Dark Energy Unveiled: New Insights from Supernovae, Lunar Magma Mysteries, and Europe's Space Weather Watch
SpaceTime with Stuart GaryJuly 30, 2025x
91
00:24:0722.13 MB

Dark Energy Unveiled: New Insights from Supernovae, Lunar Magma Mysteries, and Europe's Space Weather Watch

In this episode of SpaceTime, we uncover groundbreaking revelations about dark energy, lunar geology, and Europe's innovative space weather monitoring initiative.
Dark Energy: A Changing Force?
Astronomers have compiled the largest supernova dataset to date, revealing tantalizing hints that dark energy may not be a constant force in the universe. This research, led by the International Supernova Cosmology Project, analyzes over 2,000 Type 1A supernovae to explore the evolving nature of dark energy, which currently comprises nearly 70% of the universe's mass-energy content. The findings suggest that if dark energy is weakening, it could significantly impact the universe's expansion and ultimate fate, challenging existing models and sparking excitement in the astrophysics community.
New Insights into Lunar Magma
A recent study analyzing samples from China's Chang' e 5 mission indicates that molten magma may have persisted on the Moon's surface much longer than previously believed. Researchers, led by Stephen Alado, utilized radioactive dating to reveal that volcanic activity on the lunar far side could have continued for billions of years, contradicting earlier theories about the Moon's cooling process. This new understanding of lunar geology offers valuable insights into the Moon's evolution and the processes that shape celestial bodies.
Europe's Space Weather Early Warning System
The European Space Agency is set to launch Vigil, a pioneering space weather probe, in 2031. Positioned at the Lagrangian L5 point, Vigil will provide unprecedented monitoring of solar activity, allowing for early warnings of solar storms that could disrupt communication systems and power grids on Earth. This mission aims to enhance our ability to predict and mitigate the impacts of space weather on modern infrastructure, marking a significant advancement in global space safety efforts.
www.spacetimewithstuartgary.com
✍️ Episode References
Astrophysical Journal
https://iopscience.iop.org/journal/1538-4357
Science Advances
https://www.science.org/journal/sciadv
ESA Vigil Mission
https://www.esa.int/Applications/Observing_the_Earth/Space_Weather/Vigil
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/spacetime-space-astronomy--2458531/support.

00:00:00
This is Space Time, Series 28, Episode 91, for broadcast on the

00:00:04
30th of July, 2025. Coming up on Space Time, clear evidence that

00:00:09
dark energy might be changing. A new study shows that molten

00:00:14
magma probably persisted on the surface of the Moon for much

00:00:17
longer than expected.

00:00:19
And Europe developing a new space weather early warning

00:00:22
system.

00:00:23
All that and more coming up on Space Time.

00:00:27
Welcome to Space Time. With Stuart Gary.

00:00:46
The largest supernova dataset ever compiled has provided

00:00:50
astronomers with some tantalizing hints that a

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mysterious force known as dark energy may be changing over

00:00:57
time.

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Scientists know very little about dark energy, hence the

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term dark. It appears to be a sort of vacuum energy, acting

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opposite to gravity, and it's causing the universe's rate of

00:01:09
expansion out from the Big Bang 13.8 billion years ago to

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accelerate. And that acceleration's important because

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it will determine the ultimate fate of the cosmos and

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everything in it.

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In order to study and map dark energy, astronomers mapped the

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light coming from thermonuclear or Type Ia Supernovae. These

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involve the dramatic destruction of a white dwarf star, that's

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the stellar corpus of a once Sun-like star, at the end of its

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life.

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Usually, these stellar cores would simply just gradually fade

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away over trillions of years. However, if the white dwarf's in

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a binary system with a nearby companion star, its gravity can

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drag material off that binary partner.

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And if it drags enough material off its companion, it reaches a

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sort of tipping point known as the Chandrasekhar limit. Roughly

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1.44 times the mass of our Sun, and it's a point which will

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cause the white dwarf to undergo a thermonuclear or Type Ia

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supernova explosion.

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These explosions completely destroy the star, and because

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they always occur when the star reaches the same mass and has

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the same degree of luminosity, astronomers can use the inverse

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square law, turn them into cosmic distance markers,

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allowing them to determine how far away the explosion was.

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It's just like looking at a row of streetlights down a road.

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Knowing that because they're all the same intrinsic brightness,

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the fainter they appear, the further away they must be.

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By measuring the distance to these Supernovae, astronomers

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were able to measure how fast the universe was expanding.

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And they discovered that instead of slowing down or staying

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constant, the universe was expanding at an ever-increasing

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rate.

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Since the late 1990s, dozens of experiments using different

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telescopes and techniques have captured and published more than

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2... Type Ia supernova events.

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But without correcting for differences between different

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telescopes and techniques, using Supernovae from separate

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experiments is often a bit like comparing apples to oranges.

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In order to unite Supernovae and provide a more precise

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measurement of dark energy's role in our universe,

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astronomers have now compiled the largest standardized data

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set of Type Ia Supernovae ever made. The compilation is called

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the Union 3. And it was put together by the International

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Supernova Cosmology Project, which is led by the Department

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Of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.

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The analysis of this new supernova dataset is hinting

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that dark energy may be evolving over time. In other words,

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unlike gravity, it's not a constant. The findings reported

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in the Astrophysical Journal aren't yet strong enough to

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conclusively state that dark energy has started weakening,

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but they are pointing in the same direction as a separate

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analysis by the dark energy spectroscopic instrument.

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These two complementary approaches, seeing similar

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results using different techniques, do have astronomers

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intrigued. Moreover, a partially independent result from another

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supernova analysis, which includes Supernovae from the

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Department Of Energy-led Dark Energy Survey, also appears to

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be supporting the same conclusion.

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One of the Union 3 studies authors, Saul Perlmutter, who

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shared the 2011 Nobel Prize for Physics for Discovering Dark

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Energy, says he doesn't think anyone's getting overexcited

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just yet.

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But he says that's only because scientists are suppressing any

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premature elation since they know that that could go away

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once they get better data.

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On the other hand, scientists are taking notice because these

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two separate techniques are showing similar moderate

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disagreement with what's known as the Lambda Cold Dark Matter

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model.

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Now, according to the Lambda Cold Dark Matter model, dark

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energy is assumed to have the same strength over time, and it

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counteracts the gravitational contraction due to cold dark

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matter. But it seems other models which allow dark energy

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to change over time might end up being a better fit for what

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researchers are now seeing in the data.

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Needless to say, if that is the case, it will wind up having

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huge implications for the fate of the universe. Dark energy

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makes up almost 70% of the universe's total mass energy

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budget, and it's worth striving the universe's accelerated

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expansion.

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So, if dark energy is getting weaker, that would mean we would

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expect to see the expansion of the universe slow over time.

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So, what are the options?

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Well, if dark energy remains as strong as it currently is, or

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gets stronger, the universe will continue to expand forever into

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a dark future known as the Big Freeze, where all the other

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stars and galaxies are simply too far away beyond the cosmic

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horizon to be seen even with the most powerful telescopes.

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On the other hand, if dark energy eventually weakens and

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comes into balance with gravity, the universe will eventually end

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up in a sort of steady state, looking pretty much like it does

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now.

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But there's another possibility.

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If dark energy continues to weaken, and gravity eventually

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takes over to become the strongest force, that would

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cause the universe to begin to contract, eventually ending in a

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big crunch, which could lead to another big bang. Then another

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big crunch and so on.

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It all depends on this balance between dark energy and matter.

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And it's one of those ultimate questions of science which make

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astronomy such fun.

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Astronomers want to find out which one of these hypotheses

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are likely to win, and they want to understand this underlying

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piece of the universe.

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Union 3 standardizes some 2087 supernova events taken from 24

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datasets, and they can be used to look back roughly seven

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billion years through cosmic history.

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It builds on the earlier Union 2 experiment released in 2010 that

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contained 557 Supernovae.

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In order to combine Supernovae from different data sets,

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astronomers decided to analyze the light curve. That's the way

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the supernova's brightness characteristically peaks and

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dims over its life.

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And that lets scientists discover a supernova's intrinsic

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brightness and adjust the event so that they're all on the same

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scale. A bit like calibrating candles from different

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manufacturers.

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Scientists then reanalyze their supernova data using a

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sophisticated statistical method known as a Bayesian hierarchical

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model.

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This can better account for uncertainties, incorporating

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partial information and the probability of errors.

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It makes it possible to include factors researchers might not

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know exactly, but with constraints on exactly how well

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they do know them. For example, the new approach can take into

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account that the filters in a telescope might drift over time.

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Changing the amount of light that gets through from a

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supernova.

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This kind of flexibility improves the accuracy of the

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analysis, and it was difficult to include in previous

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techniques.

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The improved analytical approach will now be used to incorporate

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additional supernova data.

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Over the next year or so, astronomers plan to add three

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more datasets, one with low redshift that is nearby

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Supernovae, and two with high redshift Supernovae looking

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further back in space-time.

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The new analysis framework will also help to incorporate the the

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tens to hundreds of thousands of additional Supernovae expected

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from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory, which recently

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released its first images, and also from NASA's upcoming Nancy

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Grace Roman Space Telescope.

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The other current leading technique to investigate how

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dark energy varies over space-time is by measuring how

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galaxies cluster, a characteristic feature known as

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baryon acoustic oscillation.

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Baryon acoustic oscillations are sort of like pressure waves

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through the fabric of space-time.

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Stars and galaxies tend to cluster around these pressure

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waves.

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Perlmutter says baryon acoustic oscillations can look further

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back in time to when dark energy played less of a role in the

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universe, while Supernovae are especially precise in the more

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recent universe. He thinks the two techniques are now getting

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good enough so that astronomers can start making some real

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conclusions about dark energy models.

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This is Space Time.

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Still to come. A new study shows that molten magma persists on

00:08:52
the Lunar Surface much longer than expected, and Europe

00:08:55
developing a new space weather early warning system. All that

00:08:59
and more still to come on Space Time.

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New studies suggest that molten magma may have persisted on the

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Lunar Surface far longer than previously thought.

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Researchers analysing Moon rocks from China's Chang'E-5 sample

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return mission say the new findings are rewriting science's

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understanding of how the Moon cooled. A report in the journal

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Science Advances claims these samples of basalt and igneous

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rock formed from rapidly cooling lava represents the first

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material collected from the lunar far side as by far the

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youngest obtained on any lunar mission.

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The study's lead author, Stephen Alato from the University Of

00:09:49
Florida, says that makes these rocks an invaluable resource for

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studying the Moon's geological history.

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It seems that lava on the lunar far side probably cooled far

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later than previously thought. That contradicts previous

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theories on how and when the Moon's layers formed.

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Alito and colleagues used radioactive dating to put

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together a simple model showing that an enrichment in

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radioactive elements would have kept the Moon's upper mantle

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hundreds of degrees hotter than it would have been otherwise,

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even 2 billion years ago.

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In order to get an estimate of when these samples cooled into

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basalt, the authors tested their chemical composition.

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Similar tests on previous lunar mantle samples found traces of

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elements like like potassium, thorium, uranium and phosphorus,

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all of which produce heat in high concentrations.

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Scientists believe that, in large amounts, these elements

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generate enough heat to keep magma molten near the Earth's

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surface, slowing the cooling process over time. The findings

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therefore contradict the previous theory that the Moon's

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surface temperatures were simply too cold to support molten magma

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by that time, and it therefore challenges existing hypotheses

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about exactly how the Moon would have cooled.

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Now, prior to this study, The generally accepted idea was that

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the Moon cooled from the top down. It was presumed that magma

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closer to the Lunar Surface cooled first, as the surface of

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the Moon gradually lost heat into space.

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And that as you descended closer to the lunar mantle, you'd find

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basalt rocks that cooled more recently than basalt at the

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crust. And that theory was backed by seismometers that were

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placed on the Moon during the very first Apollo Moon landing

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mission. But the new findings suggest there must have been

00:11:24
pockets of surface-level magma late in the lunar cooling

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process.

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Alados says that lunar magnetism, which is a record of

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volcanic activity on the Moon, provides a direct window in the

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composition of the lunar mantle, which is where lavas, or magmas,

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ultimately come from.

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He says scientists don't have any direct samples of the Moon's

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mantle, like they do for Earth, so their window in the

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composition of the lunar mantle comes indirectly from its lavas.

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Establishing a detailed timeline of the Moon's evolution

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represents a critical step towards understanding how other

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celestial bodies form and grow.

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Processes like cooling and geological layer formation are

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key steps in the life cycles of other moons and small planets.

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And as Earth's closest neighbour in the solar system, the Moon

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offers the best chance we have of learning more about these

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processes.

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This is Space Time.

00:12:15
Still to come, Europe developing a new space weather early

00:12:18
warning system. And later in the science report. Researchers

00:12:22
develop a new type of electronic wristband device which uses fine

00:12:26
hand movements in order to control a computer. No more

00:12:29
keyboards or mice.

00:12:31
All that and more still to come on Space Time.

00:12:50
The European Space Agency is developing a new early warning

00:12:52
space weather probe designed to monitor the Sun from a unique

00:12:56
position.

00:12:57
Called Vigil and slated for launch in 2031, the spacecraft

00:13:01
will be the world's first space weather mission designed to

00:13:03
permanently base itself in the Lagrangian L5 position between

00:13:07
the Earth and Sun.

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Lagrangian positions are gravity wells where the pull of two

00:13:12
celestial bodies, in this case the Earth and the Sun, tend to

00:13:15
balance each other out. It allows a spacecraft to hold its

00:13:18
position in one of these locations without expending a

00:13:21
great degree of fuel in order to maintain point.

00:13:24
There are five Lagrangian positions.

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L1 is between the Earth and the Sun. It's where spacecraft like

00:13:31
SOHO are based.

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L2 is on the opposite side of the Earth to the Sun, the Earth

00:13:35
's night side, and that's where spacecraft like the James Webb

00:13:38
Space Telescope are located. The L3 position is on the opposite

00:13:43
side of the Sun to the Earth.

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L4 is 60 degrees ahead of the Earth and in the same orbit as

00:13:48
the Earth as it goes around the Sun. You find a lot of Trojan

00:13:51
asteroids at this position. And L5 is 60 degrees behind the

00:13:55
Earth, also in the same orbit as the Earth as it travels around

00:13:58
the Sun. And that's where Vigil will be located.

00:14:02
From this unique vantage point, the probe will allow scientists

00:14:05
to see solar activity days before it reaches Earth,

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drastically improving our forecasting abilities. From

00:14:12
there...

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The individual will literally be able to see around the corner of

00:14:14
the Sun, observing activity on the solar surface days before it

00:14:18
rotates into view from the Earth. And it can also watch the

00:14:21
Earth-Sun line side-on, giving an earlier and clearer picture

00:14:25
of solar flares and coronal mass ejections as they head towards

00:14:28
the Earth.

00:14:29
Radiation, plasma and particles flowing towards the Earth by the

00:14:32
Sun, collectively known as geomagnetic storms, can pose

00:14:35
serious threats to the critical infrastructure modern society

00:14:38
relies on.

00:14:40
This includes damaging or even destroying spacecraft,

00:14:42
disrupting communications and navigation systems, overloading

00:14:46
terrestrial power grids causing blackouts, and increasing

00:14:49
radiation exposure for people in space and even those in

00:14:53
high-altitude aircraft. In fact, a report by Loads Of London

00:14:56
estimates that a severe space weather event caused by solar

00:15:00
activity could cost the global economy $2.4 trillion over five

00:15:04
years.

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And ESA's response to this growing threat is Vigil.

00:15:09
Cornerstone mission of the agency's space safety program.

00:15:13
This report from ESA TV.

00:15:15
Solar storms can damage satellites, knock out power

00:15:18
grids, and disrupt communications, GPS, and

00:15:22
aviation.

00:15:23
So, how do we protect Europe and the world from the Sun's fury?

00:15:29
Meet... Vigil, the European Space Agency's space weather

00:15:33
reporter, stationed deep in space to deliver early warnings

00:15:37
of solar activity.

00:15:40
When the Sun launches bursts of radiation, plasma and energetic

00:15:43
particles toward Earth, the effects can be severe, even

00:15:48
disrupting everyday life. We need timely space weather

00:15:51
forecasts to protect people and safeguard vital systems.

00:15:56
ESA's Space Safety Programme is sending Vigil to watch the Sun

00:16:01
and Earth from the side, giving it a unique view of solar

00:16:05
eruptions heading our way. From this special vantage point, it

00:16:10
will report 24-7, streaming data back across millions of

00:16:14
kilometres.

00:16:16
This data, combined with information from satellites

00:16:19
closer to Earth, will give us time to react.

00:16:23
It will power forecasts and real-time alerts. Helping space

00:16:27
weather forecasters, infrastructure operators and

00:16:30
decision makers to respond quickly.

00:16:34
As Europe's and the world's first deep space space weather

00:16:38
mission, Vigil will be our frontline correspondent on solar

00:16:42
activity, strengthening Europe's independent ability to prepare

00:16:46
for and respond to space weather.

00:16:50
This is Space Time.

00:17:07
And time now to take another brief look at some of the other

00:17:10
stories making news in science this week with a science report.

00:17:13
A new study has shown that the brain's ageing has sped up

00:17:17
during the COVID-19 pandemic, even for people who didn't have

00:17:20
the virus.

00:17:21
The findings, reported in the journal Nature Communications,

00:17:24
used brain scans from nearly a thousand people participating in

00:17:27
a long-term UK health study to estimate the difference between

00:17:30
a participant's real age and the age their brain appeared in a

00:17:34
scan.

00:17:35
Over half of the participants had two brain scans taken at

00:17:38
least two years apart before the pandemic, while the rest had one

00:17:42
brain scan before and one after the pandemic began. The authors

00:17:46
found the brains of the pandemic group aged about five and a half

00:17:49
months faster than the control group over a period of about

00:17:52
three years, with men, people under financial stress, and

00:17:55
those with poor health likely to age faster.

00:17:58
The World Health Organization says more than 7 million people

00:18:02
have now been killed by the COVID-19 Coronavirus since it

00:18:05
was first detected among workers at China's Wuhan Institute Of

00:18:09
Virology in September 2019.

00:18:12
However, the Lancet Medical Journal estimates the true death

00:18:15
toll is likely to be above 18 million, with some 775 million

00:18:19
confirmed cases globally.

00:18:23
Paleontologists have identified fossils of a 247 million year

00:18:27
old tree dwelling reptile which had a crest which was not quite

00:18:30
feathers and not quite skin.

00:18:33
A report in the journal Nature claims the reptile, which was

00:18:35
not a dinosaur, appears to have developed an alternative to

00:18:39
feathers long before dinosaurs did.

00:18:42
The reptile, known as Mirasura grovagilli, had a 15 centimetre

00:18:45
crest on its back, a bird-like head, and it lived during the

00:18:49
Middle Triassic period. The crest consists of individual

00:18:52
densely overlapping appendages.

00:18:55
Each possesses a feather-like contour with a narrow central

00:18:58
ridge. While real feathers consist of many delicate

00:19:01
branched structures called barbs, there's no evidence of

00:19:04
any such branching in the appendages of this reptile.

00:19:07
Consequently, the authors believe that the structures on

00:19:10
this animal's crest must have evolved largely independently to

00:19:14
those of birds.

00:19:17
Engineers have developed a new electronic wristband device

00:19:20
which can detect your fine hand movements and use them to

00:19:23
control a computer.

00:19:24
A report in the journal Nature describes the technology as a

00:19:28
potential alternative to using a mouse and keyboard.

00:19:31
The device could ultimately replace the invasive

00:19:33
technologies currently used to assist people with mobility

00:19:36
problems. It was developed by learning the wrist muscle

00:19:39
movements of thousands of people, which allowed it to

00:19:41
interpret actions such as handwriting to be more

00:19:44
accurately understood by a computer.

00:19:47
Apple's new IOS 26 operating system is now in public beta

00:19:51
form for those who want to try it out. With the details, we're

00:19:54
joined by technology editor Alex Haravroyd from TechAdvice.life.

00:19:58
So the developer beta was actually about a month ago at

00:20:01
the Worldwide Developer Conference, and everyone's been

00:20:03
waiting for the public beta to come out, which was to be in

00:20:06
late July. Well, that day has come, and I have now updated

00:20:10
three iPhones, two iPads, and my Apple Watch, and a Mac with IOS

00:20:16
26, iPadOS 26, et cetera, the 26 designated versions, which

00:20:20
stands for the year 2026.

00:20:21
And that liquid glass effect. Is quite striking. I mean, this is

00:20:25
the most visible change in the iOS and the Mac operating

00:20:28
systems since it all changed back in iOS 7 when it went from

00:20:33
this pure morphic design where you saw little pictures of

00:20:35
various things to a much more sort of flat design, which

00:20:38
annoyed people at the time because the text was so thin,

00:20:41
the designs look completely different to what they had

00:20:43
before.

00:20:44
And there has, of course, been concern that if you've got a

00:20:46
transparent interface, then how are people with potentially

00:20:49
vision issues going to be able to read? Text on the page. Now,

00:20:53
there's only elements of the operating system when you pull

00:20:56
down the notifications bar, for example, or you're looking at

00:20:58
certain things where there are transparent elements.

00:21:01
But of course, anybody with accessibility issues can turn

00:21:04
the transparency off. And the actual way that certain apps are

00:21:08
used has changed. So it's much more intuitive now to slide

00:21:11
between different types of photographs or videos you want

00:21:13
to take in the camera app, for example. If you look at the

00:21:16
settings page, all the different settings there have all been

00:21:19
spaced out that little bit.

00:21:20
Further, which has caused, of course, some people to complain,

00:21:23
oh, you're not using the space as efficiently as you were

00:21:25
before. But look, I'm personally loving the new operating system.

00:21:30
It seems to be extremely stable. I've been running the developer

00:21:32
beta since version one on a secondary iPhone. But today I

00:21:36
just installed the latest version and I've been greatly

00:21:39
enjoying it.

00:21:40
It seems very stable to me. I certainly would not recommend

00:21:43
the average user put it on their primary phone. Not that I've had

00:21:46
any problems, but it's just one of those things where if you

00:21:48
have a spare iPhone. And you want to play on that by all

00:21:51
means. If you like stability and you don't want any surprises on

00:21:55
your primary device, then you're better to wait until September.

00:21:58
And then, of course, there are some people that wait until the

00:22:00
.01 or the .1 version comes out because they know all the bugs

00:22:04
have been erased. Now, the big change for iPads is retargetable

00:22:08
windows, a pointer that's no longer a dot but an actual

00:22:11
arrow, the ability to put windows anywhere on the page you

00:22:13
want. It's sort of a big upgrade even for older iPads that

00:22:17
couldn't use the...

00:22:19
Stage manager feature from a couple of years ago that gave

00:22:21
you resizable windows this makes your ipad even an older one that

00:22:24
can if it still can run ipad os 26 feel much more like a

00:22:29
computer as opposed to a content consumption device but this is

00:22:32
the system that everyone will be using if they have a compatible

00:22:34
phone from September so big changes in operating systems

00:22:38
from Apple and the start of a new era and so far it's great

00:22:43
that's alex sahar of reut from TechAdvice.life.

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