35 --> 00:28:38 as quickly, which means it would live a 27th

00:28:38 --> 00:28:40 as long. Which means instead of 12 billion

00:28:40 --> 00:28:43 years, you get down to, 1.2 billion years,

00:28:43 --> 00:28:45 you get down to or like, 600 million years,

00:28:45 --> 00:28:48 500 million years. So there will have been a

00:28:48 --> 00:28:50 lot of stars that were more m massive than

00:28:50 --> 00:28:52 the sun that have lived and died and created

00:28:52 --> 00:28:54 white dwarfs. And so there's going to be a

00:28:54 --> 00:28:57 lot of white dwarfs out there. I saw

00:28:57 --> 00:29:00 someone talking a while back about how old

00:29:00 --> 00:29:02 the oldest white dwarf will be in how dim it

00:29:02 --> 00:29:04 will be, because white dwarfs just cool and

00:29:04 --> 00:29:07 gradually go from being blue to white to

00:29:07 --> 00:29:09 yellow to red. You know, gradually dim down.

00:29:09 --> 00:29:11 Yeah. but what that all means is that there

00:29:11 --> 00:29:14 are probably a really large population of

00:29:14 --> 00:29:16 white dwarfs out there. We know quite a large

00:29:16 --> 00:29:19 number, but we won't know anywhere near

00:29:19 --> 00:29:21 as many of them as we do stars that are

00:29:21 --> 00:29:22 actually the mass of the sun, that are in the

00:29:22 --> 00:29:24 prime of their life because they're much

00:29:24 --> 00:29:27 fainter and harder to spot because they've

00:29:27 --> 00:29:28 got a much smaller surface area. So even

00:29:28 --> 00:29:30 though they're hot, they're tiny and,

00:29:30 --> 00:29:31 therefore they're faint. and the best example

00:29:31 --> 00:29:33 of that, of course, is a white dwarf that is

00:29:33 --> 00:29:36 a companion to Sirius. Sirius is the

00:29:36 --> 00:29:38 brightest star in the night sky. It's more

00:29:38 --> 00:29:40 massive than the Sun. It's also nearby. Its

00:29:41 --> 00:29:44 white dwarf companion is something

00:29:44 --> 00:29:46 like a factor of a million times fainter than

00:29:46 --> 00:29:49 Sirius is. So even though the white dwarf is

00:29:49 --> 00:29:51 comparable in Master Sirius A,

00:29:52 --> 00:29:55 it is like a million times dimmer because

00:29:55 --> 00:29:57 it's so tiny. And that's why they're Hard to

00:29:57 --> 00:29:57 find.

00:29:58 --> 00:30:00 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, even though there's probably a hell of

00:30:00 --> 00:30:02 a lot of them out there. Okay, if you would

00:30:02 --> 00:30:05 like to read more about this particular white

00:30:05 --> 00:30:08 dwarf star that is, you know, got a case of

00:30:08 --> 00:30:10 the munchies, probably spent too much time

00:30:10 --> 00:30:13 smoking the juju. you can read all about it

00:30:14 --> 00:30:17 in the Astronomical Journal. This is Space

00:30:17 --> 00:30:20 Nuts with Andrew Dunkley and Jonti Horner.

00:30:20 --> 00:30:22 Jonti Horner: Okay, we checked all four systems and being

00:30:22 --> 00:30:24 with the jerk space nets,

00:30:25 --> 00:30:26 Andrew Dunkley: Don'T know why we went down that road.

00:30:26 --> 00:30:29 Let's go to our next story. And this

00:30:29 --> 00:30:32 one is, this one's close to home.

00:30:32 --> 00:30:35 a, an object that is rapidly developing

00:30:35 --> 00:30:37 a ring system and it's it's in

00:30:37 --> 00:30:40 the outer solar system.

00:30:40 --> 00:30:43 Jonti Horner: It is, this is an object called Chiron,

00:30:43 --> 00:30:45 which was the first of the centaurs to be

00:30:45 --> 00:30:47 discovered. And I always like to talk about

00:30:47 --> 00:30:48 the centaurs because they're what I studied

00:30:48 --> 00:30:51 for my PhD, so, so I was at one

00:30:51 --> 00:30:54 point, 20 odd years ago, one of the world's

00:30:54 --> 00:30:56 experts in how these things move around the

00:30:56 --> 00:30:57 solar system. And then science has moved on

00:30:57 --> 00:31:00 and I haven't, so I probably can no longer

00:31:00 --> 00:31:02 claim that. But Chiron is

00:31:02 --> 00:31:04 an interesting object. It's an icy object,

00:31:05 --> 00:31:08 bit more than 200km across. It was

00:31:08 --> 00:31:10 one of, if not the first object to get both a

00:31:10 --> 00:31:12 classification as an asteroid and as a comet.

00:31:13 --> 00:31:15 So it was initially discovered as a tiny

00:31:15 --> 00:31:17 speck of light moving around. It's discovered

00:31:17 --> 00:31:19 by Cowell I think in 1970,

00:31:20 --> 00:31:22 moving on an orbit that spends nearly all its

00:31:22 --> 00:31:24 time between the orbits of Saturn and Uranus.

00:31:24 --> 00:31:25 At the minute. Long term it's an unstable

00:31:25 --> 00:31:28 orbit. There's about a, ah, one in three

00:31:28 --> 00:31:29 chance that this will eventually end up in

00:31:29 --> 00:31:31 the inner solar system at some point in the

00:31:31 --> 00:31:33 next few million years. And that's part of

00:31:33 --> 00:31:36 the work I did during my PhD was running

00:31:36 --> 00:31:37 simulations of where this thing's going to

00:31:37 --> 00:31:40 go. That in itself is interesting because

00:31:40 --> 00:31:42 it's about a bit more than 200km across.

00:31:43 --> 00:31:44 So if this thing got trapped in the inner

00:31:44 --> 00:31:46 solar system, it will be, be a comet like

00:31:46 --> 00:31:48 nothing we've seen in recorded history. Hale

00:31:48 --> 00:31:51 Bopp, which was ridiculous, had a 50

00:31:51 --> 00:31:54 kilometer nucleus. If this thing's 250

00:31:54 --> 00:31:56 kilometers across, that's five times the

00:31:56 --> 00:31:59 radius, which means it's something like 25

00:31:59 --> 00:32:01 times the surface area, which means it will

00:32:01 --> 00:32:04 be a lot more impressive. So it's obviously

00:32:04 --> 00:32:07 an interesting object. Back in

00:32:07 --> 00:32:10 2011, team of scientists

00:32:10 --> 00:32:13 traveled across the world to gather to

00:32:13 --> 00:32:15 watch Chiron block out the light from a

00:32:15 --> 00:32:18 background star. So as this thing's moving

00:32:18 --> 00:32:20 through space, it just happened to pass in

00:32:20 --> 00:32:23 front of a star, from a subset of locations

00:32:23 --> 00:32:25 across the Earth. Now the distant stars are

00:32:25 --> 00:32:27 effectively so far away, we can consider the

00:32:27 --> 00:32:30 light coming in perfectly parallel. And

00:32:30 --> 00:32:32 so a 200 kilometer

00:32:33 --> 00:32:35 centaur will cast a shadow on the earth

00:32:35 --> 00:32:37 that's 200 kilometers across. And that shadow

00:32:37 --> 00:32:39 will whip across our planet. As the object

00:32:39 --> 00:32:41 and the Earth move around the sun, the shadow

00:32:41 --> 00:32:43 moves, the Earth moves through it. And so you

00:32:43 --> 00:32:46 get a 200 kilometer roughly scale band on the

00:32:46 --> 00:32:48 Earth where that star will disappear, then

00:32:48 --> 00:32:51 reappear. We know how fast everything's

00:32:51 --> 00:32:53 moving. So if you can get in that location,

00:32:54 --> 00:32:56 have a lot of telescopes spread out in a

00:32:56 --> 00:32:58 line, you can observe that

00:32:58 --> 00:33:01 occultation event and, by how long the star

00:33:01 --> 00:33:03 vanishes from different locations, you can

00:33:03 --> 00:33:05 actually figure out the shape and the size of

00:33:05 --> 00:33:08 the centaur because you can essentially map

00:33:08 --> 00:33:11 that shadow. And if you're near the edge, the

00:33:11 --> 00:33:12 star will disappear and reappear really

00:33:12 --> 00:33:14 quickly. If you're near the middle, you'll

00:33:14 --> 00:33:17 get a longer period where it vanishes. So

00:33:17 --> 00:33:18 these kind of, ah, occultation observations

00:33:18 --> 00:33:21 are really valuable to scientists. What

00:33:21 --> 00:33:23 happened in 2011 was they set their

00:33:23 --> 00:33:25 telescopes up and started watching a bit

00:33:25 --> 00:33:26 early to make sure they were looking at the

00:33:26 --> 00:33:29 star. And they noticed the star flickered on

00:33:29 --> 00:33:31 and off a couple of times before it properly

00:33:31 --> 00:33:33 disappeared for the main occultation. Then

00:33:33 --> 00:33:35 after it reappeared, it flickered on and off

00:33:35 --> 00:33:37 again a couple of times. And that's really

00:33:37 --> 00:33:40 weird. Now there was a kind of

00:33:40 --> 00:33:42 precedent for this with observations that

00:33:42 --> 00:33:44 were made in 1977, I believe,

00:33:45 --> 00:33:47 of Uranus, which was being observed from, I

00:33:47 --> 00:33:49 think it was the Kuiper Airborne Observatory

00:33:49 --> 00:33:52 doing one of these occultations. And they'd

00:33:52 --> 00:33:54 observed Uranus for this occultation because

00:33:54 --> 00:33:57 they wanted to understand the atmosphere of

00:33:57 --> 00:33:59 Uranus. And they figured as a stalwart behind

00:33:59 --> 00:34:02 Uranus, you'd see it not just disappear, but

00:34:02 --> 00:34:03 actually fade out as the light passed through

00:34:03 --> 00:34:06 the atmosphere. So you could measure the

00:34:06 --> 00:34:08 atmosphere and with that occultation of

00:34:08 --> 00:34:11 Uranus, occultation by Uranus, sorry, they

00:34:11 --> 00:34:12 got this flickering on and off thing. And

00:34:12 --> 00:34:14 that was the discovery of Uranus, of ring

00:34:14 --> 00:34:17 system. So basically the star vanished behind

00:34:17 --> 00:34:19 the rings, then reappeared, then vanished

00:34:19 --> 00:34:20 again, then reappeared, then went behind the

00:34:20 --> 00:34:23 planet. Right. So with this

00:34:23 --> 00:34:26 2011 event, the same kind of thing applied.

00:34:27 --> 00:34:29 It was the discovery of a ring system around

00:34:29 --> 00:34:31 this icy object. So this is a tiny thing,

00:34:31 --> 00:34:34 smaller than even Mimas, that we talked about

00:34:34 --> 00:34:36 last week with the subsurface ocean,

00:34:36 --> 00:34:38 something so small that its gravity is

00:34:38 --> 00:34:39 probably not strong enough to make it

00:34:39 --> 00:34:42 spherical. It's probably peanut shaped or

00:34:42 --> 00:34:44 rugby ball shaped or something like this.

00:34:44 --> 00:34:46 It's probably not spherical. Around this

00:34:46 --> 00:34:48 object, it seems that there is a system of

00:34:48 --> 00:34:50 rings where there are three or four narrow

00:34:50 --> 00:34:52 rings at various distances. I think the

00:34:52 --> 00:34:55 distances are something like 273, 325, 438

00:34:55 --> 00:34:58 and 1400 kilometers from the

00:34:58 --> 00:35:01 center of Chiron. Got this ring

00:35:01 --> 00:35:03 system and it's been observed again since

00:35:03 --> 00:35:06 they did observations in 2018, 2022 and

00:35:06 --> 00:35:09 2023, where they again figured

00:35:09 --> 00:35:11 out that the shadow of Chiron was going to

00:35:11 --> 00:35:13 scan across the planet, got a load of

00:35:13 --> 00:35:16 telescopes, went on a road trip and observed

00:35:16 --> 00:35:18 it happen to get more information about the

00:35:18 --> 00:35:21 rings. Because having a ring system around an

00:35:21 --> 00:35:23 object that isn't a planet is really cool.

00:35:23 --> 00:35:23 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.

00:35:24 --> 00:35:26 Jonti Horner: And how did it form? How long has it been

00:35:26 --> 00:35:28 there? What's going on? How common are ring

00:35:28 --> 00:35:31 systems like this? Incidentally, a former PhD

00:35:31 --> 00:35:33 student of mine, Jeremy Wood, did some really

00:35:33 --> 00:35:36 cool dynamical studies that basically showed

00:35:36 --> 00:35:38 that the ring system could be

00:35:38 --> 00:35:40 primordial. It could be as old as the solar

00:35:40 --> 00:35:43 system. From the point of view of Chiron has

00:35:43 --> 00:35:45 never been close enough to one of the planets

00:35:45 --> 00:35:48 to disrupt the rings. So that

00:35:48 --> 00:35:49 doesn't put an edge limit on it, but it was

00:35:49 --> 00:35:52 still quite cool. What the new observations

00:35:52 --> 00:35:53 have shown though, is that, the ring system

00:35:53 --> 00:35:56 now seems to be different to how it was in

00:35:56 --> 00:35:59 2011. In other words, the ring

00:35:59 --> 00:36:01 system is evolving before our very

00:36:01 --> 00:36:04 eyes and it actually seems to be a denser,

00:36:04 --> 00:36:06 stronger ring system now than it was 10 or 15

00:36:06 --> 00:36:09 years ago. So it's possible that we're

00:36:09 --> 00:36:11 actually witnessing this ring system as it is

00:36:11 --> 00:36:14 forming or as it's changing over time.

00:36:14 --> 00:36:16 Now I know Chiron has been quite active,

00:36:17 --> 00:36:19 it's been outgassing because it's been closer

00:36:19 --> 00:36:21 to the sun, hence the cometary type

00:36:21 --> 00:36:24 classification it got. Maybe some

00:36:24 --> 00:36:26 of the material it's ejecting in that

00:36:26 --> 00:36:28 outgassing is being ejected gently enough

00:36:28 --> 00:36:31 that it doesn't escape from Chiron and,

00:36:30 --> 00:36:33 that's repopulating the rings. We just don't

00:36:33 --> 00:36:36 know. But the only way we'll find

00:36:36 --> 00:36:38 out is by doing more of these observations.

00:36:38 --> 00:36:41 But I think it's just really exciting and

00:36:41 --> 00:36:44 it's a really good reminder again that we

00:36:44 --> 00:36:46 always kind of imagine the solar system as a

00:36:46 --> 00:36:48 very sad and boring, placid place where not

00:36:48 --> 00:36:50 much changing anymore because it's four and a

00:36:50 --> 00:36:52 half billion years old. And as you get older,

00:36:52 --> 00:36:53 you Get a bit more sedentary and not much

00:36:53 --> 00:36:56 happens. But in fact it's a reminder that

00:36:56 --> 00:36:59 the solar system's a really dynamic place and

00:36:59 --> 00:37:01 things are constantly influenced, constantly

00:37:01 --> 00:37:03 changing. We talked about it last week. The

00:37:03 --> 00:37:05 ocean on Mimas that is possibly

00:37:06 --> 00:37:08 only 15 million years old. Now, 50 million

00:37:08 --> 00:37:11 years sounds like a really long time, but in

00:37:11 --> 00:37:12 a system that's four and a half thousand

00:37:12 --> 00:37:15 million years old, that's like something

00:37:15 --> 00:37:17 that has happened to me in the last couple of

00:37:17 --> 00:37:20 weeks. That's a new feature, not something

00:37:20 --> 00:37:22 I've had since birth. And this is yet another

00:37:22 --> 00:37:24 example of the fact that the solar system

00:37:24 --> 00:37:26 just seems to be continually rapidly changing

00:37:26 --> 00:37:27 and evolving.

00:37:27 --> 00:37:29 Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, yeah, it's a really interesting

00:37:29 --> 00:37:32 situation. how far out is chiron?

00:37:33 --> 00:37:36 Jonti Horner: It varies. So it's closest to the sun, It's a

00:37:36 --> 00:37:37 little bit closer to the sun than the orbit

00:37:37 --> 00:37:39 of Saturn. at its furthest, it's a bit

00:37:39 --> 00:37:41 further away than the orbit of Uranus. And

00:37:41 --> 00:37:42 that's an unstable orbit. So it bounces

00:37:42 --> 00:37:45 around over time, it will have encounters

00:37:45 --> 00:37:47 with them that fling it around. But at the

00:37:47 --> 00:37:50 minute it's in the outer solar system

00:37:50 --> 00:37:53 between the orbits of Saturn and Uranus most

00:37:53 --> 00:37:55 of the time. Unstable solution. It probably

00:37:55 --> 00:37:57 originated out beyond the orbit of Neptune.

00:37:57 --> 00:38:00 And it's one of this population called the

00:38:00 --> 00:38:03 Centaurs that are, the future parents of the

00:38:03 --> 00:38:04 next generation of short period comets.

00:38:04 --> 00:38:06 Effectively in the same way that the near

00:38:06 --> 00:38:08 Earth asteroids have their origin in the

00:38:08 --> 00:38:10 asteroid belt, short period comets have their

00:38:10 --> 00:38:13 origin in the Transeptunian region. But to

00:38:13 --> 00:38:15 get here from there, they've got to pass

00:38:15 --> 00:38:16 through the outer solar system. And that's

00:38:16 --> 00:38:17 what the Centaurs are.

00:38:18 --> 00:38:20 Andrew Dunkley: Okay. Fascinating. Yeah, it's really

00:38:20 --> 00:38:22 interesting and probably not one that,

00:38:23 --> 00:38:25 too many people would be aware of. I remember

00:38:25 --> 00:38:28 when it was making the news some

00:38:28 --> 00:38:30 years ago, and that's why the name stuck when

00:38:30 --> 00:38:33 you, when you sent the story to me. But, you

00:38:33 --> 00:38:35 don't really hear much about it. But now

00:38:35 --> 00:38:37 we've got a very good reason to look at it.

00:38:38 --> 00:38:40 if you would like to look into that

00:38:40 --> 00:38:43 particular paper, it's been published in

00:38:43 --> 00:38:45 the Astrophysical Journal Letters.

00:38:51 --> 00:38:53 Our final story, Jonti, is,

00:38:54 --> 00:38:57 an exoplanet that the popular press are going

00:38:57 --> 00:38:59 to say has got, some kind of life on it. it's

00:38:59 --> 00:39:02 a, it's a maybe life candidate, story,

00:39:02 --> 00:39:05 this one. And Yeah, but they're still

00:39:05 --> 00:39:07 using the term super Earth.

00:39:07 --> 00:39:09 Jonti Horner: Yeah, I'll keep this one a little bit short

00:39:09 --> 00:39:12 and try not to get too grumpy. But one of my

00:39:12 --> 00:39:15 big bug bears all the way through my career

00:39:15 --> 00:39:18 is a good way for people to get media

00:39:18 --> 00:39:20 coverage of their new planet discovery is say

00:39:20 --> 00:39:23 it could be habitable. It's in the Goldilocks

00:39:23 --> 00:39:23 zone. Hooray.

00:39:24 --> 00:39:25 Andrew Dunkley: Using the L word.

00:39:25 --> 00:39:27 Jonti Horner: Rumble, rumble, grumble, grumble.

00:39:27 --> 00:39:28 Andrew Dunkley: It's a four letter word too, that one.

00:39:28 --> 00:39:30 Jonti Horner: It is, and it's one of the terrible four

00:39:30 --> 00:39:33 letter words. Part of the problem here is

00:39:33 --> 00:39:35 there's this concept of the Goldilocks zone,

00:39:35 --> 00:39:37 of the habitable zone, which has become

00:39:37 --> 00:39:38 really entrenched in the popular

00:39:38 --> 00:39:41 consciousness. And it's always viewed as

00:39:41 --> 00:39:43 being this sweet spot for life. And the idea

00:39:43 --> 00:39:45 is that if you have a planet in the habitable

00:39:45 --> 00:39:46 zone, it will have liquid water on its

00:39:46 --> 00:39:48 surface and all sorts of happy life things

00:39:48 --> 00:39:51 will happen and everything will be good.

00:39:52 --> 00:39:54 What it actually means is that if you took

00:39:54 --> 00:39:56 the Earth, as it is today and put it where

00:39:56 --> 00:39:59 that planet is, the Earth would still

00:39:59 --> 00:40:01 maintain its liquid water because planets are

00:40:01 --> 00:40:04 really diverse. If you took Venus and put

00:40:04 --> 00:40:06 Venus where the Earth is, With Venus's

00:40:06 --> 00:40:08 current atmosphere, Venus will be too hot to

00:40:08 --> 00:40:10 have liquid water. But if you observe the

00:40:10 --> 00:40:12 solar system from a long long way away and

00:40:12 --> 00:40:15 you discovered Venus on the Earth's

00:40:15 --> 00:40:17 orbit, it wouldn't look any different to the

00:40:17 --> 00:40:19 Earth. it's a planet about the size of the

00:40:19 --> 00:40:21 Earth, sat in the habitable sun. We, it's

00:40:21 --> 00:40:23 habitable. Hooray. Whereas Venus is actually

00:40:23 --> 00:40:25 so hot that on the surface it had melt lead.

00:40:25 --> 00:40:27 And I certainly wouldn't want to visit there.

00:40:27 --> 00:40:30 It's even hotter than my room was the other

00:40:30 --> 00:40:32 night when the power cut had happened. And

00:40:32 --> 00:40:35 that was bad enough and brutal enough. so

00:40:35 --> 00:40:38 what this means is that ah, people

00:40:38 --> 00:40:40 have become very fond of

00:40:41 --> 00:40:44 find a planet around a star, you can work out

00:40:44 --> 00:40:46 where the boundaries of the habitable zone

00:40:46 --> 00:40:48 will be based on a few assumptions. And this

00:40:48 --> 00:40:51 is work going back about a decade of the

00:40:51 --> 00:40:53 definitions we use now. And you've got the

00:40:53 --> 00:40:55 conservative and the optimistic habitable

00:40:55 --> 00:40:57 zone, which are basically loosely based

00:40:57 --> 00:40:59 around the fact that if you're as close to

00:40:59 --> 00:41:02 the star that you get an amount of radiation

00:41:02 --> 00:41:04 coming in comparable to Venus, you'll be too

00:41:04 --> 00:41:05 hot. If you're about where Mars is, you'll be

00:41:05 --> 00:41:07 too cold, but in the middle you'll be just

00:41:07 --> 00:41:09 right m. and that's about it.

00:41:10 --> 00:41:12 Now that definition doesn't really take any

00:41:12 --> 00:41:14 account of the mass of the planet or its

00:41:14 --> 00:41:17 atmosphere. What that

00:41:17 --> 00:41:20 means is that ah, when you find a planet that

00:41:20 --> 00:41:22 is a super Earth that Is four times the mass

00:41:22 --> 00:41:24 of the Earth. That is almost certainly

00:41:24 --> 00:41:27 nothing like our planet at all.

00:41:27 --> 00:41:30 You'll do a calculation and say it sits in

00:41:30 --> 00:41:32 the optimistic habitable zone. So there is a

00:41:32 --> 00:41:34 potential it could have liquid water on its

00:41:34 --> 00:41:37 surface. That's full of a whole heap

00:41:37 --> 00:41:39 of assumptions. But to me it's a really long

00:41:39 --> 00:41:41 stretch from saying it could have life.

00:41:41 --> 00:41:41 Andrew Dunkley: A.

00:41:41 --> 00:41:43 Jonti Horner: You're assuming it's got the right kind of

00:41:43 --> 00:41:45 atmosphere to have liquid water where it's

00:41:45 --> 00:41:46 four times the mass of the Earth. So its

00:41:46 --> 00:41:48 atmosphere is almost certainly much, much m

00:41:48 --> 00:41:50 thicker, Therefore

00:41:51 --> 00:41:53 likely has a much stronger greenhouse effect,

00:41:54 --> 00:41:55 Therefore probably runaway greenhouse. Not

00:41:55 --> 00:41:56 good.

00:41:56 --> 00:41:58 The other thing with this particular planet,

00:41:58 --> 00:42:01 GJ 251C is it's a super

00:42:01 --> 00:42:03 Earth orbiting a red dwarf star, ah,

00:42:04 --> 00:42:06 nearby, less than 20 light years away. And

00:42:06 --> 00:42:08 that's part of why people are excited. It's

00:42:08 --> 00:42:09 near enough that we'll learn a lot more about

00:42:09 --> 00:42:11 it in the future. However,

00:42:12 --> 00:42:15 planet orbiting a red dwarf star means that

00:42:15 --> 00:42:16 to be in the habitable zone, it's got to be

00:42:16 --> 00:42:18 close in. This thing goes around its star

00:42:18 --> 00:42:21 every 54 days, which means that it is

00:42:21 --> 00:42:23 closer to its star than Mercury is to the

00:42:23 --> 00:42:25 sun. And given the difference in the masses,

00:42:25 --> 00:42:28 it's actually much closer in than that. That

00:42:28 --> 00:42:30 means it's up close and personal with a red

00:42:30 --> 00:42:32 dwarf star, which are notorious for being

00:42:32 --> 00:42:35 active and flary and noisy, Particularly when

00:42:35 --> 00:42:37 they're young. They're tempestuous teenagers

00:42:37 --> 00:42:40 in their early days with mega stellar flares

00:42:40 --> 00:42:43 and stuff like this. So it seems to be

00:42:43 --> 00:42:44 fairly widely accepted that planets around

00:42:44 --> 00:42:47 red dwarf stars that are close enough to be

00:42:47 --> 00:42:50 warm enough to have liquid water will have a

00:42:50 --> 00:42:51 hard time holding onto their atmospheres,

00:42:51 --> 00:42:53 Particularly when the stars are young,

00:42:53 --> 00:42:55 because it'll be having all sorts of

00:42:55 --> 00:42:57 bonkers fun. And that's kind of borne out

00:42:57 --> 00:43:00 with the planets around Trappist 1, which for

00:43:00 --> 00:43:02 years have been people saying these are the

00:43:02 --> 00:43:04 most Earth like planets ever and we'll find

00:43:04 --> 00:43:06 life on them and hooray. And then when they

00:43:06 --> 00:43:08 finally got to use the James Webb space

00:43:08 --> 00:43:10 telescope and look at those planets, none of

00:43:10 --> 00:43:13 them have an atmosphere. Now I don't know

00:43:13 --> 00:43:15 about you, but I kind of like to breathe.

00:43:15 --> 00:43:17 It's a fairly important part of living. And a

00:43:17 --> 00:43:19 planet without an atmosphere is not going to

00:43:19 --> 00:43:21 have liquid water on the surface because if

00:43:21 --> 00:43:23 you take the atmosphere away, there's no

00:43:23 --> 00:43:25 pressure, the oceans boil and then are blown

00:43:25 --> 00:43:28 away by the red dwarfs, which makes that

00:43:28 --> 00:43:30 planet a desiccated husk, which not

00:43:30 --> 00:43:32 particularly habitable. The reason I Get

00:43:33 --> 00:43:35 energized and activated about this. It's a

00:43:35 --> 00:43:37 lovely discovery. It's a really interesting

00:43:37 --> 00:43:39 planet. We'll, learn a lot more about planets

00:43:39 --> 00:43:41 elsewhere. If there is an atmosphere, it's

00:43:41 --> 00:43:43 around us now that's near enough to us that

00:43:43 --> 00:43:45 with James Webb, we'll be able to study it,

00:43:45 --> 00:43:46 learn more about the atmosphere. We'll learn

00:43:46 --> 00:43:48 a whole heap from it. But I get really

00:43:48 --> 00:43:50 energized about this because there's only so

00:43:50 --> 00:43:52 many times that people can hear a story that

00:43:52 --> 00:43:54 says we found the most Earth like planet ever

00:43:55 --> 00:43:57 before they think we found the Earth before

00:43:57 --> 00:44:00 they think we found life elsewhere. And that

00:44:00 --> 00:44:02 then really devalues it. When we finally do

00:44:02 --> 00:44:04 find planets that are, ah, properly like the

00:44:04 --> 00:44:07 Earth, when we do find signs of life

00:44:07 --> 00:44:09 elsewhere, scientists will be getting really

00:44:09 --> 00:44:11 excited because we've finally done it. And

00:44:11 --> 00:44:13 everybody will be like, well, why bother?

00:44:13 --> 00:44:15 You've done this a million times before. The

00:44:15 --> 00:44:16 whole boy who cried wolf thing

00:44:18 --> 00:44:21 again, a big bugbear. And something that's

00:44:21 --> 00:44:22 really critically important these days is

00:44:22 --> 00:44:25 trust in science and trust in scientists. We,

00:44:25 --> 00:44:27 we've got all the controversies about topics

00:44:27 --> 00:44:29 that, are much more controversial than we're

00:44:29 --> 00:44:31 talking about with astronomy, with vaccine

00:44:31 --> 00:44:34 denial, with climate change denial, with

00:44:34 --> 00:44:36 people refusing to evacuate in the path of a

00:44:36 --> 00:44:38 hurricane that's coming because they don't

00:44:38 --> 00:44:41 believe the scientists. Anything that

00:44:41 --> 00:44:44 makes people less trusting of scientists

00:44:44 --> 00:44:46 because they're overblowing stories is

00:44:46 --> 00:44:49 damaging now far more than it has been in

00:44:49 --> 00:44:51 decades past. It's part of why I get so

00:44:51 --> 00:44:54 frustrated with Avi Loeb and Three Eye Atlas.

00:44:54 --> 00:44:56 It's why get frustrated with the media

00:44:56 --> 00:44:58 coverage of stories like this and the

00:44:58 --> 00:45:00 scientists pushing, I think, somewhat

00:45:00 --> 00:45:03 unethically an argument that this could be a

00:45:03 --> 00:45:06 habitable planet because it makes

00:45:06 --> 00:45:07 the rest of us look like fools. And it makes

00:45:07 --> 00:45:10 people, it gives them ammunition to say,

00:45:10 --> 00:45:12 well, scientists lie to us when they're not.

00:45:13 --> 00:45:15 They're saying that this meets the criteria

00:45:15 --> 00:45:16 for the Habitable Zone paper that was

00:45:16 --> 00:45:19 published 10 years ago. But

00:45:19 --> 00:45:21 it weakens that trust in science, which is so

00:45:21 --> 00:45:23 important now more than it ever has done. And

00:45:23 --> 00:45:25 I said I wouldn't go on a run and I'm now

00:45:25 --> 00:45:27 waving the flag and banging the table and all

00:45:27 --> 00:45:30 the rest of it. But it's a frustration that's

00:45:30 --> 00:45:32 wider than this story. And this story is

00:45:32 --> 00:45:34 lovely. It's an awesome discovery. They found

00:45:34 --> 00:45:36 a planet going around a star. That's very

00:45:36 --> 00:45:38 cool. We'll learn a lot more about it. It's a

00:45:38 --> 00:45:41 brilliant result. You don't need to tag every

00:45:41 --> 00:45:43 result like this and say that this planet

00:45:43 --> 00:45:43 could have life.

00:45:45 --> 00:45:47 Andrew Dunkley: And yet that's what, that's what happens.

00:45:47 --> 00:45:49 it's sort of like, what artificial

00:45:49 --> 00:45:51 intelligence is doing to social media. You

00:45:51 --> 00:45:53 don't know. You don't know what you're

00:45:53 --> 00:45:56 looking at anymore. And my

00:45:56 --> 00:45:59 trust levels have dropped significantly in

00:45:59 --> 00:46:00 recent months.

00:46:02 --> 00:46:04 Jonti Horner: My dad is, 80, and

00:46:04 --> 00:46:06 he's still on Facebook. And he doesn't like

00:46:06 --> 00:46:08 it, but he's on it because it's a way to

00:46:08 --> 00:46:10 communicate with people back in the uk. Moved

00:46:10 --> 00:46:12 over here a few years ago and he's constantly

00:46:12 --> 00:46:14 saying to me, he's getting so frustrated with

00:46:14 --> 00:46:16 these AI stories and fake news things that he

00:46:16 --> 00:46:18 doesn't know what to trust on there anymore

00:46:18 --> 00:46:21 because he'll see a story that some famous

00:46:21 --> 00:46:23 actors died and then he'll look up on

00:46:23 --> 00:46:25 Wikipedia and they're still alive and kicking

00:46:25 --> 00:46:26 and they've got a film coming out. But

00:46:26 --> 00:46:28 there's this thing of, you'd never believe

00:46:28 --> 00:46:31 the tragic photos. And it's

00:46:31 --> 00:46:33 bizarre. And at a time when we need fidelity

00:46:33 --> 00:46:36 and trust in our news and trust in our

00:46:36 --> 00:46:38 science, we've got to be careful about how

00:46:38 --> 00:46:41 much hyperbole we put into stories. I think.

00:46:41 --> 00:46:43 Andrew Dunkley: I totally agree. Yes. If you'd like to read

00:46:43 --> 00:46:46 about that, particular exoplanet, you can,

00:46:47 --> 00:46:49 pick up that yarn through the Astronomical

00:46:49 --> 00:46:51 Journal where they publish the paper. Or you

00:46:51 --> 00:46:53 can read up on all the stories we've talked

00:46:53 --> 00:46:53 about

00:46:53 --> 00:46:56 today@space.com

00:46:57 --> 00:46:59 and I'm sure a few other, platforms have

00:46:59 --> 00:47:00 published them as well.

00:47:01 --> 00:47:03 and that brings us to the end of, this

00:47:03 --> 00:47:05 program. Jonti, thank you so much.

00:47:05 --> 00:47:07 Jonti Horner: It's a pleasure. It's lovely to chat. Thanks

00:47:07 --> 00:47:09 for bearing with me, being a bit flighty and

00:47:09 --> 00:47:11 flirty thanks to the power cuts and the

00:47:11 --> 00:47:11 weather.

00:47:12 --> 00:47:15 Andrew Dunkley: You've done well. You've done well. We'll,

00:47:15 --> 00:47:17 catch you on the next program, a Q and A

00:47:17 --> 00:47:19 program. Johnty, Horn, a professor of

00:47:19 --> 00:47:21 astrophysics at the University University of

00:47:21 --> 00:47:24 Southern Queens. And thanks to Huw in the

00:47:24 --> 00:47:26 studio, who couldn't be with us today

00:47:27 --> 00:47:30 because he never tells me. I

00:47:30 --> 00:47:32 have no idea. I just make up the reasons he's

00:47:32 --> 00:47:34 not here. I honestly don't know why he didn't

00:47:34 --> 00:47:36 turn up this week. Probably because we didn't

00:47:36 --> 00:47:37 tell him when we were recording.

00:47:38 --> 00:47:39 Jonti Horner: That might have been it.

00:47:39 --> 00:47:41 Andrew Dunkley: and from me, Andrew Dunkley, thanks for your

00:47:41 --> 00:47:44 company. Catch you on the very next episode

00:47:44 --> 00:47:46 of Space Nuts. Bye.

00:47:46 --> 00:47:46 Jonti Horner: Bye.

00:47:47 --> 00:47:49 You've been listening to the Space Nuts

00:47:49 --> 00:47:52 podcast, available at

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00:47:54 --> 00:47:57 iHeartRadio or your favorite podcast

00:47:57 --> 00:47:59 player. You can also stream on demand at

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00:48:01 --> 00:48:03 Andrew Dunkley: This has been another quality podcast

00:48:03 --> 00:48:05 production from Bytes. Com.