Primordial Black Holes, Ancient Galaxies & The Ultimate Lagrange Point: #488 - Q&A Edition |...
Space News TodayJanuary 20, 202500:33:1530.46 MB

Primordial Black Holes, Ancient Galaxies & The Ultimate Lagrange Point: #488 - Q&A Edition |...

Space Nuts Episode 488: Cosmic Curiosities - Primordial Black Holes, Ancient Galaxies, and the Ultimate Lagrange Point

Join Andrew Dunkley, Professor Fred Watson, and Professor Jonti Horner as they tackle intriguing questions from our listeners in this Q&A edition of Space Nuts. Dive into the mysteries of the universe with thought-provoking discussions on primordial black holes, ancient galaxies, and the concept of the ultimate Lagrange point.

Episode Highlights:

- Primordial Black Holes: Rusty from Donnybrook throws a cosmic curveball about the impact of a primordial black hole entering our solar system. Explore the fascinating scenarios and potential consequences with Fred and Jonti as they delve into gravitational dynamics and celestial mechanics.

- Ancient Galaxies: Marcel questions the age of the universe as the James Webb Space Telescope continues to uncover older galaxies. Fred and Jonti unravel the complexities of cosmic timelines and the implications for our understanding of galaxy formation and evolution.

- The Ultimate Lagrange Point : Buddy from Oregon ponders whether the center of a galaxy could be the ultimate Lagrange point. Discover the intricacies of gravitational balance and stability as Jonti explains the concept of Lagrange points and their cosmic significance.

- Expansion of the Universe: Michael from Illinois raises questions about the accelerating expansion of the universe and its effects on our solar system. Fred and Jonti discuss the interplay between cosmic expansion and gravitational forces, offering insights into the future of our universe.

For more Space Nuts, including our continually updating newsfeed and to listen to all our episodes, visit our website (https://www.spacenutspodcast.com/about)

Stay curious, keep looking up, and join us next time for more stellar insights and cosmic wonders. Until then, clear skies and happy stargazing.

00:00 - Andrew Dunkley answers questions from audience about primordial black holes

02:08 - Rusty asks a question about black holes in the solar system

06:39 - Science currently holds the belief that our universe is 13.8 billion years old

09:54 - Scientists say HD140283 is older than the edge of the universe

13:23 - Would the center of a galaxy be like the ultimate Lagrange point

14:11 - Would the center of the galaxy be the ultimate Lagrange point

19:30 - Fred Ferguson: An accelerating expansion means everything in the universe is moving apart

24:20 - Patrick Lukaf: There have been several versions of Planet X proposed

32:22 - Don't forget to send us your questions via our website

www.spacenutspodcast.com/ama (https://spacenutspodcast.com/ama)

✍️ Episode References

James Webb Space Telescope

https://www.jwst.nasa.gov/

Dark Sky Traveller

http://darkskytraveller.com.au/

Methuselah Star (HD 140283)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HD_140283

Great Attractor

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Attractor

Planet Nine

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planet_Nine

Lagrange Points

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lagrange_point


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Episode link: https://play.headliner.app/episode/25158567?utm_source=youtube

Kind: captions Language: en
00:00:00 --> 00:00:02 hi there thanks for joining us on a Q&A

00:00:02 --> 00:00:05 Edition or even a Q&A edition of Space

00:00:05 --> 00:00:07 Nuts my name is Andrew Dunley your host

00:00:07 --> 00:00:09 great to have your company coming up

00:00:09 --> 00:00:11 this time we're going to be answering

00:00:11 --> 00:00:13 questions from our audience about

00:00:13 --> 00:00:15 primordial black holes this is a wh if

00:00:15 --> 00:00:17 question we love those uh someone else

00:00:17 --> 00:00:20 is asking about old galaxies uh we are

00:00:20 --> 00:00:24 looking for the ultimate lrange point

00:00:24 --> 00:00:26 and the accelerating universe which we

00:00:26 --> 00:00:28 debunked in the last episode but uh

00:00:29 --> 00:00:30 we're going to unbun

00:00:30 --> 00:00:34 on this episode of Space Nuts 15 seconds

00:00:34 --> 00:00:38 guidance is internal 10 9 ignition

00:00:39 --> 00:00:44 sequence start space Nets 5 4 3 2 1 2 3

00:00:44 --> 00:00:48 4 5 5 4 3 2 1 Space Nuts asut reported

00:00:48 --> 00:00:51 feels good and joining me again is

00:00:51 --> 00:00:52 Professor Fred Watson astronomer at

00:00:52 --> 00:00:54 large and Professor johy Horner

00:00:54 --> 00:00:57 professor of astrophysics gentlemen

00:00:57 --> 00:01:00 welcome thanks for joining us great

00:01:00 --> 00:01:01 pleasure Andrew good to be here good to

00:01:01 --> 00:01:04 have jonty on board as well which this

00:01:05 --> 00:01:07 this was your last show for a little

00:01:07 --> 00:01:11 while because you're jetting off to um

00:01:11 --> 00:01:14 somewhere to look uh well it's Sweden

00:01:14 --> 00:01:17 Norway Iceland and Greenland and this

00:01:17 --> 00:01:20 will be these tours are pretty regular

00:01:20 --> 00:01:23 occasions as you know from man's dark

00:01:23 --> 00:01:25 sky traveler company I do the sign she

00:01:25 --> 00:01:27 does all the real work uh but this will

00:01:27 --> 00:01:29 be our the first time we've including

00:01:29 --> 00:01:31 Greenland in one of these so we're

00:01:31 --> 00:01:33 hoping for very spectacular views of

00:01:33 --> 00:01:35 icebergs as well as spectacular views of

00:01:35 --> 00:01:38 the Northern Lights Fantastic get an

00:01:38 --> 00:01:41 American visa yet for Greenland

00:01:41 --> 00:01:44 no it's okay our Mary won't let it go I

00:01:44 --> 00:01:45 can tell

00:01:45 --> 00:01:49 you yeah well I'm Judy and I are

00:01:49 --> 00:01:51 visiting Greenland later this year so we

00:01:51 --> 00:01:55 won't know who's actually

00:01:55 --> 00:01:57 controlling we'll let you know what it's

00:01:57 --> 00:02:00 like yeah but I've got my us uh Visa

00:02:00 --> 00:02:04 exemption so I should be right

00:02:04 --> 00:02:07 I um shall we get straight into it why

00:02:07 --> 00:02:10 not all right uh our first question

00:02:10 --> 00:02:13 comes from somebody who's never sent a

00:02:13 --> 00:02:14 question in before except for the other

00:02:14 --> 00:02:18 25 times Rusty from Donny Donny Brook TR

00:02:18 --> 00:02:20 Andrew okay it's

00:02:20 --> 00:02:23 Rusty a question about black

00:02:23 --> 00:02:27 Hol if a primordial black hole

00:02:27 --> 00:02:30 comparable with the THS of the Earth

00:02:30 --> 00:02:33 were to enter the solar system at a high

00:02:33 --> 00:02:37 angle to the ecliptic and impact one of

00:02:37 --> 00:02:39 the rocky planets

00:02:39 --> 00:02:45 directly would it a pass through largely

00:02:45 --> 00:02:50 unnoticed B leave a huge hole through

00:02:50 --> 00:02:53 the center of the planet which would

00:02:53 --> 00:02:55 cause a lot of mayem or

00:02:55 --> 00:03:00 C explode the planet completely or D

00:03:00 --> 00:03:04 none of the above heavy handing

00:03:04 --> 00:03:08 Che um like I should tell you jonty that

00:03:08 --> 00:03:11 uh Rusty has a habit of throwing curve

00:03:11 --> 00:03:12 balls at us he's always trying to trick

00:03:12 --> 00:03:15 Fred so just bear that in mind when we

00:03:15 --> 00:03:18 we try and Tackle this one well so I've

00:03:18 --> 00:03:20 got a clarification request here because

00:03:20 --> 00:03:22 you get two very different answers

00:03:22 --> 00:03:25 depending on manuia here he says it's

00:03:25 --> 00:03:27 the size of the Earth but if it's the

00:03:27 --> 00:03:30 size of the Earth then it's 2 times

00:03:30 --> 00:03:33 the mass of the Sun a black hole that's

00:03:33 --> 00:03:35 the Earth if it's a black hole the mass

00:03:35 --> 00:03:38 of the Earth then it's 9 millimet across

00:03:38 --> 00:03:39 and so you get a very different outcome

00:03:40 --> 00:03:41 depending on which of those it is I mean

00:03:42 --> 00:03:43 either way you're going to change the

00:03:43 --> 00:03:45 orbits of the planets particularly the

00:03:45 --> 00:03:48 one that it encounters but if it's the

00:03:48 --> 00:03:50 size of the Earth and therefore 2200

00:03:50 --> 00:03:52 times the mass of the Sun the solar

00:03:53 --> 00:03:54 system will be utterly disrupted the

00:03:54 --> 00:03:57 planets will be ejected the thing it

00:03:57 --> 00:04:00 hits will just kind of um inside it and

00:04:00 --> 00:04:01 its mass will have gone up a tiny little

00:04:02 --> 00:04:04 amount if it's the mass of the Earth and

00:04:04 --> 00:04:07 left on 9 mm across we probably wouldn't

00:04:07 --> 00:04:09 see it coming we'd see the orbits

00:04:09 --> 00:04:12 changing it will probably punch a 9 mm

00:04:12 --> 00:04:14 sized hole through the Earth but there's

00:04:14 --> 00:04:16 not really any friction there to slow it

00:04:16 --> 00:04:18 down so I don't know that you get much

00:04:18 --> 00:04:20 in the way of recoil but you would get a

00:04:20 --> 00:04:21 gravitational perturbation change in the

00:04:21 --> 00:04:23 Earth's orbit that would be my take so

00:04:24 --> 00:04:25 if it came through the Earth our orbit

00:04:25 --> 00:04:28 would become more tilted Seasons would

00:04:28 --> 00:04:29 be more pronounced you'd also have a

00:04:29 --> 00:04:32 fairly dramatic change in where the

00:04:32 --> 00:04:34 planets are in the sky and all that

00:04:34 --> 00:04:37 stuff um if it was 2200 times the mass

00:04:37 --> 00:04:39 of the Sun this will be the last last

00:04:39 --> 00:04:44 podcast yeah I think um so yeah my take

00:04:44 --> 00:04:46 on it is pretty well what yours is jonty

00:04:46 --> 00:04:48 I just assumed it was the mass of the

00:04:48 --> 00:04:49 Earth we were talking about and I think

00:04:49 --> 00:04:52 it's the um radius of the Event Horizon

00:04:52 --> 00:04:55 that's 9 millimeters uh of of an earth

00:04:55 --> 00:04:58 sized an earth Mass black hole but

00:04:58 --> 00:05:01 something that size I mean you know you

00:05:01 --> 00:05:03 you said in in the intro to this Andrew

00:05:03 --> 00:05:06 that it was Rusty throwing a curved ball

00:05:06 --> 00:05:07 and that's what it's going to be it

00:05:07 --> 00:05:10 would be it probably wouldn't be a

00:05:10 --> 00:05:12 direct hit because those are quite rare

00:05:12 --> 00:05:15 it would but it would still be near

00:05:15 --> 00:05:18 enough to a direct hit that the uh orbit

00:05:18 --> 00:05:20 of the black hole would you know if it

00:05:20 --> 00:05:22 came close enough to the Earth the tidal

00:05:22 --> 00:05:25 effects on the Earth itself would be

00:05:25 --> 00:05:27 disastrous uh one side of the earth

00:05:27 --> 00:05:28 feeling much more of a pull than the

00:05:29 --> 00:05:31 other side so yeah effectively we would

00:05:31 --> 00:05:32 still be

00:05:32 --> 00:05:35 spaghettified uh and um maybe a bit

00:05:35 --> 00:05:36 slower than you would if you just fell

00:05:36 --> 00:05:39 into a black hole yourself but it would

00:05:39 --> 00:05:41 be a fairly disastrous scenario as well

00:05:41 --> 00:05:43 as you know per perturbing the orbits of

00:05:43 --> 00:05:46 the other planets it will be a mess so I

00:05:46 --> 00:05:48 think it's D isn't it none of the above

00:05:48 --> 00:05:51 is the correct answer for this the with

00:05:51 --> 00:05:53 it with the Earth and Moon though will

00:05:53 --> 00:05:55 be because of the way the Earth and Moon

00:05:55 --> 00:05:58 move if it came through you know if it's

00:05:58 --> 00:05:59 more than two or three times the Earth's

00:05:59 --> 00:06:01 radius away we're not going to be

00:06:01 --> 00:06:03 disrupted but we will have big tidal

00:06:03 --> 00:06:05 effects but the Earth and the moon will

00:06:05 --> 00:06:07 be pulled by different amounts in

00:06:07 --> 00:06:09 different directions and so it might be

00:06:09 --> 00:06:10 enough to dissociate the Earth and Moon

00:06:10 --> 00:06:12 and suddenly we'll have five planets not

00:06:12 --> 00:06:14 four in the inner solar system with the

00:06:14 --> 00:06:16 added impact that down the line of the

00:06:16 --> 00:06:17 Earth and the moon might Collide and

00:06:17 --> 00:06:19 that will be yet another bad

00:06:19 --> 00:06:23 day indeed on the flood Side Golf is be

00:06:23 --> 00:06:24 drilled because it would increase their

00:06:25 --> 00:06:30 chances of Hall in one significantly

00:06:30 --> 00:06:33 oh dear all right Rusty thanks for that

00:06:33 --> 00:06:35 one you're always um throwing one out

00:06:35 --> 00:06:38 there and uh that certainly did apply in

00:06:38 --> 00:06:40 this case uh our next question comes

00:06:40 --> 00:06:43 from Marcel uh science currently holds

00:06:43 --> 00:06:45 the belief that our universe is 13.8

00:06:45 --> 00:06:47 billion years old the James web Space

00:06:47 --> 00:06:50 Telescope keeps on finding older and

00:06:50 --> 00:06:52 older galaxies uh some of the oldest

00:06:52 --> 00:06:55 galaxies observed I beli to have formed

00:06:55 --> 00:06:58 over 300 million years after the big

00:06:58 --> 00:07:02 bang what if we find a Galaxy that is 14

00:07:02 --> 00:07:04 million years old how will we begin to

00:07:04 --> 00:07:07 adjust our theories to match reality

00:07:07 --> 00:07:09 which theories will be first to get

00:07:09 --> 00:07:11 thrown out the window versus which

00:07:11 --> 00:07:15 theories do we believe are absolutely

00:07:15 --> 00:07:18 correct um can I have a shot at

00:07:18 --> 00:07:22 this yeah the um it's not going to

00:07:22 --> 00:07:24 happen that we'll find a Galaxy older

00:07:24 --> 00:07:26 than the universe it actually in the

00:07:26 --> 00:07:28 early days of the of The Big Bang Theory

00:07:28 --> 00:07:30 that was one of of the problems uh that

00:07:30 --> 00:07:34 our measurements then uh s suggested

00:07:34 --> 00:07:36 that the the Big Bang occurred more

00:07:36 --> 00:07:39 recently than the ages of the planets

00:07:39 --> 00:07:41 and the stars that you know you have a

00:07:41 --> 00:07:42 universe that's younger than its

00:07:42 --> 00:07:44 contents and that's clearly not a

00:07:44 --> 00:07:46 possibility and it was only when we

00:07:46 --> 00:07:48 really worked out just how old the

00:07:48 --> 00:07:50 universe is and our current thinking is

00:07:50 --> 00:07:54 indeed 13.8 billion years uh that um

00:07:54 --> 00:07:56 that that was all rectified but the

00:07:56 --> 00:07:58 bottom line is that the the yard stick

00:07:58 --> 00:08:01 by which the age of galaxies is measured

00:08:01 --> 00:08:03 is basically as a fraction of the age of

00:08:03 --> 00:08:06 the universe so you're never G to find a

00:08:06 --> 00:08:08 Galaxy that's older older than the

00:08:08 --> 00:08:11 universe because you're you're sort of

00:08:11 --> 00:08:13 you know you're looking back certainly

00:08:13 --> 00:08:16 perhaps 90% 95% of the age of the

00:08:16 --> 00:08:18 universe for some of these uh some of

00:08:18 --> 00:08:21 these really um primitive galaxies that

00:08:21 --> 00:08:22 we're seeing but it's never going to be

00:08:22 --> 00:08:24 older than the universe because we can't

00:08:24 --> 00:08:27 we Define it as a as essentially a

00:08:27 --> 00:08:30 fraction of the of the universe's age so

00:08:30 --> 00:08:32 that won't happen what is more

00:08:32 --> 00:08:34 interesting is the suffy of this which

00:08:34 --> 00:08:38 is that we do see galaxies which are in

00:08:38 --> 00:08:40 seen as the universe was as it was when

00:08:40 --> 00:08:43 it was only perhaps two or 300 million

00:08:43 --> 00:08:45 years old which look more mature than we

00:08:45 --> 00:08:47 expected them to be we see black holes

00:08:47 --> 00:08:49 that are bigger than we expected them to

00:08:49 --> 00:08:50 be because we thought they'd take a lot

00:08:50 --> 00:08:53 longer uh to grow to their super massive

00:08:53 --> 00:08:56 size so those are the conundrums uh not

00:08:56 --> 00:08:57 that we're going to find a Galaxy that's

00:08:57 --> 00:09:00 older than the universe but trying to

00:09:00 --> 00:09:02 understand how how it is that some of

00:09:02 --> 00:09:04 these phenomena that we see spiral

00:09:04 --> 00:09:06 alarms for example uh occurred so

00:09:06 --> 00:09:07 quickly in the early history of the

00:09:07 --> 00:09:11 Universe I suppose his point was that uh

00:09:11 --> 00:09:12 you know if we find something that's so

00:09:12 --> 00:09:16 close to when the universe began how do

00:09:16 --> 00:09:18 you how do you equate for

00:09:18 --> 00:09:21 that well that's the bottom line is what

00:09:21 --> 00:09:22 what I was just saying you know it means

00:09:22 --> 00:09:25 we have to revise our theories of Galaxy

00:09:25 --> 00:09:27 Evolution not that we have to throw away

00:09:27 --> 00:09:29 the Big Bang which is what a lot of

00:09:29 --> 00:09:31 these questions are aiming at the Big

00:09:31 --> 00:09:33 Bang is absolutely secure we can still

00:09:33 --> 00:09:36 see it uh we we you know we know that it

00:09:36 --> 00:09:38 happened and yet we get people

00:09:39 --> 00:09:41 questioning us on it Fred semi-regularly

00:09:41 --> 00:09:43 uh there are quite a few people who

00:09:43 --> 00:09:46 don't believe in it well nether did uh

00:09:46 --> 00:09:49 my namesake Fred Hy he was a staunch

00:09:49 --> 00:09:50 believer in the study State Theory until

00:09:50 --> 00:09:53 he went to his grave yeah yeah what yous

00:09:53 --> 00:09:54 Johnny well there's interesting

00:09:54 --> 00:09:56 parallels the other thing that comes

00:09:56 --> 00:09:58 into this is uncertainty which is we

00:09:58 --> 00:10:00 never measure edge with perfect

00:10:00 --> 00:10:02 Precision there's always a bit of an

00:10:02 --> 00:10:04 error bar on it and I'm reminded of the

00:10:04 --> 00:10:05 story probably about a decade ago of

00:10:06 --> 00:10:08 that sty that people du the methusa

00:10:08 --> 00:10:13 start which is HD 140283 lovely barcode

00:10:13 --> 00:10:16 and that made news back in like 2013

00:10:16 --> 00:10:18 because people had measured its age it's

00:10:18 --> 00:10:20 an incredibly metal paw star it's one of

00:10:20 --> 00:10:21 the oldest stars in the galaxy for

00:10:21 --> 00:10:24 certain but they'd measured the Age

00:10:24 --> 00:10:25 based on all these observations of it

00:10:25 --> 00:10:27 and estimated an age of

00:10:27 --> 00:10:31 14.46 plus or minus is 0.8 billion years

00:10:31 --> 00:10:33 and that age is older than the edge of

00:10:33 --> 00:10:34 the universe so people were saying how

00:10:34 --> 00:10:36 can we have a star older than the edge

00:10:36 --> 00:10:38 of the universe and the subtlety here is

00:10:38 --> 00:10:40 in the uncertainty on the measurement

00:10:40 --> 00:10:43 because that plus or minus 0.8 billion

00:10:43 --> 00:10:48 years is saying that in 66% of cases

00:10:48 --> 00:10:50 this is one Sigma error so 66% of the

00:10:50 --> 00:10:52 time the age will fall in that age range

00:10:52 --> 00:10:55 and 33% of the time it'll fall outside

00:10:55 --> 00:10:58 that ede range so that age is compatible

00:10:58 --> 00:10:59 with the ede of the unit IE it's just

00:11:00 --> 00:11:02 telling you that the star is very old

00:11:02 --> 00:11:03 it's not saying the star is older than

00:11:03 --> 00:11:06 the edge of the universe necessarily and

00:11:06 --> 00:11:08 what's actually happen in the followup

00:11:08 --> 00:11:09 from that is a couple of more recent

00:11:09 --> 00:11:12 Studies have given it ages of 13.7 or 12

00:11:12 --> 00:11:15 billion years so as we've got more data

00:11:15 --> 00:11:16 the error bar has shrunk but it's

00:11:16 --> 00:11:18 noticeable that it's that age has moved

00:11:18 --> 00:11:21 by more than a single error bar which is

00:11:21 --> 00:11:23 not uncommon when the errors are quite

00:11:23 --> 00:11:25 large other than that it is like Fred

00:11:25 --> 00:11:27 says the problem is that even if you

00:11:27 --> 00:11:29 change the edge of the universe a little

00:11:29 --> 00:11:30 bit these galaxies will still have

00:11:30 --> 00:11:33 formed within the first 2% or 5% of its

00:11:33 --> 00:11:35 life you're just stretching the timeline

00:11:35 --> 00:11:37 or shrinking the timeline a little bit

00:11:38 --> 00:11:40 um it's like what we talked about in the

00:11:40 --> 00:11:40 other

00:11:40 --> 00:11:43 podcasts the way that theory and

00:11:43 --> 00:11:45 observation interact is that theory is

00:11:45 --> 00:11:47 the best possible explanation of what

00:11:47 --> 00:11:48 we've already seen and it predicts what

00:11:48 --> 00:11:50 we should see in the future with better

00:11:50 --> 00:11:52 instruments and when those better

00:11:52 --> 00:11:54 instruments Give us new measurements

00:11:54 --> 00:11:56 that allows us to refine or improve or

00:11:56 --> 00:11:58 disprove or kill the theory you know

00:11:58 --> 00:11:59 there's an argument you can never prove

00:12:00 --> 00:12:03 a theory but you can disprove it and the

00:12:03 --> 00:12:04 more you fail to disprove it the more

00:12:04 --> 00:12:07 confident we are that it's a good theory

00:12:07 --> 00:12:10 and in this case it's telling us not

00:12:10 --> 00:12:11 that the Big Bang Theory is wrong it's

00:12:11 --> 00:12:12 not telling us that the Universe wasn't

00:12:13 --> 00:12:14 form that way but instead it's telling

00:12:14 --> 00:12:16 us that our understanding of how stars

00:12:16 --> 00:12:19 and galaxies form in those early days is

00:12:19 --> 00:12:22 incomplete and that's exactly why people

00:12:22 --> 00:12:24 wanted these incredible telescopes go up

00:12:24 --> 00:12:25 there because that's the only way we can

00:12:25 --> 00:12:28 find it out and I suppose we have to

00:12:28 --> 00:12:30 keep making a adjusts for the fact that

00:12:30 --> 00:12:31 we've decided all this because of two

00:12:31 --> 00:12:34 kilos of mush inside

00:12:34 --> 00:12:37 out yes so what a little bit of gooey

00:12:37 --> 00:12:38 carbon can

00:12:38 --> 00:12:41 do it's the uh it's the 100 billion

00:12:41 --> 00:12:44 neurons in it the tricky bit

00:12:44 --> 00:12:46 yes uh thanks Marcel great question

00:12:47 --> 00:12:49 always a good discussion point that one

00:12:49 --> 00:12:51 this is Space Nuts with Andrew Dunley

00:12:51 --> 00:12:55 Professor Fred Watson and Professor johy

00:12:55 --> 00:12:58 hor okay we checked all four systems and

00:12:58 --> 00:13:01 With It Go face nuts and jonty we have

00:13:01 --> 00:13:04 Movement we have movement I see a dog

00:13:04 --> 00:13:07 with it who is coming over to say hello

00:13:07 --> 00:13:09 to you yeah what's his name that's Maya

00:13:09 --> 00:13:11 that's the sister we've got a brother

00:13:11 --> 00:13:12 and sister who are coming eight years

00:13:12 --> 00:13:14 old but she's the

00:13:14 --> 00:13:16 most um she's heading off to see if

00:13:16 --> 00:13:18 there's anything interesting happening

00:13:18 --> 00:13:20 elsewhere yes yeah nothing interesting

00:13:20 --> 00:13:22 happening here that's I

00:13:22 --> 00:13:25 was uh let's go to our next question

00:13:25 --> 00:13:27 this is an audio question from one of

00:13:27 --> 00:13:29 our regular contributors hello buddy

00:13:29 --> 00:13:32 hello space Nets buddy from Oregon again

00:13:32 --> 00:13:34 hey guys um would the center of a galaxy

00:13:34 --> 00:13:37 be like the ultimate like range point

00:13:37 --> 00:13:39 like for the Galaxy um you were saying

00:13:39 --> 00:13:41 if Earth had a tunnel in it that once

00:13:41 --> 00:13:42 you got in the middle you'd be

00:13:42 --> 00:13:44 weightless is that' be like a grange

00:13:44 --> 00:13:48 point0 um and uh if so wouldn't that

00:13:48 --> 00:13:50 make the black hole weightless to the

00:13:50 --> 00:13:54 Galaxy um and would that no point in the

00:13:54 --> 00:13:56 center from the little Grange Point

00:13:56 --> 00:13:59 create a u a gravitational well that

00:13:59 --> 00:14:01 look like your donut that you were

00:14:01 --> 00:14:02 talking about in the Galaxy where the

00:14:02 --> 00:14:05 priation all right thanks guys of the

00:14:05 --> 00:14:07 podcast keep up the good work got a bit

00:14:07 --> 00:14:09 glitchy there at the end buddy but uh

00:14:09 --> 00:14:10 that's the internet for you thanks for

00:14:10 --> 00:14:12 the question uh the ultimate lrange

00:14:12 --> 00:14:15 point would the center of the Galaxy be

00:14:15 --> 00:14:18 the ultimate lrange Point who wants to

00:14:18 --> 00:14:21 tackle that one first I can dive in

00:14:21 --> 00:14:24 briefly if you want um so the background

00:14:24 --> 00:14:27 here is that the lrange points are local

00:14:27 --> 00:14:30 areas of increased ability and it comes

00:14:30 --> 00:14:32 out of something called the restricted

00:14:32 --> 00:14:34 three body problem where you've got in

00:14:34 --> 00:14:36 the solar system which is where I do a

00:14:36 --> 00:14:38 lot of my work the sun and a planet and

00:14:38 --> 00:14:40 something else and that something else

00:14:40 --> 00:14:43 is pretty small and Tiny and you can

00:14:43 --> 00:14:45 play games so when I was a kid I was in

00:14:45 --> 00:14:47 Scouts and we used to go out in the

00:14:47 --> 00:14:50 countryside and we had contour maps

00:14:50 --> 00:14:51 which were maps of the local area that

00:14:51 --> 00:14:53 had these lines on and they told you how

00:14:53 --> 00:14:55 high or how low you were yeah and what

00:14:55 --> 00:14:56 those Contour are actually is telling

00:14:56 --> 00:14:58 you what your gravitational potential

00:14:58 --> 00:14:59 energy it's a measure of the

00:14:59 --> 00:15:01 gravitational

00:15:01 --> 00:15:03 potential you can do the same with the

00:15:03 --> 00:15:04 solar system you can make a map of the

00:15:04 --> 00:15:07 solar system that is like a contour map

00:15:07 --> 00:15:09 and when you do that you find the sun's

00:15:09 --> 00:15:11 a big well in the middle and the Earth's

00:15:11 --> 00:15:13 a small and M where the Earth is but

00:15:13 --> 00:15:15 there are five locations where you have

00:15:15 --> 00:15:18 local plateaus local flat bits and

00:15:18 --> 00:15:20 they're your LR points and they're more

00:15:20 --> 00:15:24 realistically LR areas and three of them

00:15:24 --> 00:15:26 are like Sables on a hillside so they're

00:15:26 --> 00:15:28 fairly stable but if you roll a little

00:15:28 --> 00:15:30 way you'll fall off and that's lrange 1

00:15:30 --> 00:15:32 2 and three and they're on the line

00:15:32 --> 00:15:34 between the Sun and the Earth one is on

00:15:34 --> 00:15:37 the far side of the sun one is between

00:15:37 --> 00:15:38 the Earth and the Sun and one is just on

00:15:38 --> 00:15:40 the far side of the Earth on that line

00:15:40 --> 00:15:42 the other two the Gran points four and

00:15:42 --> 00:15:44 five which are like these big plateaus

00:15:45 --> 00:15:46 that are 60 degrees ahead and behind the

00:15:46 --> 00:15:48 Earth in its orbit or behind Jupiter in

00:15:48 --> 00:15:49 its orbit that's where you get the

00:15:49 --> 00:15:53 Jupiter Trojans and so these are points

00:15:53 --> 00:15:54 where the Contours are flatter so you

00:15:54 --> 00:15:56 can sit there fairly stable before you

00:15:56 --> 00:15:57 roll off in any given

00:15:57 --> 00:16:00 Direction the middle of the Sun in that

00:16:00 --> 00:16:03 analogy isn't a lrange point if that's a

00:16:03 --> 00:16:05 slightly different concept so you are

00:16:05 --> 00:16:07 entirely right that if you're in the

00:16:07 --> 00:16:08 middle of an object you don't feel any

00:16:09 --> 00:16:11 gravitational pull from that object more

00:16:11 --> 00:16:13 strictly you feel the gravitational pull

00:16:13 --> 00:16:15 from every atom individually but they

00:16:15 --> 00:16:16 all cancel out so if you're in the

00:16:16 --> 00:16:18 middle of the Earth you're being pulled

00:16:18 --> 00:16:21 by people stood in America the same

00:16:21 --> 00:16:22 amount as you are by people stood in

00:16:22 --> 00:16:23 Australia but they're pulling in

00:16:23 --> 00:16:26 opposite direction so it all cancels out

00:16:26 --> 00:16:27 so if you were in the middle of the

00:16:27 --> 00:16:30 black hole um and ignoring all the other

00:16:30 --> 00:16:32 issues that would entail you wouldn't

00:16:32 --> 00:16:34 feel the gravitational pull of the black

00:16:34 --> 00:16:36 hole and if that was exactly at the

00:16:36 --> 00:16:39 center of the Galaxy all the matter in

00:16:39 --> 00:16:40 the Galaxy would cancel out but you'd

00:16:40 --> 00:16:43 still feel the pull from things locally

00:16:43 --> 00:16:44 so if you were in the middle of the

00:16:44 --> 00:16:46 Earth and you were massless from the

00:16:46 --> 00:16:47 point of view of the earth you'd still

00:16:47 --> 00:16:49 feel the pull from the Moon in One

00:16:49 --> 00:16:50 Direction and the sun in the other

00:16:50 --> 00:16:52 direction you'd still feel all those

00:16:52 --> 00:16:53 things so you would be still being

00:16:53 --> 00:16:56 pulled around and I dare say that you'd

00:16:56 --> 00:16:58 probably be pulled slightly off center

00:16:58 --> 00:17:00 if you could move around around and then

00:17:00 --> 00:17:01 youd start to feel the pull from the

00:17:01 --> 00:17:02 gravitation of the black hole pulling

00:17:02 --> 00:17:03 you back towards the middle and the

00:17:03 --> 00:17:06 further out you go the more pull you

00:17:06 --> 00:17:08 feel cuz you only feel the pull from the

00:17:08 --> 00:17:11 stuff that is interior to you everything

00:17:11 --> 00:17:12 and this used to make my head hurt when

00:17:12 --> 00:17:15 we did electromagnetism at Uni and

00:17:15 --> 00:17:17 trying to get your head around this

00:17:17 --> 00:17:18 everything more distant from the middle

00:17:18 --> 00:17:20 than you are cancels out with everything

00:17:21 --> 00:17:23 else everything nearer to the middle you

00:17:23 --> 00:17:25 feel added up as though it's pulling

00:17:25 --> 00:17:28 from the center so technically it

00:17:28 --> 00:17:29 wouldn't be able to Grant point because

00:17:29 --> 00:17:32 it's not one of those plateaus it's the

00:17:32 --> 00:17:34 bottom of a well instead but it would be

00:17:34 --> 00:17:36 a place where you would effectively be

00:17:36 --> 00:17:39 weightless massless well weightless

00:17:39 --> 00:17:40 rather than massless as a technical

00:17:40 --> 00:17:42 thing you still have mass but there'd be

00:17:42 --> 00:17:44 nothing pulling on you so you wouldn't

00:17:44 --> 00:17:46 have weight um but it wouldn't count as

00:17:46 --> 00:17:49 a LR point from my point of view until

00:17:49 --> 00:17:50 you turned into

00:17:50 --> 00:17:52 spaghetti you perceive would be the same

00:17:52 --> 00:17:54 thing and it will probably be a lot of

00:17:54 --> 00:17:56 pain as you become spaghettified yes as

00:17:56 --> 00:17:59 you go to get there to get there that's

00:17:59 --> 00:18:04 right so that absolutely jont um so I

00:18:04 --> 00:18:06 think that means the um the answer to

00:18:06 --> 00:18:11 the question is is just yes uh except we

00:18:11 --> 00:18:13 don't consider you know the center of

00:18:13 --> 00:18:16 things as being a LR point it's the LR

00:18:16 --> 00:18:19 points are quite specific or areas is a

00:18:19 --> 00:18:20 much better term for them because

00:18:20 --> 00:18:22 they're you know we think of them as a

00:18:23 --> 00:18:24 an individual point in space but they're

00:18:24 --> 00:18:27 not they're far from it that's why for

00:18:27 --> 00:18:30 example the L2 point in the earth's gr

00:18:30 --> 00:18:32 system it can be occupied by many

00:18:32 --> 00:18:35 spacecraft at once which it is yes and

00:18:35 --> 00:18:38 and it's not like Dead Steel the the the

00:18:38 --> 00:18:41 spacecraft have to adjust to the motion

00:18:41 --> 00:18:42 and that's CA they're starting to roll

00:18:42 --> 00:18:44 off the saddle so these Halo orbits that

00:18:44 --> 00:18:46 they move around are actually rolling

00:18:46 --> 00:18:48 around the saddle essentially along a

00:18:48 --> 00:18:50 line of constant height like one of

00:18:50 --> 00:18:53 those Contours on your contour map but

00:18:53 --> 00:18:55 it's very easy to roll off so that's why

00:18:55 --> 00:18:57 you burn fuel to stay on location

00:18:58 --> 00:19:00 because with the AL in particular if you

00:19:00 --> 00:19:01 fall off you'll eventually fall off

00:19:01 --> 00:19:02 properly CU you've been pulled by

00:19:02 --> 00:19:04 everything else yeah and land in a pile

00:19:04 --> 00:19:06 of dirt which is what happened when I

00:19:06 --> 00:19:07 rolled off the saddle once but it was

00:19:07 --> 00:19:10 like go there um I was not injured I

00:19:10 --> 00:19:13 wasn't not injured you're very lucky

00:19:13 --> 00:19:15 most people do get

00:19:15 --> 00:19:19 injured uh thank you buddy so um yeah as

00:19:19 --> 00:19:20 always I love the way buddy thinks he

00:19:21 --> 00:19:22 comes up with these Amazing Ideas I

00:19:22 --> 00:19:25 don't know where he uh his brain is

00:19:25 --> 00:19:27 obviously going at 10 mil hour all

00:19:27 --> 00:19:28 the time he comes up with some some

00:19:28 --> 00:19:31 interesting questions our last question

00:19:31 --> 00:19:33 today comes from Michael in Evanston

00:19:33 --> 00:19:36 Illinois gentlemen greetings uh

00:19:36 --> 00:19:38 regarding the expansion of the universe

00:19:38 --> 00:19:40 it is my understanding that an

00:19:40 --> 00:19:41 accelerating expansion means that

00:19:42 --> 00:19:43 everything in the universe is moving

00:19:43 --> 00:19:46 apart faster and faster this means that

00:19:46 --> 00:19:48 eventually nothing will be visible from

00:19:48 --> 00:19:50 anywhere else does this mean that the

00:19:50 --> 00:19:52 planets in our solar system are moving

00:19:53 --> 00:19:56 apart and that our moon is moving apart

00:19:56 --> 00:20:00 from Earth due to the universe's expans

00:20:00 --> 00:20:01 uh not withstanding what we talked about

00:20:02 --> 00:20:04 in the last episode regarding a new

00:20:04 --> 00:20:06 theory about the expansion of the

00:20:06 --> 00:20:09 universe and dark matter uh let's stick

00:20:09 --> 00:20:10 with the model that we all agree on at

00:20:10 --> 00:20:13 the moment and look he's right it is

00:20:13 --> 00:20:16 expanding everything's moving apart but

00:20:16 --> 00:20:18 there are other factors in play aren't

00:20:18 --> 00:20:21 they afid indeed it's gravity that

00:20:21 --> 00:20:23 dominates on the scale of the solar

00:20:23 --> 00:20:25 system uh we can't feel the expansion of

00:20:25 --> 00:20:27 the Universe on the scale of the solar

00:20:28 --> 00:20:30 system it's to small gravity is the

00:20:30 --> 00:20:32 overwhelmingly important Force it's only

00:20:32 --> 00:20:34 when you get out to you know you start

00:20:34 --> 00:20:36 looking at objects which are perhaps

00:20:36 --> 00:20:39 more than 10 20 million light years away

00:20:39 --> 00:20:42 before you start seeing that expansion

00:20:42 --> 00:20:44 never mind the accelerated expansion and

00:20:44 --> 00:20:46 even if the accelerated expansion does

00:20:46 --> 00:20:49 continue uh until we get the Big Rip

00:20:50 --> 00:20:51 which is what some people think might

00:20:51 --> 00:20:53 happen uh it's going to be a long time

00:20:54 --> 00:20:55 before the distance from the Earth to

00:20:55 --> 00:20:58 the Moon is affected by that particular

00:20:58 --> 00:20:59 geometry

00:20:59 --> 00:21:02 uh gravity is the force what I've never

00:21:02 --> 00:21:05 had clarified for me and there's all

00:21:05 --> 00:21:07 these kind of things is where that

00:21:07 --> 00:21:09 boundary comes so there is other the

00:21:09 --> 00:21:11 local scale of the scale of the Milky

00:21:11 --> 00:21:13 Way even gravity WIS so the Milky Way

00:21:13 --> 00:21:15 gets held together the local cluster

00:21:15 --> 00:21:17 should get held together as well but I

00:21:17 --> 00:21:19 don't know where the threshold is where

00:21:19 --> 00:21:20 it doesn't because the local cluster is

00:21:20 --> 00:21:22 part of a bigger cluster which is part

00:21:22 --> 00:21:25 of a super cluster and at some point you

00:21:25 --> 00:21:28 have this boundary where expansion wins

00:21:28 --> 00:21:30 but if it it has to be link to that

00:21:31 --> 00:21:33 cluster structure so it can't be halfway

00:21:33 --> 00:21:35 across the super cluster because

00:21:35 --> 00:21:36 something halfway across the

00:21:36 --> 00:21:38 supercluster is still attracted to its

00:21:38 --> 00:21:40 neighbors so it comes down to the voids

00:21:40 --> 00:21:43 and everything else and nobody's been

00:21:43 --> 00:21:46 able to give a definitive essentially

00:21:46 --> 00:21:48 Horizon where things will stay closer to

00:21:48 --> 00:21:50 us or where things will move away so I

00:21:50 --> 00:21:51 guess we just don't know that yet we've

00:21:52 --> 00:21:53 not we don't have a deep enough

00:21:53 --> 00:21:55 foundational enough knowledge of the

00:21:55 --> 00:21:56 structure of matter on that kind of

00:21:56 --> 00:21:59 Scale near us to know but I think the

00:21:59 --> 00:22:01 eventual Horizon is of that kind of

00:22:01 --> 00:22:03 scale of the Virgo cluster will still be

00:22:03 --> 00:22:05 just about there but the more distant

00:22:05 --> 00:22:07 structure what I don't know where that

00:22:07 --> 00:22:09 threshold is it's probably a very Wiggly

00:22:10 --> 00:22:11 one because it's going to follow the you

00:22:11 --> 00:22:14 know the inh aacy of what we see around

00:22:14 --> 00:22:18 us in in our local part of the Universe

00:22:18 --> 00:22:21 um it's uh yeah it's a it's a good point

00:22:21 --> 00:22:24 that you know we can't say well beyond

00:22:24 --> 00:22:26 you 50 million light years you're going

00:22:26 --> 00:22:28 to see the expansion dominating uh

00:22:28 --> 00:22:30 because it it will depend exactly on the

00:22:30 --> 00:22:34 on the presence I mean um it throws back

00:22:34 --> 00:22:37 to one of the Hot Topics 20 years ago

00:22:37 --> 00:22:39 which was the great ATT tractor uh the

00:22:39 --> 00:22:40 great ATT tractor being this thing

00:22:40 --> 00:22:43 hidden behind the Milky Way That We

00:22:43 --> 00:22:45 Believe now is a part of a of a super

00:22:45 --> 00:22:47 cluster of galaxies uh that seem to be

00:22:47 --> 00:22:49 pulling everything towards it but it's

00:22:49 --> 00:22:52 only in one particular direction uh so

00:22:52 --> 00:22:54 so you've got that kind of thing going

00:22:54 --> 00:22:56 on all around us uh and at different

00:22:56 --> 00:22:59 distances so you yes it would be a a

00:22:59 --> 00:23:01 wiggly you know thinking back to those

00:23:01 --> 00:23:02 Contours you were talking about a minute

00:23:02 --> 00:23:05 ago jonty it's a it's a contour but it's

00:23:05 --> 00:23:07 a very Wiggly one I

00:23:07 --> 00:23:10 think Heritage of this as well I I

00:23:10 --> 00:23:11 always love these things where we detect

00:23:11 --> 00:23:13 something indirectly because that's what

00:23:13 --> 00:23:14 we do with Exel planets now it's how

00:23:14 --> 00:23:16 Neptune was found yeah so we've got

00:23:17 --> 00:23:20 several hundred years of inferring that

00:23:20 --> 00:23:22 something exists when we can't see it

00:23:22 --> 00:23:23 because it's effect on something else

00:23:23 --> 00:23:25 and the great attractor is just another

00:23:25 --> 00:23:27 in a long list of we can't see it but we

00:23:27 --> 00:23:29 know it's there we see what it does to

00:23:29 --> 00:23:31 everything

00:23:31 --> 00:23:35 else I do yeah yeah the great you got

00:23:35 --> 00:23:37 You' Ena me to revive and a really old

00:23:37 --> 00:23:39 dad joke but the great attractor is the

00:23:39 --> 00:23:42 Massie Ferguson because my uncle used to

00:23:42 --> 00:23:45 work for that company but right off John

00:23:45 --> 00:23:47 de um and and as far as expansion's

00:23:47 --> 00:23:49 concerned expansion wins when you eat

00:23:49 --> 00:23:51 too many

00:23:51 --> 00:23:54 donuts it's speeding me too much

00:23:54 --> 00:23:55 information to work with well that's

00:23:55 --> 00:23:57 this is why I'm gradually resembling

00:23:57 --> 00:23:59 Patrick more more more because I growing

00:23:59 --> 00:24:01 vertically when I was 13 and I've just

00:24:01 --> 00:24:03 been spamming horizontally ever since

00:24:03 --> 00:24:05 yeah just don't don't um espouse his

00:24:05 --> 00:24:09 politics that's all JY oh no absolutely

00:24:09 --> 00:24:11 not I lean so far left I'm horizontal

00:24:11 --> 00:24:14 like

00:24:14 --> 00:24:20 many 3 2 one Space Nuts Andrew I was

00:24:20 --> 00:24:24 going to say you know this is a Q&A uh

00:24:24 --> 00:24:26 session uh can I throw in a question for

00:24:26 --> 00:24:29 J for it you you questions for because

00:24:29 --> 00:24:31 I'm not um I'm not going to be around

00:24:31 --> 00:24:34 for the next episode so I just want to

00:24:34 --> 00:24:37 know what jonty's take on planet N9 is

00:24:37 --> 00:24:40 oh yes um it it really interesting so

00:24:40 --> 00:24:41 the first paper I ever published back

00:24:41 --> 00:24:45 when I was doing my PhD was debunking

00:24:45 --> 00:24:47 one of the many variants of Planet X and

00:24:47 --> 00:24:49 this is a recurring theme that comes up

00:24:49 --> 00:24:51 about every 15 or 20 years when we get

00:24:51 --> 00:24:53 better data on things that are pushing

00:24:53 --> 00:24:54 the limits of our understanding of the

00:24:54 --> 00:24:57 solar system so in the early 1980s you

00:24:57 --> 00:25:00 had is which was Richard Muller's

00:25:00 --> 00:25:03 hypothesis of a brown dwarf or a red

00:25:03 --> 00:25:05 dwarf orbiting the Sun on a 26 million

00:25:05 --> 00:25:07 year Orbin that was giving us comets

00:25:07 --> 00:25:11 killing caat extinctions and that even

00:25:12 --> 00:25:13 though it sums down now at the time it

00:25:13 --> 00:25:16 was a reasonable possibility as an

00:25:16 --> 00:25:17 explanation of the data that made a

00:25:17 --> 00:25:19 prediction which was if it's there

00:25:19 --> 00:25:21 you'll see it and then we didn't see it

00:25:21 --> 00:25:23 we got good enough satellites to do it

00:25:23 --> 00:25:25 um so that died away and then back when

00:25:25 --> 00:25:29 I started my PhD in 2000 there was a

00:25:29 --> 00:25:32 regurgitation of the idea in this case

00:25:32 --> 00:25:34 being Planet X because Pluto at that

00:25:34 --> 00:25:36 point hadn't yet rightfully been demoted

00:25:36 --> 00:25:39 so people still counted it with a

00:25:39 --> 00:25:42 Grimace um but looking at the data of

00:25:42 --> 00:25:44 where comets come in towards the Sun

00:25:44 --> 00:25:46 from so not their per helium which is

00:25:46 --> 00:25:48 where their closest Sun but where on the

00:25:48 --> 00:25:50 sky their up helion would be their

00:25:50 --> 00:25:51 furthest from the Sun there were

00:25:52 --> 00:25:54 suggestions that there was a bit of an

00:25:54 --> 00:25:56 enhancement of comets coming from a

00:25:56 --> 00:25:57 great circle on the sky so one

00:25:57 --> 00:26:00 particular ring 360 gr around the sky

00:26:00 --> 00:26:03 had more comets than any other and there

00:26:03 --> 00:26:05 were two papers identifying this um The

00:26:05 --> 00:26:07 Twist was that both of them had great

00:26:07 --> 00:26:08 circles that were at right angles to

00:26:08 --> 00:26:12 each other and that didn't agree um so

00:26:12 --> 00:26:14 the first thing I did in my PhD was look

00:26:14 --> 00:26:16 at all this and say well hang on our

00:26:16 --> 00:26:17 discoveries of comets are biased by the

00:26:17 --> 00:26:19 fact that we see them when they're near

00:26:19 --> 00:26:21 the sun we see them at certain months we

00:26:21 --> 00:26:23 see them from the northern hemisphere is

00:26:23 --> 00:26:24 where that all these different biases he

00:26:24 --> 00:26:26 put them in and both great circles

00:26:26 --> 00:26:29 disappear so it was actually a result of

00:26:29 --> 00:26:31 our observational biases and so that one

00:26:31 --> 00:26:33 went away as we got more data and then

00:26:33 --> 00:26:35 what's happened over the last decade or

00:26:35 --> 00:26:38 so is that our ability to find small

00:26:38 --> 00:26:40 objects in the out Sol system has got

00:26:40 --> 00:26:42 better and better so we're starting to

00:26:42 --> 00:26:44 find things out beyond the kind of n

00:26:44 --> 00:26:47 nominal edge of the edge with ker belt

00:26:47 --> 00:26:50 Beyond about 50 Au and these are objects

00:26:50 --> 00:26:52 that are far enough aare that the

00:26:52 --> 00:26:55 influence of the planets isn't enough to

00:26:55 --> 00:26:59 modify their orbits in any real sense

00:26:59 --> 00:27:02 but there has been a set of detections

00:27:02 --> 00:27:04 of objects further out that a bit like

00:27:04 --> 00:27:06 that great circle appear to be more

00:27:06 --> 00:27:08 likely to be found in one part of the

00:27:08 --> 00:27:10 sky than anywhere else now one

00:27:10 --> 00:27:12 explanation for that is that there is

00:27:12 --> 00:27:14 something that we haven't seen that's

00:27:14 --> 00:27:16 further out that is stirring them up and

00:27:16 --> 00:27:18 has coralled them and that works really

00:27:18 --> 00:27:21 well to explain what we see another

00:27:21 --> 00:27:23 explanation is that this is an artifact

00:27:23 --> 00:27:25 of the observational bias because the

00:27:25 --> 00:27:26 survey is primarily done by the Canada

00:27:27 --> 00:27:29 France Hawaii telescope

00:27:29 --> 00:27:32 which sees Northern Hemisphere Sky by

00:27:32 --> 00:27:34 preference to Southern hemisphere has a

00:27:34 --> 00:27:36 varying cycle of cloudiness through the

00:27:36 --> 00:27:38 year it's harder to find these things

00:27:38 --> 00:27:40 where the Milky Way is so there are some

00:27:40 --> 00:27:41 people arguing that this will turn out

00:27:41 --> 00:27:44 to be an observational bias you've also

00:27:44 --> 00:27:48 got a few different versions of Planet X

00:27:48 --> 00:27:50 being proposed so the most famous one is

00:27:50 --> 00:27:51 the one that gets talked about a lot

00:27:51 --> 00:27:53 which is Ban and people like that

00:27:54 --> 00:27:56 talking about a fairly massive Planet X

00:27:56 --> 00:27:57 but a really good friend of mine who

00:27:57 --> 00:27:59 actually visited me unq a couple of

00:27:59 --> 00:28:02 months ago Patrick Saia Leafa from Japan

00:28:02 --> 00:28:04 there's been quietly running simulations

00:28:04 --> 00:28:08 looking at an earth Mass object which

00:28:08 --> 00:28:10 would work from the point of view of our

00:28:10 --> 00:28:11 understanding of the formation of the

00:28:11 --> 00:28:12 giant planets you would have formed a

00:28:12 --> 00:28:14 lot of objects that size that were then

00:28:14 --> 00:28:17 ejected that weren't Incorporated some

00:28:17 --> 00:28:18 of which will have been ejected but not

00:28:18 --> 00:28:21 fully ejected so you could have Earth

00:28:21 --> 00:28:23 sized objects in the alt Cloud quite

00:28:23 --> 00:28:25 reasonably and he's been looking at the

00:28:25 --> 00:28:27 distributions of all these things Beyond

00:28:27 --> 00:28:29 Neptune if you had something the mass of

00:28:29 --> 00:28:32 the Earth two or three or 400 Au away

00:28:32 --> 00:28:34 that we couldn't conly detect but we'll

00:28:34 --> 00:28:35 be able to find in the next five or 10

00:28:35 --> 00:28:39 years and that does a really good job of

00:28:39 --> 00:28:41 explaining the groups of objects we

00:28:41 --> 00:28:43 can't currently explain doesn't mean

00:28:43 --> 00:28:45 it's right what it's doing is saying

00:28:45 --> 00:28:47 here is something we can't explain

00:28:47 --> 00:28:49 observationally here's a couple of

00:28:49 --> 00:28:51 different teams proposing hypotheses

00:28:51 --> 00:28:53 that do were really good job of fitting

00:28:53 --> 00:28:55 the data and explaining what we

00:28:55 --> 00:28:57 otherwise can't do and they then make a

00:28:57 --> 00:28:59 prediction in both cases which is as

00:28:59 --> 00:29:01 Vera Rubin comes online this incredible

00:29:01 --> 00:29:03 new Observatory there going to increase

00:29:03 --> 00:29:05 the number of objects We Know by a

00:29:05 --> 00:29:07 factor of 10 to 100 times in the solar

00:29:07 --> 00:29:09 system we'll certainly have a lot more

00:29:09 --> 00:29:12 data and if these theories are correct

00:29:12 --> 00:29:15 these data will support them if not

00:29:15 --> 00:29:17 they'll shoot them down now I think

00:29:17 --> 00:29:20 given the past history of Nemesis and

00:29:20 --> 00:29:23 Planet X people are understandably very

00:29:23 --> 00:29:25 skeptical but it's very good science

00:29:25 --> 00:29:28 been done by really reputable scientists

00:29:28 --> 00:29:29 who are not saying this is definitely

00:29:29 --> 00:29:31 there they're saying here's something we

00:29:31 --> 00:29:33 cannot explain here is one way of

00:29:33 --> 00:29:36 explaining it that works really well and

00:29:36 --> 00:29:38 fits with the observational contraints

00:29:38 --> 00:29:40 we currently have it the truth could be

00:29:40 --> 00:29:42 out there you know it's kind of xal

00:29:42 --> 00:29:45 thing but we won't know until we get

00:29:45 --> 00:29:47 more data when that data comes in this

00:29:47 --> 00:29:49 is what we should look for and that's

00:29:49 --> 00:29:51 really important because if you do some

00:29:51 --> 00:29:53 modeling and and some solar system

00:29:53 --> 00:29:54 groups have done this in the past with

00:29:54 --> 00:29:57 very famous models that explain very

00:29:57 --> 00:29:59 well what we currently see but nothing

00:29:59 --> 00:30:02 else they don't make predictions of what

00:30:02 --> 00:30:04 we don't currently see then that to me

00:30:04 --> 00:30:05 stamp collecting it's not actually

00:30:05 --> 00:30:07 science because there's an infinite

00:30:07 --> 00:30:09 number of ways of explaining what we

00:30:09 --> 00:30:11 currently see and what both these models

00:30:11 --> 00:30:12 are doing really well is they're

00:30:12 --> 00:30:13 explaining what we currently see but

00:30:13 --> 00:30:15 also predicting what we will find in the

00:30:15 --> 00:30:18 future if their model is correct and if

00:30:18 --> 00:30:20 their model is not correct so they're

00:30:20 --> 00:30:22 testable hypotheses and that's really

00:30:23 --> 00:30:25 important because that sh how we do our

00:30:25 --> 00:30:27 future science what we look for so I

00:30:27 --> 00:30:30 find it really exciting I'm you know

00:30:30 --> 00:30:32 really Keen to see what happens with the

00:30:32 --> 00:30:34 very situations on planet 9 over the

00:30:34 --> 00:30:37 coming decades and it if it dies down

00:30:37 --> 00:30:39 I'm sure that in 20 30 years when we get

00:30:39 --> 00:30:41 the next generation of next generation

00:30:41 --> 00:30:43 of next generation of telescopes the

00:30:43 --> 00:30:45 idea might come up again because we're

00:30:45 --> 00:30:47 looking at this ever growing Circle of

00:30:47 --> 00:30:48 Knowledge around the soul system but

00:30:48 --> 00:30:51 it's not that big yet so the the five

00:30:51 --> 00:30:53 minutes You' to spend on that could have

00:30:53 --> 00:30:56 been answered with a maybe with a maybe

00:30:56 --> 00:30:59 but I think it's it's important to

00:30:59 --> 00:31:00 clarify that this is good science

00:31:00 --> 00:31:02 because it does sometimes get passed off

00:31:02 --> 00:31:04 as a bit of a joke because it's a past

00:31:04 --> 00:31:06 history of things falling flat and those

00:31:06 --> 00:31:08 things that fell flat were also very

00:31:08 --> 00:31:11 good science it's just this is the way

00:31:11 --> 00:31:14 science gets done and it runs counter to

00:31:14 --> 00:31:15 the opinion that a lot of people get

00:31:15 --> 00:31:17 when they come out of school because of

00:31:17 --> 00:31:19 the challenges of the curriculum that

00:31:19 --> 00:31:21 science is fapped and is science sealed

00:31:21 --> 00:31:22 and delivered and it's one of the

00:31:22 --> 00:31:24 problems we've seen with accepting that

00:31:24 --> 00:31:26 cigarettes cause cancer accepting that

00:31:26 --> 00:31:28 climate change is an issue

00:31:28 --> 00:31:31 is that people get taught that science

00:31:31 --> 00:31:33 is signed and sealed and delivered and

00:31:33 --> 00:31:35 then when things change like Pluto is

00:31:35 --> 00:31:37 demoted that feels like a betrayal it

00:31:37 --> 00:31:39 feels like you've been lied to that

00:31:40 --> 00:31:43 somehow things nefarious are going on

00:31:43 --> 00:31:46 and it makes it much harder then to get

00:31:46 --> 00:31:49 changes in our understanding through and

00:31:49 --> 00:31:50 so it's really important to stress that

00:31:50 --> 00:31:51 this is how science works and this is

00:31:51 --> 00:31:54 really good science no fair point great

00:31:54 --> 00:31:58 Point very good very good um jents

00:31:58 --> 00:31:59 that's where we're going to have to

00:31:59 --> 00:32:02 finish up uh thank you so very much

00:32:02 --> 00:32:04 Professor Fred Watson and and enjoy your

00:32:04 --> 00:32:07 travels and we will catch up with you uh

00:32:07 --> 00:32:09 round like February botle look of it

00:32:09 --> 00:32:11 rounds like it y thank you Andrew thank

00:32:11 --> 00:32:13 you jont T and I look forward to um

00:32:13 --> 00:32:16 listening to Space Nuts podcast without

00:32:16 --> 00:32:17 being on

00:32:18 --> 00:32:20 it that would be rare yeah that's just

00:32:20 --> 00:32:24 plenty of thought okay yes please do and

00:32:24 --> 00:32:26 uh Professor Johny Horner thank you for

00:32:26 --> 00:32:29 being a part of uh space Q&A today as

00:32:29 --> 00:32:31 well we'll catch you on the next episode

00:32:31 --> 00:32:33 it's a pleasure thank you for having me

00:32:33 --> 00:32:35 and thanks to H in the studio who

00:32:35 --> 00:32:37 couldn't really do much because he was

00:32:37 --> 00:32:39 caught in the ultimate lrange point and

00:32:39 --> 00:32:41 from me Andrew Dunley oh don't forget to

00:32:41 --> 00:32:43 send us your questions via our website

00:32:43 --> 00:32:46 Space Nuts podcast.com SPAC nuts.i get

00:32:46 --> 00:32:47 your questions in we'll get to them as

00:32:48 --> 00:32:50 soon as we possibly can uh so from me

00:32:50 --> 00:32:52 Andrew Dunley thanks to your company see

00:32:52 --> 00:32:53 you again on the next episode of Space

00:32:53 --> 00:32:56 Nuts bye-bye Space Nuts you'll be

00:32:56 --> 00:32:59 listening to the space face nuts

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